Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$174

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.3%

Resolved

2,620

Trades

11,311

lifetime

Volume

$49.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-11

last 08-27 13:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 119 days

Categories

Other

71% 40% +$44

Politics

14% 35% +$172

Tech

10% 40% -$66

Crypto

4% 39% -$53

Sports

1% 42% +$95

Pop-Culture

1% 25% -$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 596 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	21	$161	173	173	+0	Yes	+$33	07-29 02:57
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of june	25	$157	373	373	+0	Yes	+$23	06-22 01:51
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%?	3	$155	157	157	+0	Yes	+$152	08-05 06:01
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	19	$141	170	170	-0	open	—	08-02 02:10
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	19	$140	167	167	+0	No	+$6	06-25 16:33
will wti dip to 80 in july 2026	18	$133	164	164	+0	Yes	+$11	07-28 05:55
will hundred fingers advance to the semifinals or finals of agt s21 quarterfinals 20260812141939519	3	$132	200	200	+0	Yes	+$128	08-21 19:51
israel x lebanon diplomatic meeting by july 14 2026	20	$126	337	150	+187	Yes	+$29	07-14 08:12
Will there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 22 - 28?	13	$123	200	200	+0	Yes	+$119	06-28 22:52
spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	17	$122	135	135	+0	Up	+$14	06-29 22:03
will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	16	$122	132	132	+0	Yes	-$2	06-24 09:52
chicago air quality index below 100 by july 20 2026 20260717130414631	2	$119	200	200	+0	No	+$115	07-20 10:08
will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	13	$116	127	127	+0	Yes	+$20	06-30 08:33
iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	17	$112	390	190	+200	No	+$11	07-28 06:28
will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	17	$111	162	123	+38	No	+$7	06-18 14:32
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	20	$109	117	117	+0	No	+$7	08-01 22:29
iran military action against a gulf state on july 20 20260708212322945	12	$107	159	115	+44	Yes	+$11	07-21 11:19
Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?	9	$103	125	125	+0	No	-$3	08-24 15:40
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	13	$100	158	123	+34	Yes	+$1	06-26 12:45
will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231	16	$99	129	113	+16	Yes	+$3	07-24 15:45
iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	16	$99	126	126	+0	Yes	+$36	07-13 18:34
Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?	12	$97	96	96	+0	No	-$3	08-18 01:54
iran military action against a gulf state on july 15 20260708212322940	27	$97	102	102	+0	No	+$8	07-18 00:13
will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	20	$95	119	119	+0	No	+$10	07-19 21:32
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?	17	$95	138	138	+0	No	-$3	06-25 16:42
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	22	$95	132	132	+0	Yes	+$3	07-20 13:19
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?	14	$93	98	69	+29	Yes	-$14	06-25 09:08
iran military action against a gulf state on july 21 20260708212322946	14	$92	150	93	+57	No	+$3	07-25 08:25
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	17	$89	131	131	+0	No	+$1	06-29 23:56
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt1t by june 30	16	$88	156	156	+0	Yes	+$4	06-25 22:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-27 13:11:12	Will Codex launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	15	15¢	$2	0xed6f88…
08-27 13:04:51	Will Márcio Junqueira win the second-most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x843fd5…
08-27 13:04:39	Will MrBeast hit 139.5 billion views by August 31?	Yes	SELL	16	0¢	$0	0xb0fce9…
08-27 13:04:37	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.50 and $0.75 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	0¢	$0	0x654e9d…
08-27 13:04:36	Will Guilherme Darques win the most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?	Yes	SELL	33	0¢	$0	0xc29ceb…
08-27 13:04:33	Will PPI YoY be 4.4% in August?	Yes	SELL	49	0¢	$0	0xb835dc…
08-27 13:04:31	Will Grüne win less than 3% of all valid second votes?	Yes	SELL	31	0¢	$0	0xa66cae…
08-27 13:04:31	Will PPI YoY be 4.2% or less in August?	Yes	SELL	51	0¢	$0	0x690862…
08-27 13:04:30	Will Evair de Melo win the most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0xec24ca…
08-27 13:04:30	Will CopperTech Metals' market cap be between $3.6B and $4.2B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	49	0¢	$0	0x5198d9…
08-27 13:04:28	Will Callegari win the most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x1fc5bf…
08-27 13:04:25	Will Rose de Freitas win the most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0xf676b8…
08-27 13:04:25	Over $6M committed to the Multipli public sale?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x49e4c4…
