Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes before 2027?
open
Total volume
$1,676
$100 in 24h
Trades
74
Unique wallets
32
Liquidity
$9,262
Latest YES mid
9¢
Latest NO mid
91¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-04
last 07-28 03:40
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $86 | $1.2K | $1.1K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 9 | $23 | $19 | +$3 |
| 🐟 Fish | 7 | $21 | — | +$21 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | $17 | $9 | +$8 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $25 | $18 | +$7 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $2 | $16 | $14 |
| Median | 5 | $0 | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| Below median | 4 | $18 | — | +$18 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $4 | $18 | $14 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $4 | $82 | $78 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $69 | — | +$69 |
| unranked | 8 | $25 | — | +$25 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | +1,217 | $1,112 | $1,112 | 2 | 07-27 08:04 |
| Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | +480 | $48 | $48 | 1 | 07-22 00:15 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +286 | $21 | $21 | 2 | 07-27 10:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +141 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 07-27 10:50 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +102 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 07-28 03:40 |
| Glossy-Cashier 0x7bff…7cd6 | No | +91 | $82 | $82 | 3 | 06-23 21:42 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +55 | $6 | $6 | 3 | 07-21 21:48 |
| Slow-Exhibit 0x1411…2410 | Yes | +50 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 07-02 08:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | +50 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-27 08:04 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +45 | $0 | $4 | 5 | 07-28 03:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | +36 | $1 | $6 | 3 | 07-27 19:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | +24 | $2 | $12 | 3 | 07-27 10:50 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 07-21 21:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | +17 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 07-27 19:38 |
| Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | Yes | +8 | $2 | $6 | 2 | 07-27 18:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x6e18…9abf | Yes | +1 | $0 | $8 | 2 | 07-27 19:38 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 03:40:43 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 45 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xf6cc77… |
| 07-28 03:40:43 | (anonymous) 0xd62b…ceec | Yes | SELL | 50 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xf6cc77… |
| 07-28 03:40:43 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf6cc77… |
| 07-27 19:38:25 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x518520… |
| 07-27 19:38:25 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 36 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x518520… |
| 07-27 19:38:25 | (anonymous) 0x6e18…9abf | Yes | SELL | 102 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x518520… |
| 07-27 19:38:25 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x518520… |
| 07-27 18:51:28 | (anonymous) 0x6e18…9abf | Yes | BUY | 103 | 4¢ | $4 | 0x4e9136… |
| 07-27 18:51:28 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | Yes | SELL | 43 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x4e9136… |
| 07-27 18:51:28 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | SELL | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x4e9136… |
| 07-27 18:51:28 | Repulsive-Tenor 0x7a1c…73f1 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x4e9136… |
| 07-27 18:39:43 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 47 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x7b264d… |
| 07-27 18:39:43 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 47 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x7b264d… |
| 07-27 17:32:07 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x8a1ad0… |
| 07-27 17:32:07 | (anonymous) 0x5533…51ba | Yes | BUY | 50 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x8a1ad0… |
| 07-27 10:50:52 | Repulsive-Tenor 0x7a1c…73f1 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x18a4d9… |
| 07-27 10:50:52 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x18a4d9… |
| 07-27 10:50:27 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | SELL | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x210fc2… |
| 07-27 10:50:27 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x210fc2… |
| 07-27 10:50:21 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | Yes | SELL | 50 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x584564… |
| 07-27 10:50:21 | Repulsive-Tenor 0x7a1c…73f1 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x584564… |
| 07-27 10:50:21 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 43 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x584564… |
| 07-27 10:50:18 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 76 | 7¢ | $5 | 0xbacb75… |
