(anonymous) 0xc3fca0…54484a Create alert
whale cold 21L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
-$5.15K
Unrealized P&L
+$91
Hit rate
1.1%
Resolved (30d)
877
Trades (30d)
742
31,080 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$14.9K
$1.47M lifetime
Avg / trade
$47
Open exposure
$2.84K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-28
last 11-02 00:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 134 days
Categories
Other
61% 4% -$15,395
Politics
24% 4% -$5,751
Sports
9% 4% -$1,055
Tech
4% 5% -$1,225
Crypto
2% 6% -$80
Pop-Culture
0% 5% -$49
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 557 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +393 $327 83¢ $328 +$0 08-06 09:24
Will Labour Party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election by 10-15%? No +268 $255 99¢ $265 +$10 08-07 23:11
Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026? No +286 $259 74¢ $213 -$47 07-31 04:20
Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +188 $166 99¢ $186 +$20 08-08 02:02
fcc revokes a major network broadcast license by december 31 2026 20260717235625543 No +178 $193 97¢ $174 -$19 08-07 22:33
Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? No -200 -$115 80¢ $-159 -$44 07-10 10:48
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026? No +494 $73 31¢ $151 +$78 08-07 11:23
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes +160 $96 74¢ $118 +$21 08-06 01:19
will the nebraska 2026 senate race be within 5 20260727153827329 No +133 $90 84¢ $112 +$22 07-30 03:48
Will there be no next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026? No +384 $142 29¢ $111 -$31 08-01 18:38
Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? No +132 $130 84¢ $111 -$19 08-04 17:23
Will no one dissent the December Fed decision? Yes +150 $70 72¢ $108 +$38 07-31 07:36
Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026? Yes +200 $131 52¢ $105 -$26 08-05 03:06
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No -130 -$100 76¢ $-98 +$2 07-30 16:58
Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027? Yes +100 $90 77¢ $77 -$13 08-02 11:12
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -110 -$52 70¢ $-76 -$25 08-05 05:37
Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy? No +84 $81 82¢ $69 -$13 08-05 19:53
will the highest score achieved by a spacexai grok model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 55 or higher 20260723191456652 No +70 $50 85¢ $60 +$9 08-04 22:21
will the highest score achieved by a google gemini model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 70 or higher 20260723192605550 No +54 $49 97¢ $52 +$4 08-08 02:43
Will Caleb Wilson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? No -49 -$45 97¢ $-48 -$3 06-28 21:47
will the michigan 2026 senate race be within 5 20260727153827324 No +36 $14 98¢ $35 +$21 07-30 03:31
Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +52 $20 65¢ $34 +$14 08-07 16:35
will openais valuation hit low 800b by december 31 852 948 Yes -476 -$184 6¢ $-31 +$153 07-14 10:27
Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +29 $26 98¢ $28 +$2 08-07 18:33
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026? Yes +563 $46 4¢ $24 -$22 08-06 20:03
Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +106 $40 22¢ $23 -$17 08-01 22:05
jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by december 31 Yes +61 $30 22¢ $14 -$17 08-07 10:36
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -25 -$12 40¢ $-10 +$2 07-11 23:40
Will The Odyssey win Best Cinematography at the 99th Academy Awards? No +20 $12 46¢ $9 -$2 08-06 19:23
will raphal glucksmann advance to the second round of the next french presidential election Yes +150 $16 6¢ $9 -$7 07-23 00:44