(anonymous) 0x78c592…66f623
bot new
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
132
lifetime
Volume
$923
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$88
12 positions
First seen
2026-06-11
last 06-12 18:36
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
60% — —
Tech
30% — —
Crypto
8% — —
Politics
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 130 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will any xAI Grok model score at least 30% on the FrontierMath Exam? No +27 $7 78¢ $21 +$14 06-12 18:03
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No +19 $12 71¢ $14 +$2 06-11 23:28
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? No +20 $12 68¢ $13 +$1 06-11 22:44
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December? No +18 $11 62¢ $11 $-0 06-12 00:53
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +18 $7 47¢ $8 +$1 06-12 23:12
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? No +18 $8 34¢ $6 $-2 06-12 08:03
AWS service disrupted by June 30? Yes +24 $6 19¢ $4 $-1 06-12 16:59
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? No +23 $7 19¢ $4 $-3 06-12 20:14
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Exam? No +21 $7 15¢ $3 $-4 06-12 17:57
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? No +11 $7 12¢ $1 $-6 06-12 17:37
Will Google Gemini score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? No +11 $7 12¢ $1 $-6 06-12 17:42
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? No +35 $4 0¢ $0 $-3 06-12 08:08