Realized P&L
+$1.67K
Unrealized P&L
+$226
Hit rate
70.9%
Resolved
330
Trades
2,173
lifetime
Volume
$94.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$43
Open exposure
$424
13 positions
First seen
2026-06-06
last 10-28 04:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 48 days
Categories
Other
39% 49% +$1,419
Crypto
36% 69% +$11
Tech
22% 50% +$263
Politics
3% 50% -$27
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 626 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +103 $78 90¢ $93 +$15 10-21 01:50
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? No +164 $43 55¢ $91 +$48 10-24 17:44
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +100 $79 86¢ $86 +$8 10-19 12:29
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +52 $33 96¢ $50 +$17 10-02 23:26
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? No +200 $45 24¢ $48 +$3 10-25 07:25
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +100 $29 29¢ $29 $0 10-24 09:55
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +56 $19 40¢ $23 +$3 08-26 00:13
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +52 $132 4¢ $2 -$130 10-22 13:16
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? Yes +23 -$19 10¢ $2 +$22 10-19 00:26
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +78 $5 0¢ $0 -$5 09-02 06:58
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? No +0 -$256 90¢ $0 +$256 10-23 21:51
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +0 $1 22¢ $0 -$1 08-21 16:09
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? Yes +0 $10 3¢ $0 -$10 10-16 03:40