Tangible-Fuel 0x6f679c…3f102c
whale cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$4.17K
Unrealized P&L
-$262
Hit rate
20.2%
Resolved
270
Trades
57,212
lifetime
Volume
$1.19M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$21
Open exposure
$2.25K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-22 06:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 27 days
Categories
Other
65% 24% $-3,622
Politics
25% 21% $-306
Sports
4% 0% $-88
Tech
3% — —
Crypto
2% 17% $-146
Pop-Culture
1% 0% $-4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 438 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Colorado Rockies win more than 65.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? O 65.5 -229 $-96 50¢ $-114 $-18 07-08 23:00
Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? Yes +206 $45 54¢ $110 +$65 06-10 02:20
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? No +403 $116 26¢ $103 $-13 07-21 17:34
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +472 $100 22¢ $101 +$1 06-16 08:52
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? Yes +338 $105 30¢ $101 $-4 07-17 23:59
Will Trump meet with MrBeast in 2026? Yes +667 $107 15¢ $100 $-7 07-21 05:08
Will Slingshot launch a token by March 31, 2027? No +238 $90 42¢ $99 +$9 06-08 15:32
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes -510 $-89 18¢ $-89 $-0 07-21 14:25
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? Yes +234 $104 38¢ $88 $-17 07-18 14:06
Will Bruno Retailleau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +310 $99 26¢ $81 $-19 06-07 20:37
Will the Washington Nationals clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes -614 $-99 13¢ $-80 +$19 07-12 01:09
Will Faker win a Finals MVP Award at an international event in 2026? Yes +891 $97 9¢ $78 $-20 07-20 14:08
Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? Yes +310 $115 24¢ $76 $-39 07-10 08:04
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +508 $116 15¢ $74 $-42 07-17 15:52
Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024? No +549 $99 13¢ $71 $-27 07-18 17:38
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? Yes +359 $79 19¢ $68 $-11 07-15 21:33
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? Yes +709 $96 10¢ $67 $-28 07-10 18:08
Tom Holland as Spider-Man? No +165 $70 40¢ $66 $-4 07-18 20:35
Betmoar FDV above $20M one day after launch? No +206 $70 32¢ $66 $-4 07-20 14:00
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30? Yes -353 $-76 18¢ $-64 +$12 06-22 20:54
Blue tsunami in 2026? No +110 $63 56¢ $62 $-2 07-21 22:55
Will the Colorado Rockies win more than 65.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? U 65.5 +120 $70 50¢ $60 $-10 07-08 23:00
Hugh Jackman as Wolverine? Yes -71 $-55 84¢ $-60 $-4 07-10 08:22
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026? Yes +569 $107 10¢ $59 $-48 07-06 22:49
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? No +60 $49 92¢ $55 +$7 06-12 16:25
Will the Arizona Diamondbacks clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes -200 $-58 27¢ $-54 +$4 07-20 01:50
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? Yes +529 $113 10¢ $53 $-60 07-04 06:43
Trump declares election interference national emergency? Yes +244 $59 21¢ $51 $-8 07-21 19:52
Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes before 2027? Yes +480 $48 11¢ $50 +$2 07-22 00:15
Yoon out of custody before 2027? Yes -482 $-53 10¢ $-50 +$3 06-05 07:41