Realized P&L
-$3.01K
Unrealized P&L
+$669
Hit rate
34.2%
Resolved
7
Trades
6,806
lifetime
Volume
$593.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$87
Open exposure
$18.6K
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 21:08
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
49% 67% $-2,310
Other
36% 25% $-702
Sports
13%
Tech
1%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 223 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +13,736 $11,951 92¢ $12.7K +$756 07-16 18:41
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -1,610 $-1,543 97¢ $-1561 $-19 07-03 03:52
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? No +1,807 $1,143 68¢ $1.2K +$94 07-16 05:59
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -1,144 $-629 66¢ $-749 $-120 07-02 12:20
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes -13,225 $-926 $-727 +$198 07-16 12:38
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -400 $-383 96¢ $-382 +$1 07-02 12:14
US recession by end of 2026? No +423 $371 88¢ $372 +$2 07-18 05:47
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +624 $268 34¢ $215 $-53 07-08 10:42
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31? No -165 $-142 90¢ $-148 $-6 07-05 05:21
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -101 $-95 94¢ $-96 $-1 07-02 12:18
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026? No -83 $-80 94¢ $-78 +$2 07-21 18:37
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? Yes +312 $110 24¢ $75 $-35 07-02 20:58
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +143 $93 38¢ $54 $-39 06-24 20:05
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? Yes +400 $36 13¢ $52 +$16 06-08 12:43
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +48 $17 62¢ $30 +$13 07-06 01:33
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? Yes -64 $-29 38¢ $-24 +$4 07-06 22:39
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +216 $162 $15 $-147 06-18 07:16
Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027? Yes +149 $16 $13 $-4 06-18 02:34
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026? Yes +130 $4 $7 +$3 06-17 13:02
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? Yes -300 $-9 $-6 +$3 07-02 18:40
Will Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2026? No -2 $-2 96¢ $-2 $-0 07-04 14:07
Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027? Yes -1 $-0 $-0 $-0 07-11 12:24