Realized P&L
+$8
Unrealized P&L
-$49
Hit rate
85.5%
Resolved
16
Trades
1,919
lifetime
Volume
$49.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$26
Open exposure
$816
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 06-10 00:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
66% 67% +$5
Other
29% 100% +$2
Crypto
2%
Tech
1%
Sports
1% 100% +$1
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +180 $167 92¢ $166 $-1 05-28 16:54
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,000 $170 16¢ $165 $-5 06-10 02:05
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +1,117 $154 11¢ $117 $-37 06-02 20:21
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -52 $-52 99¢ $-52 $-0 06-09 14:23
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -687 $-38 $-37 +$0 06-10 01:32
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -100 $-33 32¢ $-32 +$0 05-28 16:22
Katy Perry confirmed pregnant by June 30? No -30 $-29 98¢ $-29 +$0 06-08 14:18
New pandemic in 2026? No +25 $22 88¢ $22 +$0 06-07 20:19
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +30 $22 72¢ $21 $-1 06-07 19:19
Forsen to get signed by an LCK prog org by Jun 30? No -17 $-17 99¢ $-17 +$0 05-27 20:13
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +113 $18 10¢ $11 $-8 06-09 18:14
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 05-24 06:59
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 05-28 15:00
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30? No -10 $-10 98¢ $-10 $-0 06-05 22:55
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 +$0 05-28 16:35
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +10 $10 98¢ $10 $-0 06-07 05:56
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$0 06-08 05:23
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$0 05-28 16:42
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 +$0 05-31 21:41
Megan Thee Stallion and Klay Thompson engaged in 2026? No +10 $9 82¢ $8 $-1 05-29 14:34
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +10 $8 80¢ $8 +$1 05-28 17:18
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No +8 $7 97¢ $8 +$0 06-01 14:26
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting? No +7 $7 99¢ $7 +$0 05-28 15:39
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026? No +6 $6 100¢ $6 +$0 05-28 14:38
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +6 $6 97¢ $6 +$0 05-28 18:42
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +6 $6 92¢ $6 $-0 05-28 20:29
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 $-0 06-07 05:11
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 05-28 14:30
Margot Robbie divorce by June 30? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 05-29 05:45
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +5 $4 96¢ $5 +$1 05-28 14:22