Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$3,228
Trades
111
Unique wallets
32
Liquidity
$2,188
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-02
last 08-15 11:02
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $27 | $104 | $77 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 10 | $14 | $1.5K | $1.4K |
| 🐟 Fish | 11 | $117 | $85 | +$33 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $3 | $60 | $57 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $17 | — | +$17 |
| Median | 2 | — | $2 | $2 |
| Below median | 7 | $59 | $377 | $319 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $7 | $221 | $214 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $3 | $993 | $990 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $10 | $32 | $22 |
| unranked | 10 | $66 | $78 | $12 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courteous-Cloak 0x3e6e…99ea | No | +240 | $221 | $221 | 1 | 08-03 07:11 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +125 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 07-07 09:57 |
| Wicked-Porthole 0x2e1c…db61 | Yes | +100 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 08-03 04:11 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +80 | $72 | $72 | 5 | 08-06 08:09 |
| Wee-Matchmaker 0x6183…3834 | No | +80 | $70 | $70 | 2 | 08-15 11:02 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +60 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 07-09 08:56 |
| Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | +55 | $37 | $1,664 | 9 | 08-08 01:59 |
| Unlawful-Ascot 0xc759…b965 | Yes | +54 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 08-15 11:02 |
| Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | +46 | $11 | $84 | 19 | 08-06 08:09 |
| Considerate-Commandment 0xdd3b…9f3a | Yes | +40 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 08-03 17:31 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +40 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 07-08 18:33 |
| Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | +26 | $8 | $89 | 17 | 08-15 11:02 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 06-02 08:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | +17 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-30 10:40 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 08-04 13:43 |
| Calculating-Island 0x99f0…649f | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-02 08:16 |
| (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | +4 | $3 | $5 | 3 | 08-14 21:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 08-06 08:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xa6b3…c1ea | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 08-14 21:23 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +1 | $-1 | $7 | 5 | 08-05 08:24 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-15 11:02:40 | Wee-Matchmaker 0x6183…3834 | No | BUY | 26 | 87¢ | $23 | 0x42d555… |
| 08-15 11:02:40 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | SELL | 28 | 13¢ | $4 | 0x42d555… |
| 08-15 11:02:40 | Unlawful-Ascot 0xc759…b965 | Yes | BUY | 54 | 13¢ | $7 | 0x42d555… |
| 08-14 21:23:39 | (anonymous) 0xa6b3…c1ea | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x2310d2… |
| 08-14 21:23:39 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x2310d2… |
| 08-12 10:28:13 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 54 | 13¢ | $7 | 0x870ea6… |
| 08-12 10:28:13 | Wee-Matchmaker 0x6183…3834 | No | BUY | 54 | 87¢ | $47 | 0x870ea6… |
| 08-08 01:59:24 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x662157… |
| 08-08 01:59:24 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x662157… |
| 08-06 08:09:18 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0xc53f77… |
| 08-06 08:09:18 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 14¢ | $7 | 0xc53f77… |
| 08-06 08:09:18 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0xc53f77… |
| 08-06 08:09:18 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 14¢ | $3 | 0xc53f77… |
| 08-06 08:09:18 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0xc53f77… |
| 08-05 08:24:33 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xf54a29… |
| 08-05 08:24:33 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 18 | 13¢ | $2 | 0xf54a29… |
| 08-05 08:24:33 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 0 | 87¢ | $0 | 0xf54a29… |
| 08-05 08:24:33 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xf54a29… |
| 08-04 13:43:11 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x0fa0f9… |
| 08-04 13:43:11 | (anonymous) 0x7b2c…c9a8 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x0fa0f9… |
| 08-04 02:42:51 | (anonymous) 0x7b2c…c9a8 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x51ca67… |
| 08-04 02:42:51 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x51ca67… |
| 08-03 17:31:48 | (anonymous) 0x7b2c…c9a8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xd54626… |
| 08-03 17:31:48 | Considerate-Commandment 0xdd3b…9f3a | Yes | BUY | 21 | 17¢ | $4 | 0xd54626… |
| 08-03 17:31:48 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 26 | 83¢ | $21 | 0xd54626… |
| 08-03 17:31:33 | Considerate-Commandment 0xdd3b…9f3a | Yes | BUY | 19 | 18¢ | $3 | 0x6d3032… |
| 08-03 17:31:33 | (anonymous) 0x7b2c…c9a8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x6d3032… |
| 08-03 17:31:33 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 24 | 82¢ | $20 | 0x6d3032… |
| 08-03 07:11:56 | Courteous-Cloak 0x3e6e…99ea | No | BUY | 240 | 92¢ | $221 | 0x19ee08… |
| 08-03 07:11:56 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 8¢ | $5 | 0x19ee08… |
| 08-03 07:11:56 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 305 | 92¢ | $281 | 0x19ee08… |
| 08-03 07:11:56 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x19ee08… |
| 08-03 07:11:48 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 7¢ | $4 | 0xba33b3… |
| 08-03 07:11:48 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 594 | 93¢ | $552 | 0xba33b3… |
| 08-03 07:11:48 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 305 | 93¢ | $284 | 0xba33b3… |
| 08-03 07:11:48 | Haunting-Rubric 0xdb40…3612 | Yes | SELL | 68 | 7¢ | $5 | 0xba33b3… |
