Realized P&L
+$938
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
64.3%
Resolved
6,165
Trades
103,807
lifetime
Volume
$117.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$18
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-12
last 10-30 02:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 225 days
Categories
Other
47% 47% +$539
Politics
28% 54% +$469
Crypto
11% 40% -$183
Sports
9% 51% +$93
Tech
4% 48% +$23
Pop-Culture
0% 32% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 428 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +211 $2 1¢ $2 +$0 10-29 17:53
Will Top Esports win Worlds 2026? Yes +57 $1 3¢ $2 +$1 10-30 01:57
NATO x Russia military clash by November 15, 2026? Yes +31 $2 6¢ $2 +$0 10-29 23:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $1 3¢ $2 +$0 10-30 03:45
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in October? Yes +26 $0 6¢ $2 +$2 10-30 03:35
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T? Yes +26 $1 6¢ $1 +$0 10-28 20:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in October? Yes +190 $2 1¢ $1 $0 10-30 02:37
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October? Yes +105 $4 1¢ $1 -$3 10-30 03:15
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? No +19 $2 6¢ $1 -$1 10-30 00:28
Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? Yes +12 $1 8¢ $1 $0 10-30 02:31
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -2 -$1 33¢ $-1 +$0 05-05 11:03
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +13 $0 5¢ $1 +$1 10-29 21:07
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in October? Yes +50 $2 1¢ $0 -$1 10-30 03:02
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? Yes +4 $0 7¢ $0 $0 10-29 10:06
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +3 $0 8¢ $0 +$0 10-09 17:30
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $1 10¢ $0 $0 10-24 12:16
Will Houston Dynamo FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +5 $0 4¢ $0 +$0 06-22 13:43
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $0 11¢ $0 +$0 09-21 09:25
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? No +4 $0 3¢ $0 $0 10-28 19:44
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? Yes +2 -$9 6¢ $0 +$9 09-28 11:42
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? Yes +1 $0 7¢ $0 $0 10-29 12:07
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $0 2¢ $0 $0 08-21 23:40
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +2 $0 4¢ $0 +$0 08-13 13:21
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +5 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 06-16 13:29
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? Yes +2 $1 5¢ $0 -$1 10-10 09:30
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +4 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 10-28 17:05
ukraine coup attempt by december 31 Yes +2 $0 3¢ $0 $0 07-09 10:31
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $0 3¢ $0 $0 09-20 17:37
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? Yes +2 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 08-29 22:14
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? Yes +4 $0 1¢ $0 $0 07-01 08:33