Realized P&L
+$962
Unrealized P&L
+$5
Hit rate
64.3%
Resolved
6,194
Trades
104,430
lifetime
Volume
$117.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$5
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-12
last 10-31 05:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 227 days
Categories
Other
47% 47% +$557
Politics
28% 54% +$472
Crypto
11% 40% -$183
Sports
9% 51% +$93
Tech
4% 48% +$27
Pop-Culture
0% 32% -$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 428 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israeli Knesset election annulled? Yes +31 $4 6¢ $2 -$2 10-31 05:38
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -2 -$1 33¢ $-1 +$0 05-05 11:03
Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027? Yes +33 $1 1¢ $0 $0 10-31 04:03
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +3 $0 8¢ $0 +$0 10-09 17:30
Will Houston Dynamo FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +5 $0 4¢ $0 +$0 06-22 13:43
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $0 12¢ $0 +$0 09-21 09:25
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $1 7¢ $0 $0 10-24 12:16
Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? No +5 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 10-31 03:48
Will Anthropic's market cap be less than $1.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +2 $0 5¢ $0 +$0 08-13 13:21
Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31? Yes +1 $0 8¢ $0 +$0 10-29 12:07
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 2, 2026? Yes +1 $0 10¢ $0 $0 10-30 05:32
ukraine coup attempt by december 31 Yes +2 $0 4¢ $0 $0 07-09 10:31
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $0 2¢ $0 $0 08-21 23:40
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +5 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 06-16 13:29
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? Yes +2 $1 5¢ $0 -$1 10-10 09:30
UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? Yes +2 -$9 4¢ $0 +$9 09-28 11:42
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +4 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 10-28 17:05
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $0 3¢ $0 $0 09-20 17:37
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? Yes +2 $0 4¢ $0 +$0 08-29 22:14
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? Yes +4 $0 1¢ $0 $0 07-01 08:33
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Yes +1 $0 4¢ $0 +$0 09-26 20:32
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? Yes +4 $0 1¢ $0 $0 10-29 10:06
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? Yes +1 $0 6¢ $0 +$0 10-29 02:06
OpenAI IPO before 2027? Yes +1 $0 4¢ $0 $0 09-13 21:00
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? Yes +4 $0 1¢ $0 $0 07-28 13:10
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Yes +1 $0 2¢ $0 $0 06-15 04:48
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +1 $0 4¢ $0 +$0 09-21 14:40
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +0 -$1 5¢ $0 +$1 10-30 06:58
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +1 -$1 1¢ $0 +$1 07-28 04:14
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31? Yes +1 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 10-29 06:59