Flashy-Constellation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$74

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.8%

Resolved

1,142

Trades

41,137

lifetime

Volume

$138.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-06

last 07-23 21:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 74% $-73

Other

9% 0% $-1

Politics

4% — —

Sports

2% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 557 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	13	$300	460	560	-100	open	—	06-14 16:22
will a claude mythos model be released by june 10 2026 989	6	$258	165	165	+0	open	—	06-09 12:47
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?	13	$231	350	319	+31	open	—	06-14 16:44
Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in 2026?	2	$193	75	150	-75	open	—	05-31 12:32
will yeet launch a token by december 31 2026	4	$188	135	135	+0	open	—	06-10 02:29
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	4	$160	220	220	+0	open	—	07-07 17:59
will russia capture kostyantynivka by july 31	4	$143	180	180	+0	open	—	07-15 11:52
will wti dip to 65 in july 2026	6	$141	242	242	+0	open	—	07-14 16:53
tread fdv above 300m one day after launch	14	$141	321	321	+0	open	—	06-09 12:28
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.20 in May?	6	$139	168	168	+0	open	—	05-28 09:30
israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	5	$137	220	220	+0	open	—	07-02 10:37
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	8	$133	140	140	+0	open	—	06-01 10:51
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	7	$133	410	410	+0	open	—	07-19 16:56
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?	5	$133	80	80	+0	open	—	06-10 07:44
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?	6	$132	127	127	+0	open	—	05-28 18:55
will 4 matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 fifa world cup 20260610210228789	6	$125	300	300	+0	open	—	07-03 00:36
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	4	$125	155	155	+0	open	—	06-08 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	29	$120	78	70	+8	open	—	04-30 14:43
will strc hit 100 by september 30 20260618001621118	4	$120	172	172	+0	open	—	07-13 21:28
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	9	$120	301	301	+0	open	—	06-11 23:54
ink fdv above 100m one day after launch	5	$119	270	270	+0	open	—	07-06 23:10
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	7	$119	240	260	-20	open	—	06-14 17:51
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	7	$118	200	300	-100	open	—	06-25 00:47
will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	7	$115	180	180	+0	open	—	07-17 11:00
will the houthis successfully target shipping by july 31 2026 20260708165455693	6	$115	166	166	+0	open	—	07-20 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	24	$113	72	70	+2	open	—	05-01 12:39
will spacex have exactly 13 launches in june 2026	4	$112	80	80	+0	open	—	06-05 21:59
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?	5	$111	112	112	+0	open	—	05-27 13:58
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	14	$110	132	132	+0	open	—	07-21 03:03
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	9	$110	245	245	+0	open	—	07-10 21:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 21:12:27	will madonnas monthly listeners figure hit 58m by august 31 20260723155541884	Yes	SELL	40	11¢	$4	0x630176…
07-23 20:10:12	will waymo launch in washington dc by december 31 2026 20260626201631465	Yes	BUY	259	23¢	$60	0x29db87…
07-23 17:39:55	will madonnas monthly listeners figure hit 58m by august 31 20260723155541884	Yes	SELL	12	13¢	$1	0xb91cfa…
07-23 17:39:28	will madonnas monthly listeners figure hit 58m by august 31 20260723155541884	Yes	BUY	51	16¢	$8	0xf4940e…
07-23 14:32:04	will papertrade launch a token by june 30 2027	No	BUY	62	25¢	$16	0x552fba…
07-23 08:53:31	will jon bernthal or tom holland say world cup on hot ones 20260721145535508	Yes	SELL	24	3¢	$1	0x7fa637…
07-23 08:38:27	will jon bernthal or tom holland say world cup on hot ones 20260721145535508	Yes	BUY	24	22¢	$5	0x568cf6…
07-23 07:56:13	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875 539 124	No	SELL	9	10¢	$1	0x25e1b5…
07-23 01:08:19	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 24 2026 20260630182730902	No	SELL	55	7¢	$4	0xda0fac…
07-23 01:07:58	will donald trump publicly insult someone on july 24 2026 20260630182730902	No	BUY	55	9¢	$5	0x59136e…
07-22 23:57:19	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875 539 124	No	SELL	87	13¢	$11	0x41fe0e…
07-22 23:57:19	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875 539 124	No	SELL	14	13¢	$2	0x3f0bf6…
07-22 23:57:15	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875 539 124	No	BUY	110	13¢	$14	0xd07c14…
07-22 23:37:48	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	SELL	22	12¢	$3	0x0d9e95…
