Realized P&L
-$5.54K
Unrealized P&L
-$12
Hit rate
57.6%
Resolved
800
Trades
6,272
lifetime
Volume
$561.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$90
Open exposure
$0
21 positions
First seen
2026-05-16
last 11-03 23:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 114 days
Categories
Other
82% 55% -$3,711
Sports
11% 47% -$420
Politics
6% 23% -$984
Crypto
1% 20% -$18
Tech
1% 0% -$3
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$405
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
63 active days in 12wk • peak 132 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 09-17 02:12
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +0 $0 36¢ $0 $0 09-23 10:30
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? No +0 -$5 88¢ $0 +$5 08-30 01:33
Will LSU Tigers win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +0 $0 90¢ $0 $0 09-20 03:01
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 09-16 18:46
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +0 $5 98¢ $0 -$5 08-06 09:43
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 $0 08-12 23:08
will the malaysian house of representatives be dissolved by december 31 2026 20260604155615146 No +0 $8 94¢ $0 -$8 08-21 15:24
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +0 $0 93¢ $0 +$0 09-19 22:11
Will Texas Longhorns win the 2027 CFP National Championship? No +0 $0 93¢ $0 +$0 09-26 19:59
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +0 $0 91¢ $0 $0 09-21 01:45
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +0 $2 34¢ $0 -$2 09-29 17:48
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 76¢ $0 +$0 09-15 09:06
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +0 $0 75¢ $0 $0 09-18 22:03
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +0 $0 31¢ $0 +$0 09-19 08:46
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +0 $0 30¢ $0 $0 09-15 11:32
Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government? Yes +0 $2 21¢ $0 -$2 09-28 10:47
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +0 $0 29¢ $0 +$0 09-19 13:51
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +0 $0 12¢ $0 $0 08-13 18:27
Will the New Orleans Saints make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? Yes +0 $0 12¢ $0 $0 09-13 19:36
Will Miami Hurricanes win the 2027 CFP National Championship? Yes +0 $0 11¢ $0 $0 09-25 02:18