Will Lloyds fail by end of 2026?
open
Total volume
$2,955
Trades
129
Unique wallets
34
Liquidity
$1,753
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-24
last 07-28 13:28
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $4 | $88 | $84 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $12 | $508 | $496 |
| 🐟 Fish | 9 | $9 | $1.3K | $1.3K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 10 | $7 | $6 | +$1 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $2 | $29 | $26 |
| Median | 5 | $0 | $242 | $242 |
| Below median | 5 | $2 | $238 | $236 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $12 | $20 | $8 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $2 | $60 | $57 |
| unranked | 8 | $5 | $1.3K | $1.3K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ornery-Fail 0x128b…7c4f | No | +1,280 | $1,263 | $1,263 | 14 | 07-02 01:08 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +531 | $8 | $8 | 19 | 07-12 11:24 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +440 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-01 20:08 |
| Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | +90 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-28 13:28 |
| Sane-Cytokine 0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | +73 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 07-12 06:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | +71 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 05:22 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +70 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-30 23:58 |
| Arid-Cinema 0x73d2…f9b7 | No | +62 | $60 | $60 | 2 | 06-30 23:15 |
| (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | +46 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-02 01:08 |
| Scaly-Arena 0x0aa0…04a3 | Yes | +38 | $0 | $2 | 3 | 07-03 20:19 |
| Stable-Patch 0x3a30…99ec | Yes | +30 | $0 | $2 | 3 | 07-14 20:06 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-01 20:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x1dd9…21cc | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-02 07:51 |
| Black-And-White-Consensus 0x6415…f1ab | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-01 17:01 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 13:28:56 | Genuine-Tribe 0x613b…da44 | Yes | BUY | 90 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x103681… |
| 07-28 13:28:56 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | SELL | 90 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x103681… |
| 07-21 05:22:16 | (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | BUY | 71 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x298d9f… |
| 07-21 05:22:16 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x298d9f… |
| 07-21 05:22:16 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x298d9f… |
| 07-14 20:06:43 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x8a77f6… |
| 07-14 20:06:43 | Stable-Patch 0x3a30…99ec | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8a77f6… |
| 07-14 20:06:43 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | BUY | 53 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x8a77f6… |
| 07-12 11:24:41 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x910926… |
| 07-12 11:24:41 | (anonymous) 0x40c7…b1e8 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x910926… |
| 07-12 11:21:08 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x88abd4… |
| 07-12 11:21:08 | (anonymous) 0xb2ca…cf4d | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x88abd4… |
| 07-12 11:17:44 | (anonymous) 0x45e6…c078 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3df0fd… |
| 07-12 11:17:44 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3df0fd… |
| 07-12 06:40:53 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2023b1… |
| 07-12 06:40:53 | Sane-Cytokine 0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | BUY | 15 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2023b1… |
| 07-04 08:10:43 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | SELL | 58 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x854d20… |
| 07-04 08:10:43 | Sane-Cytokine 0xa9d0…60ed | Yes | BUY | 58 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x854d20… |
| 07-03 20:19:56 | Stable-Patch 0x3a30…99ec | Yes | SELL | 44 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x99caaf… |
| 07-03 20:19:56 | Scaly-Arena 0x0aa0…04a3 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x99caaf… |
| 07-03 20:19:56 | Gigantic-Ramen 0x3bbc…a2b1 | Yes | BUY | 58 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x99caaf… |
| 07-02 07:52:43 | Scaly-Arena 0x0aa0…04a3 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x8e83eb… |
| 07-02 07:52:43 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 25 | 98¢ | $25 | 0x8e83eb… |
| 07-02 07:51:23 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | SELL | 180 | 1¢ | $3 | 0x58f1e4… |
| 07-02 07:51:23 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 215 | 99¢ | $212 | 0x58f1e4… |
| 07-02 07:51:23 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x58f1e4… |
| 07-02 07:51:23 | (anonymous) 0x1dd9…21cc | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x58f1e4… |
| 07-02 01:08:35 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | SELL | 46 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x3354fb… |
| 07-02 01:08:35 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 46 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x3354fb… |
| 07-02 01:08:32 | Scaly-Arena 0x0aa0…04a3 | Yes | BUY | 77 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x7aa3a4… |
| 07-02 01:08:32 | Ornery-Fail 0x128b…7c4f | No | BUY | 200 | 99¢ | $197 | 0x7aa3a4… |
| 07-02 01:08:32 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | Yes | BUY | 46 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x7aa3a4… |
| 07-02 01:08:32 | Stable-Patch 0x3a30…99ec | Yes | BUY | 77 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x7aa3a4… |
| 07-01 22:18:44 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x5b16d6… |
| 07-01 22:18:44 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x5b16d6… |
| 07-01 20:13:02 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xdd49c3… |
