Will France pass a national budget by December 31?
open
Total volume
$1,676
$5 in 24h
Trades
112
Unique wallets
34
Liquidity
$3,495
Latest YES mid
41¢
Latest NO mid
59¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-17
last 07-29 10:59
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $146 | $35 | +$111 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $42 | $545 | $502 |
| 🐟 Fish | 11 | $125 | $181 | $56 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 12 | $121 | $39 | +$82 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $61 | $47 | +$14 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $11 | $21 | $10 |
| Median | 6 | $27 | $43 | $16 |
| Below median | 7 | $56 | $164 | $108 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $6 | — | +$6 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $53 | $53 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $73 | $393 | $319 |
| unranked | 13 | $198 | $79 | +$119 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unfit-Hardboard 0x7e35…1a6c | No | +624 | $393 | $393 | 7 | 07-28 13:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x2a54…6822 | Yes | +286 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 07-08 23:12 |
| Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | +216 | $73 | $73 | 1 | 07-28 13:25 |
| Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | +100 | $31 | $31 | 1 | 07-28 20:19 |
| Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | Yes | +55 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 07-20 19:19 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +53 | $18 | $30 | 3 | 07-25 23:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xb84c…e169 | No | +53 | $37 | $37 | 1 | 07-28 20:19 |
| Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | No | +32 | $21 | $21 | 2 | 07-28 16:41 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +30 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 07-28 20:19 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 07-25 23:35 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +24 | $14 | $14 | 4 | 07-28 17:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +20 | $6 | $69 | 15 | 07-29 10:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x74dc…2762 | Yes | +17 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-17 23:58 |
| Black-And-White-Defense 0x2e4a…ac2e | Yes | +12 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-20 07:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x6014…2b59 | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-23 20:43 |
| Fearful-Massage 0xafe2…b686 | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-08 23:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x95b7…c651 | No | +8 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-01 11:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-21 11:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-18 05:50 |
| Frizzy-Cereal 0x5330…43e2 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-01 08:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xb84c…e169 | Yes | +2 | $6 | $51 | 2 | 07-28 16:39 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 10:59:02 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | No | SELL | 7 | 68¢ | $5 | 0x1ec6d4… |
| 07-29 10:59:02 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 7 | 32¢ | $2 | 0x1ec6d4… |
| 07-28 20:19:41 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 17 | 31¢ | $5 | 0x0589a2… |
| 07-28 20:19:41 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | Yes | BUY | 100 | 31¢ | $31 | 0x0589a2… |
| 07-28 20:19:41 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 69¢ | $21 | 0x0589a2… |
| 07-28 20:19:41 | (anonymous) 0xb84c…e169 | No | BUY | 53 | 69¢ | $37 | 0x0589a2… |
| 07-28 17:32:59 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | SELL | 7 | 70¢ | $5 | 0x7caefe… |
| 07-28 17:32:59 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 7 | 70¢ | $5 | 0x7caefe… |
| 07-28 17:32:58 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | SELL | 24 | 70¢ | $17 | 0xcbe033… |
| 07-28 17:32:58 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 17 | 30¢ | $5 | 0xcbe033… |
| 07-28 17:32:58 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | No | BUY | 7 | 70¢ | $5 | 0xcbe033… |
| 07-28 16:41:13 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | SELL | 27 | 69¢ | $18 | 0xd4623d… |
