Realized P&L (90d)
-$591
Unrealized P&L
+$112
Hit rate
47.7%
Resolved (90d)
486
Trades (90d)
1,740
1,742 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$17.5K
$17.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$836
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-10
last 11-07 03:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 75 days
Categories
Other
69% 33% -$672
Politics
22% 43% +$84
Sports
6% 36% -$3
Crypto
2% 0% -$2
Tech
1% 47% +$3
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 178 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Rome Odunze have 399.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes +80 $68 98¢ $78 +$10 09-08 15:48
Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections? Yes +72 $61 86¢ $62 +$1 09-06 16:08
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028? No +71 $51 81¢ $57 +$6 09-11 09:20
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? No +50 $48 100¢ $50 +$2 09-09 02:52
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? No +40 $34 95¢ $38 +$5 09-06 20:04
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +50 $36 76¢ $38 +$2 09-03 21:03
Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? No +40 $36 88¢ $35 -$1 08-30 11:07
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +34 $29 96¢ $32 +$3 09-03 20:45
Will Travis Kelce have 2.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes +29 $22 99¢ $29 +$7 09-11 21:06
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? No +36 $22 72¢ $26 +$5 09-04 00:13
Will Quentin Johnston have 449.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes +40 $28 62¢ $25 -$3 09-15 08:46
Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027? Yes +30 $26 77¢ $23 -$3 09-04 10:47
Will Terry McLaurin have 949.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No — +20 $10 100¢ $20 +$10 09-03 13:30
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? No +20 $19 99¢ $20 +$1 09-09 02:51
Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 5%? Yes +20 $14 99¢ $20 +$6 09-02 19:15
Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government? No +22 $3 90¢ $20 +$17 09-04 15:20
Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government? No +20 $13 98¢ $20 +$7 09-04 22:54
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027? No +20 $15 98¢ $20 +$4 09-03 23:29
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +30 $22 65¢ $20 -$3 09-03 23:13
Will Jacky Rosen vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? No +20 $15 96¢ $19 +$4 09-02 17:47
Will TreVeyon Henderson have 699.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +20 $13 96¢ $19 +$7 09-11 03:31
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026? No +20 $16 96¢ $19 +$4 09-03 12:51
Will Olivier Faure be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +20 $17 95¢ $19 +$2 09-08 03:03
Will Nottingham Forest finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? No +20 $19 95¢ $19 $0 09-17 00:20
Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? Yes +26 $6 70¢ $19 +$13 09-05 05:49
Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +30 $19 62¢ $18 -$1 09-03 20:50
Will France pass a national budget by December 31? Yes +34 $18 54¢ $18 +$1 09-09 19:49
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? Yes +20 $17 90¢ $18 +$1 09-05 19:42
Will Linke be in the next Berlin state government? No +20 $9 90¢ $18 +$9 09-08 03:33
Will Kyle Pitts have 8.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +20 $18 86¢ $17 $0 09-06 13:55