| 08-03 07:11:48 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0xba33b3… |
| 08-03 07:11:48 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0xba33b3… |
| 08-03 04:11:00 | Haunting-Rubric 0xdb40…3612 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0x46c1c0… |
| 08-03 04:11:00 | Wicked-Porthole 0x2e1c…db61 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0x46c1c0… |
| 07-29 22:09:06 | Gaseous-Soybean 0xb2a3…79e0 | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x04e9b6… |
| 07-29 22:09:06 | Haunting-Rubric 0xdb40…3612 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x04e9b6… |
| 07-17 10:26:37 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x993a76… |
| 07-17 10:26:37 | Haunting-Rubric 0xdb40…3612 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x993a76… |
| 07-15 16:23:05 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 2 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x5f3474… |
| 07-15 16:23:05 | Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | SELL | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x5f3474… |
| 07-14 12:19:52 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 150 | 94¢ | $141 | 0x6372bc… |
| 07-14 12:19:52 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 150 | 6¢ | $9 | 0x6372bc… |
| 07-10 19:20:43 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 100 | 94¢ | $94 | 0xa0d63c… |
| 07-10 19:20:43 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 6¢ | $6 | 0xa0d63c… |
| 07-09 08:56:01 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 148 | 6¢ | $9 | 0x050e6c… |
| 07-09 08:56:01 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x050e6c… |
| 07-09 08:56:01 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x050e6c… |
| 07-09 08:56:01 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 28 | 94¢ | $27 | 0x050e6c… |
| 07-08 19:38:23 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x11902c… |
| 07-08 19:38:23 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | SELL | 200 | 6¢ | $12 | 0x11902c… |
| 07-08 19:38:23 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x11902c… |
| 07-08 19:38:23 | Haunting-Rubric 0xdb40…3612 | Yes | BUY | 95 | 6¢ | $6 | 0x11902c… |
| 07-08 18:33:16 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 251 | 93¢ | $233 | 0xbba155… |
| 07-08 18:33:16 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xbba155… |
| 07-08 18:33:16 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 7¢ | $3 | 0xbba155… |
| 07-08 18:33:16 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 7¢ | $11 | 0xbba155… |
| 07-08 18:33:16 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xbba155… |
| 07-08 18:33:16 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 21 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xbba155… |
| 07-07 21:14:25 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xb6e064… |
| 07-07 21:14:25 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | SELL | 21 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xb6e064… |
| 07-07 11:39:29 | Haunting-Rubric 0xdb40…3612 | Yes | BUY | 44 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x164cd5… |
| 07-07 11:39:29 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | SELL | 44 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x164cd5… |
| 07-07 09:57:32 | Haunting-Rubric 0xdb40…3612 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 7¢ | $4 | 0xb48975… |
| 07-07 09:57:32 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 7¢ | $4 | 0xb48975… |
| 07-07 09:57:29 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x8b855d… |
| 07-07 09:57:29 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x8b855d… |
| 07-07 09:57:29 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x8b855d… |
| 07-07 09:57:29 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 73 | 8¢ | $6 | 0x8b855d… |
| 07-07 09:57:29 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 125 | 8¢ | $10 | 0x8b855d… |
| 07-07 09:57:29 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 21 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x8b855d… |
| 07-07 09:57:29 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 8¢ | $12 | 0x8b855d… |
| 07-07 09:57:29 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x8b855d… |
| 07-07 09:57:29 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | No | SELL | 35 | 92¢ | $32 | 0x8b855d… |
| 07-07 09:57:29 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 621 | 92¢ | $571 | 0x8b855d… |
| 07-06 20:28:10 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x66fb7a… |
| 07-06 20:28:10 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x66fb7a… |
| 06-30 10:40:19 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xcee01d… |
| 06-30 10:40:19 | (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xcee01d… |
| 06-17 09:53:02 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x3d6685… |
| 06-17 09:53:02 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 9¢ | $5 | 0x3d6685… |
| 06-17 09:53:02 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x3d6685… |
| 06-17 09:43:01 | (anonymous) 0x6235…df76 | No | SELL | 64 | 91¢ | $58 | 0x7ac607… |
| 06-17 09:43:01 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x7ac607… |
| 06-17 09:43:01 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | SELL | 42 | 9¢ | $4 | 0x7ac607… |
| 06-12 04:59:36 | (anonymous) 0x6235…df76 | No | BUY | 64 | 92¢ | $59 | 0x8ee029… |
| 06-12 04:59:36 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 64 | 8¢ | $5 | 0x8ee029… |
| 06-11 09:27:28 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x442b52… |
| 06-11 09:27:28 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | SELL | 22 | 91¢ | $20 | 0x442b52… |
| 06-11 09:27:28 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 9 | 91¢ | $8 | 0x442b52… |
| 06-11 09:26:24 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0xb2d69a… |
| 06-11 09:26:24 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0xb2d69a… |
| 06-11 09:26:19 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0xf39040… |
| 06-11 09:26:19 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 33 | 9¢ | $3 | 0xf39040… |
| 06-11 09:26:19 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | BUY | 22 | 91¢ | $20 | 0xf39040… |