Will a 7.5+ earthquake occur worldwide by November 30?
open
Total volume
$940
$302 in 24h
Trades
69
Unique wallets
19
Liquidity
$224
End date
2026-12-01
First seen
2026-10-30
last 11-02 12:17
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-38.9¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $79
vs crowd: 39% YES on $839)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $132 | $206 | $74 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $102 | $257 | $155 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | $3 | $13 | $10 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $90 | $37 | +$53 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $79 | $79 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $8 | $26 | $18 |
| Median | 1 | $11 | — | +$11 |
| Below median | 3 | $135 | $48 | +$87 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $3 | $24 | $21 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $31 | $77 | $46 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 9 | $139 | $260 | $121 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +267 | $95 | $95 | 7 | 11-02 00:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x3b10…379d | Yes | +189 | $70 | $70 | 1 | 11-02 00:28 |
| Judicious-Lunchmeat 0xa7d2…f954 | No | +124 | $79 | $79 | 3 | 11-02 00:30 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +118 | $71 | $71 | 3 | 11-01 18:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | No | +103 | $65 | $65 | 3 | 11-02 12:17 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | +94 | $60 | $60 | 5 | 11-02 12:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xf814…5f09 | No | +76 | $48 | $48 | 4 | 11-02 12:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xf814…5f09 | Yes | +75 | $27 | $100 | 7 | 11-02 12:17 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | +70 | $26 | $32 | 4 | 10-31 12:08 |
| Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | +70 | $45 | $45 | 2 | 10-31 12:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | Yes | +64 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 11-02 12:17 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +25 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 11-02 12:17 |
| Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | +20 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 11-01 18:05 |
| 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | Yes | +20 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 10-31 12:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x8ef1…4f92 | No | +20 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 10-31 12:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | No | +20 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 11-02 00:28 |
| 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | No | +20 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 10-31 12:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | No | +18 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 10-31 12:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | Yes | +18 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 10-31 12:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | +18 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 10-31 12:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xa8e0…244b | No | +17 | $11 | $11 | 4 | 11-02 00:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xfc42…89f7 | No | +15 | $10 | $42 | 4 | 11-02 00:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x8ef1…4f92 | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 10-31 11:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x4ef3…bb2f | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-02 00:34 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 12:17:06 | (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | Yes | BUY | 25 | 38¢ | $10 | 0x5194b3… |
| 11-02 12:17:06 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 25 | 62¢ | $16 | 0x5194b3… |
| 11-02 12:17:06 | Infatuated-Nun 0xe8fc…0d3b | No | SELL | 45 | 63¢ | $28 | 0xa07415… |
| 11-02 12:17:06 | (anonymous) 0xf814…5f09 | No | BUY | 25 | 63¢ | $16 | 0xa07415… |
| 11-02 12:17:06 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | BUY | 20 | 63¢ | $13 | 0xa07415… |
| 11-02 12:17:04 | (anonymous) 0xf814…5f09 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 37¢ | $9 | 0x523e0e… |
| 11-02 12:17:04 | (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | No | BUY | 25 | 63¢ | $16 | 0x523e0e… |
| 11-02 00:40:43 | (anonymous) 0xfc42…89f7 | No | SELL | 5 | 64¢ | $3 | 0x3201c6… |
| 11-02 00:40:43 | (anonymous) 0xa8e0…244b | No | BUY | 5 | 64¢ | $3 | 0x3201c6… |
| 11-02 00:40:25 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 35¢ | $7 | 0xee172d… |
| 11-02 00:40:25 | (anonymous) 0xfc42…89f7 | No | BUY | 20 | 65¢ | $13 | 0xee172d… |
| 11-02 00:40:25 | (anonymous) 0xa8e0…244b | No | BUY | 1 | 65¢ | $1 | 0xee172d… |
| 11-02 00:34:54 | (anonymous) 0xa8e0…244b | No | BUY | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0x579c1e… |
| 11-02 00:34:54 | (anonymous) 0x4ef3…bb2f | Yes | BUY | 5 | 35¢ | $2 | 0x579c1e… |
| 11-02 00:30:31 | Judicious-Lunchmeat 0xa7d2…f954 | No | BUY | 4 | 64¢ | $3 | 0x7f77f5… |
| 11-02 00:30:31 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | SELL | 4 | 64¢ | $3 | 0x7f77f5… |
