(anonymous) 0xc3fca0…54484a Create alert
whale cold 21L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (30d)
-$5.18K
Unrealized P&L
+$217
Hit rate
1.1%
Resolved (30d)
890
Trades (30d)
742
31,080 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$14.9K
$1.47M lifetime
Avg / trade
$47
Open exposure
$2.81K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-28
last 11-02 00:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 135 days
Categories
Other
61% 4% -$15,402
Politics
24% 4% -$5,778
Sports
9% 4% -$1,055
Tech
4% 5% -$1,225
Crypto
2% 6% -$80
Pop-Culture
0% 5% -$49
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 557 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +393 $327 83¢ $325 -$3 08-06 09:24
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026? No +494 $73 48¢ $235 +$162 08-07 11:23
Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026? No +286 $259 78¢ $225 -$35 07-31 04:20
Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? No +188 $166 99¢ $186 +$20 08-08 02:02
fcc revokes a major network broadcast license by december 31 2026 20260717235625543 No +178 $193 97¢ $174 -$19 08-07 22:33
Will Peter Obi win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? No -200 -$115 78¢ $-155 -$40 07-10 10:48
Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026? Yes +200 $131 64¢ $129 -$2 08-05 03:06
will the nebraska 2026 senate race be within 5 20260727153827329 No +133 $90 92¢ $122 +$32 07-30 03:48
Will no one dissent the December Fed decision? Yes +150 $70 82¢ $122 +$52 07-31 07:36
Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026? Yes +160 $96 74¢ $119 +$23 08-06 01:19
Will there be no next High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina in 2026? No +384 $142 29¢ $111 -$31 08-01 18:38
Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched athlete on Google this year? No +132 $130 84¢ $111 -$19 08-04 17:23
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? No -130 -$100 79¢ $-102 -$2 07-30 16:58
openai criminally charged in the us in 2026 20260724161916206 No +89 $80 88¢ $78 -$3 07-24 22:16
Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027? Yes +100 $90 77¢ $77 -$13 08-02 11:12
Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -110 -$52 69¢ $-76 -$24 08-05 05:37
Will Elly Schlein be the next Prime Minister of Italy? No +84 $81 82¢ $69 -$13 08-05 19:53
will the highest score achieved by a spacexai grok model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 55 or higher 20260723191456652 No +70 $50 85¢ $60 +$9 08-04 22:21
will the highest score achieved by a google gemini model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 70 or higher 20260723192605550 No +54 $49 97¢ $52 +$4 08-08 02:43
Will Caleb Wilson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? No -49 -$45 96¢ $-47 -$3 06-28 21:47
will openais valuation hit low 800b by december 31 852 948 Yes -476 -$184 8¢ $-40 +$144 07-14 10:27
will the michigan 2026 senate race be within 5 20260727153827324 No +36 $14 98¢ $35 +$21 07-30 03:31
Will Wild Horse Nine win Best Original Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards? Yes +52 $20 65¢ $34 +$14 08-07 16:35
Abstract FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +29 $26 98¢ $28 +$2 08-07 18:33
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026? Yes +563 $46 4¢ $24 -$22 08-06 20:03
Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +106 $40 18¢ $19 -$21 08-01 22:05
Relay FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -30 -$14 50¢ $-15 -$2 07-25 06:49
jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by december 31 Yes +61 $30 23¢ $14 -$16 08-07 10:36
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +22 $13 57¢ $13 -$1 08-03 13:41
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -25 -$12 42¢ $-10 +$2 07-11 23:40