Punctual-Hydrogen — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$431

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.1%

Resolved

Trades

36,568

lifetime

Volume

$366.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-22 12:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

60% 39% $-24

Politics

19% 100% +$45

Sports

10% 0% $-6

Crypto

6% 17% +$416

Tech

6% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 313 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	522	$7.2K	8,314	7,752	+562	open	—	02-09 03:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	293	$5.5K	8,338	8,121	+217	open	—	04-24 11:11
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	346	$4.9K	7,892	7,542	+351	open	—	03-28 17:02
will sarah knafo advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	527	$4.6K	6,853	5,496	+1,358	open	—	03-17 18:30
will giannis antetokounmpo not be traded	284	$4.6K	6,440	6,122	+318	open	—	02-05 16:19
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by march 20	416	$4.2K	5,175	4,217	+958	open	—	03-19 22:47
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	242	$3.9K	4,978	4,610	+367	open	—	01-16 12:14
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	337	$3.9K	5,278	4,459	+818	open	—	04-24 22:25
will pierre yves bournazel advance to the second round of the 2026 paris municipal election	310	$3.6K	4,541	4,671	-130	open	—	03-16 14:46
us forces seize another venezuela linked oil ship by january 9 2026 785	282	$3.5K	5,132	3,454	+1,679	open	—	01-07 13:35
will bhumjaithai party bjt win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	197	$3.0K	5,133	4,614	+519	open	—	02-08 12:14
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	188	$2.9K	5,356	5,195	+161	open	—	02-22 10:45
odds of khamenei out in jan over 20 on friday	213	$2.9K	3,697	3,623	+74	open	—	01-15 13:42
Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?	238	$2.8K	5,293	4,052	+1,241	No	+$774	03-19 19:59
nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	208	$2.8K	3,796	3,369	+427	open	—	07-08 05:06
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	204	$2.7K	10,090	8,689	+1,402	open	—	03-16 00:22
will google gemini 3 score at least 50 on the frontiermath benchmark	198	$2.7K	2,956	2,533	+423	open	—	01-17 11:37
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	227	$2.7K	6,082	4,194	+1,888	open	—	02-13 20:49
will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	138	$2.6K	3,544	3,047	+497	open	—	02-08 13:29
tesla launches unsupervised full self driving fsd by march 31	137	$2.4K	2,301	2,389	-88	open	—	01-27 00:06
will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	115	$2.4K	4,045	3,729	+315	open	—	01-17 11:39
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	124	$2.2K	3,165	2,819	+346	open	—	03-17 22:49
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 10 million	154	$2.2K	2,825	2,533	+292	open	—	02-16 02:05
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 12 million 218	151	$2.2K	3,161	2,985	+176	open	—	02-16 01:27
italy nordio reform referendum passes	190	$2.2K	2,660	2,015	+644	open	—	03-22 23:08
will uae strike iran by march 31	109	$2.1K	2,912	2,919	-8	open	—	03-14 11:52
will canada win the mens ice hockey gold medal at the 2026 winter olympics	88	$2.0K	2,593	1,622	+971	open	—	02-13 10:51
maduro mugshot released by monday	144	$2.0K	3,423	2,854	+570	open	—	01-06 00:58
nothing ever happens january 581	182	$2.0K	3,855	2,701	+1,154	open	—	01-31 02:05
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	96	$1.9K	2,918	3,414	-497	open	—	03-22 16:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 12:50:33	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Something	SELL	39	16¢	$6	0x336405…
07-22 12:03:48	will syria recognize israel by december 31	Yes	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0xca2b29…
07-22 09:21:45	will lebanon recognize israel by december 31	Yes	SELL	13	24¢	$3	0xc7a129…
07-22 07:36:52	Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	17¢	$2	0x1464e5…
07-10 07:22:22	will ansem flip pump by december 31 2026 20260702152126830	Yes	SELL	2	20¢	$0	0x266d62…
07-10 05:27:31	Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	34¢	$4	0x06a499…
07-10 05:22:40	Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	34¢	$4	0xf8b261…
07-09 18:39:37	SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	51¢	$5	0xbbd713…
07-09 14:44:13	will ansem flip pump by december 31 2026 20260702152126830	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x6d7563…
07-09 14:33:22	national rally forms a french senate group in 2026 20260706175436248	No	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x2adb85…
07-09 14:33:17	national rally forms a french senate group in 2026 20260706175436248	No	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x315cbd…
07-09 14:09:22	next mythos class model released by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	10	20¢	$2	0x82c544…
07-09 12:31:38	next mythos class model released by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x1d863f…
07-09 12:31:14	next mythos class model released by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xcf369a…
07-09 12:30:50	next mythos class model released by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0x66d52b…
07-09 06:09:28	next mythos class model released by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x501c41…
07-09 06:09:26	next mythos class model released by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	12	31¢	$4	0x459644…
07-09 03:43:07	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0xac72f3…
07-09 02:04:11	next mythos class model released by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	6	17¢	$1	0xc3f31b…
07-09 02:04:05	next mythos class model released by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	22	17¢	$4	0x19ecef…
