Downright-Olive — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$564

Unrealized P&L

-$47

Hit rate

41.9%

Resolved

303

Trades

2,512

lifetime

Volume

$11.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$2.14K

1 position

First seen

2026-01-23

last 07-20 13:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

66% 17% $-564

Politics

23% — —

Other

11% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 270 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes		+8,383	$2,184	26¢	$2.1K	$-47	07-20 12:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	28	$2.3K	8,640	258	+8,383	open	—	07-20 12:59
si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	47	$531	521	481	+40	open	—	01-30 00:32
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	4	$253	800	0	+800	open	—	07-20 13:31
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	12	$230	357	257	+100	Down	+$160	05-07 18:57
bitcoin above 90k on january 28	33	$164	434	182	+251	open	—	01-28 16:49
will wti reach 95 in july 2026	5	$155	902	0	+902	open	—	07-20 12:59
si hit 110 high jan 2026 293 432 128	11	$118	215	215	+0	open	—	01-25 06:23
will bitcoin reach 95000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	6	$116	458	458	+0	open	—	07-15 16:08
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	9	$98	220	165	+55	open	—	05-20 17:14
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	21	$87	2,084	1,880	+204	open	—	01-28 22:26
xrp updown 15m 1784107800	8	$83	223	76	+147	open	—	07-15 09:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	6	$82	93	93	+0	open	—	05-15 07:24
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	4	$76	64	64	+0	Up	+$46	05-07 16:26
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	27	$74	1,531	1,531	+0	open	—	05-15 01:52
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	4	$73	107	107	+0	open	—	01-28 22:20
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	6	$71	61	61	+0	open	—	05-15 07:14
xrp updown 15m 1784105100	5	$64	69	69	+0	open	—	07-15 08:57
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	7	$62	111	111	+0	open	—	01-30 00:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	5	$60	245	0	+245	Down	$-60	05-07 19:04
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	3	$60	71	71	+0	open	—	06-01 23:28
will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	9	$57	351	351	+0	open	—	01-30 00:29
btc updown 5m 1784130300	5	$57	49	49	+0	open	—	07-15 15:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	9	$56	1,055	110	+945	open	—	06-02 09:12
XRP Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	4	$54	51	51	+0	Up	+$41	05-07 17:57
xrp updown 15m 1784106900	7	$51	221	92	+129	open	—	07-15 09:25
btc updown 15m 1784130300	10	$50	352	0	+352	open	—	07-15 15:57
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	13	$49	49,000	0	+49,000	open	—	05-14 21:31
eth updown 15m 1784131200	7	$49	1,853	0	+1,853	open	—	07-15 16:08
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	8	$47	516	0	+516	Down	$-47	05-11 23:12
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	3	$47	34	134	-100	open	—	06-02 08:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-20 13:31:01	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x507d77…
07-20 12:59:36	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	65	23¢	$15	0x3e6c66…
07-20 12:59:03	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	84	18¢	$15	0x1c3463…
07-20 12:58:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	196	23¢	$45	0x608855…
07-20 12:57:42	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	84	18¢	$15	0xa1d6a7…
07-20 12:57:33	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	84	18¢	$15	0x79da9f…
07-20 12:56:40	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	313	30¢	$95	0x55d205…
07-20 12:36:36	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xc85a8a…
07-20 12:36:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	87	23¢	$20	0x08ca20…
07-20 12:35:18	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	463	32¢	$150	0xccba8c…
07-20 12:34:43	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x6a2310…
07-20 12:30:27	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	592	17¢	$100	0x568ee7…
07-20 12:30:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	409	22¢	$90	0x7541e5…
07-19 15:54:51	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	677	31¢	$210	0x534afc…
07-19 14:32:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	681	30¢	$205	0xbb388e…
07-19 10:47:24	btc updown 15m 1784457900	Up	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0x217968…
07-19 10:40:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	667	30¢	$200	0x9c39a8…
07-19 04:06:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	447	29¢	$130	0x699e94…
07-19 04:05:19	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	180	29¢	$52	0xe54c21…
07-19 02:15:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	323	31¢	$100	0x2a8d70…
07-18 19:00:42	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	403	31¢	$125	0xe1ffed…
07-17 17:39:57	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	615	26¢	$160	0xf89bb7…
07-17 16:32:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	231	26¢	$60	0x2d7848…
07-17 16:30:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	577	26¢	$150	0x78ede5…
07-17 08:26:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	417	24¢	$100	0xeca564…
07-16 23:22:01	xrp updown 15m 1784243700	Up	BUY	69	6¢	$4	0x180351…
07-16 23:15:47	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	292	24¢	$70	0x7c1772…
07-16 03:56:52	eth updown 15m 1784173500	Up	BUY	354	1¢	$5	0x6db8bd…
07-16 03:50:19	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	292	24¢	$70	0xf4e01c…
07-16 02:09:32	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x6ddec7…
07-16 02:07:55	btc updown 15m 1784167200	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x402f00…
07-16 02:07:08	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x670b3e…
07-16 02:06:59	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xc07862…
07-16 00:16:41	xrp updown 5m 1784160900	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf2d68f…
