Realized P&L
+$10
Unrealized P&L
+$35
Hit rate
46.6%
Resolved
20
Trades
773
lifetime
Volume
$7.63K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$280
15 positions
First seen
2026-05-02
last 07-15 19:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Crypto
49% 0% $-2
Other
43% 53% +$15
Politics
7% 0% $-2
Sports
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 77 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +131 $69 64¢ $85 +$16 06-09 07:35
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -61 $-43 78¢ $-48 $-5 06-18 17:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +53 $36 83¢ $44 +$8 06-16 23:04
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +38 $22 68¢ $26 +$4 06-13 09:18
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No -54 $-20 34¢ $-18 +$2 06-04 23:35
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +19 $10 62¢ $12 +$2 06-26 06:13
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +13 $10 86¢ $11 +$1 06-26 06:14
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No -76 $-16 14¢ $-11 +$6 06-03 05:32
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +8 $4 98¢ $7 +$3 06-06 07:40
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026? No +6 $5 91¢ $5 +$0 06-30 20:01
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026? No +6 $5 88¢ $5 $-0 06-30 20:01
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? No +6 $5 76¢ $5 $-0 06-30 20:01
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? Yes +7 $2 32¢ $2 +$0 06-30 20:02
Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026? Yes +20 $2 $1 $-1 06-30 20:02
Will Trump's approval rating hit 25% in 2026? Yes +14 $1 $1 $-0 06-30 20:02