Capital-Eviction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.01K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

34.2%

Resolved

Trades

6,835

lifetime

Volume

$595.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$87

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-12 11:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

49% 67% $-2,310

Other

36% 25% $-702

Sports

13% — —

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 223 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	187	$52.3K	81,763	82,359	-597	open	—	02-09 03:51
trump out as president by march 31	111	$21.3K	19,838	7,435	+12,402	open	—	03-11 21:26
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	67	$20.4K	12,655	13,954	-1,299	open	—	04-29 15:03
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	56	$19.0K	59,169	54,528	+4,641	open	—	05-13 17:44
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	57	$18.4K	19,393	12,735	+6,658	open	—	02-28 06:58
trump x greenland deal signed by march 31	54	$16.6K	14,520	3,038	+11,482	open	—	03-29 00:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	17	$16.5K	28,886	4,157	+24,730	open	—	07-02 12:14
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	54	$16.4K	12,004	4,658	+7,347	open	—	05-30 14:59
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	50	$15.3K	15,520	1,784	+13,736	open	—	07-16 18:41
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	3	$14.8K	7,500	7,500	+0	open	—	02-09 00:36
Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	15	$13.2K	13,276	0	+13,276	open	—	05-14 10:14
will the us collect between 100b and 200b in revenue in 2025	5	$12.2K	7,000	5,373	+1,627	open	—	02-22 01:06
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	57	$11.7K	11,917	6,987	+4,930	open	—	02-27 15:06
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	56	$11.4K	8,326	6,509	+1,818	open	—	03-08 21:45
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	117	$11.2K	239,157	9,687	+229,470	open	—	02-28 07:28
Labour leadership election scheduled by March 31?	18	$10.7K	11,423	693	+10,730	open	—	04-01 10:44
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	10	$8.6K	433	9,209	-8,776	open	—	06-21 22:03
will karol g perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	52	$8.3K	28,191	11,657	+16,534	open	—	02-09 03:51
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	53	$8.2K	20,520	10,747	+9,774	open	—	03-06 23:37
will israel nuke iran by january 31	31	$8.0K	6,000	2,000	+4,000	open	—	01-28 22:16
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	14	$7.8K	8,019	0	+8,019	open	—	02-28 07:01
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	36	$7.7K	16,497	1,731	+14,766	open	—	05-26 10:18
spx opens up or down on march 2 2026	34	$7.2K	18,905	6,196	+12,709	open	—	03-01 12:19
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	25	$6.9K	5,337	3,809	+1,528	open	—	02-25 18:58
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	23	$6.5K	3,444	3,444	+0	open	—	03-07 18:22
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	6	$5.7K	3,397	3,397	+0	open	—	02-02 01:03
will rauw alejandro perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	31	$5.7K	11,733	4,078	+7,655	open	—	02-09 03:42
Trump out as President by April 30?	2	$5.5K	2,782	2,782	+0	open	—	04-09 12:01
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	27	$5.4K	5,360	350	+5,010	open	—	02-28 02:22
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	26	$5.3K	14,028	8,628	+5,400	open	—	03-09 22:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 11:30:42	5kt meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	66	73¢	$49	0xda2352…
08-12 06:44:37	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xd93ac6…
08-06 19:58:27	Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?	No	BUY	22	60¢	$13	0xc56fe2…
08-06 18:19:56	Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?	No	BUY	88	60¢	$52	0x33655e…
08-06 14:31:15	Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?	No	BUY	56	92¢	$52	0x3c7445…
08-05 18:48:26	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	Yes	BUY	160	10¢	$16	0x2ecfc6…
08-05 08:47:08	Will Trump's approval rating hit 20% in 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x6b68bd…
08-05 05:04:39	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x384144…
08-05 05:02:48	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	Yes	BUY	40	10¢	$4	0x3358f7…
08-05 05:00:35	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	Yes	BUY	38	10¢	$4	0xc7d64f…
08-01 22:05:51	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	47	78¢	$37	0x6280ed…
08-01 21:55:57	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	159	78¢	$124	0x25192f…
08-01 21:55:50	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	91	78¢	$71	0xc68fcd…
08-01 17:17:27	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	91	78¢	$71	0x6667b8…
08-01 14:27:54	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	227	78¢	$177	0x2e1b98…
08-01 13:30:45	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	85	78¢	$66	0x0b14c0…
07-30 17:21:48	Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?	No	BUY	310	63¢	$195	0x968378…
07-30 15:29:08	Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?	No	BUY	200	93¢	$186	0xf6b441…
07-30 15:27:45	Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x00b00d…
07-30 15:26:14	Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?	No	BUY	113	93¢	$105	0x7aa653…
07-30 15:20:11	Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?	No	BUY	71	93¢	$66	0x0455e2…
07-30 00:11:27	Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x54aacb…
07-30 00:07:23	Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x6903db…
07-30 00:06:48	Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?	No	BUY	90	93¢	$84	0x6f0698…
07-27 05:59:07	Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xbc4024…
07-25 09:25:34	Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?	No	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0xd586f3…
07-24 12:52:10	Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?	No	BUY	86	93¢	$80	0x7ee424…
07-23 14:38:21	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	100	78¢	$78	0xfc0d2a…
07-23 14:34:12	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x1f5d36…
