Violet-Negligee — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$111

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

62.3%

Resolved

156

Trades

3,450

lifetime

Volume

$29.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-12

last 07-21 22:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 66% $-111

Other

6% — —

Politics

3% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

49 active days in 12wk • peak 794 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?	22	$216	250	250	+0	open	—	06-26 20:56
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?	7	$156	95	95	+0	open	—	07-03 18:35
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	10	$131	140	140	+0	open	—	07-01 03:22
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	13	$122	191	90	+101	open	—	07-05 13:19
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	2	$119	114	114	+0	open	—	06-11 03:32
ethereum above 1600 on june 12 2026	2	$115	84	84	+0	open	—	06-11 00:36
ethereum above 1600 on june 13 2026	2	$114	85	85	+0	open	—	06-11 00:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	2	$106	57	57	+0	open	—	05-24 15:20
will solana dip to 70 in june 2026	4	$103	61	61	+0	open	—	06-04 02:07
Will Brent Hennrich advance to the general election for WA-03?	3	$88	50	50	+0	open	—	06-26 06:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	2	$74	39	39	+0	open	—	05-24 10:14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	2	$73	38	38	+0	open	—	05-24 09:35
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	3	$72	50	50	+0	open	—	06-26 05:41
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	2	$64	34	34	+0	open	—	05-24 12:54
mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	4	$62	66	66	+0	open	—	07-16 21:20
will bitcoin dip to 60k june 8 14 2026	2	$60	55	55	+0	open	—	06-09 15:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	2	$59	33	33	+0	open	—	05-24 04:49
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	2	$59	33	33	+0	open	—	05-24 04:49
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?	11	$57	79	79	+0	open	—	06-27 11:50
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?	2	$56	36	36	+0	open	—	07-01 01:40
Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?	6	$56	45	45	+0	open	—	06-24 14:06
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?	8	$56	61	60	+0	open	—	06-23 14:49
will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30	4	$51	30	30	+0	open	—	06-20 06:20
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	2	$51	34	34	+0	open	—	05-25 02:49
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	6	$50	27	27	+0	open	—	06-13 01:18
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	6	$50	27	27	+0	open	—	06-13 01:18
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?	6	$50	28	28	+0	open	—	06-13 01:18
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?	7	$49	46	46	+0	open	—	06-26 04:34
Solana Up or Down - May 24, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	2	$49	27	27	+0	open	—	05-24 06:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$49	27	27	+0	open	—	05-24 05:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-21 22:40:12	Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	4	73¢	$3	0x1e8a05…
07-21 22:39:46	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	87¢	$8	0xc37da2…
07-18 23:13:19	will exxonmobil xom q2 oil equivalent barrels per day net production koebd be above 4pt3m 20260718015701118	No	SELL	55	12¢	$7	0xc7ebec…
07-18 21:55:21	will exxonmobil xom q2 oil equivalent barrels per day net production koebd be above 4pt3m 20260718015701118	No	BUY	56	44¢	$24	0x0447eb…
07-16 21:20:01	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	Yes	SELL	33	13¢	$4	0x7006ab…
07-16 20:49:34	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	Yes	BUY	33	17¢	$6	0x653098…
07-16 20:17:13	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	Yes	SELL	32	6¢	$2	0x1f8817…
07-16 20:06:04	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 24 2026 20260716190353338	Yes	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xa261a7…
07-16 20:05:50	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	No	SELL	33	68¢	$22	0x342af2…
07-16 19:51:19	mykhailo fedorov reinstated as ukrainian defense minister by july 31 2026 20260716190353339	No	BUY	33	89¢	$29	0xa99a3e…
07-09 20:15:13	Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	24	19¢	$4	0xaba117…
07-09 16:11:46	Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	26	19¢	$5	0x58937c…
07-09 15:58:31	Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x30fa3e…
07-07 18:52:46	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	18¢	$1	0xf75345…
07-07 12:13:14	Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	7	33¢	$2	0x4cb66d…
07-07 11:21:40	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xf84196…
07-07 08:38:41	Will Fomo launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0xf8c0cb…
07-07 04:35:53	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x828b5c…
07-07 00:48:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	9	89¢	$8	0xe431b7…
07-06 16:07:34	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	18¢	$3	0xb3a421…
07-06 15:18:43	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	18¢	$5	0x07971f…
07-06 15:14:08	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$7	0xdab929…
07-06 15:05:05	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	28¢	$1	0x8e4a54…
07-06 14:23:35	Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	28¢	$13	0x5a755f…
07-05 13:19:16	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	66¢	$5	0x66cd0b…
07-05 11:19:19	Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	25	52¢	$13	0xf178f9…
07-05 11:19:19	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x927c1e…
07-03 18:35:19	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?	No	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x97f5aa…
07-03 16:00:14	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0x95d088…
07-03 14:20:07	Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	52¢	$13	0xa99533…
07-03 05:42:17	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	38¢	$7	0x673ef5…
07-03 05:41:58	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	38¢	$5	0x7fb435…
