(anonymous) 0x8ef1fd…014f92 Create alert
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Realized P&L (90d)
-$593
Unrealized P&L
+$98
Hit rate
47.9%
Resolved (90d)
479
Trades (90d)
1,742
1,742 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$17.5K
$17.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$811
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-10
last 11-07 03:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 74 days
Categories
Other
69% 34% -$674
Politics
22% 43% +$84
Sports
6% 33% -$3
Crypto
2% 0% -$2
Tech
1% 47% +$3
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 178 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Rome Odunze have 399.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes +80 $68 94¢ $75 +$6 09-08 15:48
Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections? Yes +72 $61 86¢ $62 +$1 09-06 16:08
Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2028? No +71 $51 78¢ $55 +$4 09-11 09:20
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? No +50 $48 94¢ $47 $0 09-09 02:52
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? No +40 $34 95¢ $38 +$5 09-06 20:04
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? No +50 $36 74¢ $37 +$0 09-03 21:03
Will Alibaba be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027? No +40 $36 83¢ $33 -$3 08-30 11:07
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +34 $29 96¢ $32 +$3 09-03 20:45
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? No +36 $22 72¢ $26 +$5 09-04 00:13
Will Quentin Johnston have 449.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes +40 $28 62¢ $25 -$3 09-15 08:46
Will the Popular initiative ‘For a restriction on fireworks’ be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? Yes +26 $6 79¢ $21 +$15 09-05 05:49
Will Terry McLaurin have 949.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No — +20 $10 100¢ $20 +$10 09-03 13:30
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? No +20 $19 99¢ $20 +$1 09-09 02:51
Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027? Yes — +30 $26 66¢ $20 -$6 09-04 10:47
Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 5%? Yes +20 $14 99¢ $20 +$6 09-02 19:15
Spread: Jets (-10.5) Chiefs +20 $19 97¢ $20 +$0 11-06 02:39
Will "FRESH" first week sales be at least 120k? No +20 $12 98¢ $20 +$7 11-07 03:56
Will Nottingham Forest finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? No +20 $19 98¢ $20 +$0 09-17 00:20
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027? No +20 $15 98¢ $20 +$4 09-03 23:29
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026? No +20 $16 97¢ $19 +$4 09-03 12:51
Will Olivier Faure be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No — +20 $17 97¢ $19 +$2 09-08 03:03
Will Jacky Rosen vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? No +20 $15 96¢ $19 +$4 09-02 17:47
Will TreVeyon Henderson have 699.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +20 $13 96¢ $19 +$7 09-11 03:31
Will Christian McCaffrey have 8.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes +20 $10 94¢ $19 +$9 08-27 04:43
Will France pass a national budget by December 31? Yes +34 $18 54¢ $18 +$1 09-09 19:49
Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +30 $19 60¢ $18 -$1 09-03 20:50
Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? Yes +20 $17 90¢ $18 +$1 09-05 19:42
Will CDU be in the next Berlin state government? No +20 $13 90¢ $18 +$5 09-04 22:54
Will Kyle Pitts have 8.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No +20 $18 86¢ $17 $0 09-06 13:55
Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government? No +22 $3 77¢ $17 +$14 09-04 15:20