(anonymous) 0xc3fca0…54484a
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
-$158
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
5
Trades
8,154
lifetime
Volume
$326.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$40
Open exposure
$1.22K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-28
last 07-19 06:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
48% 0% $-1
Politics
30% — —
Sports
12% — —
Tech
7% — —
Crypto
4% 0% $-4
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 621 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will there be at least 7500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No +334 $309 88¢ $294 $-15 07-15 12:58
Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027? No +174 $164 84¢ $145 $-18 07-15 20:25
Will Dune 3 or Avengers: Doomsday gross more on their opening weekend? Avengers: Doomsday -109 $-94 93¢ $-101 $-7 07-08 21:14
Will the US federal government take a stake in TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC or Bytedance? No -106 $-95 94¢ $-100 $-5 07-11 01:33
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -110 $-54 66¢ $-73 $-19 07-07 00:07
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? No +98 $73 73¢ $72 $-1 07-19 01:03
Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31? No -81 $-60 78¢ $-63 $-3 07-12 09:19
FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year? Yes +90 $69 68¢ $61 $-8 07-17 12:40
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes -117 $-43 36¢ $-43 +$1 07-02 20:25
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes +57 $44 72¢ $41 $-2 07-17 16:24
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI -220 $-27 16¢ $-36 $-9 07-16 05:23
Aligned FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -34 $-31 95¢ $-32 $-2 07-09 12:14
Will the Houston Astros clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No -28 $-18 72¢ $-20 $-2 07-04 13:51
Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes +390 $45 5¢ $19 $-25 07-18 01:07
Neutrl FDV above $20M one day after launch? Yes -20 $-14 66¢ $-13 +$1 07-05 22:13
Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -187 $-43 7¢ $-13 +$30 07-06 05:44
Will the St. Louis Cardinals clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No +20 $14 64¢ $13 $-1 07-18 13:27
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -25 $-12 52¢ $-13 $-1 07-11 23:40
Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? No +30 $14 42¢ $12 $-1 07-19 10:49
Will the US federal government take a stake in TikTok USDS Joint Venture LLC or Bytedance? Yes +185 $20 6¢ $11 $-9 07-14 12:43
Will SoundHound AI announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +9 $10 93¢ $8 $-2 07-18 03:49
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch? Yes +30 $8 22¢ $6 $-2 07-06 06:37
Will the San Francisco Giants clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No -6 $-6 99¢ $-6 $-0 06-29 03:33
Haiti elections delayed again? No +50 $15 10¢ $5 $-10 07-09 23:07
Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026? Yes +378 $43 1¢ $4 $-39 07-14 23:50
Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -67 $-5 6¢ $-4 +$1 06-29 10:05
Ostium FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes +81 $6 4¢ $3 $-3 07-16 05:47
Will Marine Tondelier be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +14 $5 23¢ $3 $-2 07-18 20:29
Xi meets with Lee Jae-Myung by December 31? No +20 $5 10¢ $2 $-3 07-03 13:37
New COVID variant of concern before 2027? No +2 $3 82¢ $1 $-1 07-08 23:05