Realized P&L
-$3.01K
Unrealized P&L
+$841
Hit rate
34.2%
Resolved
7
Trades
6,304
lifetime
Volume
$572.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$91
Open exposure
$27.1K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 18:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
51% 67% $-2,310
Other
34% 25% $-702
Sports
14%
Tech
1%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 196 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +12,760 $9,624 100¢ $12.7K +$3,092 06-14 21:53
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No +13,020 $11,325 90¢ $11.8K +$458 06-11 07:17
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -912 $-873 96¢ $-871 +$2 07-01 18:18
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? No +828 $438 70¢ $583 +$145 06-28 20:47
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes -8,165 $-572 $-531 +$41 07-01 18:18
Will Jordan Bardella be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +216 $162 76¢ $163 +$1 06-18 07:16
US recession by end of 2026? No +173 $151 88¢ $153 +$3 06-21 21:08
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +143 $93 70¢ $101 +$8 06-24 20:05
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027? Yes +188 $69 38¢ $71 +$2 07-01 08:57
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +15,516 $2,931 $54 $-2,876 06-14 21:50
Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026? Yes +400 $36 $28 $-8 06-08 12:43
Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? No +1,216 $24 $15 $-10 06-22 11:31
Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027? Yes +149 $16 $13 $-3 06-18 02:34
Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026? Yes +130 $4 $5 +$1 06-17 13:02
Will Keir Starmer be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? Yes +211 $16 $1 $-16 06-21 15:43