Realized P&L
-$4.14K
Unrealized P&L
-$297
Hit rate
20.2%
Resolved
268
Trades
51,448
lifetime
Volume
$1.03M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$2.03K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 06:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 26 days
Categories
Other
66% 24% $-3,622
Politics
26% 21% $-306
Sports
3% 0% $-88
Tech
2%
Crypto
2% 25% $-116
Pop-Culture
1% 0% $-4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 850 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +472 $100 30¢ $144 +$44 06-16 08:52
Will Slingshot launch a token by March 31, 2027? No +238 $90 53¢ $126 +$36 06-08 15:32
Will Rihanna perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? No +130 $125 96¢ $125 $-0 06-30 22:32
Will the Washington Nationals clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes -614 $-99 16¢ $-101 $-3 06-23 06:05
Will Brittany Mahomes attend Taylor Swift's wedding? Yes +104 $98 94¢ $98 $-0 06-30 22:20
Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2026? Yes +812 $130 11¢ $85 $-45 06-10 15:24
Will the Chicago Cubs clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? No -237 $-97 36¢ $-84 +$13 06-04 00:34
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +310 $99 24¢ $76 $-23 06-07 20:37
Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31? Yes +344 $84 21¢ $72 $-12 06-29 05:57
Arc FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +395 $98 18¢ $71 $-27 06-23 22:21
Will Brittany Mahomes be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids? No +71 $69 98¢ $69 +$0 06-30 21:23
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? Yes +807 $103 $69 $-34 06-08 18:40
Tom Holland as Spider-Man? No +165 $69 41¢ $68 $-2 06-12 11:01
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? Yes +589 $124 12¢ $68 $-56 06-15 18:17
Yoon out of custody before 2027? Yes -482 $-53 13¢ $-62 $-9 06-05 07:41
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +198 $71 30¢ $60 $-11 07-01 03:01
Hugh Jackman as Wolverine? Yes -71 $-58 84¢ $-60 $-2 06-14 18:38
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? Yes +248 $72 22¢ $56 $-16 06-26 02:33
Will OpenAI announce a head-mounted display in 2026? Yes +356 $65 16¢ $55 $-10 06-19 16:15
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -306 $-55 18¢ $-54 +$2 05-28 16:14
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? No +60 $49 86¢ $52 +$3 06-12 16:25
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No -69 $-45 70¢ $-49 $-4 05-30 02:26
Aligned FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +64 $50 76¢ $48 $-2 06-28 23:03
MLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season? No -52 $-46 84¢ $-43 +$3 05-30 21:28
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30? Yes -353 $-76 12¢ $-42 +$33 06-22 20:54
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes +980 $98 $41 $-57 06-21 16:16
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win more than 84.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? O 84.5 +130 $47 31¢ $40 $-7 06-03 01:52
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man? Yes -57 $-43 66¢ $-37 +$6 05-31 17:25
Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +378 $101 10¢ $37 $-64 06-27 04:18
SpaceX or OpenAI higher IPO Market Cap? OpenAI +717 $89 $36 $-53 06-25 22:10