Fruitful-Heroine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$204

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

36.6%

Resolved

128

Trades

174,980

lifetime

Volume

$356.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-09 14:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Other

51% 38% $-5

Politics

29% 31% $-234

Crypto

14% 57% +$36

Tech

4% 0% $-1

Sports

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 752 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	1,308	$2.6K	50,719	50,702	+17	open	—	03-04 18:31
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	598	$2.4K	24,222	24,257	-34	open	—	03-30 02:24
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	734	$2.2K	25,077	24,822	+255	open	—	03-04 18:34
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	540	$1.9K	21,845	21,739	+106	open	—	01-24 14:45
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	556	$1.8K	23,190	22,113	+1,076	open	—	01-27 01:48
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	465	$1.6K	18,624	18,310	+313	open	—	01-26 13:48
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	458	$1.4K	11,289	11,125	+164	open	—	04-27 18:51
will to lam be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	262	$1.4K	10,467	10,357	+110	open	—	01-23 07:45
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	610	$1.4K	19,442	19,517	-74	open	—	04-27 01:11
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	389	$1.3K	14,533	14,631	-99	open	—	03-04 16:08
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	442	$1.3K	12,215	12,135	+80	open	—	04-28 02:27
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	447	$1.2K	17,991	18,108	-118	open	—	03-31 22:23
trump out as president by march 31	666	$1.2K	25,655	25,410	+245	open	—	03-29 08:29
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	294	$1.2K	7,708	7,399	+309	open	—	04-28 07:43
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	314	$1.2K	10,691	10,530	+160	open	—	04-28 08:49
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	643	$1.1K	21,965	21,950	+15	open	—	05-29 18:15
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	481	$1.1K	21,239	20,929	+310	open	—	01-30 00:23
will bitcoin reach 110k in january 2026	297	$1.1K	11,752	11,798	-46	open	—	01-25 14:20
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	267	$1.1K	8,372	8,384	-12	open	—	04-28 08:53
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	332	$1.1K	13,872	13,042	+831	open	—	05-29 21:30
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	288	$1.0K	10,148	10,165	-17	open	—	03-04 16:10
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	498	$1.0K	19,049	18,773	+276	open	—	03-29 23:16
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	259	$1.0K	11,201	11,094	+107	open	—	04-03 06:50
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	734	$1.0K	27,260	27,254	+7	open	—	03-29 20:51
will the us invade iran by march 31	157	$996	6,180	6,071	+109	open	—	03-30 00:02
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	350	$991	10,821	10,759	+62	open	—	01-30 03:11
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	173	$983	6,919	7,070	-150	open	—	05-30 01:50
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	316	$973	13,503	13,312	+191	open	—	01-29 22:53
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	258	$947	10,706	10,621	+85	open	—	01-24 06:16
will phan van giang be elected general secretary of the vietnamese communist party	260	$937	8,449	8,549	-100	open	—	01-23 07:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-09 14:09:16	Will Xi Jinping purge Zhao Leji in 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	5¢	$1	0x1ef0e3…
08-09 04:02:55	Human moon landing in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xcc79b5…
08-09 03:52:27	Human moon landing in 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x14c8c6…
08-08 19:30:33	Human moon landing in 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	2¢	$0	0x9aa561…
08-08 18:11:19	Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?	Yes	SELL	96	4¢	$4	0xdad406…
08-08 11:04:24	Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0xdddf30…
08-07 04:59:58	Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	3	3¢	$0	0x9dbb02…
08-07 04:59:48	Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	35	3¢	$1	0xd7f3f6…
08-07 03:54:00	Will Trump meet with Jair Bolsonaro in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x6406b0…
08-07 01:57:16	Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0x694f59…
08-06 17:19:23	Will AI be charged with a crime before 2027?	Yes	SELL	159	6¢	$9	0x3613bd…
08-06 04:50:38	Will Vivek Ramaswamy announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0xe4baff…
08-06 01:46:57	Felix Protocol FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	13	4¢	$1	0x56a149…
08-05 19:07:35	will bangladesh recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x230590…
08-05 17:48:35	Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	Yes	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0x6f094e…
08-04 23:38:45	Will Mistral have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	3¢	$0	0x4a6573…
08-04 18:07:02	Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?	No	SELL	134	2¢	$3	0xf71cb5…
08-04 16:59:06	Will Ventuals launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	198	1¢	$2	0xfe52b7…
08-04 16:52:57	Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	10¢	$1	0xbd4df0…
08-04 13:07:11	James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	2¢	$1	0xb3de80…
08-04 10:16:45	Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x32f3d5…
08-04 10:14:35	Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?	Yes	SELL	41	3¢	$1	0x81d5cb…
08-04 08:01:39	Felix Protocol FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0x0615bc…
08-04 08:01:23	Felix Protocol FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	21	4¢	$1	0x351933…
08-04 07:56:02	Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x0c360b…
08-04 00:06:11	Ostium FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	39	4¢	$2	0xfb8590…
08-03 23:48:32	Ostium FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	21	4¢	$1	0xdb3423…
08-03 23:47:30	Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	5¢	$1	0x385c76…
08-03 21:22:29	Will Xi Jinping purge Zhao Leji in 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x944825…
08-02 10:21:42	Obama arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	72	4¢	$3	0xeb7613…
07-31 17:10:32	Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?	Yes	SELL	118	3¢	$4	0x73d7c3…
07-31 10:35:35	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0xe6f24e…
