Realized P&L
-$871
Unrealized P&L
-$49
Hit rate
66.7%
Resolved
2,610
Trades
4,454
lifetime
Volume
$41.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$101
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-12
last 09-22 22:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 109 days
Categories
Crypto
69% 72% -$328
Other
19% 57% -$330
Politics
9% 53% -$92
Sports
1% 74% -$121
Tech
1% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +50 $42 97¢ $49 +$7 06-27 17:37
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +50 $30 93¢ $47 +$16 06-27 07:57
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +50 $19 7¢ $3 -$16 06-27 12:51
Yoon out of custody before 2027? Yes +50 $7 3¢ $1 -$6 06-29 01:02
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027? Yes +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 06-19 00:07
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No +0 $7 95¢ $0 -$7 06-27 12:53
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No +0 $25 95¢ $0 -$24 06-27 13:03
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 +$0 06-26 08:44
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 $0 06-23 00:34
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +0 $0 93¢ $0 $0 06-26 10:46
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 90¢ $0 $0 06-25 12:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +0 $2 90¢ $0 -$1 06-20 06:20
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +0 $0 82¢ $0 $0 06-21 02:43
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +0 $1 74¢ $0 -$1 06-26 12:00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +0 $3 57¢ $0 -$3 06-24 14:48
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +0 $2 54¢ $0 -$2 06-26 06:42
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +0 $3 46¢ $0 -$3 06-26 10:38
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +0 $2 43¢ $0 -$2 06-22 17:52
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +0 $0 34¢ $0 +$0 06-22 18:00
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +0 $1 33¢ $0 $0 06-26 01:45
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? No +0 $0 18¢ $0 $0 06-23 13:00
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? No +0 $1 72¢ $0 -$1 07-01 01:40
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +0 $2 10¢ $0 -$2 06-27 07:48
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? Yes +0 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 06-26 07:09
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +0 $2 7¢ $0 -$2 06-26 20:56
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 6¢ $0 $0 06-23 14:49
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +0 $0 6¢ $0 $0 06-23 01:30
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027? No +0 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 06-19 10:05
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 4¢ $0 $0 06-26 12:28
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +0 $0 3¢ $0 $0 06-26 01:45