Will Carvana announce bankruptcy before 2027?
open
Total volume
$1,305
Trades
110
Unique wallets
29
Liquidity
$791
Latest YES mid
9¢
Latest NO mid
91¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-29
last 08-06 05:17
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+73.5¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $4
vs crowd: 26% YES on $746)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $35 | $249 | $214 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 10 | $21 | $95 | $75 |
| 🐟 Fish | 12 | $80 | $162 | $82 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $63 | $42 | +$21 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $43 | $67 | $24 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| Median | 3 | $16 | $54 | $37 |
| Below median | 5 | $8 | $47 | $39 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $47 | $47 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $15 | $237 | $222 |
| unranked | 9 | $105 | $98 | +$7 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +69 | $20 | $20 | 4 | 08-02 12:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | +60 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 08-06 05:17 |
| Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | No | +60 | $54 | $54 | 1 | 07-20 13:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | No | +60 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 08-02 10:51 |
| Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Yes | +51 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-20 14:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x78c5…f623 | Yes | +46 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 08-03 22:01 |
| Fuzzy-Draft 0xfe93…8d0e | Yes | +37 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 08-04 07:02 |
| (anonymous) 0xa68b…c4b4 | No | +35 | $24 | $60 | 7 | 08-06 05:17 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +30 | $3 | $27 | 6 | 08-06 05:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | +23 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 08-04 07:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x2b06…754a | Yes | +18 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 08-04 07:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | +15 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 08-03 09:22 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +15 | $13 | $13 | 3 | 08-02 10:51 |
| Mean-Somewhere 0x4a3b…3149 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-21 02:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | +3 | $-1 | $4 | 4 | 08-06 05:17 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 05:17:20 | Willing-Eaves 0x38a4…4ef2 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xa97359… |
| 08-06 05:17:20 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xa97359… |
| 08-06 05:17:20 | (anonymous) 0xbd4d…1c7e | Yes | SELL | 81 | 10¢ | $8 | 0xa97359… |
| 08-06 05:17:20 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 12¢ | $4 | 0xa97359… |
| 08-06 05:17:20 | (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 9¢ | $3 | 0xa97359… |
| 08-06 05:17:20 | (anonymous) 0xa68b…c4b4 | No | SELL | 8 | 93¢ | $7 | 0xa97359… |
| 08-05 22:52:17 | (anonymous) 0xa68b…c4b4 | No | SELL | 8 | 90¢ | $7 | 0xd1debb… |
| 08-05 22:52:17 | (anonymous) 0xbd4d…1c7e | Yes | SELL | 12 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xd1debb… |
| 08-05 12:45:45 | (anonymous) 0xbd4d…1c7e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x9c9f20… |
| 08-05 12:45:45 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x9c9f20… |
| 08-04 07:02:30 | Fuzzy-Draft 0xfe93…8d0e | Yes | BUY | 21 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x74c24b… |
| 08-04 07:02:30 | (anonymous) 0xbd4d…1c7e | Yes | SELL | 21 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x74c24b… |
| 08-04 07:01:29 | (anonymous) 0x2b06…754a | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xd649ae… |
| 08-04 07:01:29 | (anonymous) 0xbd4d…1c7e | Yes | SELL | 24 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xd649ae… |
| 08-04 07:01:29 | Fuzzy-Draft 0xfe93…8d0e | Yes | BUY | 16 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xd649ae… |
| 08-04 07:01:20 | (anonymous) 0xbd4d…1c7e | Yes | SELL | 33 | 13¢ | $4 | 0x03a344… |
