Realized P&L
-$874
Unrealized P&L
-$46
Hit rate
66.5%
Resolved
2,609
Trades
4,454
lifetime
Volume
$41.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$151
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-12
last 09-22 22:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 108 days
Categories
Crypto
69% 72% -$328
Other
19% 57% -$333
Politics
9% 53% -$92
Sports
1% 74% -$121
Tech
1% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +50 $42 97¢ $48 +$6 06-27 17:37
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +50 $30 93¢ $47 +$17 06-27 07:57
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +50 $29 59¢ $30 +$1 07-05 13:19
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +50 $18 41¢ $20 +$2 09-19 01:09
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +50 $19 7¢ $3 -$16 06-27 12:51
Yoon out of custody before 2027? Yes +50 $7 3¢ $2 -$6 06-29 01:02
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No +0 $7 96¢ $0 -$7 06-27 12:53
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027? Yes +0 $0 95¢ $0 +$0 06-19 00:07
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No +0 $25 95¢ $0 -$24 06-27 13:03
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 $0 06-23 00:34
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 $0 06-26 10:46
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 +$0 06-26 08:44
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 90¢ $0 $0 06-25 12:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +0 $2 88¢ $0 -$1 06-20 06:20
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +0 $0 82¢ $0 $0 06-21 02:43
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +0 $1 72¢ $0 -$1 06-26 12:00
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +0 $2 66¢ $0 -$2 06-26 06:42
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +0 $3 51¢ $0 -$3 06-24 14:48
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +0 $2 49¢ $0 -$2 06-22 17:52
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +0 $3 34¢ $0 -$3 06-26 10:38
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +0 $1 36¢ $0 $0 06-26 01:45
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +0 $0 29¢ $0 +$0 06-22 18:00
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? No +0 $0 18¢ $0 $0 06-23 13:00
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? No +0 $1 69¢ $0 -$1 07-01 01:40
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +0 $2 8¢ $0 -$2 06-27 07:48
Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch? Yes +0 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 06-26 07:09
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +0 $2 6¢ $0 -$2 06-26 20:56
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +0 $0 6¢ $0 $0 06-23 14:49
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +0 $0 6¢ $0 $0 06-23 01:30
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027? No +0 $1 5¢ $0 -$1 06-19 10:05