Tangible-Fuel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.17K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

20.2%

Resolved

270

Trades

63,090

lifetime

Volume

$1.33M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 12:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Other

64% 24% $-3,622

Politics

26% 21% $-306

Sports

4% 0% $-88

Tech

3% — —

Crypto

2% 17% $-146

Pop-Culture

1% 0% $-4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 476 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	94	$4.1K	4,981	4,808	+173	open	—	08-03 00:01
us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	104	$3.8K	4,144	4,144	+0	open	—	08-11 11:22
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	108	$3.0K	3,006	3,006	+0	open	—	08-03 23:06
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	87	$2.9K	3,733	3,733	+0	open	—	04-25 15:02
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	58	$2.8K	3,191	3,191	+0	open	—	08-11 01:00
us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	66	$2.8K	2,863	2,863	+0	open	—	08-02 04:22
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?	191	$2.7K	3,592	3,714	-123	open	—	08-11 01:07
will gas hit high 4pt25 by march 31	73	$2.6K	2,707	2,707	+0	open	—	03-26 07:57
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	57	$2.5K	3,009	3,009	+0	open	—	07-25 03:25
Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?	66	$2.5K	4,045	4,045	+0	open	—	04-26 22:04
will tisza win at least 120 seats	77	$2.4K	2,480	2,480	+0	open	—	04-12 10:17
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	87	$2.3K	2,630	2,630	+0	open	—	04-11 19:50
iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	68	$2.2K	2,399	2,402	-2	open	—	07-24 01:11
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	43	$2.2K	2,354	2,354	+0	open	—	07-25 15:13
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 31 20260716224448968 384 155 519	32	$2.1K	2,527	2,527	+0	open	—	07-25 07:29
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896	35	$2.0K	2,017	2,017	+0	open	—	07-31 13:57
will amy madigan win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	63	$2.0K	2,075	2,075	+0	open	—	03-15 21:43
will iran strike israel on march 7	62	$1.8K	1,800	1,800	+0	open	—	03-06 14:28
andrew tate of tweets february 24 march 3 2026 100 129	80	$1.8K	2,156	2,156	+0	open	—	03-03 10:50
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	61	$1.7K	2,570	2,526	+44	open	—	01-15 12:52
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	45	$1.7K	1,986	1,988	-2	open	—	08-07 21:12
will monthly inflation increase by 0pt8 or more in march 692	48	$1.7K	3,270	3,170	+100	open	—	04-10 12:30
foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 775	46	$1.7K	1,725	1,541	+185	open	—	08-05 21:34
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	74	$1.6K	1,916	1,916	+0	open	—	03-12 00:47
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	47	$1.6K	1,914	1,914	+0	open	—	03-14 06:36
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	32	$1.6K	3,721	3,721	+0	open	—	08-10 01:01
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	46	$1.6K	1,742	1,742	+0	open	—	04-13 14:06
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	40	$1.6K	2,228	2,228	+0	open	—	07-11 18:09
elon musk of tweets march 2 march 4 40 64	43	$1.5K	1,507	1,507	+0	open	—	03-03 10:12
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	29	$1.5K	1,736	1,708	+28	open	—	01-24 23:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 13:40:34	will meta reach 660 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	119	20¢	$24	0xf996c6…
08-11 13:36:54	will meta reach 640 in august 2026	No	SELL	12	65¢	$8	0x21e476…
08-11 13:34:25	will hood reach 97 50 by august 10 2026	No	SELL	42	47¢	$20	0xc0c7f4…
08-11 13:31:49	will hood reach 100 in august 2026	No	SELL	100	28¢	$28	0x8956f2…
08-11 13:31:33	will rklb reach 94 by august 10 2026	Yes	SELL	68	12¢	$8	0x40ac6b…
08-11 12:57:10	Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0xd4d5c7…
08-11 12:52:52	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xd77f06…
08-11 12:52:10	Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	190	13¢	$25	0xbd25a6…
08-11 12:51:34	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	SELL	26	81¢	$21	0xdac345…
08-11 12:45:46	Will Dreamcash launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	247	9¢	$22	0x6d0776…
08-11 12:24:52	will saturn launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	294	28¢	$82	0xaef17c…
08-11 12:23:55	Will the Minnesota Twins clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0x81a7ae…
08-11 12:21:46	Will the Minnesota Twins clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0x1497e4…
08-11 12:21:04	Will the Minnesota Twins clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	SELL	84	25¢	$21	0x850db2…
08-11 12:20:54	Will the Minnesota Twins clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	SELL	8	25¢	$2	0x271dd9…
08-11 12:12:36	saturn fdv above 50m one day after launch 20260623191424367	No	SELL	28	24¢	$7	0x637088…
08-11 12:12:04	Will the Minnesota Twins clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	Yes	SELL	114	25¢	$29	0x01f55c…
08-11 12:09:31	Multipli.fi FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	382	26¢	$99	0xf9875f…
08-11 12:02:19	will ewy reach 171 by august 10 2026	No	SELL	8	44¢	$4	0xb21119…
08-11 12:02:19	will ewy reach 171 by august 10 2026	No	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x823113…
08-11 12:02:18	will ewy reach 171 by august 10 2026	No	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xc1329a…
08-11 12:02:18	will ewy reach 171 by august 10 2026	No	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x28f0fc…
08-11 12:02:16	will ewy reach 171 by august 10 2026	No	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x34abd2…
08-11 12:01:27	will ewy reach 171 by august 10 2026	No	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x9a5850…
08-11 12:01:27	will ewy reach 171 by august 10 2026	No	SELL	11	44¢	$5	0x5cba0f…
08-11 11:59:18	will ewy reach 171 by august 10 2026	No	SELL	3	44¢	$1	0x238bfc…
08-11 11:50:45	will papertrade launch a token by june 30 2027	No	SELL	270	8¢	$22	0x00e6b9…
08-11 11:45:33	will ewy reach 171 by august 10 2026	No	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x49a5d6…
08-11 11:37:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through december 31	No	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x856b1f…
08-11 11:30:03	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	103	27¢	$28	0x15e540…
