Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
open
Total volume
$3,438
$15,436 in 24h
Trades
119
Unique wallets
30
Liquidity
$43,060
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-14 20:12
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-4.0¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $456
vs crowd: 4% YES on $3.4K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | — | $2.3K | $2.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 10 | — | $852 | $852 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 16 | $135 | $29 | +$106 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $456 | $456 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $1 | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| Median | 3 | — | $387 | $387 |
| Below median | 3 | — | $47 | $47 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $1 | $88 | $87 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | — | $1.2K | $1.2K |
| unranked | 10 | $133 | $27 | +$106 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | +1,029 | $991 | $991 | 19 | 05-14 12:05 |
| Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | +866 | $833 | $833 | 33 | 05-14 12:44 |
| Amused-Columnist 0xa883…31fb | Yes | +658 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-14 15:44 |
| Bruised-Blessing 0x9ed1…53fe | Yes | +591 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-12 08:42 |
| Striped-Pepperoni 0x5677…2ce9 | Yes | +577 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 05-13 23:11 |
| Pushy-Anorak 0x0063…1740 | Yes | +577 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-14 20:12 |
| Young-Omega 0x438f…f1fc | Yes | +505 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-12 20:23 |
| Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | +473 | $456 | $456 | 16 | 05-14 12:15 |
| Shocking-Insectarium 0x90b5…5550 | Yes | +421 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-09 22:46 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +240 | $231 | $231 | 8 | 05-14 05:56 |
| Webbed-Kitten 0x9182…3368 | Yes | +231 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-14 07:59 |
| Cautious-Antique 0x0957…77e8 | No | +160 | $154 | $154 | 5 | 05-14 12:15 |
| Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | +142 | $138 | $138 | 2 | 05-08 01:27 |
| Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | +91 | $88 | $88 | 5 | 05-14 12:15 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +90 | $87 | $87 | 3 | 05-14 16:16 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +64 | $61 | $61 | 3 | 05-14 12:15 |
| Giddy-Chafe 0xcd91…32b8 | No | +53 | $51 | $51 | 1 | 05-10 14:30 |
| Hidden-Hugger 0x5423…8b45 | Yes | +52 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 19:51 |
| Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | +49 | $47 | $47 | 2 | 05-14 12:15 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 14:36 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-14 12:14 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-14 09:59 |
| Ready-Boar 0xd956…ce0b | No | +28 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 05-12 20:11 |
| Downright-Olive 0x76ce…f48b | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 12:14 |
| Unhealthy-Cappelletti 0x656c…f63e | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 20:54 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 20:12:39 | Pushy-Anorak 0x0063…1740 | Yes | BUY | 577 | 3¢ | $15 | 0x28d2a6… |
| 05-14 16:16:38 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0x1e6e62… |
| 05-14 15:44:19 | Amused-Columnist 0xa883…31fb | Yes | BUY | 658 | 3¢ | $20 | 0x080b67… |
| 05-14 12:44:27 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 18 | 97¢ | $17 | 0xb38d73… |
| 05-14 12:20:48 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x77ac6b… |
| 05-14 12:15:47 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 38 | 96¢ | $36 | 0x23b356… |
| 05-14 12:15:41 | Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xcd0448… |
| 05-14 12:15:41 | Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xb205f8… |
| 05-14 12:15:41 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 51 | 96¢ | $49 | 0xc46957… |
| 05-14 12:15:40 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 9 | 96¢ | $9 | 0x01a1d3… |
| 05-14 12:15:36 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x70f11a… |