| 08-04 07:01:20 | (anonymous) 0x2b06…754a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x03a344… |
| 08-04 07:01:20 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x03a344… |
| 08-04 04:57:11 | (anonymous) 0xbd4d…1c7e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x610d4c… |
| 08-04 04:57:11 | (anonymous) 0xa68b…c4b4 | No | BUY | 15 | 83¢ | $12 | 0x610d4c… |
| 08-04 03:57:00 | (anonymous) 0xa68b…c4b4 | No | BUY | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0x2f8ba7… |
| 08-04 03:57:00 | (anonymous) 0xbd4d…1c7e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x2f8ba7… |
| 08-03 22:01:59 | (anonymous) 0xbd4d…1c7e | Yes | SELL | 24 | 15¢ | $4 | 0x984b76… |
| 08-03 22:01:59 | (anonymous) 0x78c5…f623 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 15¢ | $4 | 0x984b76… |
| 08-03 17:04:35 | (anonymous) 0xbd4d…1c7e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 23¢ | $5 | 0xbda09d… |
| 08-03 17:04:35 | (anonymous) 0xa68b…c4b4 | No | BUY | 20 | 77¢ | $15 | 0xbda09d… |
| 08-03 16:48:56 | (anonymous) 0xbd4d…1c7e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x486ea5… |
| 08-03 16:48:56 | (anonymous) 0xa68b…c4b4 | No | BUY | 15 | 68¢ | $10 | 0x486ea5… |
| 08-03 09:22:36 | (anonymous) 0xbd4d…1c7e | Yes | SELL | 15 | 22¢ | $3 | 0x57b8f2… |
| 08-03 09:22:36 | (anonymous) 0xb119…680b | Yes | BUY | 8 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x57b8f2… |
| 08-02 13:55:23 | (anonymous) 0x78c5…f623 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 31¢ | $7 | 0x445993… |
| 08-02 13:55:23 | (anonymous) 0xbd4d…1c7e | Yes | SELL | 22 | 31¢ | $7 | 0x445993… |
| 08-02 12:25:05 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 40¢ | $4 | 0x1a3db1… |
| 08-02 12:25:05 | (anonymous) 0xbd4d…1c7e | Yes | SELL | 9 | 40¢ | $4 | 0x1a3db1… |
| 08-02 12:24:57 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 40¢ | $7 | 0x120762… |
| 08-02 12:24:57 | (anonymous) 0xbd4d…1c7e | Yes | SELL | 18 | 40¢ | $7 | 0x120762… |
| 08-02 12:23:59 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 40¢ | $7 | 0x82c50d… |
| 08-02 12:23:59 | (anonymous) 0xbd4d…1c7e | Yes | SELL | 18 | 40¢ | $7 | 0x82c50d… |
| 08-02 11:12:56 | (anonymous) 0xbd4d…1c7e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0x7a4c80… |
| 08-02 11:12:56 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0x7a4c80… |
| 08-02 10:53:56 | (anonymous) 0xbd4d…1c7e | Yes | SELL | 55 | 56¢ | $31 | 0xfcbca0… |
| 08-02 10:53:56 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 55 | 44¢ | $24 | 0xfcbca0… |
| 08-02 10:51:53 | (anonymous) 0xbd4d…1c7e | Yes | SELL | 40 | 25¢ | $10 | 0x92373a… |
| 08-02 10:51:53 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 25¢ | $10 | 0x92373a… |
| 08-02 10:51:26 | (anonymous) 0xbd4d…1c7e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x6a1256… |
| 08-02 10:51:26 | Sweet-Wasp 0x13b6…c633 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x6a1256… |
| 08-02 10:51:23 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 55 | 10¢ | $6 | 0x485bde… |
| 08-02 10:51:23 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 55 | 89¢ | $49 | 0x485bde… |
| 08-02 10:51:23 | (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | No | BUY | 60 | 86¢ | $51 | 0x485bde… |
| 08-02 10:51:23 | (anonymous) 0xbd4d…1c7e | Yes | BUY | 294 | 13¢ | $38 | 0x485bde… |
| 08-02 10:51:23 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 107 | 14¢ | $15 | 0x485bde… |
| 08-02 10:51:23 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 17 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x485bde… |
| 08-02 10:51:21 | (anonymous) 0xbd4d…1c7e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xccf7d2… |
| 08-02 10:51:21 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0xccf7d2… |
| 07-21 02:16:03 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x7d8de1… |
| 07-21 02:16:03 | Mean-Somewhere 0x4a3b…3149 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x7d8de1… |
| 07-21 02:16:01 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | SELL | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0xe5a8e2… |
| 07-21 02:16:01 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 10 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xe5a8e2… |
| 07-21 02:15:57 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 15 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xfa52b9… |
