Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,769
Trades
95
Unique wallets
34
Liquidity
$4,315
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-31
last 08-08 12:36
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 8 | $13 | $533 | $520 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $6 | $680 | $674 |
| 🐟 Fish | 10 | $4 | $146 | $142 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 9 | $103 | $15 | +$88 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $2 | $106 | $104 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $6 | $28 | $22 |
| Median | 4 | $3 | $10 | $8 |
| Below median | 7 | $93 | $18 | +$75 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $4 | $300 | $296 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $5 | $879 | $874 |
| unranked | 8 | $9 | $33 | $24 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gaseous-Tennis 0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | +1,200 | $86 | $86 | 17 | 08-08 12:36 |
| Capital-Eviction 0xf769…0114 | No | +726 | $675 | $675 | 8 | 08-06 14:31 |
| Ajar-Sportsman 0xf797…0bf2 | No | +278 | $256 | $335 | 7 | 08-08 12:36 |
| Shoddy-Cyst 0xef54…c997 | No | +112 | $106 | $106 | 2 | 07-19 22:45 |
| Gullible-Grassland 0x72a2…7b65 | No | +105 | $96 | $276 | 2 | 08-08 09:08 |
| Crazy-Singing 0x67c0…75c2 | Yes | +83 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-19 22:45 |
| Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | +57 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 08-06 14:31 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 08-02 14:44 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 07-13 18:40 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +25 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-01 07:57 |
| Clean-Slang 0xd5ff…8450 | Yes | +22 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-11 19:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xf9ea…7b04 | Yes | +20 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-30 20:02 |
| Miserly-Editing 0xb69a…7c05 | No | +20 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 07-01 01:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x2af1…d858 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 08-02 18:06 |
| (anonymous) 0x9e59…a4ba | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 08-02 14:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $1 | 2 | 07-30 00:06 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-30 22:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-30 00:06 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 12:36:01 | Gaseous-Tennis 0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0x859586… |
| 08-08 12:36:01 | Ajar-Sportsman 0xf797…0bf2 | No | BUY | 100 | 93¢ | $93 | 0x859586… |
| 08-08 09:08:57 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xea0479… |
| 08-08 09:08:57 | (anonymous) 0x66f7…1653 | Yes | SELL | 100 | 5¢ | $5 | 0xea0479… |
| 08-08 09:08:57 | Gullible-Grassland 0x72a2…7b65 | No | SELL | 95 | 95¢ | $90 | 0xea0479… |
| 08-07 19:55:40 | (anonymous) 0x66f7…1653 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0x3749a1… |
| 08-07 19:55:40 | Ajar-Sportsman 0xf797…0bf2 | No | BUY | 100 | 93¢ | $93 | 0x3749a1… |
| 08-06 14:31:15 | Capital-Eviction 0xf769…0114 | No | BUY | 56 | 92¢ | $52 | 0x3c7445… |
| 08-06 14:31:15 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x3c7445… |
| 08-03 01:30:54 | Ajar-Sportsman 0xf797…0bf2 | No | BUY | 49 | 91¢ | $45 | 0xd14eb2… |
| 08-03 01:30:54 | Gaseous-Tennis 0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | BUY | 49 | 9¢ | $4 | 0xd14eb2… |
| 08-03 01:07:57 | Gaseous-Tennis 0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xdcd00b… |
| 08-03 01:07:57 | Ajar-Sportsman 0xf797…0bf2 | No | BUY | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0xdcd00b… |
| 08-02 18:06:48 | Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xbd0d27… |
| 08-02 18:06:48 | Gaseous-Tennis 0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xbd0d27… |
| 08-02 18:06:48 | (anonymous) 0x2af1…d858 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xbd0d27… |
| 08-02 17:31:23 | (anonymous) 0x2af1…d858 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xdd33ab… |
| 08-02 17:31:23 | Gaseous-Tennis 0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xdd33ab… |
| 08-02 14:44:08 | (anonymous) 0x9e59…a4ba | No | BUY | 6 | 92¢ | $6 | 0xaa56c8… |
| 08-02 14:44:08 | Gaseous-Tennis 0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xaa56c8… |
| 08-02 14:44:03 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x3950b9… |
| 08-02 14:44:03 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x3950b9… |
| 08-02 14:44:03 | Ajar-Sportsman 0xf797…0bf2 | No | BUY | 60 | 91¢ | $55 | 0x3950b9… |
| 08-02 14:44:03 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x3950b9… |
| 07-30 22:45:27 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xf13f95… |
| 07-30 22:45:27 | Gaseous-Tennis 0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xf13f95… |
| 07-30 18:39:12 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x0fc17d… |
| 07-30 18:39:12 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x0fc17d… |
| 07-30 18:38:59 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x69235e… |
| 07-30 18:38:59 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x69235e… |
| 07-30 16:53:18 | Gaseous-Tennis 0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x4e7306… |
| 07-30 16:53:18 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x4e7306… |
| 07-30 15:29:08 | Gaseous-Tennis 0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 7¢ | $14 | 0xf6b441… |
| 07-30 15:29:08 | Capital-Eviction 0xf769…0114 | No | BUY | 200 | 93¢ | $186 | 0xf6b441… |
| 07-30 15:26:14 | Gaseous-Tennis 0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | BUY | 113 | 7¢ | $8 | 0x7aa653… |
| 07-30 15:26:14 | Capital-Eviction 0xf769…0114 | No | BUY | 113 | 93¢ | $105 | 0x7aa653… |
