Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
1,174
lifetime
Volume
$3.16K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$57
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 06-11 14:29
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
94%
Politics
5%
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes -85 $-12 15¢ $-12 $-0 06-11 08:30
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +60 $6 10¢ $6 $-0 06-11 08:31
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $12 14¢ $5 $-7 06-10 19:28
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +79 $5 $5 +$0 06-10 19:30
Will ByteDance have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $5 10¢ $5 $-0 06-11 08:31
Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +56 $5 $5 $-0 06-11 08:33
Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +56 $5 $5 $-0 06-11 08:33
Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +57 $4 $4 $-0 06-11 08:33
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +42 $4 $4 $-0 06-11 09:27
Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +34 $3 $3 $-0 06-11 09:26
Will Microsoft have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +30 $3 10¢ $3 $-0 06-11 09:26
Will Amazon have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $1 10¢ $1 $-0 06-11 22:51
Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026? Yes -1 $-0 23¢ $-0 $-0 06-02 17:46
Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo? Yes -4 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-02 17:46