(anonymous) 0xf81494…745f09
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
+$11
Hit rate
54.6%
Resolved
86
Trades
2,146
lifetime
Volume
$74.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$35
Open exposure
$12.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-10
last 10-28 07:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Other
67% 43% +$77
Politics
27% 25% -$65
Sports
4% 0% -$19
Tech
1% 75% +$1
Crypto
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 785 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? No +1,526 $1,168 78¢ $1.2K +$30 10-26 08:18
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat? No +1,457 $1,175 76¢ $1.1K -$75 10-26 09:02
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage Invictus Gaming +1,257 $830 66¢ $836 +$6 10-28 02:34
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat? No +800 $638 80¢ $636 -$2 10-26 20:13
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? No +599 $575 96¢ $574 $0 10-22 11:12
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? No +600 $551 94¢ $561 +$10 10-27 06:40
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? No +707 $549 77¢ $544 -$4 10-26 12:26
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +603 $512 82¢ $497 -$15 10-25 10:41
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? No +499 $485 96¢ $479 -$6 10-22 01:47
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage LYON +1,257 $427 34¢ $421 -$6 10-28 02:34
Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? No +600 $450 69¢ $414 -$36 10-25 19:42
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +551 $407 66¢ $366 -$40 10-26 02:32
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +436 $266 82¢ $360 +$94 10-24 21:32
Will the Republican Party win the FL-25 House seat? Yes +1,457 $303 24¢ $357 +$54 10-26 09:05
Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? Yes +1,526 $379 22¢ $328 -$51 10-26 08:35
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +468 $299 66¢ $311 +$12 10-25 23:40
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? No +498 $276 55¢ $274 -$3 10-26 03:55
Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? No +300 $246 82¢ $244 -$2 10-21 19:29
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +298 $242 82¢ $244 +$1 10-27 18:02
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +295 $230 82¢ $242 +$12 10-22 14:22
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? Yes +498 $224 45¢ $224 +$0 10-26 03:54
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +300 $219 74¢ $224 +$4 10-26 19:51
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +282 $213 78¢ $221 +$8 10-21 23:28
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +237 $198 91¢ $216 +$18 10-26 17:58
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +265 $172 80¢ $210 +$38 10-21 14:24
Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat? No +300 $237 68¢ $206 -$32 10-25 18:12
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +300 $204 68¢ $206 +$2 10-25 09:12
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +300 $186 68¢ $202 +$16 10-20 23:38
Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat? Yes +236 $210 84¢ $197 -$13 10-26 21:23
Will the Republican Party win the AL-02 House seat? Yes +300 $206 66¢ $197 -$9 10-27 16:57