Realized P&L
-$1.18K
Unrealized P&L
+$668
Hit rate
39.2%
Resolved
175
Trades
1,446
lifetime
Volume
$13.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$148
15 positions
First seen
2026-03-05
last 08-12 21:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 78 days
Categories
Other
52% 39% -$728
Sports
28% 30% -$374
Politics
15% 41% -$69
Crypto
4% 71% -$5
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$9
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes -5,741 -$697 2¢ $-112 +$585 06-26 12:01
China x Japan military clash before 2027? Yes -199 -$25 4¢ $-8 +$16 05-09 23:49
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes -100 -$19 6¢ $-5 +$13 06-13 02:49
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? Yes -50 -$4 11¢ $-5 -$1 08-12 21:02
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes -38 -$31 13¢ $-5 +$26 06-08 18:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -37 -$26 10¢ $-4 +$22 06-09 01:09
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? Yes -56 -$10 4¢ $-2 +$8 05-01 20:07
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? Yes +27 $5 6¢ $2 -$4 05-01 19:22
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? Yes -18 -$3 8¢ $-1 +$1 05-04 19:25
Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027? Yes +30 $5 4¢ $1 -$4 05-01 07:13
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? Yes -28 -$14 4¢ $-1 +$13 06-10 19:35
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? Yes +30 $3 1¢ $0 -$3 05-01 12:07
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? Yes +2 $4 9¢ $0 -$4 05-01 21:59
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? Yes +3 $1 5¢ $0 -$1 04-30 13:24
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? Yes +3 $0 2¢ $0 $0 05-01 21:10