(anonymous) 0x8ef1fd…014f92 Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$597
Unrealized P&L
+$130
Hit rate
47.7%
Resolved
488
Trades
1,744
lifetime
Volume
$17.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$860
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-10
last 11-12 16:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 76 days
Categories
Other
69% 34% -$672
Politics
22% 43% +$84
Sports
6% 36% -$3
Crypto
2% 0% -$2
Tech
1% 44% -$3
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 178 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Rome Odunze have 399.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes +80 $68 96¢ $77 +$9 09-08 15:48
Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections? Yes +72 $61 88¢ $64 +$3 09-06 16:08
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028? No +71 $51 79¢ $56 +$5 09-11 09:20
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? No +50 $48 100¢ $50 +$2 09-09 02:52
Will Ashton Jeanty have 974.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +40 $20 99¢ $40 +$20 09-10 17:01
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? No +40 $34 96¢ $38 +$5 09-06 20:04
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +50 $36 75¢ $38 +$1 09-03 21:03
Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? No +40 $36 88¢ $35 -$1 08-30 11:07
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +34 $29 96¢ $32 +$3 09-03 20:45
Will "How to Rob a Bank" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 7m? No +335 $27 9¢ $30 +$3 11-12 16:30
Will Travis Kelce have 2.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes +29 $22 99¢ $29 +$7 09-11 21:06
Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027? Yes +30 $26 77¢ $23 -$3 09-04 10:47
Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government? No +22 $3 94¢ $21 +$18 09-04 15:20
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? No +20 $19 99¢ $20 +$1 09-09 02:51
Will France pass a national budget by December 31? No +34 $20 58¢ $20 -$1 09-03 22:11
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +30 $22 66¢ $20 -$3 09-03 23:13
Will "FRESH" first week sales be at least 120k? No +20 $12 98¢ $20 +$7 11-07 03:56
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027? No +20 $15 98¢ $20 +$4 09-03 23:29
Will Colorado State have more than 5.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? No +20 $12 98¢ $20 +$8 09-08 20:51
Will TreVeyon Henderson have 699.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +20 $13 98¢ $20 +$7 09-11 03:31
Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government? No +20 $13 98¢ $20 +$7 09-04 22:54
Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +30 $19 65¢ $19 +$0 09-03 20:50
Will Jacky Rosen vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? No +20 $15 96¢ $19 +$4 09-02 17:47
Will Olivier Faure be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +20 $17 96¢ $19 +$2 09-08 03:03
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026? No +20 $16 95¢ $19 +$3 09-03 12:51
Will Kenneth Walker III have 7.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes +20 $14 95¢ $19 +$5 08-26 19:14
Will Nottingham Forest finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? No +20 $19 95¢ $19 $0 09-17 00:20
US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026? No +20 $18 94¢ $19 +$1 09-02 17:51
Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? Yes +26 $6 70¢ $19 +$13 09-05 05:49
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? Yes +20 $17 90¢ $18 +$1 09-05 19:42