Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e9851…d06345
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$204
Unrealized P&L
+$202
Hit rate
36.6%
Resolved
128
Trades
174,594
lifetime
Volume
$355.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$553
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 12:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 17 days
Categories
Other
51% 38% $-5
Politics
29% 31% $-234
Crypto
14% 57% +$36
Tech
4% 0% $-1
Sports
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 1074 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026? No +100 $8 99¢ $99 +$91 06-11 09:04
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -154 $-31 22¢ $-33 $-2 06-23 18:36
Will Variational launch a token by June 30, 2026? Yes +100 $0 28¢ $28 +$27 06-21 11:34
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31? Yes -100 $-34 27¢ $-27 +$7 05-29 23:53
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes -333 $-22 6¢ $-21 +$1 06-24 01:28
New pandemic in 2026? Yes +200 $19 10¢ $19 +$0 06-20 17:04
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No -100 $-25 18¢ $-18 +$7 06-29 16:32
Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31? Yes -100 $-17 18¢ $-18 $-0 05-30 09:57
China x Japan military clash before 2027? Yes +220 $17 8¢ $17 $-1 06-19 15:30
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $14 8¢ $16 +$2 06-07 16:26
Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027? Yes +100 $7 16¢ $16 +$9 06-03 00:19
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027? Yes +192 $15 8¢ $15 $-0 06-22 04:34
Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? No +100 $10 15¢ $15 +$5 06-17 19:07
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026? No -15 $-17 95¢ $-14 +$2 06-15 13:12
Canva IPO before 2027? Yes +157 $14 9¢ $14 $-0 06-27 00:35
Will Trump pardon Nicolas Maduro before 2027? Yes +200 $14 7¢ $14 +$0 05-28 10:57
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes -241 $-16 6¢ $-14 +$2 06-30 10:59
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? Yes +251 $15 6¢ $14 $-1 06-21 15:22
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +100 $10 14¢ $14 +$4 06-14 21:48
Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes +100 $10 12¢ $12 +$2 06-17 17:57
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? Yes +130 $9 10¢ $12 +$3 06-18 11:18
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? Yes +98 $5 12¢ $12 +$7 06-17 03:27
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +100 $7 12¢ $12 +$5 06-23 22:09
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -89 $-13 14¢ $-12 +$1 06-18 07:47
Ledger IPO before 2027? Yes +76 $6 16¢ $12 +$6 06-01 14:57
Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.4m barrels per day in 2026? Yes +60 $5 20¢ $12 +$6 06-23 10:34
Will Vilgefortz die during "The Witcher: Season 5"? No +99 $5 12¢ $11 +$6 05-29 20:35
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? Yes +100 $6 11¢ $11 +$5 05-29 08:52
Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027? Yes +100 $6 11¢ $11 +$6 06-23 16:45
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026? Yes +100 $10 11¢ $11 +$1 06-21 20:36