Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e9851…d06345
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$204
Unrealized P&L
+$132
Hit rate
36.6%
Resolved
128
Trades
169,247
lifetime
Volume
$339.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$413
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 00:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Other
52% 38% $-5
Politics
28% 31% $-234
Crypto
15% 57% +$36
Tech
3% 0% $-1
Sports
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 1074 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? No +147 $9 20¢ $29 +$20 06-04 12:30
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? Yes -100 $-34 22¢ $-22 +$12 05-29 23:53
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes -79 $-37 26¢ $-20 +$17 06-07 19:18
Will Sam Smith perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? Yes +100 $2 20¢ $20 +$18 06-02 18:01
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026? No +124 $12 14¢ $17 +$6 06-04 16:45
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? Yes +143 $13 12¢ $16 +$3 06-05 05:44
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? No +178 $8 9¢ $16 +$8 06-09 15:43
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $14 8¢ $15 +$1 06-07 16:26
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? Yes -223 $-14 6¢ $-15 $-1 06-09 14:27
Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027? Yes +200 $14 7¢ $14 +$0 05-28 10:57
Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30? Yes +100 $9 14¢ $14 +$4 05-30 19:59
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes +100 $6 13¢ $13 +$7 05-29 08:52
Will OpenAI announce a computer (Laptop/Desktop) in 2026? Yes +100 $10 12¢ $12 +$2 06-01 00:26
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? Yes -100 $-12 12¢ $-12 $-0 06-04 13:58
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31? Yes -100 $-17 12¢ $-12 +$5 05-30 09:57
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30? Yes +107 $7 11¢ $12 +$5 05-28 02:12
Will ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026? Yes +100 $8 12¢ $12 +$4 06-07 20:47
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes -163 $-11 7¢ $-12 $-0 06-04 18:06
Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31? Yes +100 $4 12¢ $12 +$8 06-08 05:44
Will Vilgefortz die during "The Witcher: Season 5"? No +99 $5 12¢ $11 +$6 05-29 20:35
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union" before 2027? Yes +100 $7 11¢ $11 +$4 05-28 10:24
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? No -202 $-10 5¢ $-11 $-1 06-09 22:47
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes +200 $15 6¢ $11 $-4 06-09 06:10
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? Yes +100 $10 11¢ $11 +$1 06-09 18:55
Ledger IPO before 2027? Yes +76 $6 14¢ $11 +$5 06-01 14:57
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -148 $-10 7¢ $-11 $-0 06-09 17:48
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? Yes +151 $10 7¢ $11 +$1 06-09 09:34
Iran nuclear test before 2027? Yes +140 $11 8¢ $10 $-0 06-09 11:09
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes -133 $-9 8¢ $-10 $-2 06-10 01:20
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? Yes -100 $-13 10¢ $-10 +$3 06-09 08:48