07-21 21:08:21	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	15	78¢	$12	0x5a5159…
07-21 18:37:25	Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x23c647…
07-21 18:13:48	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	290	78¢	$226	0xa473c2…
07-21 18:12:46	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	250	78¢	$195	0x58a455…
07-18 15:54:13	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x2316ea…
07-18 15:54:12	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	1,192	79¢	$942	0x1cf290…
07-18 05:47:15	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	240	88¢	$211	0x296fae…
07-18 05:44:12	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x41e803…
07-17 23:18:18	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x307faf…
07-17 11:03:13	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x685ce4…
07-16 18:41:29	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	1,453	92¢	$1,337	0x4b62af…
07-16 17:08:52	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	0	92¢	$0	0xfed628…
07-16 15:40:23	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0xa7846a…
07-16 15:22:41	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x3f44b9…
07-16 15:16:32	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x59ed34…
07-16 15:00:04	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0xd54637…
07-16 14:49:59	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x439ff6…
07-16 14:26:26	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xdb2554…
07-16 14:17:05	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$1	0x333e31…
07-16 14:12:49	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	No	BUY	37	92¢	$34	0xc38eaf…
07-16 12:38:08	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	225	7¢	$16	0x6b9e90…
07-16 12:28:35	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0xb9c874…
07-16 12:25:34	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2	7¢	$0	0xac8cfa…
07-16 05:59:31	Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?	No	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0x0753f0…
07-15 17:45:29	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x24400d…
07-15 16:53:17	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0xb0f757…
07-15 16:12:23	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	Yes	BUY	72	20¢	$14	0x8e3aea…
07-15 16:11:16	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	Yes	BUY	72	20¢	$14	0x6bb2ae…
07-15 15:51:58	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xea1a37…
07-15 15:38:02	Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?	No	BUY	314	70¢	$220	0xf1114e…
07-15 13:28:28	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	Yes	BUY	22	20¢	$4	0xf78320…
07-15 13:06:11	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	47	7¢	$3	0x53155e…
07-15 11:57:25	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x2019e2…
07-15 10:18:52	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x0834f6…
07-15 05:12:31	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	3	7¢	$0	0x220a46…
07-15 05:12:25	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x4ac422…
07-15 05:12:22	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	2,500	7¢	$175	0x34dbfb…
07-15 05:02:02	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	Yes	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0x50fc29…
07-14 18:25:01	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x6a6079…
07-14 14:06:17	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x041cbc…
07-14 14:06:16	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xde893a…
07-14 14:00:11	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x384e13…
07-14 14:00:10	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x5cd8fc…
07-14 13:54:08	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x3196ef…
07-14 13:54:07	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x71e36e…
07-14 13:48:04	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xe7ea7d…
07-14 13:48:02	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xee9b09…
07-14 11:47:38	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	Yes	BUY	56	20¢	$11	0x950754…
07-14 10:35:05	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xf29ee7…
07-14 10:35:05	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x0e2fdb…
07-14 04:53:20	Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?	No	BUY	44	73¢	$32	0x6e7816…
07-14 01:32:11	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0x2692cd…
07-14 01:10:41	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	72	7¢	$5	0x9e66a9…
07-13 22:49:14	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1,457	7¢	$102	0x352a52…
07-13 19:20:34	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	7¢	$0	0xaed282…
07-13 19:18:08	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	250	7¢	$18	0xb82a08…
07-13 19:17:58	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	35	7¢	$2	0xb3cc3f…
07-13 19:17:47	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	250	7¢	$18	0x98712e…
07-13 19:05:26	jd vance out as vp by december 31	No	BUY	44	94¢	$41	0x9533cf…
07-13 19:04:35	jd vance out as vp by december 31	No	BUY	456	94¢	$429	0x5db23d…
07-13 18:43:02	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	No	BUY	80	48¢	$39	0x410d0c…
07-13 14:10:56	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	No	BUY	20	48¢	$9	0xee3fdf…
07-13 13:32:16	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	116	48¢	$56	0xb5e799…
07-13 13:27:28	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x4f0c86…
07-11 23:30:35	Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?	No	SELL	53	97¢	$51	0x0e1026…
07-11 18:54:58	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	Yes	BUY	500	21¢	$105	0xc22c54…
07-11 16:39:41	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	Yes	BUY	150	22¢	$33	0x115d68…
07-11 14:38:19	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x803b53…
07-11 13:45:11	will jean luc mlenchon advance to the second round of the next french presidential election	Yes	BUY	85	30¢	$26	0xe9031c…
07-11 12:24:50	Will Elon Musk announce Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0xca92cd…
07-11 10:54:44	nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	No	BUY	200	76¢	$152	0xfbf08a…