08-11 11:24:00	will spy reach 790 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	23	42¢	$10	0xbcb14e…
08-11 11:23:24	will meta reach 640 in august 2026	No	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0xd986c5…
08-11 11:22:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 2	Yes	SELL	200	21¢	$42	0xe5388f…
08-11 11:09:07	will beezie launch a token by december 31 2026 20260727145732885	No	SELL	123	22¢	$27	0x22545d…
08-11 11:04:40	will russia enter dobropillia by december 31	Yes	BUY	26	80¢	$21	0xae930b…
08-11 11:02:15	will ewy reach 172 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x66d1eb…
08-11 11:02:09	will ewy reach 171 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	47	45¢	$21	0xca19b0…
08-11 11:01:10	will ewy reach 168 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	145	22¢	$32	0xb27478…
08-11 10:54:45	will hood reach 100 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0x04b2bd…
08-11 10:42:12	Cambria FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	335	21¢	$70	0x154a7a…
08-11 10:39:43	Will Puffpaw launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	65	77¢	$50	0x828ca0…
08-11 10:32:10	will the highest score achieved by an anthropic claude model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723190836287	No	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x176843…
08-11 10:32:07	will the highest score achieved by an anthropic claude model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723190836287	No	SELL	200	45¢	$90	0x80f04f…
08-11 10:31:19	will hood reach 97 50 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0x6fd100…
08-11 10:26:43	will ewy reach 167 by august 10 2026	No	SELL	1	16¢	$0	0xec5ef0…
08-11 10:26:13	will ewy reach 167 by august 10 2026	No	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0xce041d…
08-11 10:25:19	will spy dip to 765 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	212	47¢	$100	0x2c3e2a…
08-11 10:23:15	Will the San Diego Padres win more than 80.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?	U 80.5	BUY	213	32¢	$68	0x988d37…
08-11 10:13:18	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	SELL	62	16¢	$10	0x14a4fc…
08-11 09:46:54	Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	22¢	$22	0xea1929…
08-11 09:45:15	will mu dip to 810 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	33	39¢	$13	0x53f324…
08-11 09:39:25	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x273e17…
08-11 09:39:24	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xdb502e…
08-11 09:39:22	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x7bf54c…
08-11 09:39:21	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x12600a…
08-11 09:39:19	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xd576c0…
08-11 09:39:18	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x62a0a8…
08-11 09:39:16	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xc04fa6…
08-11 09:39:15	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xa8226f…
08-11 09:39:13	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x7e1078…
08-11 09:39:12	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x443a37…
08-11 09:39:10	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xb5ce67…
08-11 09:39:10	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x32727a…
08-11 09:39:09	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x837806…
08-11 09:39:06	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xdf360a…
08-11 09:39:06	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xce8b61…
08-11 09:39:04	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x646ab5…
08-11 09:39:03	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x1d29aa…
08-11 09:35:19	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	SELL	116	16¢	$19	0xc6db3d…
08-11 09:34:19	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x10839e…
08-11 09:34:19	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x0609b6…
08-11 09:34:18	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x3ab86e…
08-11 09:34:16	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xe7d825…
08-11 09:34:15	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xf18cea…
08-11 09:34:03	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x22e616…
08-11 09:34:01	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x564178…
08-11 09:34:00	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xc651a5…
08-11 09:33:58	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xc0e8e2…
08-11 09:33:57	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xa7ddb1…
08-11 09:33:54	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xbcc4e2…
08-11 09:33:52	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xba8dae…
08-11 09:33:51	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xbbe37f…
08-11 09:33:51	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x7236e4…
08-11 09:31:07	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	257	28¢	$72	0x7163b2…
08-11 08:48:52	will the dallas mavericks make the 2027 nba playoffs 20260708210742379	No	SELL	1	68¢	$1	0x2ecd5b…
08-11 08:43:52	will the phoenix suns make the 2027 nba playoffs 20260708210742396	No	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xf8b980…
08-11 08:22:12	Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau?	No	SELL	105	36¢	$38	0x0d8be0…
08-11 08:22:10	will sergio ramos attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630257	Yes	SELL	133	12¢	$16	0x209ca0…
08-11 08:05:01	will russia capture all of chasiv yar by september 30	Yes	SELL	60	39¢	$23	0xedbebb…
08-11 08:01:13	will russia capture sofiivka by december 31	Yes	BUY	16	70¢	$11	0x9cbb0e…
08-11 07:47:07	Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	11¢	$9	0x22545b…
08-11 07:37:51	Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?	OpenAI	BUY	392	16¢	$63	0xc632de…
08-11 07:37:18	Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	15¢	$7	0x47ee66…
08-11 07:37:07	Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?	Yes	SELL	90	15¢	$13	0xf3b610…
08-11 07:34:33	Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?	Yes	BUY	310	11¢	$35	0xd2c3bf…
08-11 07:07:42	will russia enter dobropillia by october 31	Yes	SELL	151	65¢	$98	0x2ee05e…
08-11 07:05:54	will russia capture mala tokmachka by december 31 2026	No	SELL	31	35¢	$11	0xc85f8a…
08-11 06:48:49	Will Valve add first CS2 operation by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	91	96¢	$87	0x1c2668…
08-11 06:42:09	will papertrade launch a token by june 30 2027	No	BUY	270	9¢	$23	0x470511…
08-11 06:40:09	will meta reach 640 in august 2026	No	BUY	13	63¢	$8	0xcc00a5…