| 07-28 16:41:13 | Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | No | BUY | 27 | 69¢ | $18 | 0xd4623d… |
| 07-28 16:39:52 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | SELL | 73 | 69¢ | $50 | 0x73c543… |
| 07-28 16:39:52 | (anonymous) 0xb84c…e169 | Yes | SELL | 73 | 31¢ | $23 | 0x73c543… |
| 07-28 13:25:07 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 17 | 31¢ | $5 | 0x7a1887… |
| 07-28 13:25:07 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 8 | 68¢ | $6 | 0x7a1887… |
| 07-28 13:25:07 | (anonymous) 0x073e…8416 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 32¢ | $16 | 0x7a1887… |
| 07-28 13:25:07 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | SELL | 9 | 70¢ | $6 | 0x7a1887… |
| 07-28 13:25:04 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | SELL | 50 | 66¢ | $33 | 0x9cb7e4… |
| 07-28 13:25:04 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 6 | 65¢ | $4 | 0x9cb7e4… |
| 07-28 13:25:04 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 216 | 34¢ | $73 | 0x9cb7e4… |
| 07-28 13:25:04 | (anonymous) 0x073e…8416 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 34¢ | $17 | 0x9cb7e4… |
| 07-28 13:25:04 | Unfit-Hardboard 0x7e35…1a6c | No | BUY | 322 | 66¢ | $212 | 0x9cb7e4… |
| 07-25 23:46:42 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | SELL | 70 | 35¢ | $24 | 0x743732… |
| 07-25 23:46:42 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 68 | 35¢ | $24 | 0x743732… |
| 07-25 23:46:42 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 2 | 68¢ | $1 | 0x743732… |
| 07-25 23:35:22 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 36¢ | $11 | 0x6c542a… |
| 07-25 23:35:22 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 36¢ | $11 | 0x6c542a… |
| 07-25 23:06:12 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 38¢ | $19 | 0xbfbc39… |
| 07-25 23:06:12 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 38¢ | $19 | 0xbfbc39… |
| 07-25 23:06:00 | Unfit-Hardboard 0x7e35…1a6c | No | BUY | 193 | 62¢ | $119 | 0xc5b418… |
| 07-25 23:06:00 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | No | SELL | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0xc5b418… |
| 07-25 23:06:00 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 38¢ | $19 | 0xc5b418… |
| 07-25 23:06:00 | (anonymous) 0xb84c…e169 | Yes | BUY | 75 | 38¢ | $28 | 0xc5b418… |
| 07-25 23:06:00 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 38¢ | $19 | 0xc5b418… |
| 07-25 23:06:00 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 13 | 39¢ | $5 | 0xc5b418… |
| 07-23 20:43:31 | (anonymous) 0x6014…2b59 | No | BUY | 8 | 61¢ | $5 | 0x892348… |
| 07-23 20:43:31 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 8 | 39¢ | $3 | 0x892348… |
| 07-21 11:50:45 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 40¢ | $3 | 0xb526b8… |
| 07-21 11:50:45 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 40¢ | $3 | 0xb526b8… |
| 07-20 19:19:43 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | BUY | 56 | 56¢ | $32 | 0xccc787… |
| 07-20 19:19:43 | Interesting-Aspic 0x2f52…9fba | Yes | BUY | 50 | 44¢ | $22 | 0xccc787… |
| 07-20 19:19:43 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 44¢ | $3 | 0xccc787… |
| 07-20 09:45:00 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 8 | 55¢ | $4 | 0x1fd040… |
| 07-20 09:45:00 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | No | SELL | 8 | 55¢ | $4 | 0x1fd040… |
| 07-20 07:59:46 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | No | BUY | 8 | 57¢ | $4 | 0xdd5419… |
| 07-20 07:59:46 | Black-And-White-Defense 0x2e4a…ac2e | Yes | BUY | 12 | 43¢ | $5 | 0xdd5419… |
| 07-20 07:59:46 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 4 | 56¢ | $2 | 0xdd5419… |
| 07-15 15:00:59 | (anonymous) 0xd6df…d71d | No | SELL | 15 | 54¢ | $8 | 0xe42a8a… |
| 07-15 15:00:59 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | BUY | 15 | 54¢ | $8 | 0xe42a8a… |
| 07-11 13:07:53 | (anonymous) 0x78c5…f623 | No | SELL | 17 | 52¢ | $9 | 0xe659be… |
| 07-11 13:07:53 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | BUY | 17 | 52¢ | $9 | 0xe659be… |
| 07-11 13:05:29 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | BUY | 4 | 51¢ | $2 | 0x8e5c0b… |
| 07-11 13:05:29 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | No | SELL | 4 | 51¢ | $2 | 0x8e5c0b… |
| 07-11 13:03:04 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | No | SELL | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0xb15cf5… |
