Stable-Patch 0x3a3099…6f99ec Create alert
bot 26W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$230
Unrealized P&L
+$69
Hit rate
70.0%
Resolved
2,430
Trades
17,610
lifetime
Volume
$8.49K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$99
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-09
last 11-03 22:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 208 days
Categories
Other
57% 46% +$108
Politics
30% 50% +$151
Crypto
6% 42% -$15
Tech
5% 42% -$9
Sports
1% 41% -$2
Pop-Culture
0% 38% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 345 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more? Yes +48 -$1 96¢ $46 +$46 11-02 01:20
Will exactly 7 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? Yes +23 $0 31¢ $7 +$7 10-19 11:44
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? No +24 $1 23¢ $6 +$5 10-31 03:41
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes -4 -$1 74¢ $-3 -$2 05-13 21:48
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? Yes +40 $2 6¢ $3 +$1 10-29 10:14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in November? Yes +43 $1 6¢ $2 +$1 11-01 17:59
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)? Yes +150 $1 2¢ $2 +$2 10-30 12:50
Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch? Yes +25 $1 9¢ $2 +$1 10-30 00:18
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No +20 $1 11¢ $2 +$1 10-26 13:55
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +26 $1 8¢ $2 +$1 08-27 12:00
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? No +45 $1 4¢ $2 +$1 10-29 17:31
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? Yes +77 $1 2¢ $2 +$1 10-29 10:41
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +32 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 10-20 14:39
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026? Yes +26 $1 5¢ $1 +$0 11-02 16:53
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond? Yes +530 $1 0¢ $1 $0 11-02 05:40
Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $1.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? Yes +29 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 11-01 21:27
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? No +13 $1 9¢ $1 +$1 10-29 10:22
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +333 $1 0¢ $1 +$0 11-02 17:41
Will Ana Brnabić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +252 -$2 0¢ $1 +$3 11-01 13:01
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes -111 $0 1¢ $-1 -$1 09-07 10:17
Will Margo Martin be the next White House Press Secretary? Yes +30 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 10-25 02:33
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? No +24 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 08-26 22:45
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +24 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 09-01 16:39
will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31 Yes +24 $1 4¢ $1 $0 08-05 13:38
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +20 $1 5¢ $1 +$0 09-05 04:27
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +143 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-31 08:14
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? No +40 $1 2¢ $1 $0 11-02 16:27
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +22 $1 4¢ $1 $0 10-30 15:47
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? OpenAI +40 $1 2¢ $1 $0 10-28 18:08
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +22 $0 4¢ $1 +$1 10-29 09:00