07-22 23:37:43	iran full airspace closure by july 24	Yes	BUY	22	12¢	$3	0xf29f5c…
07-22 21:13:22	will the houthis successfully target shipping by august 31 2026 20260708165455694 787	No	SELL	55	34¢	$19	0x1b2444…
07-22 21:13:04	will the houthis successfully target shipping by august 31 2026 20260708165455694 787	No	BUY	55	38¢	$21	0x87c77d…
07-22 21:07:58	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	41	30¢	$12	0xb9b457…
07-22 21:07:45	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	36¢	$5	0xa01797…
07-22 21:07:36	Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	55	36¢	$20	0xe4cf1a…
07-22 20:35:33	will trump say friend of mine during remarks in georgia 20260720190340709	No	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x520659…
07-22 20:32:57	will trump say friend of mine during remarks in georgia 20260720190340709	No	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0xd99456…
07-22 20:31:42	will trump say friend of mine during remarks in georgia 20260720190340709	No	BUY	92	1¢	$1	0xa8517b…
07-22 19:36:18	Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	22	38¢	$8	0x465025…
07-22 19:35:58	Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	22	42¢	$9	0x27ab43…
07-22 16:46:09	will gamerlegion qualify to lan blast bounty 2026 season 2 20260716204827668	Yes	SELL	22	2¢	$1	0xe12a36…
07-22 16:21:07	will gamerlegion qualify to lan blast bounty 2026 season 2 20260716204827668	Yes	BUY	22	32¢	$7	0xdde1bd…
07-22 16:10:15	over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286 153	Yes	SELL	55	11¢	$6	0x55bf7a…
07-22 16:10:10	over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286 153	Yes	BUY	55	11¢	$6	0xdee1b8…
07-22 14:56:57	will mrbeast say karl during his next youtube video 20260702154826872	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x67d174…
07-22 14:56:57	will mrbeast say karl during his next youtube video 20260702154826872	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0x401c82…
07-22 13:16:19	will mrbeast say karl during his next youtube video 20260702154826872	Yes	BUY	55	11¢	$6	0x542b8c…
07-22 12:27:48	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	No	SELL	55	9¢	$5	0x2069e4…
07-22 12:15:36	will the next google gemini pro model be released by august 7 2026	No	BUY	55	24¢	$13	0xfdd3f7…
07-22 11:50:48	over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286	Yes	SELL	11	12¢	$1	0xf553ea…
07-22 11:50:48	over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286	Yes	SELL	44	14¢	$6	0x32338b…
07-22 11:50:30	over 40m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129611 286	Yes	BUY	55	17¢	$9	0x3ce582…
07-22 11:06:25	ripcars fdv above 3m one day after launch 20260721182210408	Yes	SELL	22	19¢	$4	0x8cbdcf…
07-22 10:46:18	ripcars fdv above 3m one day after launch 20260721182210408	Yes	BUY	22	24¢	$5	0xdf8926…
07-22 10:32:40	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	Yes	SELL	55	10¢	$6	0xb00ecb…
07-22 10:32:18	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	Yes	BUY	55	13¢	$7	0x30a6b9…
07-22 10:00:30	will lebron sign his next nba contract by july 30 2026 20260721160333086	No	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x78221a…
07-22 10:00:25	will aurora qualify to the 2026 blast bounty season 2 online stage 2 20260721213509947	No	SELL	22	9¢	$2	0xd2f903…
07-22 10:00:22	fcc revokes a major network broadcast license by december 31 2026 20260717235625543	Yes	SELL	55	5¢	$3	0xec56bd…
07-22 09:10:24	will aurora qualify to the 2026 blast bounty season 2 online stage 2 20260721213509947	No	BUY	22	15¢	$3	0x9ef68f…
07-22 09:06:22	will fokus qualify to lan blast bounty 2026 season 2 20260716204827685	Yes	SELL	14	10¢	$1	0xf54721…
07-22 08:05:12	will fokus qualify to lan blast bounty 2026 season 2 20260716204827685	Yes	BUY	14	10¢	$1	0x04fc40…
07-22 07:59:18	will lebron sign his next nba contract by july 30 2026 20260721160333086	No	SELL	7	27¢	$2	0x3d80cb…
07-22 07:48:19	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	110	42¢	$46	0x030491…
07-22 07:47:54	will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	110	43¢	$47	0xb506e9…
07-22 07:26:09	will lebron sign his next nba contract by july 30 2026 20260721160333086	No	SELL	10	27¢	$3	0x56d11d…
07-22 07:03:40	will lebron sign his next nba contract by july 30 2026 20260721160333086	No	BUY	22	38¢	$8	0xf69a3a…
07-22 05:53:30	Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	SELL	55	35¢	$19	0x40bf16…
07-22 05:53:25	Kash Patel out by December 31?	Yes	BUY	55	35¢	$19	0x756cbd…
07-22 05:51:16	will lebron sign his next nba contract by july 24 2026 20260721160302714	Yes	SELL	22	11¢	$2	0x28ee7d…
07-22 05:50:52	will lebron sign his next nba contract by july 24 2026 20260721160302714	Yes	BUY	22	12¢	$3	0x6c703f…
07-22 05:44:54	Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	22	19¢	$4	0xabd814…
