Judicious-Lunchmeat 0xa7d2ec…20f954
whale hot
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Realized P&L (90d)
+$24.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$856
Hit rate
74.1%
Resolved (90d)
436
Trades (90d)
6,263
9,668 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$205.7K
$379.2K lifetime
Avg / trade
$39
Open exposure
$5.67K
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-01 13:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 168 days
Categories
Other
80% 63% +$11,318
Tech
16% 69% +$17,665
Politics
3% 40% -$1,989
Crypto
1% 33% +$455
Sports
0% 40% +$615
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 462 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +4,000 $3,680 94¢ $3.8K +$100 10-26 17:39
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +2,324 $566 54¢ $1.2K +$677 10-02 11:39
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +284 $207 76¢ $214 +$7 10-06 10:40
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +150 $101 95¢ $143 +$42 09-11 11:48
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +178 $48 76¢ $136 +$88 09-11 11:48
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +50 $36 96¢ $48 +$13 10-26 07:28
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? Yes +40 $35 79¢ $32 -$3 10-27 05:53
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +41 $26 51¢ $21 -$4 10-26 15:03
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +41 $20 49¢ $20 +$0 10-26 06:48
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? Yes +131 $50 12¢ $15 -$35 10-08 13:03
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? No +40 $8 21¢ $8 +$1 10-26 18:04
will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500 Yes +27 $10 18¢ $5 -$5 07-27 23:50
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? Yes +50 $19 4¢ $2 -$17 10-26 02:47
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +0 $2 74¢ $0 -$2 10-24 01:36
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 42¢ $0 $0 10-23 12:40
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? Yes +0 $1 35¢ $0 -$1 10-23 12:40
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $2 37¢ $0 -$2 10-24 01:36
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +0 $0 36¢ $0 $0 10-07 12:13
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $2 12¢ $0 -$2 10-24 01:36