Downright-Olive — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.92K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.3%

Resolved

2,130

Trades

6,218

lifetime

Volume

$41.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-23

last 10-23 14:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 84 days

Categories

Crypto

79% 15% -$6,123

Politics

15% 21% -$93

Other

6% 35% +$300

Tech

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 242 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	90	$5.7K	11,558	11,558	+0	open	—	07-29 22:35
will bitcoin reach 95000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	69	$1.3K	5,294	5,294	+0	open	—	07-28 23:23
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	20	$734	800	800	+0	Yes	+$228	07-22 09:41
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	30	$722	3,581	3,581	+0	open	—	07-28 04:17
bitcoin up or down july 28 2026 7pm et	21	$704	1,483	1,130	+353	Up	+$429	07-28 23:56
si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	47	$531	521	481	+40	No	+$4	01-30 00:32
Ethereum Up or Down - July 28, 9PM ET	22	$498	2,760	650	+2,109	Down	-$28	07-29 01:52
will wti reach 95 in july 2026	22	$444	940	940	+0	No	+$94	07-25 00:20
will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	3	$353	663	663	+0	No	-$187	07-29 21:09
bitcoin above 66k on july 22 2026	35	$322	601	398	+203	Yes	+$74	07-22 16:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 05:30 UTC	8	$291	328	328	+0	Up	+$171	07-28 05:45
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 14:15 UTC	16	$289	297	297	+0	Up	+$159	07-28 14:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 22:00 UTC	4	$280	447	447	+0	Up	+$210	07-28 22:04
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 07:15 UTC	6	$265	368	368	+0	Down	+$152	07-28 07:27
xrp up or down july 28 2026 7am et	25	$256	1,165	281	+884	Down	-$82	07-28 11:40
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	12	$230	357	257	+100	Down	+$160	05-07 18:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 03:45 UTC	5	$225	250	250	+0	Up	+$165	07-26 03:59
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 06:00 UTC	6	$210	139	139	+0	Up	+$60	07-27 06:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 00:15 UTC	11	$209	269	235	+34	Down	+$43	07-27 00:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-22 12:30 UTC	8	$203	179	179	+0	Up	+$123	08-22 12:44
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 03:00 UTC	6	$199	398	398	+0	Up	+$139	07-26 03:14
will ethereum reach 2100 in july 2026	11	$176	1,860	1,860	+0	No	-$130	07-29 21:10
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 05:15 UTC	10	$175	305	234	+71	Down	+$32	07-27 05:27
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 14:30 UTC	16	$170	142	142	+0	Up	+$80	07-28 14:42
will wti reach 100 in july 2026 928	11	$169	354	354	+0	No	-$5	07-25 05:08
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 05:45 UTC	7	$169	176	176	+0	Up	+$49	07-27 05:56
bitcoin above 90k on january 28	33	$164	434	182	+251	No	-$2	01-28 16:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-26 02:00 UTC	9	$161	214	214	+0	Up	+$71	07-26 02:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-28 06:15 UTC	5	$159	108	108	+0	Up	+$49	07-28 06:26
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-30 13:30 UTC	8	$153	186	186	+0	Up	+$121	07-30 13:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 14:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x4b823a…
10-23 14:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x896caa…
10-23 14:17:29	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x32b6af…
10-23 14:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x7c7ab4…
10-23 14:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf793be…
10-23 14:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x3887ea…
10-23 14:05:02	Solana Up or Down - October 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc88f30…
10-23 14:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5174f7…
10-21 23:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	503	0¢	$1	0x4f2d7b…
10-21 23:43:26	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	47	4¢	$2	0x494de4…
10-21 23:35:21	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x080c4d…
10-21 23:31:54	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xea6e39…
10-21 23:30:48	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x0ae6d7…
10-21 23:30:03	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x91ceb7…
10-21 23:30:02	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x8ca900…
10-21 23:29:32	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x85a85f…
10-21 23:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3b1b1c…
10-21 23:29:02	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xbcee1e…
10-21 23:28:54	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 7PM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xa8f529…
10-21 23:25:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xfb0849…
10-21 23:24:06	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x44095b…
10-21 23:23:47	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0xa8be24…
10-18 16:29:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x9a1b37…
10-18 16:29:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0xbd8608…
10-18 15:26:35	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xe2adcb…
10-18 15:26:11	XRP Up or Down - October 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x188a73…
10-18 13:39:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x0a836f…
10-18 13:39:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	75	1¢	$1	0xbe641e…
10-18 13:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x07904c…
10-18 13:38:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xacd88e…
10-18 13:29:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x5b9e67…
10-18 13:28:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x0d7f97…
10-18 13:28:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x3e5c0c…
10-18 13:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x3ea922…
10-18 13:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x88a626…
