Will Amazon have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$2,700
Trades
90
Unique wallets
23
Liquidity
$1,733
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-16 23:49
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-7.2¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $433
vs crowd: 7% YES on $1.8K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $39 | $547 | $509 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $28 | $1.0K | $1.0K |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $58 | $30 | +$27 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | $2 | $12 | $10 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $433 | $433 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $12 | $96 | $84 |
| Median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Below median | 4 | $33 | $58 | $24 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $8 | $82 | $74 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $9 | $906 | $897 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $31 | $36 | $5 |
| unranked | 4 | $33 | $17 | +$16 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | +678 | $616 | $1,145 | 9 | 07-16 23:49 |
| Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | +222 | $18 | $21 | 4 | 07-15 16:18 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +123 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 07-07 06:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +83 | $6 | $6 | 2 | 07-07 06:22 |
| Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | +70 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 07-07 06:17 |
| Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | No | +70 | $64 | $64 | 1 | 07-07 06:17 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +60 | $5 | $5 | 3 | 07-07 06:22 |
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | +53 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 05-28 06:30 |
| Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | +50 | $7 | $55 | 11 | 07-10 19:21 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +50 | $45 | $45 | 4 | 07-06 20:58 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | +21 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-07 06:17 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-07 06:17 |
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-08 19:24 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-11 09:26 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-16 23:49:07 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0x584dd5… |
| 07-16 23:49:07 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x584dd5… |
| 07-15 16:18:26 | Ripe-Pod 0xd038…3142 | No | SELL | 3 | 92¢ | $3 | 0x98d8f8… |
| 07-15 16:18:26 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 3 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x98d8f8… |
| 07-14 12:18:55 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0xcd52c6… |
| 07-14 12:18:55 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 100 | 93¢ | $93 | 0xcd52c6… |
| 07-13 10:58:56 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 50 | 93¢ | $46 | 0xb860c7… |
| 07-13 10:58:56 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 7¢ | $4 | 0xb860c7… |
| 07-11 17:41:07 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 14 | 93¢ | $13 | 0x05aa08… |
| 07-11 17:41:07 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x05aa08… |
| 07-10 19:21:37 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | SELL | 101 | 93¢ | $94 | 0x7f9b3e… |
| 07-10 19:21:37 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | SELL | 101 | 7¢ | $7 | 0x7f9b3e… |
| 07-07 06:22:38 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xb23b6d… |
| 07-07 06:22:38 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xb23b6d… |
| 07-07 06:22:37 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x94ab4d… |
| 07-07 06:22:37 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x94ab4d… |
| 07-07 06:22:37 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 40 | 92¢ | $37 | 0x94ab4d… |
| 07-07 06:21:23 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0xf144cc… |
| 07-07 06:21:23 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xf144cc… |
| 07-07 06:21:23 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 388 | 92¢ | $357 | 0xf144cc… |
| 07-07 06:21:23 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 225 | 8¢ | $18 | 0xf144cc… |
| 07-07 06:21:23 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 63 | 8¢ | $5 | 0xf144cc… |
| 07-07 06:21:23 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xf144cc… |
| 07-07 06:17:17 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x11a6b0… |
| 07-07 06:17:17 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 9¢ | $9 | 0x11a6b0… |
| 07-07 06:17:17 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | No | BUY | 70 | 92¢ | $64 | 0x2d8a0a… |
| 07-07 06:17:17 | Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 9¢ | $6 | 0x11a6b0… |
| 07-07 06:17:17 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | Yes | BUY | 21 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x11a6b0… |
| 07-07 06:17:17 | Haunting-Rubric 0xdb40…3612 | No | SELL | 36 | 92¢ | $33 | 0x2d8a0a… |
| 07-07 06:17:17 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 334 | 91¢ | $304 | 0x11a6b0… |
| 07-07 06:17:17 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x2d8a0a… |