| 07-21 02:15:57 | (anonymous) 0xb651…2089 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 6¢ | $2 | 0xfa52b9… |
| 07-21 02:15:57 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | SELL | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0xfa52b9… |
| 07-20 15:12:31 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | SELL | 40 | 93¢ | $37 | 0x0119b4… |
| 07-20 15:12:31 | (anonymous) 0x3cbf…cedb | Yes | SELL | 40 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x0119b4… |
| 07-20 15:12:21 | (anonymous) 0x3cbf…cedb | Yes | SELL | 55 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x60ba36… |
| 07-20 15:12:21 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x60ba36… |
| 07-20 14:54:39 | Past-Disguise 0x52eb…67ac | Yes | BUY | 51 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x39f82f… |
| 07-20 14:54:39 | (anonymous) 0x3cbf…cedb | Yes | SELL | 51 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x39f82f… |
| 07-20 14:17:07 | (anonymous) 0x3cbf…cedb | Yes | SELL | 30 | 9¢ | $3 | 0xcc8c0b… |
| 07-20 14:17:07 | (anonymous) 0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 9¢ | $3 | 0xcc8c0b… |
| 07-20 14:08:27 | (anonymous) 0x3cbf…cedb | Yes | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x329cc5… |
| 07-20 14:08:27 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x329cc5… |
| 07-20 14:06:21 | (anonymous) 0x3cbf…cedb | Yes | SELL | 57 | 12¢ | $7 | 0x6ab9e9… |
| 07-20 14:06:21 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 57 | 88¢ | $50 | 0x6ab9e9… |
| 07-20 14:04:00 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 72 | 87¢ | $63 | 0xe042fc… |
| 07-20 14:04:00 | (anonymous) 0x3cbf…cedb | Yes | SELL | 72 | 13¢ | $9 | 0xe042fc… |
| 07-20 14:03:45 | (anonymous) 0x3cbf…cedb | Yes | SELL | 14 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xf557b3… |
| 07-20 14:03:45 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 14 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xf557b3… |
| 07-20 14:02:40 | (anonymous) 0x3cbf…cedb | Yes | SELL | 72 | 13¢ | $9 | 0x0e499d… |
| 07-20 14:02:40 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 72 | 87¢ | $63 | 0x0e499d… |
| 07-20 14:01:04 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | SELL | 50 | 91¢ | $46 | 0x1774a2… |
| 07-20 14:01:04 | (anonymous) 0x3cbf…cedb | Yes | SELL | 50 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x1774a2… |
| 07-20 13:58:54 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | SELL | 50 | 91¢ | $46 | 0x9f1172… |
| 07-20 13:58:54 | (anonymous) 0x3cbf…cedb | Yes | SELL | 50 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x9f1172… |
| 07-20 13:58:30 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 12¢ | $5 | 0x275454… |
| 07-20 13:58:30 | (anonymous) 0x3cbf…cedb | Yes | SELL | 40 | 12¢ | $5 | 0x275454… |
| 07-20 13:57:43 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x76d486… |
| 07-20 13:57:43 | (anonymous) 0x3cbf…cedb | Yes | SELL | 40 | 10¢ | $4 | 0x76d486… |
| 07-20 13:57:39 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 82¢ | $4 | 0x07e99e… |
| 07-20 13:57:39 | (anonymous) 0x3cbf…cedb | Yes | BUY | 5 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x07e99e… |
| 07-20 13:57:31 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | No | BUY | 50 | 93¢ | $47 | 0x9487a3… |
| 07-20 13:57:31 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 91 | 7¢ | $6 | 0x9487a3… |
| 07-20 13:57:31 | (anonymous) 0x3cbf…cedb | Yes | BUY | 561 | 7¢ | $39 | 0x9487a3… |
| 07-20 13:57:31 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | No | BUY | 50 | 93¢ | $47 | 0x9487a3… |
| 07-20 13:57:31 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 9 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x9487a3… |
| 07-20 13:57:31 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | No | BUY | 50 | 93¢ | $47 | 0x9487a3… |
| 07-20 13:57:31 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 201 | 93¢ | $187 | 0x9487a3… |
| 07-20 13:57:31 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x9487a3… |
| 07-20 13:57:31 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x9487a3… |
| 07-20 13:57:31 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | No | BUY | 60 | 90¢ | $54 | 0x9487a3… |
| 07-15 22:37:26 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xabadcc… |