Judicious-Lunchmeat 0xa7d2ec…20f954
whale hot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$20.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$7.56K
Hit rate
68.9%
Resolved
747
Trades
9,270
lifetime
Volume
$373.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$40
Open exposure
$12.8K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 02:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 162 days
Categories
Other
80% 63% +$12,813
Tech
16% 68% +$8,842
Politics
3% 40% -$1,989
Crypto
1% 33% +$455
Sports
0% 40% +$615
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 462 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +8,468 $171 91¢ $7.7K +$7,539 10-17 12:57
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +4,000 $3,680 92¢ $3.7K -$20 10-26 17:39
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +2,324 $566 32¢ $732 +$166 10-02 11:39
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +284 $207 74¢ $210 +$3 10-06 10:40
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +178 $48 83¢ $148 +$100 09-11 11:48
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +150 $101 98¢ $148 +$46 09-11 11:48
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +50 $36 76¢ $38 +$3 10-26 07:28
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? Yes +131 $50 24¢ $32 -$19 10-08 13:03
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? No — +41 $26 56¢ $23 -$3 10-26 15:03
will the next google gemini pro model be released by october 31 2026 Yes +1,000 $260 2¢ $22 -$238 10-01 10:49
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes — +41 $20 44¢ $18 -$1 10-26 06:48
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? Yes +50 $19 24¢ $12 -$7 10-26 02:47
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $12 24¢ $10 -$2 10-26 18:19
will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500 Yes +27 $10 24¢ $7 -$3 07-27 23:50
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? Yes +7 $0 6¢ $0 $0 10-23 12:38
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +0 $2 66¢ $0 -$2 10-24 01:36
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? Yes +0 $1 40¢ $0 -$1 10-23 12:40
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 37¢ $0 $0 10-23 12:40
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $2 29¢ $0 -$2 10-24 01:36
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $2 16¢ $0 -$2 10-24 01:36
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +0 $0 26¢ $0 $0 10-07 12:13