07-03 01:32:26	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	81	39¢	$32	0x337027…
07-03 00:28:28	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?	No	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0x4cc39d…
07-03 00:25:58	Perena FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0x7a668d…
07-03 00:25:05	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?	No	SELL	45	79¢	$36	0x347f76…
07-02 09:30:23	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0x774eb8…
07-02 07:04:11	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?	No	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0xb0804c…
07-02 04:22:05	Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x52056d…
07-02 04:00:46	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x2432d9…
07-02 01:28:17	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb83cca…
07-02 01:08:05	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x2b4e26…
07-02 00:58:38	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	39¢	$3	0x9688a2…
07-02 00:53:16	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x6a5717…
07-02 00:40:31	Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	19	57¢	$11	0x3aa444…
07-01 06:52:41	Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	12	21¢	$3	0xebe7df…
07-01 06:51:44	Will the US federal government take a stake in Anduril Industries, Inc.?	No	SELL	13	67¢	$9	0x263003…
07-01 06:50:29	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xfa11b1…
07-01 03:22:32	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	60	18¢	$11	0x47da7b…
07-01 02:22:07	Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xd678f8…
07-01 02:06:47	Will Alana Haim attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	50	23¢	$12	0x834630…
07-01 01:50:05	Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	34	27¢	$9	0xe09226…
07-01 01:49:38	Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xb7da9b…
07-01 01:49:19	Will Gracie Abrams attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0x46cc79…
07-01 01:40:29	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?	No	SELL	36	75¢	$27	0x982d9a…
07-01 01:40:29	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?	No	SELL	31	81¢	$25	0x8ffb55…
07-01 01:40:29	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	36	2¢	$1	0x8fee6b…
07-01 01:40:29	Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	7¢	$2	0x80e57c…
07-01 01:40:29	Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?	No	SELL	30	69¢	$20	0x5c60c9…
07-01 01:40:29	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?	Yes	SELL	95	5¢	$5	0x444301…
07-01 01:08:40	Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?	No	BUY	19	73¢	$14	0xed545c…
07-01 01:08:40	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?	No	BUY	48	85¢	$41	0xe8bd7b…
07-01 01:08:40	Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	12¢	$2	0xbd51cf…
07-01 01:08:40	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?	Yes	BUY	48	6¢	$3	0x52c5de…
07-01 00:53:50	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027?	Yes	BUY	47	6¢	$3	0xec3341…
07-01 00:53:50	Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?	No	BUY	11	73¢	$8	0x5be424…
07-01 00:53:49	Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xb5c521…
07-01 00:53:49	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?	No	BUY	47	84¢	$39	0x70f0f4…
07-01 00:46:29	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?	No	BUY	36	79¢	$29	0xe9538a…
07-01 00:46:29	Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?	Yes	BUY	36	4¢	$1	0x84b91f…
07-01 00:22:10	Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x268af8…
06-29 01:02:47	Yoon out of custody before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0xea251a…
06-28 11:38:46	Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	13	27¢	$3	0x9806f7…
06-28 04:38:59	Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x23aa79…
06-28 02:50:46	Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xf07efc…
06-27 17:37:07	Yoon out of custody before 2027?	No	BUY	50	84¢	$42	0xf4a3f4…
06-27 16:37:59	Perena FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x657478…
06-27 16:22:43	Perena FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x67df0d…
06-27 15:30:28	Perena FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x8f669d…
06-27 15:00:08	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x8d4ad1…
06-27 14:48:32	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0x1ae294…
06-27 13:09:52	Perena FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0xa8164b…
06-27 13:03:31	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	80	54¢	$43	0x5ebb11…
06-27 13:02:14	Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x34959e…
06-27 12:54:38	Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0x0df47d…
06-27 12:53:23	Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x271961…
06-27 12:51:44	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	0	38¢	$0	0xd1bd47…
06-27 12:51:32	Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x756940…
06-27 11:50:49	Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?	No	SELL	8	57¢	$4	0x4bbf83…
06-27 10:17:40	Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?	No	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x3ff4a0…
06-27 08:44:46	Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026?	No	BUY	13	59¢	$8	0x7ff433…
06-27 07:57:58	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0x009724…
06-27 01:40:08	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x94a362…
06-27 00:37:05	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	19	38¢	$7	0x9e6212…
06-27 00:30:38	Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	29	38¢	$11	0xc61f6b…
06-26 20:56:01	Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	41	18¢	$7	0x6fae1b…
06-26 19:22:46	Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	109	19¢	$21	0x1d57eb…
06-26 17:50:16	Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x71edf0…
06-26 13:06:30	Perena FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	0	19¢	$0	0x7fec29…
06-26 12:45:37	Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	19¢	$1	0x99719c…