07-31 10:34:59	Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026?	Yes	SELL	52	5¢	$2	0xb048fe…
07-31 10:34:09	Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 2m barrels per day in 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	5¢	$1	0x38dff8…
07-31 06:24:38	NATO dissolves before 2027?	Yes	SELL	74	3¢	$3	0x556ce8…
07-31 03:44:47	Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x82048b…
07-31 01:07:54	Will Phantom launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	1¢	$0	0x11c1e3…
07-30 19:54:14	Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	102	3¢	$3	0xba4903…
07-30 15:15:23	Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xf5d415…
07-30 11:33:44	SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0xf79335…
07-30 04:10:47	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?	Yes	SELL	137	6¢	$8	0x179b51…
07-30 00:06:05	Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	6¢	$3	0xf33b6d…
07-29 10:23:35	Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	40	77¢	$31	0x693b40…
07-29 09:36:08	Ventuals FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x033516…
07-28 20:12:41	Human moon landing in 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	2¢	$1	0x33d88c…
07-28 12:48:41	Dreamcash FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	93	4¢	$4	0x509692…
07-28 07:44:16	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by december 31	Yes	SELL	0	4¢	$0	0x516ed9…
07-28 07:11:33	trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by december 31	Yes	SELL	68	4¢	$3	0xfb5b58…
07-28 03:08:03	StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	39	6¢	$2	0x040a0f…
07-28 03:07:46	StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	80	6¢	$5	0x439e03…
07-27 21:06:00	Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x802036…
07-27 21:05:54	Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden before 2027?	Yes	SELL	43	3¢	$1	0x9006a8…
07-27 19:10:57	Will Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x91f266…
07-27 12:12:45	Will Trump meet with Nick Fuentes in 2026?	Yes	SELL	89	4¢	$3	0x70fba5…
07-27 02:59:12	Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0xd85897…
07-27 00:10:51	Will Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	5¢	$0	0x3a2cb6…
07-26 14:26:40	Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0xb2e346…
07-26 09:35:01	Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0xe13f9e…
07-26 06:27:58	Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	6	6¢	$0	0x16904b…
07-26 06:26:04	Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	19	6¢	$1	0xb20a41…
07-25 21:28:27	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	104	5¢	$5	0x732633…
07-25 18:59:10	EU dissolves before 2027?	Yes	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0x8b8b4c…
07-25 18:59:00	EU dissolves before 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	2¢	$0	0x4cc349…
07-25 18:03:18	Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?	Yes	SELL	132	8¢	$11	0xbe1cfa…
07-25 12:30:45	Will American Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0xd55737…
07-25 08:39:40	Will Bryan Johnson propose to his co-founder before 2027?	Yes	SELL	57	20¢	$11	0x8bf731…
07-24 18:19:22	Dreamcash FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	7	4¢	$0	0x69b120…
07-24 13:16:25	Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x730fb0…
07-24 13:16:22	Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x2d9876…
07-24 13:14:09	Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x27fe25…
07-24 13:10:09	Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Huning in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x6ff5e9…
07-24 07:55:15	Will Ventuals launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x437b94…
07-23 17:43:22	Ventuals FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x802555…
07-23 13:58:19	Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x7e2a63…
07-23 01:40:40	Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	90	4¢	$4	0xd7342f…
07-23 01:40:16	Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x9a8372…
07-22 21:20:28	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x3905cb…
07-22 15:00:27	Felix Protocol FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	26	2¢	$1	0x264892…
07-22 10:52:45	Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?	No	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x0e065f…
07-22 08:38:06	Will Carole Delga be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x066124…
07-22 02:23:52	OKX IPO in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	11¢	$1	0x935d74…
07-22 00:51:39	OKX IPO in 2026?	Yes	SELL	94	11¢	$10	0x4ba138…
07-21 22:00:09	Iran nuclear test before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0xe481d5…
07-21 15:09:40	Will Donald Trump visit Lebanon in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x3187bb…
07-21 14:26:46	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	Yes	SELL	96	4¢	$4	0x322808…
07-21 10:40:19	Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	9¢	$1	0x50fb95…
07-21 08:49:13	Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	16	2¢	$0	0x396331…
07-21 05:00:43	Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x66c076…
07-20 18:20:34	trump on 250 bill this year	Yes	SELL	77	2¢	$2	0xc5919d…
07-20 14:51:31	Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQe	Yes	SELL	69	2¢	$2	0xd0f303…
07-20 13:57:31	Will Carvana announce bankruptcy before 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	7¢	$3	0x9487a3…
07-20 07:57:19	Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	15	12¢	$2	0x330a14…
07-20 07:55:46	Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	65	12¢	$8	0x4404fc…
07-20 07:54:45	Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x09197c…
07-20 07:22:57	Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?	No	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xa10221…
07-20 07:22:57	Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?	No	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x5a70ff…
07-20 07:22:54	Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?	No	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xb0d3d3…
07-20 07:22:54	Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?	No	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x39904a…
07-20 07:22:52	Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?	No	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xbe2ed5…
07-20 07:22:51	Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?	No	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xcc88ab…