Will Amazon have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,292
Trades
46
Unique wallets
16
Liquidity
$1,733
Latest YES mid
9¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-12 09:40
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-5.8¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $433
vs crowd: 6% YES on $716)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $3 | $547 | $544 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $11 | $80 | $69 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $9 | $35 | $26 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | $18 | $12 | +$6 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $433 | $433 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $6 | $96 | $91 |
| Below median | 3 | $9 | $49 | $40 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $18 | $18 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $7 | $26 | $18 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $2 | $36 | $35 |
| unranked | 3 | $18 | $17 | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haunting-Rubric 0xdb40…3612 | No | +86 | $78 | $78 | 3 | 06-11 08:32 |
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | +53 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 05-28 06:30 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +40 | $36 | $36 | 3 | 06-11 09:26 |
| Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | +21 | $2 | $34 | 5 | 06-12 09:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-28 04:35 |
| Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 06-08 19:24 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-11 09:26 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-12 09:40:27 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x3e101b… |
| 06-12 09:40:27 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x3e101b… |
| 06-11 22:51:36 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | SELL | 39 | 90¢ | $35 | 0xd03916… |
| 06-11 22:51:36 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | SELL | 39 | 10¢ | $4 | 0xd03916… |
| 06-11 09:26:45 | Critical-Hurdle 0x997a…4cbe | No | SELL | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0xb26a9c… |
| 06-11 09:26:45 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 15 | 90¢ | $14 | 0xb26a9c… |
| 06-11 09:26:45 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xb26a9c… |
| 06-11 09:26:18 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xaae113… |
| 06-11 09:26:18 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xaae113… |
| 06-11 09:25:43 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x632501… |
| 06-11 09:25:43 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x632501… |
| 06-11 09:25:43 | Critical-Hurdle 0x997a…4cbe | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x632501… |
| 06-11 08:32:28 | Haunting-Rubric 0xdb40…3612 | No | BUY | 50 | 90¢ | $45 | 0xd4ce29… |
| 06-11 08:32:28 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xd4ce29… |
| 06-08 19:24:37 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xd80205… |
| 06-08 19:24:37 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0xd80205… |
| 06-07 15:37:16 | Haunting-Rubric 0xdb40…3612 | No | BUY | 23 | 91¢ | $21 | 0x35e177… |
| 06-07 15:37:16 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | SELL | 23 | 91¢ | $21 | 0x35e177… |
| 06-07 15:36:52 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | No | SELL | 13 | 91¢ | $12 | 0x9f5a9c… |
| 06-07 15:36:52 | Haunting-Rubric 0xdb40…3612 | No | BUY | 13 | 91¢ | $12 | 0x9f5a9c… |
| 06-07 15:33:52 | (anonymous) 0x30b8…fbf3 | No | BUY | 13 | 92¢ | $12 | 0xa40ab9… |
| 06-07 15:33:52 | Thunderous-Casserole 0x3860…7877 | No | SELL | 13 | 92¢ | $12 | 0xa40ab9… |
| 06-07 15:33:22 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | BUY | 23 | 92¢ | $21 | 0x5d5bb6… |
| 06-07 15:33:22 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x5d5bb6… |
| 06-07 15:33:22 | Haunting-Rubric 0xdb40…3612 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x5d5bb6… |
| 06-07 15:33:22 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0x5d5bb6… |
| 06-07 15:33:22 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | No | BUY | 39 | 92¢ | $36 | 0x5d5bb6… |
| 06-07 15:33:22 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | SELL | 175 | 8¢ | $14 | 0x5d5bb6… |
| 06-07 15:33:22 | Impartial-Harmonize 0xb89f…1c44 | No | SELL | 471 | 92¢ | $433 | 0x5d5bb6… |
| 06-07 15:33:22 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | SELL | 150 | 8¢ | $12 | 0x5d5bb6… |
| 06-07 15:33:22 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | Yes | SELL | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x5d5bb6… |
| 06-05 22:59:49 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xa8f466… |
| 06-05 22:59:49 | Impartial-Harmonize 0xb89f…1c44 | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xa8f466… |
| 05-28 06:30:15 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 7¢ | $4 | 0xda1211… |
| 05-28 06:30:15 | Haunting-Rubric 0xdb40…3612 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 7¢ | $2 | 0xda1211… |
| 05-28 06:30:15 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xda1211… |
| 05-28 04:35:38 | Thunderous-Casserole 0x3860…7877 | No | BUY | 13 | 93¢ | $12 | 0xc9cbcd… |
| 05-28 04:35:38 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xc9cbcd… |
| 05-28 04:35:18 | Tight-Email 0x8a21…fec3 | Yes | BUY | 150 | 8¢ | $12 | 0x6d9e15… |
| 05-28 04:35:18 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x6d9e15… |
| 05-28 04:35:18 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x6d9e15… |
| 05-28 04:35:18 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x6d9e15… |
| 05-28 04:35:18 | Straight-Hunting 0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x6d9e15… |
| 05-28 04:35:18 | Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | Yes | BUY | 20 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x6d9e15… |
| 05-28 04:35:18 | Ambitious-Society 0x3659…0451 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x6d9e15… |
| 05-28 04:35:18 | Impartial-Harmonize 0xb89f…1c44 | No | BUY | 466 | 92¢ | $428 | 0x6d9e15… |