Realized P&L (30d)
-$425
Unrealized P&L
+$77
Hit rate
52.4%
Resolved (30d)
111
Trades (30d)
69
1,740 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$3.70K
$17.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$786
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-10
last 11-06 02:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 71 days
Categories
Other
69% 34% -$653
Politics
22% 43% +$84
Sports
6% 33% -$3
Crypto
2% 0% -$2
Tech
1% 47% +$3
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 178 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Rome Odunze have 399.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes +80 $68 94¢ $75 +$6 09-08 15:48
Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections? Yes +72 $61 89¢ $64 +$3 09-06 16:08
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028? No +71 $51 70¢ $49 -$2 09-11 09:20
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? No +50 $48 93¢ $47 -$1 09-09 02:52
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? No +40 $34 96¢ $38 +$5 09-06 20:04
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +50 $36 72¢ $36 $0 09-03 21:03
Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? No +40 $36 84¢ $33 -$3 08-30 11:07
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +34 $29 95¢ $32 +$3 09-03 20:45
Will Quentin Johnston have 449.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes +40 $28 60¢ $24 -$4 09-15 08:46
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028? Yes +71 $25 30¢ $21 -$4 09-11 10:43
Will Terry McLaurin have 949.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No — +20 $10 100¢ $20 +$10 09-03 13:30
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? No +20 $19 99¢ $20 +$1 09-09 02:51
Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 5%? Yes +20 $14 99¢ $20 +$6 09-02 19:15
Spread: Jets (-10.5) Chiefs +20 $19 96¢ $19 +$0 11-06 02:39
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027? No +20 $15 96¢ $19 +$4 09-03 23:29
Will Jacky Rosen vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? No +20 $15 96¢ $19 +$4 09-02 17:47
Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? Yes +26 $6 73¢ $19 +$14 09-05 05:49
California Expedited Environmental Review Proposition No +20 $6 96¢ $19 +$13 09-03 20:43
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026? No +20 $16 95¢ $19 +$3 09-03 12:51
Will TreVeyon Henderson have 699.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +20 $13 94¢ $19 +$6 09-11 03:31
Will France pass a national budget by December 31? Yes +34 $18 53¢ $18 +$1 09-09 19:49
Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +30 $19 60¢ $18 -$1 09-03 20:50
Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government? No +20 $13 90¢ $18 +$5 09-04 22:54
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? Yes — +20 $17 90¢ $18 +$1 09-05 19:42
Will Kyle Pitts have 8.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +20 $18 86¢ $17 $0 09-06 13:55
Will Minnesota have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? No +20 $14 84¢ $17 +$3 09-01 06:39
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027? No +20 $14 84¢ $17 +$2 09-03 21:10
Will Napoli qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? No +20 $12 83¢ $17 +$5 09-03 12:58
Will Dominique de Villepin announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? Yes +20 $13 80¢ $16 +$3 09-04 09:37
Will France pass a national budget by December 31? No +34 $20 46¢ $16 -$5 09-03 22:11