(anonymous) 0x238fe1…983015
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Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
55.9%
Resolved
161
Trades
55,091
lifetime
Volume
$65.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$15
21 positions
First seen
2026-03-12
last 07-01 06:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 28 days
Categories
Other
42% 42% $-4
Politics
35% 54% +$11
Crypto
13% 45% $-3
Sports
7% 47% $-4
Tech
3% 0% $-4
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 3702 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes -60 $-5 5¢ $-3 +$2 06-18 06:28
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +26 $-0 9¢ $2 +$3 07-01 01:03
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? Yes +47 $2 4¢ $2 +$0 07-01 09:19
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +59 $2 3¢ $2 +$0 07-01 07:57
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes -40 $-2 4¢ $-2 +$0 06-24 22:43
XRP all time high by September 30, 2026? Yes -99 $-4 1¢ $-1 +$3 06-02 07:15
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? Yes -26 $-1 4¢ $-1 $-0 06-15 19:41
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? Yes +172 $2 0¢ $0 $-2 05-29 05:14
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? Yes +4 $0 7¢ $0 $-0 07-01 08:33
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? Yes -27 $0 1¢ $-0 $-0 06-15 02:07
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +10 $-1 1¢ $0 +$2 07-01 06:56
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? Yes -1 $-0 8¢ $-0 +$0 06-09 08:22
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +55 $1 0¢ $0 $-1 06-24 21:40
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Yes +1 $0 4¢ $0 $-0 06-15 04:48
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? Yes +5 $1 1¢ $0 $-1 06-18 08:59
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? Yes -2 $-1 1¢ $-0 +$1 06-16 11:11
Will Alberta join the US? Yes +0 $-1 2¢ $0 +$1 06-07 21:32
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +2 $-1 0¢ $0 +$1 06-28 15:15
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? Yes +1 $-1 0¢ $0 +$1 06-11 21:04
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? Yes -0 $-0 0¢ $-0 +$0 06-13 10:15
Will Croatia reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? Yes +0 $0 1¢ $0 $-0 06-29 17:00