08-27 13:04:24	Will Sergio Meneguelli win the most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$0	0x98e088…
08-27 13:04:22	Will Alliny Serrão win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?	Yes	SELL	61	0¢	$0	0xe3cf5d…
08-27 13:04:21	Will DeepSeek be the third-best AI Agent Lab at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	93	0¢	$0	0x282448…
08-27 13:04:19	Will Carvana announce bankruptcy before 2027?	Yes	SELL	16	1¢	$0	0x3cb665…
08-27 13:04:19	Next Alibaba Qwen Flash (3.8+) released by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	62	0¢	$0	0x21e5c4…
08-27 13:04:18	Will Ernesto Roller win the most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?	Yes	SELL	67	0¢	$0	0x93e8ed…
08-27 13:04:16	Will CopperTech Metals' market cap be between $4.8B and $5.4B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	43	0¢	$0	0x5c378a…
08-27 13:04:16	Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x2a7e83…
08-27 13:04:15	Will Breno Guimarães win the most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election?	Yes	SELL	123	0¢	$0	0xcbf575…
08-27 13:04:13	Will Professor Uzian Pinto win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?	Yes	SELL	69	0¢	$0	0x557722…
08-27 13:04:12	Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x0e5398…
08-27 13:04:10	Will the Ornn B200 Index be less than $4.50 on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	2¢	$0	0xfaa081…
08-27 13:04:10	Will Catarina Matos win the second-most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$1	0xf1b2b6…
08-27 13:04:09	Will Rihanna have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	3¢	$1	0xa48351…
08-27 13:04:07	Will Lucas Barreto win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?	Yes	SELL	62	2¢	$1	0xc2d0c7…
08-27 13:04:07	Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.6% and 0.7%?	Yes	SELL	35	3¢	$1	0xab700b…
08-27 13:04:06	Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026?	Yes	SELL	106	1¢	$2	0x8141ee…
08-27 13:04:04	Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?	Yes	SELL	66	4¢	$3	0x838aa0…
08-27 13:04:03	Will Fabiano Contarato win the most votes in the 2026 Espírito Santo Senate election?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0x351d67…
08-27 13:04:03	Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 6,000 in 2026?	Yes	SELL	58	2¢	$1	0x26ae95…
08-27 13:04:00	Will Clavicular visit the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	SELL	11	40¢	$4	0x7fa569…
08-27 13:04:00	Houthis successfully target shipping by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	102	2¢	$3	0x351e88…
08-27 13:03:58	Will Curvance launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	17	23¢	$4	0xb5bfc2…
08-27 13:03:57	California Tax Spend Audit Proposition	No	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0x20d1c3…
08-27 13:03:57	Will Gizelle Freitas win the most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election?	Yes	SELL	177	1¢	$1	0x1d2f09…
08-27 13:03:55	Will Veda launch a token by September 30, 2027?	Yes	SELL	14	17¢	$2	0xf28b9e…
08-27 13:03:55	Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026?	No	SELL	88	1¢	$1	0xa58077…
08-27 13:03:52	Will Tabi launch a token by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	19	19¢	$4	0xae0609…
08-27 13:03:51	Will South African inflation be between 4.7% and 5.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0xaadf2b…
08-27 13:03:49	Will Silvia Salis be the next Prime Minister of Italy?	No	SELL	8	83¢	$7	0xff5f67…
08-27 13:03:49	Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Huning in 2026?	No	SELL	9	95¢	$8	0x502826…
08-27 13:03:48	Will Lionel Messi be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	SELL	122	7¢	$8	0xf9967e…
08-27 13:03:46	Will City Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	38¢	$7	0x7f1e04…
08-27 13:03:45	Will Lucid announce bankruptcy before 2027?	No	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0x564621…
08-27 13:03:45	California Homebuying Loan Program Proposition	Yes	SELL	19	30¢	$6	0x145557…
08-27 13:03:43	California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition	No	SELL	21	41¢	$9	0x221231…
08-27 13:03:42	Will Edlaine Rodrigues win the most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election?	Yes	SELL	195	3¢	$7	0xc33adc…
08-27 13:03:42	Will Bernard Cazeneuve announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?	No	SELL	33	26¢	$9	0x61fb65…
08-27 13:03:40	Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?	No	SELL	16	81¢	$13	0x02498c…
08-27 13:03:39	Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?	No	SELL	21	71¢	$15	0x6f04c7…
08-27 13:03:37	Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	55	28¢	$16	0xfba58c…
08-27 13:01:42	Will MrBeast hit 139.5 billion views by August 31?	Yes	SELL	184	0¢	$1	0x4941af…
08-27 12:46:46	Will Reginaldo win the second-most votes in the 2026 Ceará Senate election?	Yes	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0xf0197d…
