Realized P&L
+$22
Unrealized P&L
-$973
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
278
lifetime
Volume
$15.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$56
Open exposure
$3.92K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 07-04 21:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
59% 100% +$22
Other
41%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +51,871 $4,154 $3.4K $-782 07-04 21:19
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? Yes +422 $187 26¢ $112 $-76 06-17 11:37
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +122 $113 88¢ $106 $-7 06-16 22:39
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? Yes +368 $131 28¢ $101 $-29 07-04 11:01
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +700 $105 12¢ $88 $-18 06-28 10:51
Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -60 $-33 68¢ $-40 $-7 06-04 18:38
NATO article 5 before 2027? Yes +333 $40 $28 $-12 06-04 12:50
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -59 $-39 46¢ $-27 +$12 06-20 12:30
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31? No -29 $-30 82¢ $-24 +$6 06-12 13:41
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31? Yes +74 $22 18¢ $13 $-9 06-26 06:45
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -8 $31 84¢ $-6 $-38 06-26 07:38
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? Yes -28 $13 $-1 $-14 06-14 23:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +4 $1 24¢ $1 $-0 06-07 07:43