Notable-Sorbet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.9%

Resolved

Trades

135

lifetime

Volume

$791

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 07-19 21:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

69% 48% $-20

Crypto

29% 47% +$1

Sports

2% 100% +$4

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
atp dzumhur molcan 2026 07 17	2	$121	91	91	+0	open	—	07-17 22:01
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	1	$70	194	0	+194	open	—	07-19 21:34
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	3	$40	124	124	+0	open	—	06-14 12:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	3	$32	24	24	+0	Up	+$12	05-04 19:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	4	$29	45	45	+0	Up	+$9	05-05 19:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	4	$26	22	21	+0	Down	+$6	05-05 19:48
atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05	3	$25	33	13	+21	open	—	06-05 06:35
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev	2	$23	14	14	+0	open	—	06-02 15:48
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	5	$23	255	255	+0	open	—	05-06 09:55
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Antonia Ruzic vs Kamilla Rakhimova	2	$15	10	10	+0	Antonia Ruzic	+$5	05-05 14:59
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider	3	$14	30	20	+10	open	—	06-03 13:18
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anna Bondar vs Qinwen Zheng	2	$13	17	17	+0	Qinwen Zheng	+$3	05-05 12:18
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Viktorija Golubic vs Federica Urgesi	2	$13	8	8	+0	Viktorija Golubic	+$3	05-06 13:03
Wuxi: Luca Castelnuovo vs Ognjen Milic	2	$13	8	8	+0	Ognjen Milic	+$3	05-05 12:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	3	$13	12	12	+0	Up	+$3	05-12 14:12
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Leolia Jeanjean vs Beatriz Haddad Maia	2	$12	7	7	+0	Leolia Jeanjean	+$2	05-06 13:03
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	2	$12	13	13	+0	open	—	07-14 16:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	2	$12	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	05-05 12:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	3	$11	20	20	+0	open	—	05-04 18:24
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	06-03 11:17
Roland Garros ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Alexander Zverev	1	$10	125	0	+125	open	—	05-30 09:09
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini	1	$10	24	0	+24	open	—	06-01 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$10	56	0	+56	Down	$-10	05-05 20:06
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Jaume Munar	2	$8	5	5	+0	Matteo Arnaldi	+$2	05-06 16:44
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jesper de Jong vs Nuno Borges	2	$8	5	5	+0	Nuno Borges	+$2	05-06 16:44
Santos: Valerio Aboian vs Pedro Sakamoto	2	$8	16	0	+16	Valerio Aboian	$-8	05-05 20:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	5	$8	11	11	+0	open	—	05-04 18:58
Istanbul: Storm Hunter vs Guiomar Maristany	2	$8	5	5	+0	Guiomar Maristany	+$2	05-06 11:11
Wuxi: Andre Ilagan vs Dane Sweeny	2	$8	5	5	+0	Dane Sweeny	+$2	05-06 11:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	3	$8	525	25	+500	open	—	05-04 19:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 21:34:31	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	194	36¢	$70	0xf36675…
07-17 22:01:57	atp dzumhur molcan 2026 07 17	Damir Dzumhur	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0xd4507a…
07-17 20:31:03	atp dzumhur molcan 2026 07 17	Damir Dzumhur	BUY	91	33¢	$30	0xb1fac4…
07-14 16:34:47	Will Twice release a song in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0x9a9be6…
07-14 16:34:41	Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?	Yes	SELL	36	5¢	$2	0x02b24a…
07-14 16:34:37	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0xfc5798…
07-14 16:33:17	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	SELL	13	57¢	$7	0x91b629…
06-14 12:28:54	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	SELL	124	0¢	$0	0xad438f…
06-08 08:59:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by june 15	Yes	SELL	56	1¢	$0	0x4948bf…
06-08 08:59:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0xc58ca4…
06-05 06:35:18	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05	Jakub Mensik	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xd8457c…
06-05 06:35:01	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05	Alexander Zverev	SELL	13	76¢	$10	0xefcba1…
06-04 10:04:43	wta kostyuk andreev 2026 06 04	Marta Kostyuk	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x6e8b75…
06-03 13:18:52	Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider	Aryna Sabalenka	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x0835ca…
06-03 13:18:31	Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider	Diana Shnaider	SELL	20	29¢	$6	0x9310c1…
06-03 12:04:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?	Yes	BUY	56	4¢	$2	0x02cd90…
06-03 12:03:59	Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider	Diana Shnaider	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xc3e42b…
06-03 11:17:56	Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli	Felix Auger-Aliassime	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x8fe43a…
06-03 08:51:26	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	93	32¢	$30	0x12ea7e…
06-03 08:49:48	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x87b046…
06-03 06:16:02	Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi	Matteo Berrettini	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x5fc4b0…
06-03 06:15:37	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Zverev	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x8341e2…
06-02 15:48:23	Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Zverev	SELL	14	100¢	$13	0x8126b7…
06-01 08:20:15	Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev	Alexander Zverev	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x8baba2…
06-01 08:19:35	Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x6b5ecb…
05-30 09:15:47	Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencic	Belinda Bencic	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x0cfccd…
05-30 09:12:24	Roland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Naomi Osaka	Iva Jovic	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xa8afa2…
05-30 09:11:57	Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xfde660…
05-30 09:09:29	Roland Garros ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Alexander Zverev	Jesper de Jong	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x93b140…
05-16 09:56:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xa3df43…
05-12 14:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	65¢	$5	0x5ca4b8…
05-12 14:12:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	65¢	$3	0xc826ef…
05-12 14:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x8d7f51…
05-12 13:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xee3af6…
05-11 10:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0xbae604…
05-11 10:31:55	Zagreb: Arthur Fery vs Vitaliy Sachko	Vitaliy Sachko	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x5e143f…
05-11 10:31:13	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Frances Tiafoe vs Andrea Pellegrino	Frances Tiafoe	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x8c44a9…
05-11 10:30:52	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Brandon Nakashima vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Brandon Nakashima	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x1c52cd…
