Realized P&L
-$9.45K
Unrealized P&L
-$185
Hit rate
45.5%
Resolved
1,629
Trades
12,318
lifetime
Volume
$199.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$16
Open exposure
$1.26K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-05
last 10-27 01:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 236 days
Categories
Politics
49% 51% -$5,223
Other
43% 65% -$3,827
Sports
3% 70% -$114
Tech
3% 59% -$25
Crypto
1% 71% -$270
Pop-Culture
0% 94% +$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 395 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +200 $174 98¢ $196 +$22 10-22 12:35
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +200 $189 96¢ $193 +$4 10-20 11:15
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? No +200 $191 96¢ $192 +$0 09-05 14:09
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +180 $148 98¢ $177 +$29 10-08 15:18
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate? No +100 $96 100¢ $100 +$3 10-19 10:47
Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026? Yes +2,858 $176 3¢ $73 -$103 10-11 03:04
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31? Yes +1,726 $93 2¢ $31 -$62 10-26 05:17
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +30 $27 97¢ $29 +$2 10-26 05:03
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -30 -$25 86¢ $-26 -$1 06-24 14:56
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? Yes +600 $21 4¢ $21 +$1 10-24 17:09
Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22? No -20 -$20 100¢ $-20 $0 07-16 02:43
Will Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? No -20 -$20 99¢ $-20 $0 06-21 14:52
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? No -20 -$19 93¢ $-19 +$1 06-20 23:56
Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +1,000 $10 2¢ $17 +$7 10-26 17:12
Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? No -20 -$18 82¢ $-16 +$2 07-04 22:17
Will Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? No -10 -$10 100¢ $-10 $0 07-07 19:51
Will Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? No -10 -$10 100¢ $-10 $0 07-07 19:51
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No -10 -$10 100¢ $-10 $0 06-24 09:37
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -10 -$9 99¢ $-10 $0 06-24 14:03
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No -10 -$10 98¢ $-10 +$0 06-24 06:50
Will Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? No -10 -$10 98¢ $-10 $0 06-21 02:19
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No -10 -$10 98¢ $-10 $0 06-24 14:03
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No -10 -$10 98¢ $-10 $0 07-08 10:52
Will Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? No -10 -$9 97¢ $-10 $0 07-04 19:53
Will Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? No -10 -$9 92¢ $-9 +$0 06-22 23:17
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $5 4¢ $9 +$3 09-07 06:05
Will Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? No -8 -$8 99¢ $-8 $0 07-04 06:46
Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate? Yes +5,003 $99 0¢ $8 -$92 10-23 07:08
Will Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? No -7 -$7 99¢ $-7 $0 07-09 03:57
Will New York Jets win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? No -6 -$6 100¢ $-6 $0 07-05 19:20