Solid-Doctrine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.11K

Unrealized P&L

+$71

Hit rate

95.1%

Resolved

182

Trades

592

lifetime

Volume

$73.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$124

Open exposure

$1.05K

7 positions

First seen

2026-01-24

last 09-12 06:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 75 days

Categories

Other

77% 86% +$790

Politics

19% 88% +$263

Tech

2% 86% +$29

Sports

1% 100% +$18

Crypto

1% 89% +$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	+746	$646	92¢	$684	+$38	05-01 13:03
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	+200	$182	98¢	$196	+$13	05-09 01:24
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+100	$85	98¢	$98	+$13	08-07 14:07
Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+26	$24	97¢	$25	+$1	06-14 18:03
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	+21	$20	99¢	$21	+$1	07-12 02:18
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	Yes	-225	-$20	6¢	$-15	+$5	06-29 06:24
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	+10	$9	96¢	$10	+$0	07-12 02:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	16	$12.3K	12,261	500	+11,761	Yes	+$417	03-18 06:52
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	63	$10.9K	11,345	0	+11,345	Yes	+$399	06-17 00:32
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	27	$9.0K	9,237	0	+9,237	Yes	+$209	04-24 15:11
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	13	$7.4K	5,352	2,150	+3,202	Yes	+$113	03-02 09:16
will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	25	$2.0K	2,069	0	+2,069	No	+$53	03-23 11:15
spx opens up or down on march 2 2026	17	$1.8K	1,795	0	+1,795	Down	+$32	03-02 13:46
sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	11	$1.5K	1,515	0	+1,515	No	+$30	03-23 11:03
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	6	$1.3K	660	660	+0	Yes	-$3	04-05 15:07
will gold gc hit high 5400 by end of march	3	$1.2K	1,200	0	+1,200	No	+$19	03-24 03:15
spx opens up or down on march 3 2026	16	$1.0K	1,060	0	+1,060	Down	+$25	03-03 10:21
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	7	$866	949	0	+949	Yes	+$83	07-21 12:54
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	8	$866	904	0	+904	No	+$38	03-23 01:02
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	7	$812	840	0	+840	Yes	+$28	05-09 08:09
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 323	6	$785	800	0	+800	Yes	+$15	03-24 12:14
will trump visit china by march 31	7	$764	773	0	+773	No	+$10	03-25 14:06
AI bubble burst in 2026?	4	$646	746	0	+746	open	—	05-01 13:03
will nvda dip to 176 in july 2026	1	$600	606	0	+606	No	+$6	07-30 01:15
trump out as president by march 31	2	$595	600	0	+600	No	+$5	03-24 12:14
will gas hit low 3pt10 by march 31	7	$571	586	0	+586	No	+$15	03-26 15:03
will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	7	$565	398	178	+220	Yes	+$3	02-03 00:25
will crude oil cl hit low 60 by end of march 293 652 791 525 614 229 628 379 727 681 774	7	$534	545	0	+545	No	+$11	03-20 09:07
mu quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 18 2026 8pt58	7	$512	520	0	+520	Yes	+$9	03-18 06:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	6	$510	520	0	+520	No	+$10	04-02 19:49
will us or israel strike iran on march 3 2026	1	$499	500	0	+500	Yes	+$1	03-03 08:44
ByteDance IPO before 2027?	4	$465	500	0	+500	open	—	07-31 04:47
will googl reach 410 in july 2026	6	$417	450	0	+450	No	+$33	07-14 21:00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	4	$414	456	456	+0	No	-$231	09-12 06:21
will the reserve bank of india make no change to the policy repo rate after the april meeting	5	$408	411	0	+411	Yes	+$3	04-07 15:04
will gas hit low 3pt15 by march 31	1	$392	400	0	+400	No	+$8	03-23 05:24
will amzn reach 276 in march	7	$389	396	0	+396	No	+$7	03-20 08:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-12 06:21:57	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	456	20¢	$91	0x40b988…
08-26 03:21:03	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x3f5977…
08-18 12:01:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	306	72¢	$220	0x879282…
08-18 03:55:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632 895 372 622 413 171 454	Yes	SELL	200	53¢	$106	0xcdc06c…
08-15 04:58:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x68814e…
08-10 21:54:51	will amzn dip to 248 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xb1a58a…
08-07 14:07:39	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x70f03f…
08-07 13:01:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0x586c8a…
08-06 12:59:29	us announces end of iranian blockade by october 31 2026 20260727171711632	Yes	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0x9ec853…
08-04 05:02:38	will amzn reach 296 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0xcc0a87…
08-04 05:00:38	Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate after the August Meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xc95c56…
07-31 04:47:23	ByteDance IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x4d075e…
07-31 04:46:35	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	200	19¢	$38	0xdeaea7…
07-30 07:27:17	will amzn dip to 204 by july 27 2026	No	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x5a3d17…
07-30 03:10:33	Will Amazon have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x23ce16…
07-30 03:10:24	Will Amazon have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xd7462a…
07-30 02:48:45	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	199	91¢	$181	0xc32882…
07-30 02:48:11	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	0	91¢	$0	0x2d90e8…
07-30 02:46:02	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x6b6432…
07-30 01:17:14	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0xed1f40…
07-30 01:15:23	will nvda dip to 176 in july 2026	No	BUY	606	99¢	$600	0x7e5268…
07-21 12:54:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x22268b…
07-16 07:12:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xa00ed3…
07-14 23:34:44	will amzn dip to 200 in july 2026	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xe96d1d…
07-14 21:00:23	will googl reach 410 in july 2026	No	BUY	141	93¢	$130	0xa81b12…
07-14 19:56:55	will googl reach 410 in july 2026	No	BUY	18	93¢	$16	0xa819ca…
07-14 18:56:40	will googl reach 410 in july 2026	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x17f761…
07-14 15:00:53	will googl reach 410 in july 2026	No	BUY	250	93¢	$232	0x9b25c5…
07-14 14:05:58	will googl reach 410 in july 2026	No	BUY	16	93¢	$15	0x9634e8…
07-14 12:49:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xcf2467…
