Realized P&L
-$10
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
836
lifetime
Volume
$9.82K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$167
17 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 07-16 20:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Crypto
67%
Politics
18%
Other
14% 0% $-10
Sports
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 227 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? No -22 $-21 99¢ $-22 $-0 07-16 18:47
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31? No -22 $-21 94¢ $-21 $-0 07-16 18:48
Will Finland recognize Palestine before 2027? No -21 $-18 88¢ $-18 $-0 07-16 20:35
Will Glenn Youngkin announce a presidential run before 2027? No -16 $-16 95¢ $-16 +$0 07-22 08:47
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? No -19 $-15 78¢ $-15 +$0 07-22 08:47
AI bubble burst in 2026? No -16 $-13 83¢ $-14 $-0 07-22 08:47
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -14 $-13 94¢ $-13 $-0 07-22 08:47
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? No -16 $-11 70¢ $-11 $-0 07-22 08:47
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? No -11 $-9 85¢ $-9 $-0 07-22 08:48
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? No -13 $-9 72¢ $-9 +$0 07-22 08:47
Natural Disaster in 2026? Yes -18 $-4 24¢ $-4 $-0 07-22 08:47
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? Yes -20 $-4 20¢ $-4 $-0 07-22 08:47
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? Yes -16 $-4 24¢ $-4 $-0 07-22 08:47
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -27 $-3 12¢ $-3 $-0 07-22 08:46
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? Yes -21 $-2 11¢ $-2 $-0 07-22 08:47
Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026? Yes -16 $-0 $-1 $-0 07-22 08:47
Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026? Yes -17 $-0 $-1 $-0 07-22 08:47