Amused-Columnist 0xa88350…d631fb
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$22
Unrealized P&L
+$20
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
202
lifetime
Volume
$7.73K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$38
Open exposure
$1.56K
18 positions
First seen
2026-01-07
last 06-08 03:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
57% — —
Politics
43% 100% +$22
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +430 $335 90¢ $389 +$54 06-04 12:39
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No -371 $-352 98¢ $-362 $-9 05-29 15:12
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -208 $-129 62¢ $-130 $-1 06-03 07:02
Starmer out by December 31, 2026? Yes +147 $100 76¢ $111 +$11 05-29 15:55
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +1,000 $100 11¢ $105 +$5 06-08 03:30
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -108 $-87 82¢ $-88 $-2 06-08 03:28
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? Yes +1,547 $98 6¢ $85 $-13 06-08 03:29
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? Yes +230 $82 34¢ $78 $-4 06-01 06:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No -50 $-44 94¢ $-47 $-2 06-05 14:03
Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -60 $-33 67¢ $-40 $-7 06-04 18:38
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? Yes +103 $45 38¢ $39 $-6 06-01 08:36
NATO article 5 before 2027? Yes +333 $40 9¢ $30 $-10 06-04 12:50
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31? No +22 $13 84¢ $18 +$5 06-05 14:55
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes +34 $20 50¢ $17 $-3 05-29 16:10
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +23 $10 52¢ $12 +$2 06-05 14:55
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes +71 $10 15¢ $10 +$0 05-29 16:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +4 $1 28¢ $1 +$0 06-07 07:43
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30? Yes -0 $-0 6¢ $-0 +$0 06-03 07:08