Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?
open
Total volume
$529
Trades
85
Unique wallets
43
Liquidity
$1,794
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-31
last 07-25 08:13
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $0 | $10 | $10 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $6 | $1 | +$5 |
| 🐟 Fish | 10 | $2 | $37 | $35 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 24 | $26 | $86 | $59 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $2 | $2 | $0 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $0 | $1 | $1 |
| Median | 9 | $7 | $36 | $30 |
| Below median | 5 | — | $62 | $62 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | — | $8 | $8 |
| unranked | 18 | $25 | $25 | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x69db…8bd3 | Yes | +134 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 07-25 06:08 |
| Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Yes | +118 | $4 | $8 | 11 | 07-25 06:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x8550…408b | Yes | +42 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-11 19:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x209f…1290 | Yes | +41 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-24 19:45 |
| Left-Cobweb 0x5d55…7cba | Yes | +38 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 07-17 22:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xd60d…19a9 | No | +32 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 07-25 06:08 |
| Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | +31 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 07-12 20:26 |
| Wordy-Polarization 0xf1f6…297f | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-02 10:37 |
| Stylish-Lip 0x4540…1ede | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-03 15:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-22 08:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xe9c6…9af4 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-15 14:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-06 12:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-12 10:18 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-23 07:00 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-25 08:13 |
| Alarming-Deed 0xf06d…44df | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-02 04:15 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 08:13:43 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 2 | 88¢ | $2 | 0xc9d3c9… |
| 07-25 08:13:43 | Terrific-Arena 0xd928…8b5e | No | SELL | 2 | 88¢ | $2 | 0xc9d3c9… |
| 07-25 06:08:33 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x21d1c7… |
| 07-25 06:08:33 | (anonymous) 0x57cc…9f51 | Yes | SELL | 101 | 13¢ | $13 | 0x21d1c7… |
| 07-25 06:08:33 | (anonymous) 0xd60d…19a9 | No | BUY | 17 | 94¢ | $16 | 0x21d1c7… |
| 07-25 06:08:33 | (anonymous) 0x69db…8bd3 | Yes | BUY | 134 | 11¢ | $15 | 0x21d1c7… |
| 07-25 06:08:33 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x21d1c7… |
| 07-23 07:00:51 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc8bac5… |
| 07-23 07:00:51 | Terrific-Arena 0xd928…8b5e | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xc8bac5… |
| 07-22 08:47:52 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc68134… |
| 07-22 08:47:52 | Gummy-Sack 0xff47…d81f | Yes | SELL | 17 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc68134… |
| 07-22 08:47:52 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xc68134… |
| 07-19 18:01:16 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb25fbe… |
| 07-19 18:01:16 | Ugly-Colorlessness 0xb323…e19f | No | SELL | 3 | 95¢ | $3 | 0xb25fbe… |
| 07-18 09:16:28 | Untried-Shape 0x8c49…9872 | No | SELL | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0xaf5453… |
| 07-18 09:16:28 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xaf5453… |
| 07-17 22:36:49 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xdb1525… |
| 07-17 22:36:49 | Some-Precipitation 0x8031…27da | Yes | SELL | 126 | 3¢ | $4 | 0xdb1525… |
| 07-17 22:36:49 | Left-Cobweb 0x5d55…7cba | Yes | BUY | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xdb1525… |
| 07-17 13:03:24 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xd8a0f5… |
| 07-17 13:03:24 | Left-Cobweb 0x5d55…7cba | Yes | BUY | 13 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xd8a0f5… |
| 07-17 13:00:01 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xa543e2… |
| 07-17 13:00:01 | Left-Cobweb 0x5d55…7cba | Yes | BUY | 23 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xa543e2… |
| 07-16 05:40:25 | Untried-Shape 0x8c49…9872 | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0x9f2345… |
| 07-16 05:40:25 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x9f2345… |
| 07-15 14:52:28 | (anonymous) 0xe9c6…9af4 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xbfa4a7… |
| 07-15 14:52:28 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xbfa4a7… |
| 07-14 16:34:41 | Major-Brush 0x52b3…3a58 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x02b24a… |
| 07-14 16:34:41 | Notable-Sorbet 0x5c02…d0e7 | Yes | SELL | 36 | 5¢ | $2 | 0x02b24a… |
| 07-12 20:26:08 | Required-Saffron 0x328b…fa07 | No | BUY | 31 | 94¢ | $29 | 0x240a96… |
| 07-12 20:26:08 | (anonymous) 0x301f…688b | No | SELL | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0x240a96… |