| 05-14 12:15:36 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0x9f5f91… |
| 05-14 12:15:36 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 9 | 96¢ | $8 | 0x4c1061… |
| 05-14 12:15:36 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 16 | 96¢ | $15 | 0x6705d5… |
| 05-14 12:15:33 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0xddd271… |
| 05-14 12:15:29 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 41 | 96¢ | $40 | 0x8c620f… |
| 05-14 12:15:29 | Cautious-Antique 0x0957…77e8 | No | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0xd39e30… |
| 05-14 12:15:29 | Cautious-Antique 0x0957…77e8 | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0xa27f13… |
| 05-14 12:15:26 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 17 | 96¢ | $16 | 0xe1446d… |
| 05-14 12:15:26 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 9 | 96¢ | $9 | 0xefc41a… |
| 05-14 12:15:26 | Cautious-Antique 0x0957…77e8 | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x89f255… |
| 05-14 12:15:26 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0x04a26e… |
| 05-14 12:14:26 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 64 | 96¢ | $62 | 0x862073… |
| 05-14 12:14:23 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x0df2b1… |
| 05-14 12:14:23 | Cautious-Antique 0x0957…77e8 | No | BUY | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0x2be1aa… |
| 05-14 12:14:16 | Downright-Olive 0x76ce…f48b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xa157db… |
| 05-14 12:05:10 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0x16ba14… |
| 05-14 09:59:10 | Grown-Fence 0x4f1d…8de2 | No | BUY | 8 | 95¢ | $7 | 0xe42d3e… |
| 05-14 09:59:08 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 95¢ | $28 | 0x8b304c… |
| 05-14 09:59:08 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 18 | 95¢ | $17 | 0x1761f3… |
| 05-14 07:59:15 | Webbed-Kitten 0x9182…3368 | Yes | BUY | 231 | 5¢ | $12 | 0x7c77b8… |
| 05-14 06:15:53 | Useful-Patty 0xe086…0450 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x9b7c0f… |
| 05-14 05:56:58 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 100 | 96¢ | $96 | 0x75319d… |
| 05-14 05:56:58 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x275de9… |
| 05-14 05:41:04 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 95¢ | $29 | 0x47ee7f… |
| 05-14 05:39:49 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 60 | 96¢ | $57 | 0x938b71… |
| 05-13 23:11:59 | Striped-Pepperoni 0x5677…2ce9 | Yes | BUY | 466 | 4¢ | $19 | 0x6587f9… |
| 05-13 23:01:18 | Cautious-Antique 0x0957…77e8 | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x9dede4… |
| 05-13 23:01:18 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 60 | 96¢ | $58 | 0x33f031… |
| 05-13 23:01:18 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x3b1b6f… |
| 05-13 22:53:45 | Striped-Pepperoni 0x5677…2ce9 | Yes | BUY | 111 | 4¢ | $5 | 0x1f1563… |
| 05-13 22:44:09 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 90 | 96¢ | $86 | 0xdc3ec7… |
| 05-13 22:44:09 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x8eee2b… |
| 05-13 22:42:03 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 58 | 96¢ | $56 | 0xd5f17c… |
| 05-13 22:42:03 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x2ddc05… |
| 05-13 22:39:50 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 70 | 96¢ | $67 | 0x43a9c7… |
| 05-13 22:39:50 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x5dc121… |
| 05-13 22:39:50 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 64 | 96¢ | $61 | 0x180227… |
| 05-13 22:05:57 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 14 | 96¢ | $14 | 0xfea6a6… |
| 05-13 20:54:22 | Unhealthy-Cappelletti 0x656c…f63e | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x036def… |
| 05-13 20:05:52 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 30 | 95¢ | $29 | 0xe5714f… |
| 05-13 19:57:39 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | SELL | 50 | 94¢ | $47 | 0x5ee5d9… |
| 05-13 19:49:09 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x04e373… |
| 05-13 19:49:01 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 49 | 96¢ | $47 | 0xdf6c0a… |
| 05-13 19:48:50 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 11 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x30eeee… |
