Realized P&L
-$19.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$14
Hit rate
3.5%
Resolved
3,717
Trades
31,014
lifetime
Volume
$1.46M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$47
Open exposure
$816
16 positions
First seen
2026-06-28
last 10-27 21:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 117 days
Categories
Other
61% 4% -$11,772
Politics
24% 4% -$4,897
Sports
9% 4% -$1,032
Tech
4% 5% -$1,314
Crypto
2% 5% -$75
Pop-Culture
0% 6% -$16
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 734 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +393 $327 91¢ $359 +$32 08-06 09:24
Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? No +200 $156 70¢ $139 -$17 10-27 10:38
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No -130 -$100 82¢ $-106 -$6 07-30 16:58
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes +160 $96 57¢ $91 -$5 08-06 01:19
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes -117 -$34 44¢ $-51 -$17 07-27 20:16
will openais valuation hit low 800b by december 31 852 948 Yes -476 -$184 6¢ $-26 +$158 07-14 10:27
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat? Yes +400 $60 3¢ $12 -$48 07-31 02:59
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -25 -$12 46¢ $-12 +$0 07-11 23:40
Blue tsunami in 2026? No +24 $15 40¢ $10 -$5 08-07 01:55
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI -220 -$23 3¢ $-7 +$16 07-24 17:27
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +3 $92 82¢ $3 -$89 08-08 01:41
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30? No +20 $3 8¢ $2 -$1 10-27 07:42
StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch? No +0 $1 98¢ $0 -$1 08-05 11:04
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? No +0 $1 98¢ $0 -$1 07-08 12:01
Will Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? Yes +0 $0 7¢ $0 $0 08-04 08:03
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +0 $2 12¢ $0 -$2 07-20 22:49