Realized P&L
+$14
Unrealized P&L
+$37
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
4,071
lifetime
Volume
$18.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$252
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-11
last 07-23 12:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
68%
Politics
13%
Tech
12%
Crypto
6% 100% +$14
Sports
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 472 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? No +44 $8 40¢ $18 +$10 06-30 13:13
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No +21 $8 79¢ $17 +$9 06-15 14:14
Will Puffpaw launch a token by March 31, 2027? No +34 $8 47¢ $16 +$8 07-12 05:32
Will GRVT launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +947 $1 $12 +$11 07-03 13:56
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? No +17 $8 66¢ $11 +$3 07-13 23:25
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -13 $-10 84¢ $-11 $-1 06-15 13:28
Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026? Yes +78 $8 14¢ $11 +$3 07-23 13:42
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2027? No +16 $6 61¢ $10 +$4 06-23 06:53
Will El Salvador hold $1b+ of BTC by December 31, 2026? Yes -18 $-11 53¢ $-10 +$1 07-13 12:28
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -14 $-8 66¢ $-9 $-2 06-30 03:08
Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027? Yes +10 $7 86¢ $9 +$2 06-14 05:03
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? No +12 $7 74¢ $9 +$1 07-13 05:06
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026? No +11 $7 78¢ $9 +$2 07-15 12:12
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? No +9 $8 91¢ $8 +$0 07-22 04:58
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes -14 $-8 57¢ $-8 $-1 07-21 22:21
Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Huning in 2026? No +9 $8 92¢ $8 +$0 07-19 17:57
Will Slingshot launch a token by December 31, 2027? No +64 $2 12¢ $8 +$6 07-12 04:49
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -32 $-2 24¢ $-8 $-5 06-16 07:19
Perena FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +22 $8 34¢ $7 $-1 07-13 22:27
Will Lucid announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +10 $7 69¢ $7 +$0 07-14 17:30
Will USD/KRW hit 1400 (Low) in 2026? Yes +18 $7 39¢ $7 $-0 07-09 01:29
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? No +9 $7 74¢ $6 $-1 07-23 06:51
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? No +12 $8 45¢ $5 $-2 07-17 07:50
Will Brown-Forman be acquired before 2027? Yes +17 $8 30¢ $5 $-3 07-22 03:31
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by December 31, 2026? Yes +57 $4 $5 +$1 07-22 04:33
Epic Games IPO before 2027? Yes +50 $6 $4 $-1 07-16 01:37
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +28 $12 14¢ $4 $-8 06-25 21:58
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 6,000 in 2026? Yes +58 $3 $4 +$0 06-18 04:07
Will USD/KRW hit 1000 (Low) in 2026? Yes +58 $3 $3 $-0 06-19 13:18
Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026? Yes +117 $3 $3 $-1 07-14 23:51