05-07 06:33:07	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Zizou Bergs vs Terence Atmane	Zizou Bergs	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xd63d17…
05-07 06:32:39	Wuxi: Maximus Jones vs Akira Santillan	Maximus Jones	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xb6ad81…
05-07 06:30:36	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Marcos Giron vs Marin Cilic	Marin Cilic	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xcfb104…
05-06 21:11:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x49ff31…
05-06 16:44:34	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jesper de Jong vs Nuno Borges	Nuno Borges	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x35d95e…
05-06 16:44:22	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Jaume Munar	Matteo Arnaldi	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x88e543…
05-06 13:41:06	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Katie Boulter vs Eva Lys	Katie Boulter	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x4d9b17…
05-06 13:40:34	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jesper de Jong vs Nuno Borges	Nuno Borges	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x0c3859…
05-06 13:38:54	Brazzaville: Matyas Cerny vs Bor Artnak	Bor Artnak	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x1c525c…
05-06 13:38:16	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Matteo Arnaldi vs Jaume Munar	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x51a822…
05-06 13:03:14	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Leolia Jeanjean vs Beatriz Haddad Maia	Leolia Jeanjean	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x76f5ad…
05-06 13:03:06	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Viktorija Golubic vs Federica Urgesi	Viktorija Golubic	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x7ecb71…
05-06 11:14:40	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Oksana Selekhmeteva vs Rebeka Masarova	Rebeka Masarova	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xfbf34a…
05-06 11:13:34	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Leolia Jeanjean vs Beatriz Haddad Maia	Leolia Jeanjean	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xd13ac4…
05-06 11:13:04	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Viktorija Golubic vs Federica Urgesi	Viktorija Golubic	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xeed02b…
05-06 11:11:20	Wuxi: Andre Ilagan vs Dane Sweeny	Dane Sweeny	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xfa7282…
05-06 11:11:10	Istanbul: Storm Hunter vs Guiomar Maristany	Guiomar Maristany	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xacdf75…
05-06 09:55:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	160	6¢	$10	0x28f77f…
05-06 09:51:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	95	6¢	$6	0xb0f6a9…
05-06 07:16:08	Wuxi: Andre Ilagan vs Dane Sweeny	Dane Sweeny	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x5686c5…
05-06 07:15:56	Istanbul: Storm Hunter vs Guiomar Maristany	Guiomar Maristany	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x0b9625…
05-05 20:16:24	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xf6680e…
05-05 20:16:00	Santos: Valerio Aboian vs Pedro Sakamoto	Pedro Sakamoto	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x2d35b8…
05-05 20:10:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x4bd9e7…
05-05 20:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0xda3516…
05-05 19:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	SELL	24	2¢	$0	0xe545ab…
05-05 19:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xab8062…
05-05 19:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	SELL	11	80¢	$9	0xdc35ad…
05-05 19:48:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x96d334…
05-05 19:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	11	68¢	$7	0x2a10ed…
05-05 19:45:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xc46666…
05-05 19:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	SELL	36	33¢	$12	0x1707c6…
05-05 19:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x6edb06…
05-05 19:41:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	9	84¢	$7	0x45c66b…
05-05 19:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x49915a…
05-05 15:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xa60b9f…
05-05 15:13:54	Santos: Valerio Aboian vs Pedro Sakamoto	Pedro Sakamoto	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x8a29ab…
05-05 15:12:50	Francavilla: Andrea Guerrieri vs Chun-Hsin Tseng	Andrea Guerrieri	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x95e048…
05-05 15:10:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	95	2¢	$2	0x9d8bc2…
05-05 15:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	2	81¢	$1	0xa4aeed…
05-05 15:07:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xd5164f…
05-05 15:02:30	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Rinky Hijikata	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x9cf4a2…
05-05 14:59:12	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Antonia Ruzic vs Kamilla Rakhimova	Antonia Ruzic	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x55cf19…
05-05 12:36:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	66¢	$7	0xf50c75…
05-05 12:31:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xfe5a7e…
05-05 12:21:44	Wuxi: Luca Castelnuovo vs Ognjen Milic	Ognjen Milic	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xe052e4…
05-05 12:21:26	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Francisco Comesana vs Leandro Riedi	Francisco Comesana	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xa1d71d…
05-05 12:18:58	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anna Bondar vs Qinwen Zheng	Anna Bondar	SELL	17	51¢	$8	0xa9dd08…
05-05 12:11:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xfd1b7f…
05-05 12:01:06	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Petra Marcinko vs Oleksandra Oliynykova	Petra Marcinko	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xaa430d…
05-05 09:39:36	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Antonia Ruzic vs Kamilla Rakhimova	Antonia Ruzic	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xf1bfcc…
05-05 09:36:06	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Petra Marcinko vs Oleksandra Oliynykova	Petra Marcinko	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x0c017d…
05-05 09:23:54	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x73944d…
05-05 09:04:26	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Anna Bondar vs Qinwen Zheng	Anna Bondar	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x4d4dfa…
05-05 09:04:06	Wuxi: Luca Castelnuovo vs Ognjen Milic	Ognjen Milic	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x0a9126…
05-05 08:35:48	Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Francisco Comesana vs Leandro Riedi	Francisco Comesana	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x33cb07…
05-04 20:02:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	21	8¢	$2	0xc56986…
05-04 20:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xf0585b…
05-04 19:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	24	91¢	$22	0x47874d…
05-04 19:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xa65a54…
05-04 19:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x282d99…
05-04 19:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xcb6c0a…