Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
53.2%
Resolved
22
Trades
5,137
lifetime
Volume
$2.33K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$28
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-09
last 06-30 12:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
58% 31% $-3
Politics
20% 25% $-1
Crypto
13% 0% $-1
Tech
6%
Sports
2%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 251 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? No +83 $2 10¢ $8 +$6 06-13 04:15
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $75 on the final trading day of June 2026? Yes +32 $1 $2 +$1 06-30 11:50
Will Peter Attia be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? Yes +500 $1 $2 +$0 06-29 15:47
Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year? Yes +21 $1 $1 +$0 06-23 09:12
Will HSBC fail by June 30, 2026? Yes +500 $1 $1 +$0 06-22 03:12
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? Yes -24 $-1 $-1 $-0 06-15 03:57
Will California use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +62 $1 $1 +$0 06-29 08:00
Will Nansen launch a token by June 30, 2026? Yes +143 $1 $1 $-0 06-14 11:18
Peru General Election invalidated by June 30? Yes +472 $2 $1 $-1 06-21 03:50
Will Hillary Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? Yes +500 $1 $1 $-0 06-28 01:50
Ventuals FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -20 $-1 $-1 +$0 06-27 13:15
Will Donald Trump visit North Dakota in 2026? No +43 $1 $1 $-0 06-24 09:58
Tucker Carlson federally charged? Yes +333 $1 $1 $-0 06-30 17:19
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -31 $-1 $-1 +$0 05-30 10:30
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok? Yes +216 $1 $1 $-0 06-28 16:14
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $170 by end of June? Yes +500 $1 $0 $-0 06-24 13:17
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? Yes +250 $1 $0 $-0 06-22 15:34
Chirayu Rana divorced? Yes +333 $1 $0 $-0 06-27 01:23
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +19 $1 $0 $-0 06-10 02:17
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30? Yes +160 $1 $0 $-0 06-28 03:38
Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026? Yes +28 $1 $0 $-0 06-13 21:22
Over $250k committed to the ALIGN public sale? Yes +143 $0 $0 $-0 06-27 22:26
Pluto reclassified as a planet by June 30? Yes +333 $1 $0 $-1 06-21 00:18
Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026? Yes +333 $1 $0 $-0 06-22 13:09
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +332 $1 $0 $-1 06-21 12:53
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? No +7 $0 $0 +$0 06-30 04:50
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? Yes -320 $-5 $-0 +$5 06-21 05:37
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31? No +200 $1 $0 $-1 06-30 00:17
Epstein client list released by June 30? Yes -50 $-1 $-0 +$1 06-20 13:31
Macron out by June 30, 2026? Yes -202 $-2 $-0 +$1 06-14 20:52