Whimsical-Imitation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.5%

Resolved

Trades

5,357

lifetime

Volume

$110.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 08-10 12:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 9 days

Categories

Politics

67% 67% +$5

Other

28% 100% +$2

Tech

2% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$1

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

83 active days in 12wk • peak 301 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	43	$5.9K	33,080	2,980	+30,100	open	—	02-28 06:59
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	27	$5.5K	5,100	5,100	+0	open	—	02-26 08:40
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	38	$4.2K	9,645	9,032	+613	open	—	03-10 07:18
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	6	$3.8K	5,082	5,082	+0	open	—	02-27 09:49
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	96	$3.2K	28,586	32,160	-3,573	open	—	06-24 12:29
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	81	$2.0K	12,990	10,087	+2,903	open	—	08-10 08:01
spacex ipo closing market cap above 2pt6t	45	$2.0K	10,338	10,338	+0	open	—	06-12 16:52
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 9 20260727170733638	66	$1.9K	16,400	16,600	-200	open	—	08-08 00:23
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	8	$1.7K	900	900	+0	open	—	03-01 08:10
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	34	$1.6K	7,032	7,126	-94	open	—	06-17 09:26
us strikes iran by february 11 2026 664	113	$1.5K	284,032	284,021	+11	open	—	02-12 05:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	70	$1.5K	12,277	12,184	+93	open	—	06-24 02:38
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	82	$1.5K	7,317	7,322	-5	open	—	06-10 15:29
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	49	$1.5K	18,996	18,996	+0	open	—	07-07 16:15
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	31	$1.4K	6,376	6,376	+0	open	—	06-12 13:13
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	18	$1.3K	6,540	6,540	+0	open	—	07-09 21:26
us strikes iran by january 12 2026 314	75	$1.3K	26,324	26,224	+100	open	—	01-13 04:23
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	20	$1.3K	6,000	5,999	+1	open	—	06-13 10:42
will the us invade iran by march 31	16	$1.2K	690	675	+15	open	—	03-10 05:31
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	23	$1.2K	4,242	4,242	+0	open	—	06-11 05:13
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	88	$1.2K	30,604	29,979	+625	open	—	06-29 12:08
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	78	$1.1K	160,400	160,400	+0	open	—	02-14 05:23
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	30	$1.1K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	02-25 14:04
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	31	$1.0K	9,610	5,550	+4,060	open	—	06-17 14:48
us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	45	$940	5,740	3,740	+2,000	open	—	08-09 20:33
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	11	$912	3,800	3,800	+0	open	—	04-28 15:16
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	96	$891	16,302	16,302	+0	open	—	07-03 00:25
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	12	$891	499	499	+0	open	—	03-29 01:06
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	21	$878	3,800	3,800	+0	open	—	06-21 16:05
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	77	$877	8,357	8,357	+0	open	—	07-28 22:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 13:22:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	400	5¢	$20	0xa9fd76…
08-10 12:42:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	300	12¢	$36	0x2c5f10…
08-10 12:34:39	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	Yes	BUY	600	3¢	$20	0x328c69…
08-10 12:11:10	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	200	5¢	$9	0x2d37b8…
08-10 11:02:34	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	SELL	187	9¢	$17	0x69e09f…
08-10 08:06:16	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	SELL	1,000	11¢	$110	0x1e2e26…
08-10 08:01:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	903	4¢	$35	0x7d748c…
08-10 07:50:12	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe38cf3…
08-10 07:48:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	620	3¢	$19	0x31a948…
08-10 07:42:40	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	Yes	SELL	483	2¢	$11	0x37bea7…
08-10 07:35:49	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	400	9¢	$36	0x945a28…
08-10 07:31:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	Yes	SELL	283	2¢	$6	0x031eb5…
08-10 07:31:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x15bea5…
08-10 07:03:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	Yes	BUY	600	12¢	$72	0x2457e9…
08-10 06:57:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	283	2¢	$6	0xa6ef53…
08-10 06:56:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	1,004	4¢	$43	0x3d3c14…
08-10 06:18:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	Yes	SELL	728	1¢	$6	0xa219f5…
08-10 06:13:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x245d7f…
08-10 06:09:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xbcbf08…
08-10 05:34:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0xdfb7fb…
08-10 05:31:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	Yes	SELL	357	1¢	$4	0xf91ef9…
08-10 05:10:25	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	183	2¢	$4	0xd9478c…
08-10 05:00:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	200	4¢	$9	0x01feb5…
08-10 04:11:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$5	0x05d853…
08-10 03:59:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	600	1¢	$7	0x766e6e…
08-10 03:58:06	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	Yes	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0x6fd5dc…
08-10 03:57:21	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	Yes	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0x096f2a…
08-10 03:56:01	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	Yes	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0x7c6241…
08-10 03:46:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0xb9fc3f…
08-10 03:43:10	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	Yes	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0x906e5f…
