New-Structure 0xcf4703…e02c4b
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$3
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
95
lifetime
Volume
$2.83K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$391
19 positions
First seen
2026-05-08
last 06-09 18:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
62% 100% +$3
Other
29% — —
Crypto
8% — —
Tech
1% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -40 $-40 99¢ $-40 $-0 06-09 15:20
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +43 $40 92¢ $40 $-0 06-06 01:58
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? No -40 $-39 97¢ $-39 $-0 05-28 12:47
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +40 $39 97¢ $39 $-0 06-06 21:56
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -38 $-37 98¢ $-37 $-0 06-09 09:21
Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2027? No -25 $-23 93¢ $-23 +$0 05-30 00:11
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? No -21 $-21 99¢ $-21 $-0 06-09 18:01
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? No -20 $-20 100¢ $-20 +$0 06-05 01:22
Anthropic CEO arrested? No -20 $-20 99¢ $-20 $-0 06-07 07:16
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +21 $19 93¢ $19 +$0 06-09 17:48
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +20 $18 94¢ $19 +$0 05-29 10:32
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30? No +18 $18 99¢ $18 +$0 06-07 14:23
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +20 $18 90¢ $18 +$0 05-30 19:38
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +20 $18 90¢ $18 $-0 06-05 16:17
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? No +10 $8 93¢ $9 +$1 06-08 05:02
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +8 $7 88¢ $7 $-0 06-09 17:47
NATO dissolves before 2027? No +3 $3 95¢ $3 +$0 06-05 08:02
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? No -1 $-1 100¢ $-1 +$0 06-03 08:31
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No +0 $2 95¢ $0 $-2 06-06 17:55