Realized P&L
-$35
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
71.1%
Resolved
229
Trades
994
lifetime
Volume
$1.11K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$24
30 positions
First seen
2026-07-02
last 08-15 17:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 60 days
Categories
Other
47% 53% -$18
Politics
36% 41% -$16
Crypto
10% 57% $0
Sports
4% 86% -$1
Tech
3% 67% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +7 $1 97¢ $7 +$6 07-31 11:56
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +5 $4 86¢ $4 $0 07-13 08:52
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +3 $1 59¢ $2 +$1 08-01 09:58
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +7 $2 12¢ $1 -$1 07-31 10:43
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027? Yes +6 $1 12¢ $1 $0 07-30 00:58
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes +7 $1 8¢ $1 $0 07-25 23:59
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes +7 $1 8¢ $1 $0 08-02 22:33
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +5 $1 12¢ $1 -$1 07-14 10:37
AI bubble burst in 2026? Yes +7 $1 8¢ $1 -$1 08-02 00:54
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? Yes +5 $1 11¢ $1 $0 07-15 18:06
Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027? Yes +6 $1 8¢ $0 $0 07-31 23:24
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? Yes +7 $1 6¢ $0 $0 07-31 22:22
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? Yes +7 $1 6¢ $0 $0 08-01 01:31
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027? Yes +5 $1 8¢ $0 $0 08-02 18:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $3 8¢ $0 -$3 07-14 08:56
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? Yes +7 $2 6¢ $0 -$1 07-29 16:36
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $1 8¢ $0 $0 07-19 15:46
NATO article 5 before 2027? Yes +7 $1 5¢ $0 $0 07-30 07:58
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? Yes +7 $0 5¢ $0 $0 07-29 06:44
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +5 $2 6¢ $0 -$1 07-15 15:26
US recession by end of 2026? Yes +7 $0 4¢ $0 $0 08-03 12:40
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +7 $0 4¢ $0 $0 07-30 22:45
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? Yes +7 $2 4¢ $0 -$2 08-01 21:11
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +5 $1 6¢ $0 $0 07-14 19:01
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? Yes +7 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 08-02 06:13
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +7 $1 4¢ $0 $0 07-29 20:37
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? Yes +7 $1 4¢ $0 $0 08-02 12:36
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? Yes +7 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 08-01 08:41
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +5 $1 5¢ $0 $0 07-22 10:59
Will BP be acquired before 2027? Yes +7 $0 3¢ $0 $0 08-02 00:09