Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e9851…d06345
whale bot hot 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$6.20K
Unrealized P&L
-$68
Hit rate
58.3%
Resolved
11,222
Trades
220,393
lifetime
Volume
$437.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$434
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-29 14:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 255 days
Categories
Other
53% 33% +$3,383
Politics
30% 38% +$2,007
Crypto
12% 39% +$339
Tech
4% 40% +$399
Sports
1% 44% +$76
Pop-Culture
0% 30% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat? No -154 -$23 55¢ $-85 -$62 05-01 00:04
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -100 -$19 42¢ $-42 -$23 07-01 10:48
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -40 -$31 88¢ $-36 -$5 07-29 10:23
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? Yes -133 -$7 22¢ $-29 -$22 05-01 01:24
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes -100 -$26 26¢ $-26 +$0 06-26 20:08
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +126 $2 18¢ $23 +$21 06-27 21:06
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +100 $10 21¢ $21 +$11 06-18 11:38
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -100 $0 16¢ $-16 -$16 07-06 22:16
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027? Yes +192 $15 8¢ $15 -$1 06-22 04:34
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? Yes -15 -$28 75¢ $-11 +$17 06-08 14:21
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? Yes -97 -$7 11¢ $-11 -$4 06-13 20:56
Variational FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes -100 -$9 11¢ $-11 -$1 07-04 04:44
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -100 -$10 11¢ $-10 -$1 07-05 13:33
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +100 $10 10¢ $10 $0 06-23 23:32
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? Yes -85 -$25 11¢ $-9 +$15 05-02 16:22
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes -100 -$18 8¢ $-8 +$10 07-20 07:57
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? Yes +129 $13 6¢ $7 -$6 06-05 02:10
Ledger IPO before 2027? Yes +158 $13 4¢ $7 -$6 06-01 14:57
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? Yes -200 -$19 3¢ $-6 +$12 05-13 07:12
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? Yes -83 -$6 7¢ $-6 $0 05-09 13:51
Will US annex any territory in 2026? Yes +100 $6 5¢ $5 $0 06-26 14:56
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes +91 $7 6¢ $5 -$2 07-06 07:37
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -100 -$3 5¢ $-5 -$2 06-19 06:33
Stripe IPO before 2027? Yes +100 $6 5¢ $5 -$1 06-27 09:50
will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743 Yes +100 $8 4¢ $4 -$4 06-18 15:11
Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes +100 $3 4¢ $4 +$2 06-21 12:19
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes -100 -$8 4¢ $-4 +$4 07-02 06:01
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -102 -$4 4¢ $-4 $0 06-19 12:10
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes -100 -$7 4¢ $-4 +$3 07-23 01:40
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch? Yes -100 $2 4¢ $-4 -$6 07-02 13:58