10-18 13:27:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xe23945…
10-18 13:26:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x387419…
10-18 13:26:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xaedc52…
10-18 13:25:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 18, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xcd7178…
10-02 19:17:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	87	2¢	$2	0xd30cb7…
10-02 19:17:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x40498c…
10-02 19:17:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	18	7¢	$1	0x8581f2…
10-02 19:13:57	Solana Up or Down - October 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xc150c4…
10-02 19:10:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0x49fe77…
10-02 19:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0xa1f9b7…
10-02 19:09:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0xae2828…
10-02 18:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xc35f30…
10-02 18:47:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xc645be…
10-02 18:47:17	XRP Up or Down - October 2, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	119	3¢	$4	0xb3d1f4…
10-02 18:47:00	Solana Up or Down - October 2, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	125	3¢	$4	0xb071bd…
10-02 18:46:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 2PM ET	Up	BUY	110	3¢	$3	0xd11292…
10-02 17:54:05	XRP Up or Down - October 2, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	26	12¢	$3	0x60d4c0…
10-02 17:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	165	2¢	$3	0x81e610…
10-02 17:53:14	XRP Up or Down - October 2, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x504196…
10-02 17:53:03	XRP Up or Down - October 2, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x9da5b8…
10-02 17:52:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	102	2¢	$2	0x3bf9b6…
10-02 17:51:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	105	2¢	$2	0x78b9d1…
10-02 17:51:27	XRP Up or Down - October 2, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x933bfb…
10-02 17:51:15	XRP Up or Down - October 2, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x6c4215…
10-02 17:51:08	XRP Up or Down - October 2, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	34	9¢	$3	0x18c518…
10-02 17:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0x52bfed…
10-02 17:50:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1PM ET	Up	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0x77b70a…
10-02 05:42:33	Solana Up or Down - October 2, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	37	5¢	$2	0x3f06b3…
10-02 05:42:00	Solana Up or Down - October 2, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	44	5¢	$2	0xf3dc45…
10-02 05:41:44	Solana Up or Down - October 2, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	72	3¢	$2	0x1b84a9…
10-02 05:41:39	Solana Up or Down - October 2, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xfcd112…
10-02 05:41:33	Solana Up or Down - October 2, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x0d93a1…
10-02 05:41:20	Solana Up or Down - October 2, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	30	2¢	$1	0x34815e…
10-02 05:41:02	Solana Up or Down - October 2, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x3be7bc…
10-02 05:40:47	XRP Up or Down - October 2, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	41	5¢	$2	0x9bcffc…
10-02 05:40:39	XRP Up or Down - October 2, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	63	5¢	$3	0xe15c8c…
10-02 05:40:14	Solana Up or Down - October 2, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0xa3f709…
10-02 05:40:05	Solana Up or Down - October 2, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x3e3290…
10-02 05:39:57	Solana Up or Down - October 2, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	53	4¢	$2	0x6fd0ad…
10-02 05:39:42	Solana Up or Down - October 2, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x94639d…
10-02 05:39:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x1b1fb5…
10-02 05:39:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xb1f149…
10-02 05:39:20	Solana Up or Down - October 2, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xb0a432…
10-02 05:38:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0xb4dd3d…
10-02 05:32:56	XRP Up or Down - October 2, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x7ae840…
10-02 05:32:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x519bbe…
10-02 05:19:35	XRP Up or Down - October 2, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x2e3cc4…
10-02 05:19:08	XRP Up or Down - October 2, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xaca146…
10-02 05:18:54	XRP Up or Down - October 2, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x18d01f…
10-02 05:14:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x24755a…
10-02 05:13:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x9c13e4…
10-02 05:13:27	XRP Up or Down - October 2, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xf9b889…
10-02 05:13:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xe73a00…
10-02 05:12:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	78	1¢	$1	0x6bcb22…
10-02 05:09:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	145	2¢	$3	0xcecdd9…
10-02 05:09:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x8568ff…
10-02 05:09:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	97	6¢	$6	0x0465e5…
10-02 05:08:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0x4c415a…
10-02 05:08:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 2, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	29	21¢	$6	0x8eaf9d…
10-02 04:40:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x39cae5…
10-02 03:30:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0xb9c8b8…
10-02 03:29:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0x86ae63…
10-02 03:29:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0x9e6159…
10-02 03:29:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 1, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x564882…
10-02 03:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0xe24ac3…