Realized P&L
-$902
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
52.6%
Resolved
147
Trades
914
lifetime
Volume
$10.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$222
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 07-22 08:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 71 days
Categories
Crypto
66% 51% -$498
Politics
17% 76% -$467
Other
14% 52% +$88
Sports
2% 53% -$25
Tech
0% — —
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-22).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027? No -31 -$30 100¢ $-31 $0 07-17 03:38
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026? No -27 -$26 100¢ $-26 $0 07-16 18:47
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? No -22 -$21 98¢ $-22 $0 07-16 18:47
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? No -22 -$21 97¢ $-21 -$1 07-16 18:48
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No -21 -$20 100¢ $-20 $0 07-16 18:47
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes -19 -$16 94¢ $-18 -$3 07-22 08:47
AI bubble burst in 2026? No -16 -$13 89¢ $-14 -$1 07-22 08:47
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -14 -$13 97¢ $-14 $0 07-22 08:47
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? No -13 -$9 87¢ $-11 -$2 07-22 08:47
Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No -11 -$11 100¢ $-11 $0 07-22 08:48
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? No -11 -$9 96¢ $-11 -$1 07-22 08:48
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? No -16 -$11 60¢ $-10 +$1 07-22 08:47
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes -18 -$4 22¢ $-4 +$0 07-22 08:47
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? Yes -20 -$4 18¢ $-4 +$0 07-22 08:47
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? Yes -21 -$2 16¢ $-3 -$1 07-22 08:47
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? Yes -16 -$4 6¢ $-1 +$3 07-22 08:47
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? No -17 -$1 3¢ $-1 +$0 07-22 08:47
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -27 -$3 1¢ $-0 +$3 07-22 08:46