Will Jake Paul announce a run for public office in 2026?
open
Total volume
$1,100
$1 in 24h
Trades
58
Unique wallets
28
Liquidity
$11,332
Latest YES mid
9¢
Latest NO mid
90¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-30 12:16
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-10.5¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $74
vs crowd: 10% YES on $584)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $5 | $245 | $240 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $9 | $242 | $233 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $2 | $30 | $27 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 11 | $45 | $6 | +$39 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $74 | $74 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $7 | — | +$7 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $4 | $175 | $171 |
| Median | 2 | — | $243 | $243 |
| Below median | 3 | — | $13 | $13 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $1 | $1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| unranked | 7 | $45 | $16 | +$29 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Outgoing-Bite 0x2ec0…976b | No | +300 | $242 | $242 | 2 | 06-15 18:05 |
| Nautical-Placement 0xbe89…b88c | No | +200 | $170 | $170 | 2 | 06-13 01:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x4986…1bb9 | Yes | +111 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-15 18:05 |
| Crooked-Building 0x6dd6…f5f4 | No | +91 | $74 | $74 | 3 | 06-17 21:17 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +56 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-25 07:46 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +26 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 06-15 14:52 |
| Gregarious-Belligerency 0x174e…2a52 | No | +16 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 06-15 14:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x081f…107e | Yes | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-30 12:16 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-15 14:52 |
| Affectionate-Ripple 0xca6f…489c | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-25 07:46 |
| Punctual-Hydrogen 0x8b44…63fb | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-08 04:42 |
| Awkward-Oyster 0xad82…c162 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-28 14:30 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 12:16:14 | (anonymous) 0x081f…107e | Yes | BUY | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x7c5282… |
| 06-30 12:16:14 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x7c5282… |
| 06-30 12:16:14 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x7c5282… |
| 06-25 07:46:40 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x009d5d… |
| 06-25 07:46:40 | Affectionate-Ripple 0xca6f…489c | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x009d5d… |
| 06-21 10:08:17 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x01acf4… |
| 06-21 10:08:17 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | SELL | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x01acf4… |
| 06-21 10:07:38 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x8fe74a… |
| 06-21 10:07:38 | Wilted-Employ 0x1a96…9797 | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0x8fe74a… |
| 06-19 16:58:10 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | Yes | BUY | 7 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x9b182b… |
| 06-19 16:58:10 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x9b182b… |
| 06-19 16:58:10 | Offensive-Ultimatum 0x2fa2…d5ed | No | SELL | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x9b182b… |
| 06-19 16:58:10 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | BUY | 51 | 8¢ | $4 | 0x9b182b… |
| 06-19 16:58:10 | Zigzag-Advertising 0xec96…d626 | Yes | SELL | 87 | 9¢ | $8 | 0x9b182b… |
| 06-17 21:17:08 | Low-Ramen 0x3c11…9b33 | No | SELL | 74 | 81¢ | $60 | 0x6750c0… |
| 06-17 21:17:08 | Crooked-Building 0x6dd6…f5f4 | No | BUY | 74 | 81¢ | $60 | 0x6750c0… |
| 06-15 18:05:12 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 10 | 82¢ | $8 | 0x21f1ee… |
