Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
55.9%
Resolved
161
Trades
58,104
lifetime
Volume
$68.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$7
12 positions
First seen
2026-03-12
last 07-21 18:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 28 days
Categories
Other
42% 42% $-4
Politics
34% 54% +$11
Crypto
13% 45% $-3
Sports
7% 47% $-4
Tech
3% 0% $-4
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 478 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? Yes -36 $-2 $-2 +$0 07-21 14:36
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +34 $3 $1 $-1 07-21 15:16
XRP all time high by September 30, 2026? Yes -99 $-4 $-1 +$3 06-02 07:15
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? No +32 $2 $1 $-1 07-21 06:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes -39 $-2 $-1 +$1 07-13 16:04
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? Yes -26 $-1 $-0 +$0 06-15 19:41
Will Texas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? No +14 $-1 $0 +$1 07-20 09:46
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? Yes +4 $0 $0 $-0 07-01 08:33
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? Yes -1 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-09 08:22
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Yes +1 $0 $0 $-0 06-15 04:48
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? Yes +2 $0 $0 $-0 07-02 12:53
Will Alberta join the US? Yes +0 $-1 $0 +$1 06-07 21:32