Terrific-Arena — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

50.8%

Resolved

316

Trades

711

lifetime

Volume

$18.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

$175

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-27 07:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 104 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 76% +$5

Other

22% 48% +$1

Tech

1% 56% -$2

Sports

0% 69% -$1

Politics

0% 85% +$1

Pop-Culture

0% 50% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will xrp reach 4 in october 2026	No	+90	$90	100¢	$90	$0	10-27 07:03
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-50	-$49	100¢	$-50	-$1	04-30 07:30
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-30	-$29	100¢	$-30	-$1	10-27 07:03
Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Yes	+1	$1	84¢	$1	+$0	09-23 04:16
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	+1	$1	84¢	$1	+$0	09-23 04:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	+1	$1	88¢	$1	+$0	10-08 08:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	+1	$1	94¢	$1	+$0	10-08 08:51
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+1	$1	94¢	$1	+$0	10-13 05:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	8	$2.2K	1,365	833	+532	No	+$1	01-29 05:04
will ethereum reach 3600 january 26 1	2	$1.0K	503	503	+0	No	+$2	01-31 05:14
will xrp reach 3pt2 in march 2026	11	$700	352	352	+0	No	-$1	03-18 04:41
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?	8	$479	240	240	+0	No	$0	06-23 05:25
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	7	$355	178	178	+0	No	$0	03-28 04:50
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	4	$351	176	176	+0	No	+$0	03-30 03:18
will bitcoin reach 100k in june 2026	6	$339	170	170	+0	No	+$0	06-27 06:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	6	$337	170	170	+0	No	+$1	04-23 04:36
Will Solana reach $200 in October?	4	$309	155	155	+0	open	—	10-23 06:21
Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	7	$303	197	107	+90	open	—	10-27 07:03
will ethereum reach 3000 in june 2026	6	$289	145	145	+0	No	-$1	06-19 13:49
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	4	$285	143	143	+0	No	$0	03-13 05:20
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in May?	8	$260	130	130	+0	No	$0	05-27 09:15
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	7	$232	116	116	+0	No	$0	05-21 08:27
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	5	$228	100	130	-30	open	—	10-27 07:03
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	4	$220	110	110	+0	No	$0	01-19 02:58
will solana reach 200 in february 2026	3	$209	130	80	+50	No	+$0	02-23 04:05
will ethereum reach 3000 in august 2026	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	08-04 12:53
will solana reach 140 in june 2026	2	$190	95	95	+0	No	$0	06-30 05:34
will wti crude oil wti hit high 200 in june	2	$190	95	95	+0	No	$0	06-25 06:38
will solana reach 160 in march 2026	3	$189	95	95	+0	No	+$0	03-07 03:41
will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of march	4	$184	92	92	+0	No	$0	03-23 05:20
will xrp reach 3 in july 2026	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	07-07 06:23
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	08-21 05:22
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	2	$180	90	90	+0	open	—	09-11 07:18
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	2	$180	90	90	+0	open	—	09-17 05:55
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,500 by end of June?	2	$180	90	90	+0	No	$0	06-17 12:19
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September?	2	$179	90	90	+0	No	+$0	09-23 04:11
Will Solana reach $160 in April?	2	$179	90	90	+0	No	+$0	04-13 06:00
will bitcoin reach 92pt5k in june 2026	2	$179	90	90	+0	No	$0	06-09 05:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 07:03:57	Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x4e2519…
10-27 07:03:21	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x169c43…
10-23 06:24:02	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x68fdb7…
10-23 06:21:09	Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xeaf790…
10-23 06:21:02	Will Solana reach $200 in October?	No	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0x040f09…
10-21 05:43:27	Will Solana reach $200 in October?	No	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0x856ee8…
10-21 05:42:47	Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8763f8…
10-21 05:42:21	Will Solana reach $200 in October?	No	SELL	87	100¢	$87	0x70e487…
10-19 13:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19?	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x04c6b6…
10-19 12:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 19?	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x3e01ee…
10-19 12:45:51	Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe65d40…
10-19 12:44:27	Will Solana reach $200 in October?	No	BUY	87	100¢	$87	0x204a6b…
10-19 12:43:14	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xd2fdbe…
10-19 12:43:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x7c252b…
10-19 12:42:53	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 in October?	No	SELL	86	100¢	$86	0x5a0a42…
10-15 08:29:08	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x4666e6…
10-15 08:28:35	will ethereum reach 4500 in october 2026	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x61a614…
10-15 08:28:08	us imports russian diesel by october 31	Yes	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0x56fb25…
10-15 08:27:56	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x285f21…
10-15 08:27:47	will wti reach 150 in october 2026	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xee1f4e…
10-15 08:27:35	will xrp reach 4 in october 2026	No	SELL	85	99¢	$84	0xdcf5bc…
10-13 05:48:34	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x12147c…
10-13 05:48:15	US imports Russian diesel by October 31?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x0d5077…
10-13 05:47:52	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x13ec9e…
10-13 05:47:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe78a94…
10-13 05:46:22	Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x1e3d14…
10-13 05:45:57	Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	80	99¢	$79	0x5b8a13…
10-08 08:53:49	XRP Up or Down on October 8?	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xc48d88…
10-08 08:53:02	Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$79	0x2b17ed…
10-08 08:52:37	Will XRP reach $4.00 in October?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x66a316…
10-08 08:51:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xc12247…
10-08 08:51:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xd6d793…
10-08 08:51:41	Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x4cec7c…
10-08 08:51:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	No	SELL	90	98¢	$88	0xa4903b…
