Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
53.2%
Resolved
22
Trades
3,866
lifetime
Volume
$1.66K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$23
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-09
last 06-10 00:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
61% 31% $-3
Politics
15% 25% $-1
Crypto
15% 0% $-1
Tech
5%
Sports
3%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 251 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Elon Musk wins $10b+ settlement against Altman/OpenAI? Yes -91 $-2 $-6 $-4 06-09 19:06
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? Yes -134 $-3 $-1 +$2 06-09 04:55
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by June 30, 2026? Yes +111 $1 $1 +$0 06-08 18:51
Will Tread launch a token by June 30, 2026? Yes +14 $1 $1 +$0 06-09 18:33
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2026? Yes +143 $1 $1 $-0 06-09 21:35
Over $2M committed to the ALIGN public sale? Yes +20 $1 $1 $-0 06-10 03:37
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? No +138 $-0 $1 +$1 06-09 06:36
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30? Yes +143 $1 $1 $-0 06-08 17:45
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? No +333 $1 $1 +$0 06-10 01:31
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? Yes -24 $-2 $-1 +$1 06-04 19:54
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? Yes +50 $1 $1 +$0 06-09 19:58
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -31 $-1 $-1 +$0 05-30 10:30
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026? No +28 $1 $1 $-0 06-09 14:40
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +19 $1 $1 $-0 06-10 02:17
Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026? No +225 $1 $1 +$0 06-09 19:15
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by June 30? Yes +25 $1 $1 $-0 06-03 13:26
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026? No +192 $2 $1 $-2 06-08 16:40
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by June 30, 2026? Yes +28 $1 $1 $-0 06-08 09:03
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June? Yes +214 $1 $1 $-0 06-07 10:51
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30? Yes +23 $0 $1 +$0 06-07 20:41
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? Yes -50 $-1 $-0 +$1 05-28 10:56
Will OpenSea launch a token by June 30, 2026? Yes +43 $-0 $0 +$0 06-02 07:39
Will Benjamin Netanyahu enter Iran by June 30? Yes +112 $0 $0 $-0 06-06 07:51
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes -11 $0 $-0 $-0 06-06 12:10
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June? Yes +83 $0 $0 $-0 06-04 07:44
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June? Yes +49 $0 $0 $-0 06-09 14:53
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? No +1 $0 $0 +$0 06-03 23:36
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? Yes +5 $-1 $0 +$1 06-06 05:17
SBF released from custody in 2026? Yes +1 $0 $0 +$0 06-03 05:43
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? No +28 $1 $0 $-1 06-07 22:42