Gregarious-Belligerency 0x174e71…392a52
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Realized P&L
-$881
Unrealized P&L
-$14
Hit rate
56.1%
Resolved
181
Trades
2,348
lifetime
Volume
$30.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$489
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-10
last 09-18 06:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 74 days
Categories
Sports
50% 59% -$310
Other
26% 65% -$457
Politics
23% 51% -$116
Crypto
1% 67% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 235 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? Yes +147 $100 74¢ $108 +$8 09-06 18:41
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes +95 $90 100¢ $94 +$4 09-15 10:42
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +77 $86 92¢ $71 -$16 09-15 16:26
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +76 $62 84¢ $65 +$3 08-19 15:01
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +49 $29 72¢ $35 +$6 09-17 03:27
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +36 $34 96¢ $35 +$1 09-18 06:51
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +34 $24 100¢ $34 +$10 09-17 11:10
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? No +23 $19 92¢ $21 +$3 09-14 00:51
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No +4 $4 100¢ $4 +$0 07-26 20:34
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +87 $20 4¢ $4 -$16 06-14 22:16
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +5 $4 70¢ $3 $0 05-22 20:51
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +22 $10 14¢ $3 -$7 05-21 08:12
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +3 $3 97¢ $3 +$0 07-21 00:38
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +2 -$1 94¢ $2 +$3 08-18 22:32
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 09-16 20:21
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 $0 08-10 11:56
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1 $0 100¢ $1 +$1 08-11 04:03
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 Yes +14 $4 4¢ $1 -$4 08-02 02:24
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +8 $2 8¢ $1 -$2 05-21 03:21
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +1 $5 82¢ $1 -$5 08-09 08:44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -3 -$1 18¢ $-0 +$0 05-09 18:15
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 09-17 01:14
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +0 $3 82¢ $0 -$2 08-19 16:09
SBF released from custody in 2026? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $0 06-02 11:30