| 06-15 18:05:12 | Crooked-Building 0x6dd6…f5f4 | No | BUY | 1 | 81¢ | $1 | 0x21f1ee… |
| 06-15 18:05:12 | Outgoing-Bite 0x2ec0…976b | No | BUY | 100 | 82¢ | $82 | 0x21f1ee… |
| 06-15 18:05:12 | (anonymous) 0x4986…1bb9 | Yes | BUY | 111 | 18¢ | $20 | 0x21f1ee… |
| 06-15 14:52:55 | Gregarious-Belligerency 0x174e…2a52 | No | BUY | 16 | 86¢ | $13 | 0xe1a25d… |
| 06-15 14:52:55 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | SELL | 10 | 85¢ | $8 | 0xe1a25d… |
| 06-15 14:52:55 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xe1a25d… |
| 06-15 14:52:28 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 16¢ | $3 | 0xf85866… |
| 06-15 14:52:28 | Crooked-Building 0x6dd6…f5f4 | No | BUY | 16 | 84¢ | $13 | 0xf85866… |
| 06-15 00:53:25 | Outgoing-Bite 0x2ec0…976b | No | BUY | 200 | 80¢ | $160 | 0xed59df… |
| 06-15 00:53:25 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 10 | 81¢ | $8 | 0xed59df… |
| 06-15 00:53:25 | Bountiful-Hygienic 0x0ef5…e92f | Yes | SELL | 29 | 26¢ | $8 | 0xed59df… |
| 06-15 00:53:25 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 25¢ | $0 | 0xed59df… |
| 06-15 00:53:25 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 24 | 19¢ | $5 | 0xed59df… |
| 06-15 00:53:25 | (anonymous) 0xac99…7a95 | No | SELL | 264 | 79¢ | $210 | 0xed59df… |
| 06-13 01:19:22 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 26 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x700c97… |
| 06-13 01:19:22 | Nautical-Placement 0xbe89…b88c | No | BUY | 100 | 85¢ | $85 | 0x700c97… |
| 06-13 01:19:22 | Low-Ramen 0x3c11…9b33 | No | SELL | 226 | 85¢ | $192 | 0x700c97… |
| 06-12 17:12:16 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xd6326b… |
| 06-12 17:12:16 | (anonymous) 0xdbbe…56bf | No | SELL | 4 | 86¢ | $3 | 0xd6326b… |
| 06-08 04:42:07 | Caring-Disconnection 0x39c7…52a3 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x4ec47b… |
| 06-08 04:42:07 | Punctual-Hydrogen 0x8b44…63fb | Yes | BUY | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x4ec47b… |
| 06-08 04:40:16 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x546d5b… |
| 06-08 04:40:16 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 12¢ | $4 | 0x546d5b… |
| 06-08 04:40:16 | Caring-Disconnection 0x39c7…52a3 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 12¢ | $6 | 0x546d5b… |
| 06-08 04:39:43 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 45 | 25¢ | $11 | 0xff189b… |
| 06-08 04:39:43 | Caring-Disconnection 0x39c7…52a3 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 25¢ | $11 | 0xff189b… |
| 06-08 04:38:37 | Caring-Disconnection 0x39c7…52a3 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x69d88d… |
| 06-08 04:38:37 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x69d88d… |
| 06-08 04:38:00 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x46cb6c… |
| 06-08 04:38:00 | Caring-Disconnection 0x39c7…52a3 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x46cb6c… |
| 06-08 04:32:21 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x87f1df… |
| 06-08 04:32:21 | Delayed-Vanadyl 0x215a…254c | No | SELL | 37 | 85¢ | $31 | 0x87f1df… |
| 06-08 04:32:21 | Caring-Disconnection 0x39c7…52a3 | Yes | SELL | 51 | 15¢ | $8 | 0x87f1df… |
| 06-08 04:32:21 | Offensive-Ultimatum 0x2fa2…d5ed | No | SELL | 5 | 89¢ | $5 | 0x87f1df… |
| 05-29 01:44:23 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 19¢ | $3 | 0x0c9cfe… |
| 05-29 01:44:23 | Caring-Disconnection 0x39c7…52a3 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 19¢ | $3 | 0x0c9cfe… |
| 05-29 01:39:50 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 19¢ | $6 | 0x3ec936… |
| 05-29 01:39:50 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | Yes | SELL | 7 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x3ec936… |
| 05-29 01:39:50 | Caring-Disconnection 0x39c7…52a3 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 19¢ | $7 | 0x3ec936… |
| 05-28 14:30:41 | Awkward-Oyster 0xad82…c162 | No | BUY | 1 | 89¢ | $1 | 0x2cbdb0… |
| 05-28 14:30:41 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x2cbdb0… |