Cloudy-Elephant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$199

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

341

lifetime

Volume

$3.62K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-21 08:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

61% 100% +$9

Crypto

25% — —

Politics

13% 100% +$191

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will wti reach 85 in august 2026	6	$588	402	402	+0	open	—	08-11 13:17
will dharmendra pradhan be out as minister of education of india by july 31 20260720180245756	5	$558	599	93	+506	open	—	07-25 09:08
btc updown 4h 1786305600	7	$184	199	199	+0	open	—	08-09 22:35
iran oman hormuz agreement by september 30	2	$168	161	161	+0	open	—	08-20 09:29
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	2	$150	341	0	+341	Yes	+$191	04-27 08:44
will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	5	$121	1,216	0	+1,216	open	—	08-03 12:40
crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 14	5	$91	79	79	+0	open	—	07-14 16:52
btc updown 4h 1785700800	2	$80	132	0	+132	open	—	08-02 21:42
crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 19	10	$73	116	116	+0	open	—	07-19 17:56
atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12	11	$68	164	164	+0	open	—	07-12 18:42
fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 team to advance	2	$63	43	43	+0	open	—	07-01 17:55
atp augeral djokovi 2026 07 07	2	$61	74	74	+0	open	—	07-07 17:10
Will the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?	1	$50	102	0	+102	open	—	04-21 05:37
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	3	$43	33	33	+0	open	—	07-19 08:26
btc updown 4h 1785844800	2	$40	75	0	+75	open	—	08-04 13:28
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	2	$39	163	163	+0	open	—	08-17 17:14
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals erling haaland gte1	5	$38	63	47	+16	open	—	07-11 22:44
btc updown 5m 1786537800	4	$32	60	22	+38	open	—	08-12 12:34
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 spread away 1pt5	3	$31	38	38	+0	open	—	07-18 22:53
will dharmendra pradhan be out as minister of education of india by september 30 20260720180245757	1	$30	36	0	+36	open	—	07-25 08:55
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 goals kylian mbappe gte1	2	$28	18	18	+0	open	—	07-09 21:26
crsou job dur 2026 01 01	4	$25	37	37	+0	open	—	01-01 19:39
btc updown 4h 1786622400	2	$24	18	18	+0	open	—	08-13 13:17
will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	4	$23	53	0	+53	open	—	07-24 16:33
btc updown 5m 1774503300	3	$22	82	15	+67	open	—	03-26 05:39
bitcoin up or down on august 12 2026	3	$20	71	71	+0	open	—	08-12 13:49
crint gbr2 ind4 2026 07 04	1	$20	42	0	+42	open	—	07-04 15:48
btc updown 4h 1786536000	2	$19	21	21	+0	open	—	08-12 12:14
will trump say police officer during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421451	2	$19	14	14	+0	open	—	08-06 03:56
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$19	47	47	+0	open	—	03-27 17:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-21 08:44:24	will bitcoin reach 78k on august 21 2026	No	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x6894f7…
08-20 09:29:03	iran oman hormuz agreement by september 30	Yes	SELL	161	42¢	$68	0xfb8da7…
08-17 17:14:42	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	163	8¢	$14	0xcca399…
08-17 12:46:10	iran oman hormuz agreement by september 30	Yes	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x599a22…
08-17 11:31:39	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	163	15¢	$25	0x2e9483…
08-17 11:04:57	bitcoin up or down on august 17 2026	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x683ccc…
08-14 09:02:10	bitcoin up or down on august 14 2026	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x4c06bd…
08-13 16:02:30	cs2 big5 g2 2026 08 13	BIG	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0xc90542…
08-13 15:58:40	bitcoin up or down on august 13 2026	Down	SELL	31	41¢	$13	0x23cb00…
08-13 13:40:36	bitcoin up or down on august 13 2026	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x7f792f…
08-13 13:17:31	btc updown 4h 1786622400	Up	SELL	18	81¢	$14	0xd85c7a…
08-13 12:33:28	btc updown 4h 1786622400	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x237b3f…
08-12 13:49:48	bitcoin up or down on august 12 2026	Down	SELL	65	14¢	$9	0x87dd33…
08-12 13:46:51	bitcoin up or down on august 12 2026	Down	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0xa49eca…