| 07-07 06:17:17 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 123 | 9¢ | $11 | 0x11a6b0… |
| 07-06 22:45:25 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x7bdb46… |
| 07-06 22:45:25 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x7bdb46… |
| 07-06 22:44:58 | Haunting-Rubric 0xdb40…3612 | No | SELL | 50 | 91¢ | $46 | 0xde7abd… |
| 07-06 22:44:58 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 9¢ | $9 | 0xde7abd… |
| 07-06 22:44:58 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xde7abd… |
| 07-06 22:44:58 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xde7abd… |
| 07-06 22:44:58 | Productive-Brooch 0x34af…bd55 | No | BUY | 200 | 91¢ | $182 | 0xde7abd… |
| 07-06 22:44:58 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 9¢ | $2 | 0xde7abd… |
| 07-06 20:58:17 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0xc190b7… |
| 07-06 20:58:17 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xc190b7… |
| 07-06 20:27:47 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xf09e10… |
| 07-06 20:27:47 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xf09e10… |
| 06-12 09:40:27 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x3e101b… |
| 06-12 09:40:27 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x3e101b… |
| 06-11 22:51:36 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | SELL | 39 | 10¢ | $4 | 0xd03916… |
| 06-11 22:51:36 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 39 | 90¢ | $35 | 0xd03916… |
| 06-11 09:26:45 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 15 | 90¢ | $14 | 0xb26a9c… |
| 06-11 09:26:45 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xb26a9c… |
| 06-11 09:26:45 | Critical-Hurdle 0x997a…4cbe | No | SELL | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0xb26a9c… |
| 06-11 09:26:18 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xaae113… |
| 06-11 09:26:18 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xaae113… |
| 06-11 09:25:43 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x632501… |
| 06-11 09:25:43 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x632501… |
| 06-11 09:25:43 | Critical-Hurdle 0x997a…4cbe | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x632501… |
| 06-11 08:32:28 | Haunting-Rubric 0xdb40…3612 | No | BUY | 50 | 90¢ | $45 | 0xd4ce29… |
| 06-11 08:32:28 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xd4ce29… |
| 06-08 19:24:37 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xd80205… |
| 06-08 19:24:37 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0xd80205… |
| 06-07 15:37:16 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | SELL | 23 | 91¢ | $21 | 0x35e177… |
| 06-07 15:37:16 | Haunting-Rubric 0xdb40…3612 | No | BUY | 23 | 91¢ | $21 | 0x35e177… |
| 06-07 15:36:52 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | No | SELL | 13 | 91¢ | $12 | 0x9f5a9c… |
| 06-07 15:36:52 | Haunting-Rubric 0xdb40…3612 | No | BUY | 13 | 91¢ | $12 | 0x9f5a9c… |
| 06-07 15:33:52 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | No | BUY | 13 | 92¢ | $12 | 0xa40ab9… |
| 06-07 15:33:52 | Thunderous-Casserole 0x3860…7877 | No | SELL | 13 | 92¢ | $12 | 0xa40ab9… |
| 06-07 15:33:22 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 39 | 92¢ | $36 | 0x5d5bb6… |
| 06-07 15:33:22 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 175 | 8¢ | $14 | 0x5d5bb6… |
| 06-07 15:33:22 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x5d5bb6… |
| 06-07 15:33:22 | Haunting-Rubric 0xdb40…3612 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x5d5bb6… |
| 06-07 15:33:22 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | BUY | 23 | 92¢ | $21 | 0x5d5bb6… |
| 06-07 15:33:22 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | SELL | 150 | 8¢ | $12 | 0x5d5bb6… |
| 06-07 15:33:22 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | Yes | SELL | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x5d5bb6… |
| 06-07 15:33:22 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0x5d5bb6… |
| 06-07 15:33:22 | Impartial-Harmonize 0xb89f…1c44 | No | SELL | 471 | 92¢ | $433 | 0x5d5bb6… |
| 06-05 22:59:49 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xa8f466… |
| 06-05 22:59:49 | Impartial-Harmonize 0xb89f…1c44 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xa8f466… |
| 05-28 06:30:15 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 7¢ | $4 | 0xda1211… |
| 05-28 06:30:15 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xda1211… |
| 05-28 06:30:15 | Haunting-Rubric 0xdb40…3612 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xda1211… |
| 05-28 04:35:38 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xc9cbcd… |
| 05-28 04:35:38 | Thunderous-Casserole 0x3860…7877 | No | BUY | 13 | 93¢ | $12 | 0xc9cbcd… |
| 05-28 04:35:18 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x6d9e15… |
| 05-28 04:35:18 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x6d9e15… |
| 05-28 04:35:18 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x6d9e15… |
| 05-28 04:35:18 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x6d9e15… |
| 05-28 04:35:18 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x6d9e15… |
| 05-28 04:35:18 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x6d9e15… |
| 05-28 04:35:18 | Impartial-Harmonize 0xb89f…1c44 | No | BUY | 466 | 92¢ | $428 | 0x6d9e15… |
| 05-28 04:35:18 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 8¢ | $12 | 0x6d9e15… |