07-22 05:44:48	Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	22	19¢	$4	0x7fed04…
07-22 02:59:15	will spirit qualify to the 2026 blast bounty season 2 online stage 2 20260721213509946	No	SELL	22	10¢	$2	0x22768e…
07-22 02:13:01	will spirit qualify to the 2026 blast bounty season 2 online stage 2 20260721213509946	No	BUY	22	12¢	$3	0xdd9ca0…
07-22 01:39:13	will trump say venezuela during remarks in georgia 20260720190340721	No	SELL	55	28¢	$15	0xdf96ca…
07-22 01:38:49	will trump say venezuela during remarks in georgia 20260720190340721	No	BUY	55	30¢	$16	0x603868…
07-21 22:43:51	iran successfully targets shipping by july 15 20260718195951623	No	BUY	22	11¢	$2	0xeefb68…
07-21 21:21:40	fcc revokes a major network broadcast license by december 31 2026 20260717235625543	Yes	BUY	55	13¢	$7	0xc02568…
07-21 21:19:51	over 25m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129609 887	No	SELL	17	16¢	$3	0xf1525b…
07-21 21:16:48	over 25m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129609 887	No	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x251c8f…
07-21 21:16:43	over 25m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129609 887	No	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0x5ce856…
07-21 20:57:16	iran successfully targets shipping by july 15 20260718195951623	No	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x02a770…
07-21 20:43:24	will trump meet with giorgia meloni in july 2026 20260626153701912	No	SELL	55	28¢	$15	0xc25ee4…
07-21 20:43:00	will trump meet with giorgia meloni in july 2026 20260626153701912	No	BUY	55	30¢	$16	0xa9f9bc…
07-21 20:14:36	jos luis rodrguez zapatero sentenced to prison	Yes	SELL	14	11¢	$2	0x495c40…
07-21 20:14:10	jos luis rodrguez zapatero sentenced to prison	Yes	BUY	55	13¢	$7	0x2f6e7f…
07-21 19:44:34	iran successfully targets shipping by july 15 20260718195951623	No	SELL	17	15¢	$3	0x6fcc54…
07-21 19:44:07	iran successfully targets shipping by july 15 20260718195951623	No	BUY	22	16¢	$4	0xde3075…
07-21 17:11:22	will openais valuation hit low 800b by july 31 20260629222029484	Yes	SELL	55	9¢	$5	0x24dd69…
07-21 17:02:12	will openais valuation hit low 800b by july 31 20260629222029484	Yes	BUY	55	13¢	$7	0xdbf7d7…
07-21 16:49:09	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	SELL	55	30¢	$16	0x694f58…
07-21 16:49:04	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	55	30¢	$16	0xd94928…
07-21 15:43:31	will abnb reach 154 by july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0x0aa4c7…
07-21 15:43:27	will spy dip to 725 by july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xcc808d…
07-21 14:43:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0xb07684…
07-21 14:43:28	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x4529dc…
07-21 14:30:28	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	SELL	50	32¢	$16	0x6bcf62…
07-21 14:30:24	israel closes its airspace by august 15	Yes	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0xbb0ecc…
07-21 14:28:22	will spy dip to 725 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0xcb2ab7…
07-21 14:22:01	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	SELL	30	32¢	$10	0x194de6…
07-21 14:21:46	GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x3c205d…
07-21 14:20:52	will abnb reach 154 by july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x1d44e7…
07-21 14:14:09	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	Yes	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0x899288…
07-21 14:13:46	will wti dip to 75 in july 2026 from july 20	Yes	BUY	50	17¢	$8	0xce0178…
07-21 13:40:42	over 6m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129602	No	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0x7db83e…
07-21 13:40:24	over 6m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129602	No	SELL	14	22¢	$3	0x4d07ca…
07-21 13:40:16	over 6m committed to the ripcars public sale 20260720205129602	No	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x78dc0d…
07-21 11:40:28	will trump say tariff during remarks in georgia 20260720190340718	No	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0xb93954…
07-21 11:17:55	will trump say tariff during remarks in georgia 20260720190340718	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x24ea01…
07-21 09:33:04	will coin dip to 140 by july 20 2026	Yes	SELL	55	3¢	$2	0x4bcde7…
07-21 07:24:48	cuba nationwide internetpower outage by july 31 20260720181729408	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x95b8c1…
07-21 06:34:12	cuba nationwide internetpower outage by july 31 20260720181729408	No	SELL	20	46¢	$9	0xd8082d…
07-21 05:29:55	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	SELL	55	63¢	$35	0xe89bde…
07-21 05:29:34	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	BUY	55	64¢	$35	0x879a8e…