Realized P&L
-$442
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
51.8%
Resolved
421
Trades
1,712
lifetime
Volume
$16.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$275
19 positions
First seen
2026-08-10
last 10-24 13:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 65 days
Categories
Other
72% 35% -$575
Politics
18% 45% +$135
Sports
6% 33% -$3
Crypto
2% 0% -$2
Tech
1% 47% +$3
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 178 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? No +50 $48 96¢ $48 +$0 09-09 02:52
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? No +40 $34 96¢ $39 +$5 09-06 20:04
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +103 $38 34¢ $34 -$4 10-12 16:02
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +34 $29 96¢ $32 +$3 09-03 20:45
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +50 $36 59¢ $30 -$7 09-03 21:03
iran full airspace closure by december 31 20260727170429885 Yes +50 $14 41¢ $20 +$7 09-04 10:31
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? No +20 $19 100¢ $20 +$1 09-09 02:51
Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +30 $19 64¢ $19 +$0 09-03 20:50
Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +30 $10 36¢ $11 +$0 09-04 09:38
will a chinese company have one of the top 3 ai models by december 31 Yes +40 $13 22¢ $9 -$5 08-22 12:22
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +13 $5 32¢ $4 -$1 10-14 00:07
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? Yes +50 $3 4¢ $2 -$1 09-06 09:44
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 70¢ $2 +$0 09-09 10:50
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +34 $4 4¢ $2 -$3 09-03 20:53
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +40 $6 4¢ $1 -$5 09-07 00:18
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +2 $1 80¢ $1 +$0 08-17 05:30
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 $1 30¢ $1 $0 09-09 09:58
Blue wave in 2026? Yes +1 $0 86¢ $0 +$0 09-04 10:01
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? Yes +20 $2 0¢ $0 -$2 09-06 14:15