Realized P&L (7d)
-$3.47K
Unrealized P&L
+$102
Hit rate
0.8%
Resolved (7d)
605
Trades (7d)
48
31,080 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$826
$1.47M lifetime
Avg / trade
$47
Open exposure
$699
14 positions
First seen
2026-06-28
last 11-02 00:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 125 days
Categories
Other
61% 4% -$14,724
Politics
24% 4% -$5,492
Sports
9% 4% -$1,048
Tech
4% 5% -$1,343
Crypto
2% 5% -$76
Pop-Culture
0% 5% -$49
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 557 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +393 $327 88¢ $347 +$19 08-06 09:24
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No -130 -$100 76¢ $-99 +$1 07-30 16:58
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-23 House seat? Yes +400 $60 23¢ $91 +$31 07-31 02:59
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes +160 $96 52¢ $83 -$13 08-06 01:19
will openais valuation hit low 800b by december 31 852 948 Yes -476 -$184 9¢ $-43 +$141 07-14 10:27
Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat? Yes +20 $12 96¢ $19 +$7 07-30 09:57
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -25 -$12 42¢ $-10 +$2 07-11 23:40
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI -220 -$23 2¢ $-5 +$19 07-24 17:27
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +3 $92 81¢ $3 -$89 08-08 01:41
StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch? No +0 $1 98¢ $0 -$1 08-05 11:04
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027? No +0 $12 100¢ $0 -$12 07-25 23:07
Will Anthropic's market cap be $3.0T or greater at market close on IPO day? No +0 $1 99¢ $0 -$1 07-08 12:01
Will Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? Yes +0 $0 8¢ $0 $0 08-04 08:03
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +0 $2 11¢ $0 -$2 07-20 22:49