08-10 03:41:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	Yes	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0x7c7ce2…
08-10 03:40:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	Yes	SELL	18	1¢	$0	0x8d46e6…
08-10 03:32:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x5c828c…
08-10 03:29:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x6d2476…
08-10 03:28:46	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	88	4¢	$3	0xbfde69…
08-10 03:28:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	Yes	SELL	0	1¢	$0	0x100b32…
08-10 03:24:48	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	600	1¢	$7	0xd7a4b9…
08-10 03:07:19	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	2,400	5¢	$118	0xd727c7…
08-10 02:57:30	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0xbdfd40…
08-10 01:20:27	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	Yes	BUY	131	4¢	$5	0x9250c3…
08-10 00:03:24	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	Yes	BUY	78	4¢	$3	0xdfa081…
08-09 23:39:12	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	600	4¢	$24	0x0d1349…
08-09 23:03:06	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	188	8¢	$15	0x83f357…
08-09 21:12:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	1,000	4¢	$40	0x654465…
08-09 21:09:10	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	SELL	400	11¢	$44	0xde3d38…
08-09 20:43:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	600	5¢	$30	0x52c421…
08-09 20:33:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0x80fbce…
08-09 20:17:10	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x0426bf…
08-09 18:40:25	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	1,000	5¢	$50	0xb1292f…
08-09 18:36:34	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xa7779d…
08-09 18:28:36	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	600	6¢	$36	0xd00c84…
08-09 17:56:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	389	8¢	$31	0xbe95ab…
08-09 17:45:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x3e206e…
08-09 17:04:40	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	Yes	BUY	320	9¢	$29	0x3bc91e…
08-09 17:03:48	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	Yes	BUY	300	3¢	$10	0x5ed8de…
08-09 16:49:45	foreign intervention in gaza by august 31	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xb461bf…
08-09 16:02:19	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	1,000	7¢	$70	0x341219…
08-09 15:16:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	234	7¢	$16	0x077a64…
08-09 14:58:52	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	28	7¢	$2	0x48909f…
08-09 14:58:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	29	7¢	$2	0x9defd0…
08-09 14:55:40	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	21	7¢	$1	0x7dd2f9…
08-09 14:55:31	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	27	7¢	$2	0xd2e62a…
08-09 14:49:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	660	7¢	$46	0x4404fd…
08-09 14:36:51	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 14 20260715194822046	No	BUY	400	10¢	$40	0xa33c5c…
08-09 12:38:22	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	600	7¢	$42	0xc09c78…
08-09 12:13:55	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	514	8¢	$41	0x922f1d…
08-09 11:29:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x8f9fb1…
08-09 10:13:43	will benjamin netanyahu be arrested by december 31 20260720194516249 193	Yes	SELL	58	6¢	$3	0x06d755…
08-09 10:05:57	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	Yes	BUY	300	4¢	$11	0xe2b57e…
08-09 09:32:52	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	12	8¢	$1	0x9d763f…
08-09 08:26:06	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x903346…
08-09 07:51:42	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	42	8¢	$3	0x07b6cd…
08-09 07:45:46	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	15	8¢	$1	0xbcafa4…
08-09 04:36:07	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	1,000	6¢	$60	0xa3e8e8…
08-09 00:55:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	1,000	10¢	$100	0xde43b5…
08-08 23:19:39	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	600	7¢	$42	0x14c92c…
08-08 22:06:01	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	310	6¢	$19	0x78df10…
08-08 19:31:46	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	Yes	SELL	800	4¢	$35	0xc40269…
08-08 19:06:55	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	1,000	8¢	$80	0xb7d5e0…
08-08 15:29:46	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	45	8¢	$4	0xcc28cd…
08-08 14:53:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x1e05ed…
08-08 14:53:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	3	8¢	$0	0x1a64e8…
08-08 14:53:16	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	313	8¢	$25	0x35979e…
08-08 14:53:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	39	8¢	$3	0xf72285…
08-08 14:53:07	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	141	8¢	$11	0xa15206…
08-08 14:53:04	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	1	8¢	$0	0x78df2f…
08-08 14:53:04	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	0	8¢	$0	0x738abc…
08-08 14:53:04	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	31	8¢	$3	0x4fea9e…
08-08 14:53:04	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	BUY	1,000	7¢	$70	0x2c2f0a…
08-08 14:53:04	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	4	8¢	$0	0x1c7c2a…
08-08 14:39:28	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	250	8¢	$20	0x251009…
08-08 14:29:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	225	8¢	$18	0x14a827…
08-08 13:59:55	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xa0b29b…
08-08 13:59:28	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	0	8¢	$0	0x71528c…
08-08 13:59:19	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	0	8¢	$0	0x64fd51…
08-08 13:59:19	us x iran effective ceasfire by august 31 20260715194822047	No	SELL	2	8¢	$0	0x27e562…
08-08 13:23:33	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	Yes	BUY	400	4¢	$15	0x27f21e…
08-08 11:36:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	1,000	11¢	$110	0x9d6da6…
08-08 09:41:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	200	12¢	$24	0x9a1770…
08-08 09:08:45	will diogo dalot attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260807000827858	Yes	SELL	100	18¢	$18	0x435bb9…