Realized P&L
-$111
Unrealized P&L
-$32
Hit rate
62.3%
Resolved
156
Trades
3,379
lifetime
Volume
$28.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$275
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-12
last 06-29 01:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Crypto
93% 66% $-111
Other
4%
Politics
3%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 794 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? No -60 $-26 82¢ $-49 $-23 06-27 13:03
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +50 $42 86¢ $43 +$1 06-27 17:37
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +50 $30 69¢ $34 +$4 06-27 07:57
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -100 $-18 18¢ $-18 $-0 06-26 20:56
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? No -20 $-16 82¢ $-16 $-1 06-26 10:46
Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027? No +20 $16 80¢ $16 +$0 06-28 04:38
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +50 $19 31¢ $16 $-3 06-27 12:51
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No -15 $-12 82¢ $-12 $-0 06-26 04:14
Perena FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +20 $15 54¢ $11 $-4 06-27 16:37
Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.? No +13 $8 68¢ $9 +$1 06-16 23:32
Yoon out of custody before 2027? Yes +50 $7 14¢ $7 $-0 06-29 01:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +10 $5 68¢ $7 +$1 06-13 08:00
Will Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026? Yes +50 $6 12¢ $6 $-0 06-26 12:10
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes +20 $6 26¢ $5 $-1 06-16 23:40
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +5 $5 92¢ $5 +$0 06-16 23:47
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +6 $4 75¢ $4 $-0 06-16 23:47
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? Yes +24 $4 18¢ $4 +$1 06-27 15:00
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +13 $3 26¢ $3 $-0 06-28 11:38
Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +4 $3 74¢ $3 +$0 06-28 02:50
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027? Yes +12 $3 22¢ $3 $-0 06-27 12:54
Perena FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +2 $0 46¢ $1 +$0 06-27 13:09
Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +4 $1 20¢ $1 +$0 06-26 12:45
Will Brent Hennrich advance to the general election for WA-03? No +0 $1 92¢ $0 $-1 06-26 06:24
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +0 $0 83¢ $0 +$0 06-26 08:44
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? No +0 $7 80¢ $0 $-7 06-27 12:53
Will Loopscale launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 74¢ $0 $-0 06-25 12:54
Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026? No +0 $0 72¢ $0 $-0 06-24 14:48
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026? No +0 $0 71¢ $0 $-0 06-23 21:18
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? No +0 $0 70¢ $0 $-0 06-26 05:41
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 65¢ $0 $-0 06-23 00:34