| 07-11 13:03:04 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | No | BUY | 5 | 51¢ | $3 | 0xb15cf5… |
| 07-11 13:00:59 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xa63901… |
| 07-11 13:00:59 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | BUY | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0xa63901… |
| 07-11 04:36:23 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | No | SELL | 50 | 51¢ | $26 | 0xca2f8b… |
| 07-11 04:36:23 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | SELL | 8 | 49¢ | $4 | 0xca2f8b… |
| 07-11 04:36:23 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | No | BUY | 7 | 53¢ | $4 | 0xca2f8b… |
| 07-11 04:36:23 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 11 | 49¢ | $5 | 0xca2f8b… |
| 07-11 04:36:23 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | BUY | 17 | 50¢ | $9 | 0xca2f8b… |
| 07-10 18:44:34 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | BUY | 15 | 41¢ | $6 | 0xf9a973… |
| 07-10 18:44:34 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | BUY | 28 | 59¢ | $17 | 0xf9a973… |
| 07-10 18:44:34 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 13 | 41¢ | $5 | 0xf9a973… |
| 07-10 17:33:41 | Unfit-Hardboard 0x7e35…1a6c | No | BUY | 4 | 57¢ | $2 | 0x3cfe5f… |
| 07-10 17:33:41 | (anonymous) 0x7d29…fe6d | Yes | SELL | 24 | 60¢ | $14 | 0x3cfe5f… |
| 07-10 17:33:41 | (anonymous) 0x78c5…f623 | No | BUY | 17 | 41¢ | $7 | 0x3cfe5f… |
| 07-10 17:33:41 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | SELL | 80 | 46¢ | $36 | 0x3cfe5f… |
| 07-10 17:33:41 | Pastel-Browser 0x5a0d…c6be | No | BUY | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0x3cfe5f… |
| 07-09 23:35:46 | Unfit-Hardboard 0x7e35…1a6c | No | BUY | 50 | 57¢ | $28 | 0xdf3da8… |
| 07-09 23:35:46 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | SELL | 50 | 57¢ | $28 | 0xdf3da8… |
| 07-09 01:05:17 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 12 | 42¢ | $5 | 0x6c63dd… |
| 07-09 01:05:17 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 42 | 57¢ | $24 | 0x6c63dd… |
| 07-09 01:05:17 | Unfit-Hardboard 0x7e35…1a6c | No | BUY | 30 | 57¢ | $17 | 0x6c63dd… |
| 07-08 23:45:25 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 8 | 62¢ | $5 | 0x051177… |
| 07-08 23:45:25 | Fearful-Massage 0xafe2…b686 | No | BUY | 8 | 62¢ | $5 | 0x051177… |
| 07-08 23:12:08 | Energetic-Gasp 0xcceb…f030 | No | BUY | 80 | 66¢ | $53 | 0xcc34e4… |
| 07-08 23:12:08 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 50 | 66¢ | $33 | 0xcc34e4… |
| 07-08 23:12:08 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 66¢ | $3 | 0xcc34e4… |
| 07-08 23:12:08 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 10 | 67¢ | $7 | 0xcc34e4… |
| 07-08 23:12:08 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | No | BUY | 50 | 66¢ | $33 | 0xcc34e4… |
| 07-08 23:12:08 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0xcc34e4… |
| 07-08 23:12:08 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 20 | 42¢ | $8 | 0xcc34e4… |
| 07-08 23:12:08 | Flamboyant-Porch 0xda20…cb8d | No | BUY | 50 | 66¢ | $33 | 0xcc34e4… |
| 07-08 23:12:08 | (anonymous) 0x2a54…6822 | Yes | BUY | 286 | 35¢ | $100 | 0xcc34e4… |
| 07-08 23:12:08 | Unfit-Hardboard 0x7e35…1a6c | No | BUY | 16 | 57¢ | $9 | 0xcc34e4… |
| 07-08 09:14:14 | Motionless-Parsnip 0x6717…0ff9 | No | SELL | 8 | 66¢ | $5 | 0x705115… |
| 07-08 09:14:14 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 1 | 66¢ | $0 | 0x705115… |
| 07-08 09:14:14 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 34¢ | $3 | 0x705115… |
| 07-07 14:30:43 | (anonymous) 0xd6df…d71d | No | BUY | 15 | 66¢ | $10 | 0x0eb6a6… |
| 07-07 14:30:43 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 15 | 34¢ | $5 | 0x0eb6a6… |
| 07-07 13:02:32 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 0 | 35¢ | $0 | 0x76635f… |
| 07-07 13:02:32 | Noisy-Tog 0x3395…8cd2 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 35¢ | $3 | 0x76635f… |
| 07-07 13:02:32 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 35¢ | $3 | 0x76635f… |
| 07-01 14:49:10 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 13 | 40¢ | $5 | 0x8b6211… |
| 07-01 14:49:10 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 40¢ | $5 | 0x8b6211… |
| 07-01 11:30:20 | (anonymous) 0x95b7…c651 | No | BUY | 8 | 63¢ | $5 | 0xf225b2… |