Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17? open
← all wallets
Total volume
$362
$101 in 24h
Trades
28
Unique wallets
22
Liquidity
$1,176
Latest YES mid
81¢
Latest NO mid
19¢
End date
2026-05-17
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-17 02:13
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: -57.7¢ (top1%: 0% YES on $22 vs crowd: 58% YES on $276)
By volume tier
Tier Wallets YES buy NO buy Net bias
🐬 Dolphin 2 — $47 $47
🐟 Fish 3 $100 $8 +$92
🦐 Shrimp 17 $59 $62 $2
By P&L percentile
Tier Wallets YES buy NO buy Net bias
🎯 Top 1% 1 — $22 $22
🏆 Top 5% 6 $14 $51 $38
✅ Top 10% 1 — $3 $3
Median 3 $10 $20 $10
Below median 2 — $10 $10
🔻 Bottom 5% 1 — $5 $5
💀 Bottom 1% 1 $100 — +$100
unranked 7 $36 $5 +$31
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
Wallet Side Net shares Cost basis Volume Trades Last activity
Unfinished-Diary 0x784a…06c3 Yes +114 $100 $100 1 05-17 02:13
Buzzing-Abacus 0x3a32…562e No +48 $20 $20 1 05-16 14:56
Judicious-Lunchmeat 0xa7d2…f954 No +48 $27 $27 3 05-15 11:42
Shady-Dog 0x7a90…2ff9 Yes +41 $14 $14 1 05-15 11:27
Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f No +32 $22 $22 1 05-10 22:40
Charming-Sensitivity 0x2df5…57c8 Yes +31 $21 $21 2 05-15 19:02
Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 No +30 $25 $25 1 05-14 21:42
Mountainous-Bird 0x0955…e141 Yes +25 $10 $10 1 05-15 11:34
Evergreen-Interloper 0x3a9b…5e0d No +14 $10 $10 1 05-10 20:46
Pesky-Discovery 0x6da8…ec45 Yes +13 $10 $10 1 05-16 04:35
Pink-Outfit 0x8575…87fe No +12 $5 $5 1 05-16 14:56
Every-Sensitivity 0x2480…3c00 No +6 $4 $4 1 05-12 01:08
Twin-Overhead 0x76c9…3222 Yes +5 $2 $2 1 05-15 11:34
Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b No +5 $3 $3 1 05-14 17:59
Warped-Follower 0x7803…16ad No +1 $1 $1 1 05-15 11:40