| 07-30 15:20:11 | Gaseous-Tennis 0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | BUY | 71 | 7¢ | $5 | 0x0455e2… |
| 07-30 15:20:11 | Capital-Eviction 0xf769…0114 | No | BUY | 71 | 93¢ | $66 | 0x0455e2… |
| 07-30 00:11:27 | Gaseous-Tennis 0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x54aacb… |
| 07-30 00:11:27 | Capital-Eviction 0xf769…0114 | No | BUY | 10 | 93¢ | $9 | 0x54aacb… |
| 07-30 00:11:27 | (anonymous) 0xaf05…33e2 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x54aacb… |
| 07-30 00:07:23 | Capital-Eviction 0xf769…0114 | No | BUY | 100 | 93¢ | $93 | 0x6903db… |
| 07-30 00:07:23 | Gaseous-Tennis 0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 7¢ | $7 | 0x6903db… |
| 07-30 00:06:48 | Gaseous-Tennis 0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | BUY | 90 | 7¢ | $6 | 0x6f0698… |
| 07-30 00:06:48 | Capital-Eviction 0xf769…0114 | No | BUY | 90 | 93¢ | $84 | 0x6f0698… |
| 07-30 00:06:05 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xf33b6d… |
| 07-30 00:06:05 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 55 | 6¢ | $3 | 0xf33b6d… |
| 07-30 00:06:05 | Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa | Yes | SELL | 9 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xf33b6d… |
| 07-30 00:06:05 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xf33b6d… |
| 07-30 00:06:05 | Gaseous-Tennis 0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | BUY | 75 | 6¢ | $4 | 0xf33b6d… |
| 07-24 12:52:10 | Gullible-Grassland 0x72a2…7b65 | No | BUY | 200 | 93¢ | $186 | 0x7ee424… |
| 07-24 12:52:10 | Capital-Eviction 0xf769…0114 | No | BUY | 86 | 93¢ | $80 | 0x7ee424… |
| 07-24 12:52:10 | Gaseous-Tennis 0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | BUY | 286 | 7¢ | $20 | 0x7ee424… |
| 07-19 22:45:22 | Crazy-Singing 0x67c0…75c2 | Yes | BUY | 83 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x5919f4… |
| 07-19 22:45:22 | Shoddy-Cyst 0xef54…c997 | No | BUY | 83 | 94¢ | $78 | 0x5919f4… |
| 07-13 18:40:37 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 95¢ | $28 | 0x3be0f4… |
| 07-13 18:40:37 | (anonymous) 0x1bdf…1b74 | No | SELL | 30 | 95¢ | $28 | 0x3be0f4… |
| 07-13 18:29:41 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x6d8715… |
| 07-13 18:29:41 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 25 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x6d8715… |
| 07-13 18:29:41 | (anonymous) 0x1bdf…1b74 | No | SELL | 35 | 95¢ | $33 | 0x6d8715… |
| 07-13 18:29:41 | (anonymous) 0x00cd…c0ae | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x6d8715… |
| 07-11 19:52:29 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 22 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xac2193… |
| 07-11 19:52:29 | Clean-Slang 0xd5ff…8450 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xac2193… |
| 07-07 21:19:20 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 18 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xae8f8a… |
| 07-07 21:19:20 | Shoddy-Cyst 0xef54…c997 | No | BUY | 29 | 95¢ | $27 | 0xae8f8a… |
| 07-07 21:19:20 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xae8f8a… |
| 07-01 01:40:29 | Violet-Negligee 0xd687…bbb3 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x80e57c… |
| 07-01 01:40:29 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x80e57c… |
| 07-01 01:40:29 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x80e57c… |
| 07-01 01:08:40 | Miserly-Editing 0xb69a…7c05 | No | BUY | 19 | 88¢ | $17 | 0xbd51cf… |
| 07-01 01:08:40 | Violet-Negligee 0xd687…bbb3 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xbd51cf… |
| 07-01 00:53:49 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xb5c521… |
| 07-01 00:53:49 | Violet-Negligee 0xd687…bbb3 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xb5c521… |
| 06-30 20:02:13 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x7e6215… |
| 06-30 20:02:13 | (anonymous) 0xf9ea…7b04 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x7e6215… |
| 06-24 01:19:59 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0xe29c76… |
| 06-24 01:19:59 | Gaseous-Tennis 0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 8¢ | $4 | 0xe29c76… |
| 06-17 03:19:22 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x54bfc3… |
| 06-17 03:19:22 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 12 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x54bfc3… |
| 06-16 07:23:58 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 11 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x8e01e7… |
| 06-16 07:23:58 | Swift-Entrance 0x6f7c…4c7c | Yes | SELL | 11 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x8e01e7… |
| 06-15 20:21:28 | Swift-Entrance 0x6f7c…4c7c | Yes | BUY | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xd5534a… |
| 06-15 20:21:28 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xd5534a… |
| 06-07 09:31:40 | Miserly-Editing 0xb69a…7c05 | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0xc89bb6… |
| 06-07 09:31:40 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0xc89bb6… |
| 06-07 08:56:24 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x0b4b49… |
| 06-07 08:56:24 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x0b4b49… |
| 06-01 07:57:32 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 8¢ | $2 | 0xa604d4… |
| 06-01 07:57:32 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 7¢ | $4 | 0xa604d4… |
| 06-01 07:57:32 | Ajar-Sportsman 0xf797…0bf2 | No | SELL | 36 | 93¢ | $33 | 0xa604d4… |
| 06-01 07:57:32 | Blissful-Executor 0xd9a6…9497 | Yes | SELL | 115 | 7¢ | $8 | 0xa604d4… |
| 05-31 15:15:06 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x514585… |
| 05-31 15:15:06 | Ajar-Sportsman 0xf797…0bf2 | No | SELL | 6 | 93¢ | $6 | 0x514585… |
| 05-31 15:15:06 | Pristine-Registry 0xd098…3307 | Yes | SELL | 38 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x514585… |
| 05-31 15:15:06 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | SELL | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0x514585… |