Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?
open
Total volume
$133
Trades
32
Unique wallets
17
Liquidity
$4,315
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-31
last 07-07 21:19
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $9 | $1 | +$8 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $3 | $45 | $42 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $9 | — | +$9 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $2 | $27 | $25 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| Median | 3 | $3 | $1 | +$2 |
| Below median | 5 | $5 | $18 | $12 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| unranked | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +55 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-01 07:57 |
| Gaseous-Tennis 0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | +50 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-24 01:19 |
| Shoddy-Cyst 0xef54…c997 | No | +29 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 07-07 21:19 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +25 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-01 07:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | +22 | $1 | $3 | 5 | 07-07 21:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xf9ea…7b04 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-30 20:02 |
| Miserly-Editing 0xb69a…7c05 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 07-01 01:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-07 21:19 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 21:19:20 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xae8f8a… |
| 07-07 21:19:20 | Shoddy-Cyst 0xef54…c997 | No | BUY | 29 | 95¢ | $27 | 0xae8f8a… |
| 07-07 21:19:20 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 18 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xae8f8a… |
| 07-01 01:40:29 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x80e57c… |
| 07-01 01:40:29 | Violet-Negligee 0xd687…bbb3 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x80e57c… |
| 07-01 01:40:29 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x80e57c… |
| 07-01 01:08:40 | Miserly-Editing 0xb69a…7c05 | No | BUY | 19 | 88¢ | $17 | 0xbd51cf… |
| 07-01 01:08:40 | Violet-Negligee 0xd687…bbb3 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xbd51cf… |
| 07-01 00:53:49 | Violet-Negligee 0xd687…bbb3 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xb5c521… |
| 07-01 00:53:49 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xb5c521… |
| 06-30 20:02:13 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x7e6215… |
| 06-30 20:02:13 | (anonymous) 0xf9ea…7b04 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x7e6215… |
| 06-24 01:19:59 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0xe29c76… |
| 06-24 01:19:59 | Gaseous-Tennis 0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0xe29c76… |
| 06-17 03:19:22 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x54bfc3… |
| 06-17 03:19:22 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x54bfc3… |
| 06-16 07:23:58 | Swift-Entrance 0x6f7c…4c7c | Yes | SELL | 11 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x8e01e7… |
| 06-16 07:23:58 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 11 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x8e01e7… |
| 06-15 20:21:28 | Swift-Entrance 0x6f7c…4c7c | Yes | BUY | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xd5534a… |
| 06-15 20:21:28 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xd5534a… |
| 06-07 09:31:40 | Miserly-Editing 0xb69a…7c05 | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0xc89bb6… |
| 06-07 09:31:40 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0xc89bb6… |
| 06-07 08:56:24 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x0b4b49… |
| 06-07 08:56:24 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x0b4b49… |
| 06-01 07:57:32 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 7¢ | $4 | 0xa604d4… |
| 06-01 07:57:32 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xa604d4… |
| 06-01 07:57:32 | Blissful-Executor 0xd9a6…9497 | Yes | SELL | 115 | 7¢ | $8 | 0xa604d4… |
| 06-01 07:57:32 | Ajar-Sportsman 0xf797…0bf2 | No | SELL | 36 | 93¢ | $33 | 0xa604d4… |
| 05-31 15:15:06 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x514585… |
| 05-31 15:15:06 | Pristine-Registry 0xd098…3307 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x514585… |
| 05-31 15:15:06 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x514585… |
| 05-31 15:15:06 | Ajar-Sportsman 0xf797…0bf2 | No | SELL | 6 | 93¢ | $6 | 0x514585… |