Realized P&L
+$3
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
309
lifetime
Volume
$5.20K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$17
Open exposure
$385
21 positions
First seen
2026-05-08
last 07-01 02:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
46%
Politics
44% 100% +$3
Crypto
8%
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -40 $-39 98¢ $-39 $-0 06-24 21:43
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? No -40 $-39 97¢ $-39 $-0 06-12 06:57
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? No -40 $-39 95¢ $-38 +$1 06-25 22:30
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -40 $-39 95¢ $-38 +$1 06-23 21:43
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -40 $-36 96¢ $-38 $-2 06-29 15:06
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? No -25 $-23 96¢ $-24 $-1 05-30 00:11
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +24 $22 97¢ $23 +$1 06-23 21:43
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -24 $-22 94¢ $-22 +$0 06-24 03:33
Will Trump pardon Ryan Salame before 2027? No +30 $24 65¢ $19 $-5 06-22 12:39
Will Venezuela become 51st state? No -20 $-19 96¢ $-19 +$0 06-28 02:33
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -20 $-18 94¢ $-19 $-1 06-12 20:19
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -14 $-13 88¢ $-12 +$0 06-20 09:57
US x China Military clash before 2027? No -12 $-12 94¢ $-12 +$0 06-16 00:21
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +8 $7 92¢ $7 +$1 06-17 10:16
Will Trump pardon Hunter Biden before 2027? No -7 $-6 95¢ $-7 $-1 06-21 07:01
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No -7 $-7 91¢ $-7 +$0 06-21 04:20
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +7 $5 94¢ $7 +$2 06-18 13:41
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-5 96¢ $-5 +$0 06-20 15:43
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? No -5 $-5 84¢ $-4 +$1 06-20 21:11
Will Trump pardon Elizabeth Holmes before 2027? No -4 $-4 93¢ $-4 $-0 06-23 21:42
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 $-0 06-24 13:37