Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026?
open
Total volume
$263
Trades
30
Unique wallets
9
Liquidity
$1,753
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-24
last 06-28 17:18
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
NO holders
No active NO holders.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $1 | — | +$1 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Median | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 4 | $1 | — | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +35 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 06-28 17:18 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +24 | $1 | $2 | 4 | 06-28 13:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | +15 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-28 12:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-28 12:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-28 12:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-28 17:18 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 17:18:05 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc6909d… |
| 06-28 17:18:05 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc6909d… |
| 06-28 13:10:49 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4204bf… |
| 06-28 13:10:49 | Shimmering-Contour 0xc474…d697 | Yes | SELL | 44 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x4204bf… |
| 06-28 13:10:49 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 24 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x4204bf… |
| 06-28 13:07:05 | Shimmering-Contour 0xc474…d697 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xeaa744… |
| 06-28 13:07:05 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xeaa744… |
| 06-28 12:40:10 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x2b8e97… |
| 06-28 12:40:10 | Shimmering-Contour 0xc474…d697 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x2b8e97… |
| 06-28 12:37:04 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xd22694… |
| 06-28 12:37:04 | Shimmering-Contour 0xc474…d697 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xd22694… |
| 06-28 12:37:04 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xd22694… |
| 06-25 14:02:04 | (anonymous) 0x50a3…0a78 | No | SELL | 9 | 96¢ | $9 | 0xec11c4… |
| 06-25 14:02:04 | Shimmering-Contour 0xc474…d697 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xec11c4… |
| 06-25 12:57:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xa9b0c8… |
| 06-25 12:57:16 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0xa9b0c8… |
| 06-25 10:08:47 | Shimmering-Contour 0xc474…d697 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x7e6bed… |
| 06-25 10:08:47 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 25 | 98¢ | $25 | 0x7e6bed… |
| 06-25 10:04:59 | Shimmering-Contour 0xc474…d697 | Yes | SELL | 62 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xb65700… |
| 06-25 10:04:59 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 62 | 98¢ | $61 | 0xb65700… |
| 06-24 23:51:49 | Shimmering-Contour 0xc474…d697 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x4a26e5… |
| 06-24 23:51:49 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 15 | 97¢ | $14 | 0x4a26e5… |
| 06-24 23:48:11 | Shimmering-Contour 0xc474…d697 | Yes | SELL | 105 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xdbb8ee… |
| 06-24 23:48:11 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 105 | 97¢ | $102 | 0xdbb8ee… |
| 06-24 17:24:16 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x9a2878… |
| 06-24 17:24:16 | Shimmering-Contour 0xc474…d697 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x9a2878… |
| 06-24 16:22:08 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 24 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x121039… |
| 06-24 16:22:08 | Shimmering-Contour 0xc474…d697 | Yes | SELL | 24 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x121039… |
| 06-24 16:08:50 | Shimmering-Contour 0xc474…d697 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf47323… |
| 06-24 16:08:50 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xf47323… |