08-12 12:34:13	btc updown 5m 1786537800	Up	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0x6826f2…
08-12 12:29:07	btc updown 5m 1786537500	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe09711…
08-12 12:28:36	btc updown 5m 1786537500	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x3b0444…
08-12 12:27:10	btc updown 5m 1786537800	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf50f47…
08-12 12:25:28	btc updown 5m 1786537800	Up	SELL	22	51¢	$11	0x18ff6f…
08-12 12:23:51	btc updown 5m 1786537200	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x2c9497…
08-12 12:15:36	btc updown 5m 1786537800	Up	BUY	29	51¢	$15	0x088585…
08-12 12:14:37	btc updown 4h 1786536000	Down	SELL	21	44¢	$9	0xd84abe…
08-12 12:13:24	btc updown 4h 1786536000	Down	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0x7646ad…
08-12 11:54:07	bitcoin up or down on august 12 2026	Down	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xf4d647…
08-11 13:17:42	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	141	65¢	$92	0xc8d8fc…
08-11 12:58:24	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0x855bc8…
08-11 10:26:45	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	118	86¢	$101	0x59e6ac…
08-11 07:23:09	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x4937d3…
08-10 19:37:03	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	143	66¢	$94	0x5d5fe9…
08-10 18:17:46	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xa98101…
08-09 22:35:58	btc updown 4h 1786305600	Down	SELL	50	70¢	$35	0xb4da8e…
08-09 22:32:51	btc updown 4h 1786305600	Down	SELL	149	53¢	$79	0xfd4573…
08-09 22:15:58	btc updown 4h 1786305600	Down	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x015f42…
08-09 22:02:10	btc updown 4h 1786305600	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x6dd6e2…
08-09 21:59:43	btc updown 4h 1786305600	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xbfe01e…
08-09 21:40:21	btc updown 4h 1786305600	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x949100…
08-09 21:14:18	btc updown 4h 1786305600	Down	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x48868e…
08-07 09:39:15	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	Yes	BUY	1,429	1¢	$10	0x275df2…
08-06 03:56:20	will trump say police officer during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421451	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x415192…
08-05 19:11:14	will trump say police officer during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421451	Yes	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x1c57c7…
08-05 13:38:50	btc updown 4h 1785931200	Down	SELL	23	46¢	$10	0xe97097…
08-05 12:50:18	btc updown 4h 1785931200	Down	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x1c56b4…
08-04 17:47:18	will trump say bitcoin crypto or cryptocurrency during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421460	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x8df88e…
08-04 13:28:30	btc updown 4h 1785844800	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x275da4…
08-04 13:24:20	btc updown 4h 1785844800	Up	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xc29e12…
08-03 12:40:47	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	No	BUY	510	8¢	$40	0x7d7311…
08-03 08:03:50	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	No	BUY	488	4¢	$19	0xe219b8…
08-03 07:14:47	dota2 lgd 1win 2026 08 03	LGD Gaming	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x53c0f3…
08-03 07:02:23	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	No	BUY	69	4¢	$2	0xf25445…
08-02 21:42:05	btc updown 4h 1785700800	Up	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0xc92508…
08-02 19:49:12	btc updown 4h 1785700800	Up	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x566cda…
08-02 15:49:15	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	No	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x568580…
08-02 05:58:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	SELL	47	0¢	$0	0xcb0be1…
08-01 18:36:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	No	BUY	47	6¢	$3	0x709f31…
08-01 18:34:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	SELL	831	0¢	$1	0x13aad7…
08-01 18:31:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519 798 243	No	BUY	831	1¢	$5	0x9d8bcd…
08-01 17:06:33	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	No	BUY	78	65¢	$50	0xf96246…
07-29 14:05:12	will wti reach 85 in july 2026 from july 27	No	SELL	17	8¢	$1	0xf223b0…
