Realized P&L
-$111
Unrealized P&L
-$32
Hit rate
62.3%
Resolved
156
Trades
3,448
lifetime
Volume
$29.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$265
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-12
last 07-18 23:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Crypto
91% 66% $-111
Other
6%
Politics
3%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 794 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No -60 $-26 84¢ $-50 $-24 06-27 13:03
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +50 $42 90¢ $45 +$3 06-27 17:37
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +50 $30 79¢ $40 +$10 06-27 07:57
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +51 $18 63¢ $32 +$14 07-03 05:42
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +50 $29 37¢ $19 $-10 07-05 13:19
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? No -20 $-16 88¢ $-18 $-2 06-26 10:46
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No -15 $-12 84¢ $-13 $-1 06-26 04:14
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -100 $-18 12¢ $-11 +$7 06-26 20:56
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +50 $19 21¢ $10 $-9 06-27 12:51
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? No +10 $7 88¢ $8 +$1 07-06 15:14
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? Yes -36 $-7 16¢ $-6 +$1 07-01 03:22
Yoon out of custody before 2027? Yes +50 $7 10¢ $5 $-2 06-29 01:02
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +4 $3 74¢ $3 +$0 06-28 02:50
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +6 $1 26¢ $2 +$0 07-07 12:13
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 82¢ $1 $-0 07-07 11:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +1 $-3 99¢ $1 +$4 07-07 00:48
Perena FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +2 $0 29¢ $0 +$0 06-27 13:09
Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +4 $1 12¢ $0 $-0 06-26 12:45
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? Yes +1 $5 12¢ $0 $-5 07-07 18:52
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +0 $1 30¢ $0 $-1 07-09 15:58
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? No +0 $4 84¢ $0 $-4 07-03 18:35
Perena FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +0 $5 71¢ $0 $-5 07-03 00:25
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 06-26 05:41
Will Brent Hennrich advance to the general election for WA-03? No +0 $1 95¢ $0 $-1 06-26 06:24
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026? No +0 $0 92¢ $0 $-0 06-23 21:18
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +0 $0 86¢ $0 +$0 06-26 08:44
Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026? No +0 $0 84¢ $0 $-0 06-24 14:48
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No +0 $7 80¢ $0 $-7 06-27 12:53
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? No +0 $0 76¢ $0 $-0 06-27 11:50
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 73¢ $0 $-0 06-23 00:34