10-06 05:08:13	Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9f1551…
10-06 05:07:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in October?	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x15ad88…
09-29 06:33:42	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on September 29?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8c9d02…
09-29 06:33:23	trump putin and xi seen together before 2027	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x535331…
09-29 06:31:45	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x772499…
09-25 03:40:39	Will Trump insult Xi by end of summit?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd35551…
09-25 03:40:23	Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x667b36…
09-25 03:40:06	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x5b8629…
09-25 03:39:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in September?	No	BUY	86	100¢	$86	0x20450e…
09-25 03:37:35	Will Solana dip to $40 in September?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x9d8908…
09-25 03:37:29	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in September?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xad8b6e…
09-23 11:01:31	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in September?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc0af7e…
09-23 04:16:40	Trump meets with Putin by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x7bfdcf…
09-23 04:15:46	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xb66b4f…
09-23 04:14:29	XRP Up or Down on September 23?	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x555afe…
09-23 04:13:50	Will Solana dip to $40 in September?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x5f27dd…
09-23 04:11:52	Will Grand Theft Auto VI win Best Multiplayer at the 2026 Game Awards?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x3b0963…
09-23 04:11:40	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x252bdf…
09-19 08:20:06	XRP Up or Down on September 19?	Up	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0xf3c970…
09-19 08:19:34	Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September?	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0xeb9d04…
09-19 08:18:34	Ren Zhengfei confirmed outside China by September 30?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x52ce2d…
09-19 08:18:16	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	SELL	90	99¢	$89	0x9834d3…
09-17 05:57:36	trump endorses chinas claim to taiwan by end of summit 20260916	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x2f544c…
09-17 05:57:18	ren zhengfei confirmed outside china by september 30	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2ec173…
09-17 05:57:07	ren zhengfei public appearance by september 30	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xd1ec1f…
09-17 05:56:42	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in September?	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0xcfef3f…
09-17 05:56:04	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0xe91c69…
09-17 05:55:40	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0x745293…
09-15 06:33:21	ethereum up or down on september 15 2026	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x8cd10c…
09-15 06:33:04	bitcoin up or down on september 15 2026	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x50ab9c…
09-15 06:32:49	Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x617d50…
09-15 06:28:30	Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xe015ac…
09-15 06:26:51	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	SELL	2	88¢	$2	0x2cf76a…
09-15 06:26:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	60	98¢	$59	0x5ebfa6…
09-11 07:21:15	Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x04e38a…
09-11 07:20:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x71a800…
09-11 07:19:13	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 11?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x99a538…
09-11 07:18:52	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x4b6281…
09-11 07:18:46	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0xccab43…
09-09 02:46:55	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xe61d2b…
09-09 02:42:27	XRP Up or Down on September 9?	Down	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x2318cb…
09-09 02:36:33	Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xa20415…
09-09 02:30:06	Taylor & Travis divorce in 2026?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x282325…
09-09 02:29:58	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xbeb1ea…
09-09 02:29:46	Will XRP reach $3.00 in September?	No	SELL	90	99¢	$89	0x795b0e…
09-07 11:44:19	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xa0e1c4…
09-07 11:43:13	Will XRP reach $3.00 in September?	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0xdfcb46…
09-07 11:42:15	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xbf6082…
09-07 11:42:07	will bitcoin dip to 55k in september 2026	No	SELL	90	98¢	$88	0x9c1417…
09-04 08:08:01	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5126f2…
09-04 08:06:27	XRP Up or Down on September 4?	Down	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x421a85…
09-04 08:05:54	Taylor & Travis divorce in 2026?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xf36b66…
09-04 08:04:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in September?	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x1dc232…
09-04 08:03:19	Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x481542…
09-04 08:03:12	Will Solana dip to $20 in September?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xb622bb…
09-02 07:05:34	Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x41ffed…
09-02 07:04:49	Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x7f7939…
09-02 07:03:04	Will Solana dip to $20 in September?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xe69c85…
09-02 07:02:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 2?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x75706f…
08-29 08:01:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x100ac3…
08-29 08:01:10	Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in China?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x24e117…
08-27 09:21:21	solana up or down on august 27 2026	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x7203bc…
08-27 09:21:09	ethereum up or down on august 27 2026	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x173575…
08-27 09:20:25	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in August?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x359b53…
08-27 09:20:03	Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x28ce8d…
08-25 06:14:10	Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xffbb41…