07-29 14:02:11	will wti reach 85 in july 2026 from july 27	No	SELL	17	7¢	$1	0x41b684…
07-29 13:56:12	will wti reach 85 in july 2026 from july 27	No	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x1c13a5…
07-28 18:36:32	will trump say gay or homosexual during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556648	Yes	BUY	263	2¢	$5	0x719355…
07-28 18:22:28	will trump say gay or homosexual during tribute to lindsey graham 20260724170556648	Yes	BUY	263	2¢	$5	0x348ccc…
07-28 17:04:41	atp majchrz paul 2026 07 27	Kamil Majchrzak	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0x8fde88…
07-28 17:03:04	atp majchrz paul 2026 07 27	Kamil Majchrzak	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xad2f92…
07-25 09:08:13	will dharmendra pradhan be out as minister of education of india by july 31 20260720180245756	Yes	BUY	506	99¢	$500	0x5f707b…
07-25 08:55:48	will dharmendra pradhan be out as minister of education of india by september 30 20260720180245757	Yes	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0xef75cf…
07-25 08:55:24	will dharmendra pradhan be out as minister of education of india by july 31 20260720180245756	No	SELL	51	11¢	$6	0xe0b87c…
07-24 16:33:42	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xad4cd9…
07-24 14:41:55	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x1b9236…
07-24 14:34:52	will dharmendra pradhan be out as minister of education of india by july 31 20260720180245756	Yes	SELL	42	12¢	$5	0xea5338…
07-24 14:04:30	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x99b1de…
07-24 12:40:30	btc updown 5m 1784896800	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x04c0d8…
07-24 12:29:10	btc updown 5m 1784895900	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf05240…
07-24 12:10:33	btc updown 5m 1784895000	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x6f943e…
07-24 12:10:07	btc updown 5m 1784895000	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x30ea72…
07-24 12:08:18	btc updown 5m 1784894700	Down	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x42d2b3…
07-24 12:07:49	btc updown 5m 1784894700	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x64783d…
07-24 12:02:48	btc updown 5m 1784894400	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x56bfba…
07-24 11:58:52	btc updown 5m 1784894100	Up	SELL	33	25¢	$8	0x37c165…
07-24 11:58:10	btc updown 5m 1784894100	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x218b31…
07-24 11:52:57	bitcoin up or down on july 24 2026	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xe80f8c…
07-24 11:48:10	bitcoin up or down on july 24 2026	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xe1c16c…
07-24 10:06:36	will dharmendra pradhan be out as minister of education of india by july 31 20260720180245756	Yes	BUY	42	18¢	$7	0xeafba2…
07-24 06:09:49	btc updown 5m 1784873100	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x60f14f…
07-24 06:08:49	btc updown 5m 1784873100	Up	SELL	11	27¢	$3	0xae9180…
07-24 06:05:37	btc updown 5m 1784873100	Up	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x1191ce…
07-24 06:02:40	btc updown 5m 1784872800	Up	SELL	8	44¢	$3	0x521a92…
07-24 06:02:22	btc updown 5m 1784872800	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x118838…
07-23 18:31:22	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x507acb…
07-23 17:17:36	cs2 m8 pain 2026 07 23	Gentle Mates	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0x4718e9…
07-23 15:55:07	cs2 100t ntr 2026 07 23	Nuclear TigeRES	SELL	6	54¢	$3	0x182e9c…
07-23 13:37:06	cs2 100t ntr 2026 07 23	Nuclear TigeRES	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x41d3a3…
07-23 12:37:51	cs2 m8 pain 2026 07 23	Gentle Mates	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xc2828d…
07-23 10:38:27	will dharmendra pradhan be out as minister of education of india by july 31 20260720180245756	No	BUY	51	78¢	$40	0xbce936…
07-23 10:26:54	btc updown 5m 1784802300	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa73ffc…
07-23 10:07:15	btc updown 5m 1784801100	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x977657…
07-23 10:05:06	btc updown 5m 1784801100	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xb62fca…
07-23 10:03:00	btc updown 5m 1784800800	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x5ac401…
07-23 10:02:54	btc updown 5m 1784800800	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xcfe0f8…
07-23 08:17:03	btc updown 5m 1784794500	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xe0b8ba…