| 11-02 00:28:19 | (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | No | BUY | 40 | 63¢ | $25 | 0xfdca45… |
| 11-02 00:28:19 | Judicious-Lunchmeat 0xa7d2…f954 | No | BUY | 60 | 63¢ | $38 | 0xfdca45… |
| 11-02 00:28:19 | Infatuated-Nun 0xe8fc…0d3b | No | BUY | 45 | 63¢ | $28 | 0xfdca45… |
| 11-02 00:28:19 | (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | No | BUY | 20 | 63¢ | $13 | 0xfdca45… |
| 11-02 00:28:19 | Remarkable-Underpass 0xe102…71df | No | BUY | 4 | 62¢ | $3 | 0xfdca45… |
| 11-02 00:28:19 | (anonymous) 0x3b10…379d | Yes | BUY | 189 | 37¢ | $70 | 0xfdca45… |
| 11-02 00:28:19 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | BUY | 20 | 63¢ | $13 | 0xfdca45… |
| 11-01 21:00:25 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 37¢ | $14 | 0x203280… |
| 11-01 21:00:25 | (anonymous) 0xf814…5f09 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 37¢ | $14 | 0x203280… |
| 11-01 20:50:25 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 34¢ | $5 | 0x043248… |
| 11-01 20:50:25 | (anonymous) 0xfc42…89f7 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 34¢ | $5 | 0x043248… |
| 11-01 18:05:24 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 64¢ | $13 | 0x81a571… |
| 11-01 18:05:24 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 36¢ | $7 | 0x81a571… |
| 11-01 13:20:24 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x34aed5… |
| 11-01 13:20:24 | (anonymous) 0xfc42…89f7 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 37¢ | $2 | 0x34aed5… |
| 11-01 00:49:55 | (anonymous) 0xf814…5f09 | Yes | SELL | 59 | 38¢ | $22 | 0xd6570b… |
| 11-01 00:49:55 | (anonymous) 0xf814…5f09 | Yes | BUY | 38 | 37¢ | $14 | 0x94fc02… |
| 11-01 00:49:55 | (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | Yes | BUY | 39 | 38¢ | $15 | 0xd6570b… |
| 11-01 00:49:55 | (anonymous) 0x24bf…b12e | No | BUY | 38 | 63¢ | $24 | 0x94fc02… |
| 11-01 00:49:55 | (anonymous) 0xfc42…89f7 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 38¢ | $8 | 0xd6570b… |
| 10-31 17:25:07 | (anonymous) 0xf814…5f09 | Yes | BUY | 58 | 37¢ | $21 | 0x5620bf… |
| 10-31 17:25:07 | (anonymous) 0xfc42…89f7 | No | SELL | 20 | 63¢ | $13 | 0x5620bf… |
| 10-31 17:25:07 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 78 | 63¢ | $49 | 0x5620bf… |
| 10-31 12:08:51 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | SELL | 1 | 66¢ | $0 | 0x7452c5… |
| 10-31 12:08:51 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 34¢ | $0 | 0x7452c5… |
| 10-31 12:08:49 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | BUY | 18 | 63¢ | $11 | 0x59f53c… |
| 10-31 12:08:49 | (anonymous) 0x216b…3541 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 38¢ | $8 | 0x537031… |
| 10-31 12:08:49 | (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | No | BUY | 18 | 64¢ | $12 | 0xea0a01… |
| 10-31 12:08:49 | (anonymous) 0xf814…5f09 | No | BUY | 1 | 63¢ | $0 | 0xc43c0a… |
| 10-31 12:08:49 | (anonymous) 0xf814…5f09 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 37¢ | $7 | 0x59f53c… |
| 10-31 12:08:49 | (anonymous) 0x8ef1…4f92 | No | BUY | 20 | 64¢ | $13 | 0xea0a01… |
| 10-31 12:08:49 | (anonymous) 0xf814…5f09 | No | BUY | 18 | 63¢ | $11 | 0xd4a908… |
| 10-31 12:08:49 | (anonymous) 0xfc42…89f7 | No | BUY | 20 | 64¢ | $13 | 0xea0a01… |
| 10-31 12:08:49 | (anonymous) 0xbb15…626c | Yes | BUY | 18 | 37¢ | $7 | 0xd4a908… |
| 10-31 12:08:49 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 78 | 36¢ | $28 | 0xea0a01… |
| 10-31 12:08:49 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | BUY | 20 | 64¢ | $13 | 0xea0a01… |
| 10-31 12:08:49 | 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | No | BUY | 20 | 64¢ | $13 | 0xc43c0a… |
| 10-31 12:08:49 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 36¢ | $7 | 0xc43c0a… |
| 10-31 12:08:49 | 0x29efb149c85a53729c266b7918bfa921a70dddda 0x29ef…ddda | Yes | BUY | 20 | 38¢ | $8 | 0x537031… |
| 10-31 11:47:42 | (anonymous) 0x8ef1…4f92 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 31¢ | $3 | 0x130225… |
| 10-31 11:47:42 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 31¢ | $3 | 0x130225… |
| 10-31 11:47:40 | (anonymous) 0xa8e0…244b | No | BUY | 6 | 64¢ | $4 | 0x11698d… |
| 10-31 11:47:40 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 35¢ | $18 | 0xc4f712… |
| 10-31 11:47:40 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 36¢ | $22 | 0x11698d… |
| 10-31 11:47:40 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | BUY | 33 | 64¢ | $21 | 0xfdbae3… |
| 10-31 11:47:40 | Oddball-Poison 0x2b9d…95f4 | No | BUY | 22 | 64¢ | $14 | 0x11698d… |
| 10-31 11:47:40 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | No | BUY | 50 | 65¢ | $32 | 0xc4f712… |
| 10-31 11:47:40 | (anonymous) 0xf814…5f09 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 36¢ | $12 | 0xfdbae3… |
| 10-31 11:47:40 | (anonymous) 0xf814…5f09 | No | BUY | 32 | 64¢ | $20 | 0x11698d… |
| 10-31 09:54:10 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 60 | 36¢ | $22 | 0x2bb834… |
| 10-31 09:54:10 | Judicious-Lunchmeat 0xa7d2…f954 | No | BUY | 60 | 64¢ | $38 | 0x2bb834… |
| 10-30 21:34:00 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 47¢ | $9 | 0x8722e6… |
| 10-30 21:34:00 | (anonymous) 0x216b…3541 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 53¢ | $11 | 0x8722e6… |