Realized P&L
-$182
Unrealized P&L
+$9
Hit rate
70.6%
Resolved
1,468
Trades
15,565
lifetime
Volume
$53.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$60
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-22
last 10-27 21:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 117 days
Categories
Other
60% 67% -$119
Politics
25% 66% -$40
Crypto
9% 66% +$2
Tech
4% 66% -$2
Sports
2% 45% -$22
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 360 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? No +5 $4 95¢ $5 +$1 07-10 17:01
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? No +5 $4 80¢ $4 +$0 08-18 02:48
viktor orban arrested by december 31 20260708001041551 No +5 $4 86¢ $4 +$0 07-12 20:04
Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? No +4 $3 98¢ $4 +$1 07-30 19:18
Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award? No +4 $2 99¢ $4 +$2 08-19 03:37
Rippling IPO before 2027? No +4 $3 92¢ $4 +$0 07-22 08:26
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 91¢ $3 +$1 08-22 06:53
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +3 $1 97¢ $3 +$2 08-21 11:35
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? No +4 $3 73¢ $3 $0 07-30 06:56
Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +3 $2 94¢ $3 +$1 07-12 21:44
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +4 $2 74¢ $3 +$1 07-12 12:18
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +4 $3 66¢ $2 $0 08-13 03:29
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? Yes +2 $2 92¢ $2 +$0 07-12 06:57
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +4 $1 57¢ $2 +$1 08-20 17:32
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder? No +2 $1 96¢ $2 +$0 08-26 12:51
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31? No +2 $1 93¢ $1 +$0 08-14 06:02
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? No +5 $2 31¢ $1 -$1 07-13 14:57
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? Yes +3 $1 42¢ $1 +$1 07-08 19:51
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 07-11 07:19
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? $3,000 +2 $1 66¢ $1 +$0 07-20 10:56
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? No +1 $0 82¢ $1 +$1 08-23 16:05
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +5 $3 18¢ $1 -$2 07-12 03:57
will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119 Yes +1 $0 82¢ $1 +$1 08-03 14:27
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +1 $0 94¢ $1 +$1 08-22 12:13
will strc hit 100 by december 31 20260618001621119 No +5 $1 18¢ $1 $0 08-05 16:26
israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31 Yes +2 $1 37¢ $1 $0 08-09 07:45
Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? No +4 $1 16¢ $1 $0 07-17 08:20
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +3 $1 16¢ $0 -$1 07-10 15:09
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? No +5 $1 5¢ $0 -$1 08-07 00:52
will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31 No +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 07-06 16:36