Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$35
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
2,794
lifetime
Volume
$12.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$64
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 07-22 12:46
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
98%
Politics
1%
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 108 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Meta have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes -88 $-9 12¢ $-10 $-1 07-19 10:59
Will Meituan have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +140 $9 $9 +$0 07-15 18:43
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes -60 $1 12¢ $-7 $-8 07-18 01:20
Will Baidu have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +107 $10 $7 $-3 07-14 12:18
Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $11 $7 $-5 07-10 19:20
Will Z.ai have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +72 $6 $6 $-0 07-21 19:50
Will ByteDance have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +51 $5 10¢ $5 $-0 07-18 23:53
Will Amazon have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $7 $4 $-3 07-10 19:21
Will Microsoft have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $7 $4 $-4 07-10 19:21
Will Kash Patel be arrested before 2027? Yes -60 $-2 $-3 $-1 06-16 18:52
Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +21 $3 $2 $-1 07-15 16:22
Will Apple stop selling MacBook Neo? Yes -4 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-02 17:46
Will Kanye West and Bianca Censori separate in 2026? Yes -1 $-0 12¢ $-0 +$0 06-02 17:46
Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 $9 $-0 $-9 07-07 11:41