Will France pass a national budget by December 31?
open
Total volume
$419
$5 in 24h
Trades
38
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$3,495
Latest YES mid
40¢
Latest NO mid
60¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-17
last 07-09 01:05
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $13 | $3 | +$11 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | — | $149 | $149 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $2 | $49 | $47 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 10 | $113 | $25 | +$87 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $13 | $36 | $22 |
| Median | 2 | $2 | $7 | $5 |
| Below median | 4 | $1 | $68 | $67 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $53 | $53 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $30 | $30 |
| unranked | 10 | $112 | $32 | +$80 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x2a54…6822 | Yes | +286 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-08 23:12 |
| Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | +75 | $51 | $55 | 2 | 07-08 23:12 |
| Unfit-Hardboard 0x7e35…1a6c | No | +55 | $30 | $30 | 3 | 07-09 01:05 |
| Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | No | +50 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 07-08 23:12 |
| Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | +50 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 07-08 23:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x74dc…2762 | Yes | +17 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-17 23:58 |
| (anonymous) 0xd6df…d71d | No | +15 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-07 14:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 07-08 23:12 |
| Fearful-Massage 0xafe2…b686 | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-08 23:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x95b7…c651 | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-01 11:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 07-08 23:12 |
| Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-23 13:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-08 23:12 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-23 13:38 |
| Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-20 18:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-18 05:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +4 | $-0 | $27 | 6 | 07-09 01:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | No | +3 | $1 | $6 | 2 | 06-20 18:19 |
| Frizzy-Cereal 0x5330…43e2 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-01 08:14 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-09 01:05:17 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 42 | 57¢ | $24 | 0x6c63dd… |
| 07-09 01:05:17 | Unfit-Hardboard 0x7e35…1a6c | No | BUY | 30 | 57¢ | $17 | 0x6c63dd… |
| 07-09 01:05:17 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 12 | 42¢ | $5 | 0x6c63dd… |
| 07-08 23:45:25 | Fearful-Massage 0xafe2…b686 | No | BUY | 8 | 62¢ | $5 | 0x051177… |
| 07-08 23:45:25 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 8 | 62¢ | $5 | 0x051177… |
| 07-08 23:12:08 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0xcc34e4… |
| 07-08 23:12:08 | Unfit-Hardboard 0x7e35…1a6c | No | BUY | 16 | 57¢ | $9 | 0xcc34e4… |
| 07-08 23:12:08 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 20 | 42¢ | $8 | 0xcc34e4… |
| 07-08 23:12:08 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 66¢ | $3 | 0xcc34e4… |
| 07-08 23:12:08 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | No | BUY | 50 | 66¢ | $33 | 0xcc34e4… |
| 07-08 23:12:08 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 50 | 66¢ | $33 | 0xcc34e4… |
| 07-08 23:12:08 | (anonymous) 0x2a54…6822 | Yes | BUY | 286 | 35¢ | $100 | 0xcc34e4… |
| 07-08 23:12:08 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 50 | 66¢ | $33 | 0xcc34e4… |
| 07-08 23:12:08 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 10 | 67¢ | $7 | 0xcc34e4… |
| 07-08 23:12:08 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | BUY | 80 | 66¢ | $53 | 0xcc34e4… |
| 07-08 09:14:14 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 34¢ | $3 | 0x705115… |
| 07-08 09:14:14 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 1 | 66¢ | $0 | 0x705115… |
| 07-08 09:14:14 | Motionless-Parsnip 0x6717…0ff9 | No | SELL | 8 | 66¢ | $5 | 0x705115… |
| 07-07 14:30:43 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 15 | 34¢ | $5 | 0x0eb6a6… |
| 07-07 14:30:43 | (anonymous) 0xd6df…d71d | No | BUY | 15 | 66¢ | $10 | 0x0eb6a6… |
| 07-07 13:02:32 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 35¢ | $3 | 0x76635f… |
| 07-07 13:02:32 | Noisy-Tog 0x3395…8cd2 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 35¢ | $3 | 0x76635f… |
| 07-07 13:02:32 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 0 | 35¢ | $0 | 0x76635f… |
| 07-01 14:49:10 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 40¢ | $5 | 0x8b6211… |
| 07-01 14:49:10 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 13 | 40¢ | $5 | 0x8b6211… |
| 07-01 11:30:20 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 8 | 37¢ | $3 | 0xf225b2… |
| 07-01 11:30:20 | (anonymous) 0x95b7…c651 | No | BUY | 8 | 63¢ | $5 | 0xf225b2… |
| 07-01 08:14:26 | Frizzy-Cereal 0x5330…43e2 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0xc1720c… |
| 07-01 08:14:26 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0xc1720c… |
| 06-23 13:38:50 | Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | Yes | BUY | 5 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x7a029d… |
| 06-23 13:38:50 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x7a029d… |
| 06-20 18:19:11 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | No | SELL | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x8ce2f9… |
| 06-20 18:19:11 | Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | No | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x8ce2f9… |
| 06-18 05:50:37 | (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | BUY | 5 | 46¢ | $2 | 0x1ff225… |
| 06-18 05:50:37 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | SELL | 5 | 46¢ | $2 | 0x1ff225… |
| 06-17 23:58:55 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | No | BUY | 8 | 46¢ | $3 | 0xda91ca… |
| 06-17 23:58:55 | (anonymous) 0x74dc…2762 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 55¢ | $9 | 0xda91ca… |
| 06-17 23:58:55 | Unfit-Hardboard 0x7e35…1a6c | No | BUY | 9 | 45¢ | $4 | 0xda91ca… |