Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
55.9%
Resolved
161
Trades
48,775
lifetime
Volume
$58.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$24
26 positions
First seen
2026-03-12
last 06-10 00:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 28 days
Categories
Other
44% 42% $-4
Politics
34% 54% +$11
Crypto
13% 45% $-3
Sports
7% 47% $-4
Tech
2% 0% $-4
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 3702 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
XRP all time high by September 30, 2026? Yes -99 $-4 $-4 +$0 06-02 07:15
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? Yes +199 $5 $3 $-1 06-10 05:11
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? Yes -167 $-0 $-3 $-2 06-10 03:12
Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30? Yes -159 $-4 $-3 +$2 06-03 04:44
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? Yes -152 $-3 $-2 +$1 06-02 15:29
Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No -30 $-2 $-2 +$0 06-09 07:54
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? Yes +172 $2 $2 $-1 05-29 05:14
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? Yes -23 $-2 $-2 +$1 06-10 02:14
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes +41 $1 $1 +$0 06-09 18:54
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +19 $-2 $1 +$3 06-10 02:43
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? Yes +50 $1 $1 $-0 06-02 08:39
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? Yes +34 $1 $0 $-1 06-08 19:41
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? Yes +21 $-0 $0 +$0 06-10 05:34
Iran leadership change by June 30? Yes -4 $-3 $-0 +$3 06-09 13:21
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? Yes -4 $0 $-0 $-1 06-05 23:44
Netanyahu out by June 30? Yes -8 $0 $-0 $-0 06-04 02:22
Thailand strikes Cambodia by June 30, 2026? Yes +1 $0 $0 +$0 06-01 07:21
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? Yes -1 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-09 08:22
Will Iran Play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No +2 $-1 $0 +$1 06-08 09:59
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? Yes +4 $0 $0 $-0 06-04 01:11
Will Chad Bianco advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? Yes +45 $2 $0 $-2 05-28 19:20
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? Yes +3 $0 $0 $-0 06-09 17:14
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes -2 $0 $-0 $-0 06-08 19:11
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of June? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 05-30 18:46
Will Alberta join the US? Yes +0 $-1 $0 +$1 06-07 21:32
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027? No -1 $-1 $-0 +$1 06-03 04:49