| 07-27 10:50:18 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 76 | 7¢ | $5 | 0xbacb75… |
| 07-27 10:50:12 | (anonymous) 0x1dd9…21cc | No | SELL | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0xf8102e… |
| 07-27 10:50:12 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 5¢ | $2 | 0xf8102e… |
| 07-27 10:50:12 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 5¢ | $3 | 0xf8102e… |
| 07-27 10:50:12 | Ugly-Platinum 0x5c91…5ccc | Yes | BUY | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xf8102e… |
| 07-27 10:50:09 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 50 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x58df84… |
| 07-27 10:50:09 | Likable-Mention 0x3c3e…5a86 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 7¢ | $3 | 0x58df84… |
| 07-27 10:50:06 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 7¢ | $3 | 0xeb896a… |
| 07-27 10:50:06 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 50 | 7¢ | $3 | 0xeb896a… |
| 07-27 08:04:40 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 251 | 8¢ | $19 | 0x8beff2… |
| 07-27 08:04:40 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 65 | 8¢ | $5 | 0x8beff2… |
| 07-27 08:04:40 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x8beff2… |
| 07-27 08:04:40 | (anonymous) 0xc8a2…c9b6 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x8beff2… |
| 07-27 08:04:40 | Querulous-Marble 0xf33e…0ab8 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x8beff2… |
| 07-27 08:04:40 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 717 | 92¢ | $662 | 0x8beff2… |
| 07-27 08:04:40 | (anonymous) 0xd62b…ceec | Yes | BUY | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x8beff2… |
| 07-27 08:04:40 | (anonymous) 0x7a5c…767b | Yes | BUY | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x8beff2… |
| 07-27 08:04:40 | Solid-Pinstripe 0xa86f…022c | Yes | BUY | 51 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x8beff2… |
| 07-27 08:04:40 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x8beff2… |
| 07-27 08:04:40 | Likable-Mention 0x3c3e…5a86 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x8beff2… |
| 07-22 00:15:58 | Bewitched-Auditorium 0x721a…9295 | No | SELL | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0xf1910a… |
| 07-22 00:15:58 | Tangible-Fuel 0x6f67…102c | Yes | BUY | 480 | 10¢ | $48 | 0xf1910a… |
| 07-22 00:15:58 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 500 | 90¢ | $450 | 0xf1910a… |
| 07-21 21:48:28 | Bewitched-Auditorium 0x721a…9295 | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0xb02662… |
| 07-21 21:48:28 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xb02662… |
| 07-21 21:48:28 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xb24807… |
| 07-21 21:48:28 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0xb24807… |
| 07-18 19:27:43 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x558a42… |
| 07-18 19:27:43 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x558a42… |
| 07-18 16:05:12 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 15 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x6f8225… |
| 07-18 16:05:12 | (anonymous) 0x18f0…3101 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x6f8225… |
| 07-17 15:28:36 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xf3b4a2… |
| 07-17 15:28:36 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xf3b4a2… |
| 07-02 08:53:58 | Slow-Exhibit 0x1411…2410 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xc54579… |
| 07-02 08:53:58 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xc54579… |
| 07-02 08:16:19 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xc93aee… |
| 07-02 08:16:19 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 17 | 94¢ | $16 | 0xc93aee… |
| 06-23 21:42:35 | New-Structure 0xcf47…2c4b | No | SELL | 4 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x036572… |
| 06-23 21:42:35 | Glossy-Cashier 0x7bff…7cd6 | No | BUY | 4 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x036572… |
| 06-20 23:26:20 | (anonymous) 0x18f0…3101 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xe85e77… |
| 06-20 23:26:20 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 2 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xe85e77… |
| 06-20 23:17:22 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 17 | 93¢ | $16 | 0x93c4df… |
| 06-20 23:17:22 | (anonymous) 0x18f0…3101 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x93c4df… |
| 06-16 03:10:51 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x9f9352… |
| 06-16 03:10:51 | Glossy-Cashier 0x7bff…7cd6 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x9f9352… |
| 06-16 03:06:54 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0xf1376b… |
| 06-16 03:06:54 | (anonymous) 0x3de2…d073 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xf1376b… |
| 06-04 18:48:09 | Bleak-Hardware 0xd0bd…e598 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 9¢ | $9 | 0x46ab63… |
| 06-04 18:48:09 | (anonymous) 0x1dd9…21cc | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x46ab63… |
| 06-04 18:48:09 | Glossy-Cashier 0x7bff…7cd6 | No | BUY | 86 | 90¢ | $77 | 0x46ab63… |
| 06-04 18:48:09 | Gleaming-Orient 0x5eec…f4e2 | No | SELL | 196 | 91¢ | $177 | 0x46ab63… |