| 05-13 16:42:36 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 21 | 96¢ | $20 | 0xb6e93a… |
| 05-13 15:58:15 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 51 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x2f96d3… |
| 05-13 14:13:29 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x7c399d… |
| 05-13 12:38:17 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 100 | 96¢ | $97 | 0xf31d69… |
| 05-13 11:23:24 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 21 | 97¢ | $20 | 0x5ad72e… |
| 05-13 11:18:16 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 21 | 97¢ | $20 | 0xf327d9… |
| 05-13 11:18:06 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xa5b53f… |
| 05-13 10:38:24 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 24 | 97¢ | $23 | 0x8261d2… |
| 05-12 20:23:04 | Young-Omega 0x438f…f1fc | Yes | BUY | 505 | 4¢ | $20 | 0x012912… |
| 05-12 20:11:20 | Ready-Boar 0xd956…ce0b | No | BUY | 28 | 97¢ | $27 | 0x27d379… |
| 05-12 19:51:23 | Hidden-Hugger 0x5423…8b45 | Yes | BUY | 52 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xa091f1… |
| 05-12 17:52:27 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 32 | 96¢ | $31 | 0x88e15c… |
| 05-12 17:41:22 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0x80d3dc… |
| 05-12 17:36:36 | Worthy-Jockey 0x7dcf…a7bd | No | BUY | 21 | 96¢ | $20 | 0xce5d5e… |
| 05-12 17:32:24 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 35 | 96¢ | $33 | 0x5cfc46… |
| 05-12 12:37:49 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0xe10fa3… |
| 05-12 12:37:49 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 91 | 99¢ | $90 | 0xcd4a98… |
| 05-12 12:37:49 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 92 | 99¢ | $91 | 0xce1ff0… |
| 05-12 08:42:30 | Bruised-Blessing 0x9ed1…53fe | Yes | BUY | 591 | 3¢ | $20 | 0x6a379b… |
| 05-12 08:27:22 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0xe2b67a… |
| 05-12 00:07:43 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 16 | 96¢ | $15 | 0xdfe692… |
| 05-12 00:07:41 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x6602c2… |
| 05-11 23:58:25 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 12 | 96¢ | $11 | 0xe261c4… |
| 05-11 22:26:20 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 18 | 96¢ | $18 | 0xe73076… |
| 05-11 21:14:03 | Capital-Eviction 0xf769…0114 | Yes | SELL | 724 | 4¢ | $25 | 0xe8bdee… |
| 05-11 20:57:54 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 36 | 96¢ | $34 | 0x2e8aca… |
| 05-11 19:13:31 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 14 | 96¢ | $13 | 0xe53095… |
| 05-11 18:58:59 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0x9d7f9d… |
| 05-11 18:58:03 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 14 | 96¢ | $13 | 0xa201d3… |
| 05-11 11:48:10 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0x9e6251… |
| 05-11 10:35:27 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $20 | 0xbe3722… |
| 05-11 08:10:17 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 33 | 96¢ | $32 | 0x540ca2… |
| 05-11 08:10:16 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 73 | 96¢ | $70 | 0xa86c86… |
| 05-11 08:10:16 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x989d8b… |
| 05-11 08:10:16 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 24 | 96¢ | $23 | 0xe6e536… |
| 05-11 08:10:16 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x967c31… |
| 05-11 08:10:16 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 71 | 96¢ | $68 | 0x70f545… |
| 05-11 01:29:45 | (anonymous) 0x238f…3015 | Yes | SELL | 34 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xe8c21a… |
| 05-11 01:05:30 | (anonymous) 0x238f…3015 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa6c8aa… |
| 05-10 23:26:59 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xc46c4a… |
| 05-10 23:22:43 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x60cb90… |
| 05-10 23:22:21 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 3 | 96¢ | $3 | 0x275c78… |
| 05-10 23:22:10 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x3a9584… |
| 05-10 23:21:14 | Wise-Keyboard 0x27ab…e521 | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x919b59… |
| 05-10 22:45:53 | Deserted-Bitter 0x3690…e16f | No | BUY | 47 | 96¢ | $46 | 0x08542b… |