Realized P&L
+$8
Unrealized P&L
+$40
Hit rate
85.5%
Resolved
16
Trades
3,655
lifetime
Volume
$81.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$841
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 06-30 12:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Politics
67% 67% +$5
Other
26% 100% +$2
Tech
3%
Crypto
2%
Sports
1% 100% +$1
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 153 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -5,830 $-256 $-239 +$17 06-27 17:33
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -896 $-147 15¢ $-130 +$17 06-28 02:33
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -52 $-52 100¢ $-52 $-0 06-09 14:23
Katy Perry confirmed pregnant by June 30? No -30 $-29 100¢ $-30 $-0 06-08 14:18
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? No -100 $-33 22¢ $-22 +$11 05-28 16:22
Will Kanye West visit the UK by June 30? No -22 $-22 100¢ $-22 $-0 06-25 12:45
New "Stranger Things" episode released by June 30? No -20 $-20 100¢ $-20 +$0 06-25 11:50
Netanyahu out by June 30? No -20 $-20 100¢ $-20 $-0 06-24 22:19
Zendaya confirmed pregnant by June 30? No -20 $-20 100¢ $-20 $-0 06-24 10:58
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026? No -20 $-19 100¢ $-20 $-1 06-20 17:13
Will Betmoar launch a token by June 30, 2026? Yes +2,833 $24 $20 $-4 06-24 23:51
Another Elon baby by June 30? No -20 $-19 99¢ $-20 $-1 06-21 03:52
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage? No -20 $-20 99¢ $-20 +$0 06-24 05:56
Will Travis Kelce retire before next season? No -20 $-20 98¢ $-20 $-0 06-20 15:59
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No -20 $-20 98¢ $-20 $-0 06-21 00:29
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No -20 $-19 96¢ $-19 +$0 06-20 23:56
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau breakup before August? No -20 $-18 90¢ $-18 +$0 06-30 04:52
Forsen to get signed by an LCK prog org by Jun 30? No -17 $-17 100¢ $-17 $-0 05-27 20:13
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 06-07 05:56
Will Greece send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 05-24 06:59
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 05-28 16:35
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by June 30, 2026? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 05-28 15:00
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30? No -10 $-10 100¢ $-10 $-0 06-05 22:55
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30? No +10 $9 99¢ $10 +$1 06-08 05:23
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -10 $-10 96¢ $-10 +$0 06-24 14:03
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -10 $-9 95¢ $-10 $-0 06-24 14:03
Obama divorce before 2027? No -10 $-9 95¢ $-9 $-0 06-15 08:43
Megan Thee Stallion and Klay Thompson engaged in 2026? No +10 $9 93¢ $9 +$0 05-29 14:34
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +10 $8 82¢ $8 +$1 05-28 17:18
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No +8 $7 98¢ $8 +$0 06-01 14:26