Judicious-Lunchmeat 0xa7d2ec…20f954 Create alert
whale hot
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Realized P&L
+$27.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$885
Hit rate
68.6%
Resolved
786
Trades
9,879
lifetime
Volume
$386.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$39
Open exposure
$6.11K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-03 12:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 170 days
Categories
Other
80% 63% +$11,452
Tech
16% 69% +$17,665
Politics
3% 38% -$1,991
Crypto
1% 33% +$455
Sports
0% 25% +$329
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 462 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +4,000 $3,680 94¢ $3.8K +$100 10-26 17:39
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +2,324 $566 56¢ $1.3K +$747 10-02 11:39
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +800 $304 36¢ $284 -$20 11-02 16:25
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +284 $207 72¢ $206 -$1 10-06 10:40
Will AI solve 2 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +150 $101 97¢ $146 +$44 09-11 11:48
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? Yes +178 $48 70¢ $126 +$78 09-11 11:48
Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31? No +100 $55 72¢ $72 +$16 10-26 20:28
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? No +50 $36 99¢ $50 +$14 10-26 07:28
Houthis capture Taiz city by December 31? Yes +100 $56 29¢ $29 -$28 10-27 09:26
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? Yes +40 $35 62¢ $25 -$10 10-27 05:53
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? No +41 $26 55¢ $23 -$3 10-26 15:03
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? Yes +131 $50 16¢ $21 -$30 10-08 13:03
Will no next Israeli Minister of Defense be appointed by February 28, 2027? Yes +41 $20 45¢ $18 -$1 10-26 06:48
Will Predict.fun launch a token by November 15, 2026? No +40 $8 38¢ $15 +$7 10-26 18:04
will the next google gemini pro model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500 Yes +27 $10 18¢ $5 -$5 07-27 23:50
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? Yes +50 $19 1¢ $0 -$19 10-26 02:47
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 45¢ $0 $0 10-23 12:40
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? Yes +0 $1 36¢ $0 -$1 10-23 12:40
Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $2 45¢ $0 -$2 10-24 01:36
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +0 $0 32¢ $0 $0 10-07 12:13
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $2 12¢ $0 -$2 10-24 01:36