07-16 00:16:23	xrp updown 5m 1784160900	Up	BUY	48	10¢	$5	0x4735b9…
07-16 00:16:17	xrp updown 5m 1784160900	Up	BUY	121	8¢	$10	0xff7a17…
07-16 00:16:04	xrp updown 15m 1784160900	Up	BUY	28	25¢	$7	0x2d7655…
07-16 00:15:56	xrp updown 15m 1784160900	Up	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xf260dd…
07-16 00:08:52	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	386	22¢	$85	0x868089…
07-15 17:07:46	xrp updown 5m 1784135100	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x8c1e93…
07-15 16:52:02	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	36	17¢	$6	0x707867…
07-15 16:13:14	sol updown 5m 1784131800	Up	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x10c79d…
07-15 16:08:53	eth updown 15m 1784131200	Up	BUY	427	2¢	$10	0x59057d…
07-15 16:08:38	eth updown 15m 1784131200	Up	BUY	439	2¢	$10	0x430bc4…
07-15 16:08:04	will bitcoin reach 95000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	SELL	219	11¢	$24	0xdcde40…
07-15 16:07:14	eth updown 15m 1784131200	Up	BUY	281	1¢	$3	0x890578…
07-15 16:06:56	eth updown 15m 1784131200	Up	BUY	362	3¢	$10	0x51851b…
07-15 16:06:47	eth updown 15m 1784131200	Up	BUY	307	3¢	$10	0x072efa…
07-15 16:06:19	will bitcoin reach 95000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	SELL	219	12¢	$25	0xa244f1…
07-15 16:05:29	eth updown 15m 1784131200	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xc02ebf…
07-15 16:04:07	will bitcoin reach 95000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x0769a0…
07-15 16:02:05	eth updown 15m 1784131200	Up	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0x4c2d86…
07-15 15:57:22	btc updown 15m 1784130300	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xb00946…
07-15 15:56:32	btc updown 15m 1784130300	Up	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x6509c8…
07-15 15:55:46	will bitcoin reach 95000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xafb5f5…
07-15 15:55:10	btc updown 15m 1784130300	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xf77843…
07-15 15:54:23	btc updown 15m 1784130300	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xdbc9bd…
07-15 15:54:02	btc updown 15m 1784130300	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x5d15d9…
07-15 15:53:55	btc updown 15m 1784130300	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xb6b448…
07-15 15:50:11	btc updown 15m 1784130300	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xb5ed72…
07-15 15:49:49	btc updown 5m 1784130300	Up	SELL	25	96¢	$24	0x95f315…
07-15 15:49:25	btc updown 5m 1784130300	Up	SELL	25	75¢	$18	0xe7780c…
07-15 15:48:25	xrp updown 5m 1784130300	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x2e7e73…
07-15 15:47:47	btc updown 5m 1784130300	Up	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x2bfed4…
07-15 15:46:17	btc updown 15m 1784130300	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x7377d5…
07-15 15:46:07	btc updown 15m 1784130300	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xba7f1e…
07-15 15:46:01	btc updown 15m 1784130300	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x04b546…
07-15 15:45:38	btc updown 5m 1784130300	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x1f15ff…
07-15 15:45:29	btc updown 5m 1784130300	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xb533af…
07-15 15:43:38	eth updown 5m 1784130000	Up	SELL	46	32¢	$15	0x811903…
07-15 15:42:43	eth updown 5m 1784130000	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x0e94bf…
07-15 15:41:19	eth updown 5m 1784130000	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x65c4ec…
07-15 15:41:10	eth updown 5m 1784130000	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x1f82c0…
07-15 15:37:17	eth updown 15m 1784129400	Up	SELL	20	78¢	$16	0xe9573f…
07-15 15:36:10	eth updown 15m 1784129400	Up	SELL	20	73¢	$15	0x2ccc18…
07-15 15:32:38	eth updown 15m 1784129400	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xad8558…
07-15 15:32:29	eth updown 15m 1784129400	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xe988a9…
07-15 15:31:22	will bitcoin reach 95000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	214	14¢	$30	0xc5447f…
07-15 15:23:31	btc updown 5m 1784128800	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x838cb8…
07-15 15:23:08	btc updown 15m 1784128500	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x4d3c11…
07-15 15:22:41	btc updown 5m 1784128800	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xf6ccd6…
07-15 15:20:58	btc updown 5m 1784128800	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x64317a…
07-15 15:20:50	btc updown 5m 1784128800	Up	BUY	79	19¢	$15	0x809444…
07-15 15:18:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	222	17¢	$38	0xe1efe7…
07-15 13:31:40	will bitcoin reach 95000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	Yes	BUY	208	14¢	$29	0x334cc6…
07-15 09:59:19	eth updown 15m 1784108700	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb60964…
07-15 09:58:37	btc updown 15m 1784108700	Up	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x3d221f…
07-15 09:57:47	btc updown 15m 1784108700	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x5c2656…
07-15 09:57:22	btc updown 15m 1784108700	Up	BUY	333	3¢	$10	0x90a91f…
07-15 09:55:59	sol updown 15m 1784108700	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x1e58fe…
07-15 09:54:32	doge updown 15m 1784108700	Up	BUY	38	5¢	$2	0xc970a9…
07-15 09:52:46	doge updown 15m 1784108700	Up	BUY	123	4¢	$5	0xa180dd…
07-15 09:51:59	doge updown 15m 1784108700	Up	BUY	61	8¢	$5	0x1571d2…
07-15 09:51:22	doge updown 15m 1784108700	Up	BUY	132	5¢	$7	0xc0c1c6…
07-15 09:50:22	doge updown 15m 1784108700	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x16d08c…
07-15 09:49:50	doge updown 15m 1784108700	Up	BUY	73	4¢	$3	0x8faa21…
07-15 09:48:46	doge updown 15m 1784108700	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0xf93445…
07-15 09:47:58	doge updown 5m 1784108700	Up	BUY	146	1¢	$2	0x94c7f9…
07-15 09:47:50	doge updown 5m 1784108700	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x6aaaa0…
07-15 09:47:19	doge updown 15m 1784108700	Up	BUY	44	11¢	$5	0xc40531…