08-27 05:31:07	Will Lionel Messi be the #1 searched person on Google this year?	Yes	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0x461d2d…
08-27 05:09:42	Over $100M committed to the Multipli public sale?	Yes	SELL	102	0¢	$0	0x19fe52…
08-27 04:12:42	Will Hong Kong have between 500-525mm of precipitation in August?	Yes	SELL	106	1¢	$1	0xe4af80…
08-27 00:43:54	Will Marília Arraes win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pernambuco Senate election?	Yes	SELL	15	17¢	$3	0x60b112…
08-26 22:40:58	Will Concrete launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x8fff93…
08-26 22:35:28	Will Marathon win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	SELL	132	1¢	$1	0xc050b4…
08-26 22:27:31	Will Hong Kong have between 650-700mm of precipitation in August?	Yes	SELL	82	1¢	$1	0x5463dd…
08-26 22:27:25	Will Zema win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pará?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x6bcac7…
08-26 22:17:52	Will Cintia Dias win the most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0xf50e3b…
08-26 22:17:52	Will Zema win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Pará?	Yes	SELL	60	0¢	$0	0x2c97b6…
08-26 22:11:57	Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 58.0 and 58.9 in August?	Yes	SELL	51	3¢	$2	0xadc838…
08-26 22:11:57	Over $50M committed to the Multipli public sale?	Yes	SELL	160	0¢	$0	0x3e325f…
08-26 20:42:22	Will Cintia Dias win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?	Yes	SELL	78	0¢	$0	0xa48529…
08-26 20:42:19	Will Luciana Oliveira win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?	Yes	SELL	120	0¢	$0	0xe9957e…
08-26 20:42:18	Will Acir Gurgacz win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?	Yes	SELL	45	0¢	$0	0x650f51…
08-26 20:38:19	Will Luciana Oliveira win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?	Yes	SELL	29	0¢	$0	0x850ff0…
08-26 20:38:13	Will Fernanda Lopes win the most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x2b56e5…
08-26 20:38:13	Will Fernanda Lopes win the most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x168920…
08-26 18:35:54	Will Hong Kong have 700mm or more of precipitation in August?	Yes	SELL	118	1¢	$2	0xa6c667…
08-26 17:27:39	Will Concrete launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	27	34¢	$9	0x205678…
08-26 15:46:55	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?	Yes	SELL	0	10¢	$0	0x06d1fc…
08-26 15:28:33	Will PPI YoY be 4.4% in August?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x37ae9e…
08-26 14:10:01	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 10–15%?	Yes	SELL	22	12¢	$3	0x5d459b…
08-26 14:00:51	Will Houthis successfully target shipping on August 24, 2026?	No	SELL	102	14¢	$14	0x0496a9…
08-26 13:50:00	Will Jeferson da Rocha win the second-most votes in the 2026 Santa Catarina Senate election?	Yes	SELL	42	0¢	$0	0x86f5f0…
08-26 13:50:00	Will Breno Guimarães win the second-most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x44b356…
08-26 13:22:03	Will Dr. Zacharias Calil win the most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x345d0c…
08-26 13:22:00	Will Rogério Miranda win the second-most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x05d1c9…
08-26 13:21:58	Will Ernesto Roller win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x7e7db1…
08-26 13:21:54	Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	15¢	$0	0xe28e89…
08-26 13:17:42	Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x127d79…
08-26 13:17:40	Will Marathon win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?	Yes	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0x89a399…
08-26 13:17:39	Will Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0xe6e7f0…
08-26 13:17:39	Will Luis Fernando win the most votes in the 2026 Rondônia Senate election?	Yes	SELL	85	0¢	$0	0x68c7ad…
08-26 11:11:07	Will Hong Kong have less than 425mm of precipitation in August?	No	SELL	115	20¢	$23	0x278e6c…
08-26 03:21:13	Over $100M committed to the Multipli public sale?	Yes	SELL	98	0¢	$0	0x7704d0…
08-26 03:12:49	Over $50M committed to the Multipli public sale?	Yes	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0x8b4970…
08-25 23:59:48	Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?	No	SELL	19	83¢	$16	0x972021…
08-25 21:46:30	Will "Hazel Eyes" - Sam Smith first week album sales be less than 20k?	No	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xdfe5a2…
08-25 21:19:48	Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	89¢	$13	0xe36fe9…
08-25 20:58:07	Will Russia target Kyiv on August 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	83	6¢	$5	0xf64fdd…
08-25 20:19:46	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $160 in August?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$17	0x940331…
08-25 20:04:49	Will Conti win the most votes in the 2026 Pará Senate election?	Yes	SELL	83	0¢	$0	0xfe380b…
08-25 20:04:48	Will DeepSeek have the #1 AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	0¢	$0	0x73f218…