| 07-12 20:26:08 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x240a96… |
| 07-12 20:26:08 | (anonymous) 0xd60d…19a9 | No | BUY | 14 | 94¢ | $13 | 0x240a96… |
| 07-12 10:18:31 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0x71f73f… |
| 07-12 10:18:31 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0x71f73f… |
| 07-11 13:01:04 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x1dd4ea… |
| 07-11 13:01:04 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x1dd4ea… |
| 07-11 11:43:52 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | SELL | 9 | 93¢ | $8 | 0x9a96b8… |
| 07-11 11:43:52 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x9a96b8… |
| 07-08 09:46:49 | (anonymous) 0xebff…ebcd | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xe10257… |
| 07-08 09:46:49 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xe10257… |
| 07-08 09:33:02 | (anonymous) 0xebff…ebcd | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x7975ff… |
| 07-08 09:33:02 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x7975ff… |
| 07-07 22:02:23 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x0872a7… |
| 07-07 22:02:23 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x0872a7… |
| 07-06 12:36:35 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | No | SELL | 26 | 91¢ | $24 | 0xb9eadd… |
| 07-06 12:36:35 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0xb9eadd… |
| 07-06 12:36:35 | Wobbly-Chain 0xcc79…1c2a | No | SELL | 59 | 92¢ | $54 | 0xb9eadd… |
| 07-06 12:36:35 | Unfit-Hardboard 0x7e35…1a6c | Yes | SELL | 100 | 8¢ | $8 | 0xb9eadd… |
| 07-06 12:36:35 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xb9eadd… |
| 07-06 12:36:35 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0xb9eadd… |
| 07-06 02:37:28 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0x760a0f… |
| 07-06 02:37:28 | Small-Pompom 0x9d73…216b | No | BUY | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0x760a0f… |
| 07-02 10:37:14 | Wordy-Polarization 0xf1f6…297f | No | BUY | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0x3a67a9… |
| 07-02 10:37:14 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | SELL | 11 | 90¢ | $10 | 0x3a67a9… |
| 07-02 04:15:35 | (anonymous) 0x84de…00c6 | No | SELL | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0xa05cee… |
| 07-02 04:15:35 | Alarming-Deed 0xf06d…44df | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0xa05cee… |
| 06-24 22:56:44 | Ugly-Colorlessness 0xb323…e19f | No | BUY | 3 | 91¢ | $3 | 0x54bd0a… |
| 06-24 22:56:44 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | No | SELL | 3 | 91¢ | $3 | 0x54bd0a… |
| 06-24 19:45:02 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | No | BUY | 20 | 88¢ | $18 | 0x87c017… |
| 06-24 19:45:02 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x87c017… |
| 06-24 19:45:02 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $4 | 0x87c017… |
| 06-24 19:45:02 | (anonymous) 0x57cc…9f51 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x87c017… |
| 06-24 19:45:02 | (anonymous) 0x209f…1290 | Yes | BUY | 41 | 12¢ | $5 | 0x87c017… |
| 06-21 21:12:02 | (anonymous) 0x5eed…ab36 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x398aae… |
| 06-21 21:12:02 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | No | SELL | 21 | 91¢ | $19 | 0x398aae… |
| 06-14 18:23:04 | (anonymous) 0x84de…00c6 | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xd5ab18… |
| 06-14 18:23:04 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xd5ab18… |
| 06-14 18:18:46 | (anonymous) 0x57cc…9f51 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x5e2af3… |
| 06-14 18:18:46 | (anonymous) 0x59f7…7ff9 | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x5e2af3… |
| 06-13 15:27:39 | (anonymous) 0x59f7…7ff9 | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x68bbdf… |
| 06-13 15:27:39 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | No | SELL | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x68bbdf… |
| 06-12 23:38:13 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | No | SELL | 6 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x055dc8… |
| 06-12 23:38:13 | Grotesque-Newsletter 0xc5cb…95ea | Yes | SELL | 6 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x055dc8… |
| 06-12 12:41:19 | (anonymous) 0x8709…0ec6 | No | SELL | 100 | 88¢ | $88 | 0xd98924… |
| 06-12 12:41:19 | (anonymous) 0x57cc…9f51 | Yes | SELL | 42 | 13¢ | $5 | 0xd98924… |
| 06-12 12:41:19 | Daring-Blinker 0x755d…6acc | Yes | SELL | 58 | 12¢ | $7 | 0xd98924… |
| 06-11 19:13:40 | (anonymous) 0x8550…408b | Yes | BUY | 42 | 12¢ | $5 | 0x513176… |
| 06-11 19:13:40 | Daring-Blinker 0x755d…6acc | Yes | SELL | 42 | 12¢ | $5 | 0x513176… |
| 06-03 15:22:10 | Stylish-Lip 0x4540…1ede | No | BUY | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0xa68f47… |
| 06-03 15:22:10 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | No | SELL | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0xa68f47… |
| 06-03 15:00:46 | (anonymous) 0x57cc…9f51 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x6ee440… |
| 06-03 15:00:46 | Itchy-Digger 0xc9ef…1935 | No | SELL | 7 | 87¢ | $6 | 0x6ee440… |
| 05-31 20:41:49 | (anonymous) 0x57cc…9f51 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 13¢ | $0 | 0xb1263c… |
| 05-31 20:41:49 | Circular-Sandpaper-Larder 0x058f…4883 | No | SELL | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0xb1263c… |