07-14 12:27:59	will googl reach 410 in july 2026	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xf8b505…
07-14 12:27:05	will amzn reach 288 in july 2026	No	BUY	58	88¢	$51	0xd297df…
07-13 02:26:44	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 spread away 1pt5	France	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0x920aed…
07-12 02:29:38	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xbcca17…
07-12 02:18:46	Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x3eac17…
07-12 02:16:05	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0x5d8460…
07-11 13:10:08	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 spread home 1pt5	England	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x2fa793…
07-11 11:51:40	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 spread home 1pt5	England	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x977ce6…
07-09 03:41:19	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 spread away 1pt5	France	BUY	42	96¢	$40	0xe353da…
07-09 03:35:37	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xc4cc4f…
07-09 03:35:22	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Spain	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xe5ef72…
07-09 03:35:07	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0xbc80a5…
07-07 01:30:01	Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	207	97¢	$200	0x4abdeb…
07-06 06:11:16	fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 team to advance	France	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xf70836…
07-06 06:10:58	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Spain	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x6c1ecf…
07-06 06:10:44	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0x7e0c7e…
07-06 01:20:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	333	90¢	$300	0xd8372a…
07-04 18:43:59	Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	203	98¢	$200	0x5f498d…
07-04 18:43:46	Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	41	98¢	$40	0xeaa814…
07-04 18:43:34	Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x01f21f…
07-04 18:43:08	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team to advance	France	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0x0f9094…
07-03 23:47:52	Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xec6853…
07-03 21:47:40	Will Argentina vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x173027…
07-03 21:46:59	fifwc arg cvi 2026 07 03 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x964d21…
07-03 05:00:44	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	220	91¢	$200	0x3f547a…
07-03 05:00:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	220	91¢	$200	0xa50540…
07-03 04:59:43	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xfde9e9…
07-03 04:58:49	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x4508e0…
07-02 09:05:49	ByteDance IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0xe262b9…
06-29 18:55:43	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	SELL	17	8¢	$1	0xac3c55…
06-29 06:25:26	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x86b5cb…
06-29 06:24:41	OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	Yes	SELL	225	9¢	$20	0x412fb3…
06-28 06:48:34	Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x8f2330…
06-28 06:48:13	Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0xd4895a…
06-28 06:47:40	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0xf44a50…
06-28 03:18:20	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x1b2073…
06-28 03:18:05	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xb133ca…
06-28 01:06:07	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	22	92¢	$20	0x84b77a…
06-27 07:45:52	Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x0e8082…
06-27 07:45:22	Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	23	86¢	$20	0xcadbc0…
06-27 07:44:26	Will England win on 2026-06-27?	Yes	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0xfac9fd…
06-26 23:57:56	Will Belgium win on 2026-06-26?	Yes	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0xde3e8a…
06-21 08:27:32	Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?	Yes	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0x2edb1d…
06-18 17:14:58	ByteDance IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	300	93¢	$279	0x366884…
06-18 17:14:41	ByteDance IPO before 2027?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xd7c233…
06-17 00:32:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x8f3e20…
06-16 06:57:07	Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	57	98¢	$55	0xf0a8e0…
06-16 05:35:10	Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0x40570d…
06-14 18:03:09	Will Anthropic’s market cap be $600B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	BUY	26	93¢	$24	0x174e30…
06-14 15:47:57	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x6602b9…
06-14 01:32:58	Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	20	17¢	$3	0xe8578e…
06-14 01:30:54	Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x557c75…
06-14 01:30:03	Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x509ee3…
05-24 03:41:14	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	98¢	$49	0x85eef0…
05-20 08:57:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	45	98¢	$44	0x6dceff…
05-18 07:11:33	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	50	99¢	$50	0x3a4c02…
05-16 03:08:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	700	98¢	$687	0x083bd6…
05-14 08:43:35	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0x79c89d…
05-14 08:43:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x154019…
05-14 08:41:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x16e1ec…
05-14 08:41:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xc26612…
05-14 08:38:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x4272d5…
05-14 08:37:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	58	98¢	$56	0xdf38ce…
05-14 01:15:25	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x35ba6c…
05-14 01:15:14	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$20	0x33e0cd…
05-14 01:15:13	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	179	99¢	$178	0x41fa84…
05-12 03:10:30	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x65f339…
05-11 06:16:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	600	97¢	$581	0xe8faf6…
05-09 10:35:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0xcbe64f…
05-09 10:35:20	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	51	97¢	$50	0x511cf7…