Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$9
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
1,585
lifetime
Volume
$5.32K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$79
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 07-02 05:37
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
97%
Politics
3%
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +177 $17 10¢ $17 +$0 07-02 08:37
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes -96 $-13 14¢ $-13 $-0 07-02 08:48
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $6 30¢ $6 $-0 07-01 11:24
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +84 $5 $5 +$0 06-25 14:53
Will ByteDance have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $5 10¢ $5 $-0 06-11 08:31
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +56 $5 $5 $-0 06-17 09:53
Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +56 $5 $5 $-0 06-11 08:33
Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +56 $5 $5 $-0 06-11 08:33
Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +57 $4 $4 $-0 06-11 08:33
Will Kash Patel be arrested before 2027? Yes -60 $-2 $-3 $-1 06-16 18:52
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +21 $10 16¢ $3 $-7 07-01 19:45
Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +34 $3 $3 $-0 06-11 09:26
Will Microsoft have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +30 $3 10¢ $3 $-0 06-11 09:26
Will Amazon have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +21 $2 10¢ $2 $-0 06-12 09:40
Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026? Yes -1 $-0 18¢ $-0 +$0 06-02 17:46
Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo? Yes -4 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-02 17:46