| 07-01 20:13:02 | Ornery-Fail 0x128b…7c4f | No | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $39 | 0xdd49c3… |
| 07-01 20:12:55 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x84aee9… |
| 07-01 20:12:55 | Ornery-Fail 0x128b…7c4f | No | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $39 | 0x84aee9… |
| 07-01 20:12:43 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xabf89e… |
| 07-01 20:12:43 | Ornery-Fail 0x128b…7c4f | No | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $39 | 0xabf89e… |
| 07-01 20:12:35 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x58ace0… |
| 07-01 20:12:35 | Ornery-Fail 0x128b…7c4f | No | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $39 | 0x58ace0… |
| 07-01 20:12:29 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x5ada96… |
| 07-01 20:12:29 | Ornery-Fail 0x128b…7c4f | No | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $39 | 0x5ada96… |
| 07-01 20:12:19 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x6114f4… |
| 07-01 20:12:19 | Ornery-Fail 0x128b…7c4f | No | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $39 | 0x6114f4… |
| 07-01 20:12:13 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x3ea1d1… |
| 07-01 20:12:13 | Ornery-Fail 0x128b…7c4f | No | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $39 | 0x3ea1d1… |
| 07-01 20:12:04 | Ornery-Fail 0x128b…7c4f | No | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $39 | 0x40c9bc… |
| 07-01 20:12:04 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x40c9bc… |
| 07-01 20:11:56 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xd1b743… |
| 07-01 20:11:56 | Ornery-Fail 0x128b…7c4f | No | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $39 | 0xd1b743… |
| 07-01 20:11:46 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xd6253c… |
| 07-01 20:11:46 | Ornery-Fail 0x128b…7c4f | No | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $39 | 0xd6253c… |
| 07-01 20:11:38 | Ornery-Fail 0x128b…7c4f | No | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $39 | 0x63eef6… |
| 07-01 20:11:38 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x63eef6… |
| 07-01 20:08:50 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x0d87a4… |
| 07-01 20:08:50 | Ornery-Fail 0x128b…7c4f | No | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $39 | 0x0d87a4… |
| 07-01 20:08:40 | Ornery-Fail 0x128b…7c4f | No | BUY | 600 | 99¢ | $592 | 0x6ab6aa… |
| 07-01 20:08:40 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x6ab6aa… |
| 07-01 20:08:40 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x6ab6aa… |
| 07-01 20:08:40 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x6ab6aa… |
| 07-01 20:08:40 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 440 | 1¢ | $5 | 0x6ab6aa… |
| 07-01 20:08:40 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6ab6aa… |
| 07-01 20:08:40 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 90 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x6ab6aa… |
| 07-01 17:01:11 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xfc76b3… |
| 07-01 17:01:11 | Black-And-White-Consensus 0x6415…f1ab | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xfc76b3… |
| 07-01 15:46:58 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xa7bfbe… |
| 07-01 15:46:58 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xa7bfbe… |
| 07-01 15:46:58 | Wet-Event 0x6236…6881 | No | SELL | 20 | 97¢ | $19 | 0xa7bfbe… |
| 07-01 15:46:58 | (anonymous) 0xd10a…b9cd | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xa7bfbe… |
| 06-30 23:58:11 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 130 | 97¢ | $126 | 0x806721… |
| 06-30 23:58:11 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x806721… |
| 06-30 23:58:11 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x806721… |
| 06-30 23:58:11 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x806721… |
| 06-30 23:57:38 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 60 | 97¢ | $58 | 0xa44385… |
| 06-30 23:57:38 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xa44385… |
| 06-30 23:57:38 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xa44385… |
| 06-30 23:31:14 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0xd713aa… |
| 06-30 23:31:14 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | BUY | 50 | 97¢ | $48 | 0xd713aa… |
| 06-30 23:31:14 | Creamy-Geology 0xf524…8178 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xd713aa… |
| 06-30 23:15:10 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 69 | 96¢ | $67 | 0xbecdf0… |
| 06-30 23:15:10 | Arid-Cinema 0x73d2…f9b7 | No | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0xea224f… |
| 06-30 23:15:10 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | SELL | 27 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xbecdf0… |
| 06-30 23:15:10 | Arid-Cinema 0x73d2…f9b7 | No | BUY | 42 | 96¢ | $40 | 0xbecdf0… |
| 06-30 23:15:10 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | SELL | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0xea224f… |
| 06-30 23:15:08 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0xc2987b… |
| 06-30 23:15:08 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0xc2987b… |
| 06-30 23:15:07 | Wet-Event 0x6236…6881 | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xd7a414… |
| 06-30 23:15:07 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 4 | 98¢ | $3 | 0xd7a414… |
| 06-30 23:15:04 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 24 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x41dd25… |
| 06-30 23:15:04 | Wet-Event 0x6236…6881 | No | BUY | 16 | 97¢ | $16 | 0x41dd25… |
| 06-30 23:15:04 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 40 | 98¢ | $39 | 0x41dd25… |
| 06-30 23:15:02 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | SELL | 89 | 98¢ | $87 | 0x637d71… |
| 06-30 23:15:02 | (anonymous) 0x7438…b741 | Yes | SELL | 69 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x637d71… |
| 06-30 23:15:02 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x637d71… |
| 06-30 23:14:35 | Admirable-Samurai 0x1229…df38 | No | SELL | 232 | 98¢ | $227 | 0xc30375… |
| 06-30 23:14:35 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | No | BUY | 232 | 98¢ | $227 | 0xc30375… |
| 06-28 17:18:05 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xc6909d… |