07-09 00:17:49	will graham platner drop out by july 12 20260708223646388	No	BUY	75	2¢	$2	0x644afe…
07-09 00:17:49	will graham platner drop out by july 12 20260708223646388	No	BUY	38	2¢	$1	0x4999e2…
07-09 00:17:49	will graham platner drop out by july 12 20260708223646388	No	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0x30eec1…
07-09 00:17:29	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	No	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x6edb55…
07-09 00:12:17	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	No	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x012be3…
07-09 00:12:02	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	No	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x51b74f…
07-09 00:11:56	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	No	BUY	168	7¢	$12	0x90525b…
07-09 00:11:37	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	No	BUY	69	15¢	$10	0x606fb1…
07-09 00:06:11	will ansem flip pump by december 31 2027 20260702152126832	Yes	SELL	8	42¢	$3	0x7fc6c3…
07-08 23:57:17	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	No	BUY	4	21¢	$1	0x2d88b5…
07-08 23:52:22	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	Yes	SELL	8	79¢	$6	0x2dc3b7…
07-08 23:52:22	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	No	BUY	76	21¢	$16	0x2dc3b7…
07-08 23:49:14	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	Yes	SELL	67	71¢	$47	0xfffdad…
07-08 23:32:34	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	Yes	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x8168b1…
07-08 23:25:38	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	Yes	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xaa6027…
07-08 23:10:05	Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0xc88d11…
07-08 22:49:13	will ansem flip pump by june 30 2027 20260702152126831	Yes	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0xeb0e80…
07-08 22:48:10	will ansem flip pump by december 31 2027 20260702152126832	Yes	SELL	31	42¢	$13	0x53a982…
07-08 22:35:40	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xf4e6bf…
07-08 22:35:37	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	Yes	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0xa3f625…
07-08 22:35:35	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	Yes	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0xd3b304…
07-08 22:24:05	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	Yes	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x5d77db…
07-08 22:15:08	will ansem flip pump by december 31 2027 20260702152126832	Yes	SELL	25	22¢	$5	0x865caf…
07-08 22:14:53	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	No	SELL	249	20¢	$50	0x29d552…
07-08 21:57:01	Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x059057…
07-08 21:56:02	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	Yes	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0x520719…
07-08 21:56:02	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	No	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0x520719…
07-08 21:55:38	Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x2bbcc2…
07-08 21:47:26	Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	22	11¢	$2	0x969759…
07-08 21:39:35	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	No	SELL	57	20¢	$11	0x90ad1b…
07-08 21:33:19	Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	41	10¢	$4	0xbf15dd…
07-08 21:21:08	Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	122	10¢	$13	0xe6f8bf…
07-08 21:12:47	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	No	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0xaae838…
07-08 21:12:47	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	No	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0x6e7f77…
07-08 21:12:46	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	No	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0x85848f…
07-08 21:12:44	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	No	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0x560441…
07-08 21:12:37	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x474ac7…
07-08 21:06:46	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	No	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0x4ffc94…
07-08 20:59:22	next mythos class model released by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	55	19¢	$10	0x337aa0…
07-08 20:58:37	will ansem flip pump by december 31 2027 20260702152126832	Yes	SELL	7	18¢	$1	0x26d9cd…
07-08 20:57:59	next mythos class model released by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x188dd6…
07-08 20:56:08	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	No	SELL	33	19¢	$6	0x99af8e…
07-08 20:52:37	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	No	BUY	33	20¢	$7	0x9f6606…
07-08 20:52:29	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	Yes	SELL	12	80¢	$10	0x3b039a…
07-08 20:48:13	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	Yes	BUY	12	78¢	$9	0xf95d71…
07-08 20:36:37	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	No	SELL	22	11¢	$2	0x45e219…
07-08 20:34:44	will ansem flip pump by december 31 2027 20260702152126832	Yes	SELL	67	18¢	$12	0x7f84cc…
07-08 18:48:11	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	Yes	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x7c23ce…
07-08 18:47:05	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x5fa0c3…
07-08 18:39:26	will graham platner drop out by july 9	No	SELL	85	29¢	$25	0xd03f7c…
07-08 18:36:01	will graham platner drop out by july 9	No	SELL	19	30¢	$6	0x0224ee…
07-08 18:33:37	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	No	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0x65939d…
07-08 18:32:52	will graham platner drop out by july 9	No	SELL	10	32¢	$3	0x4635b4…
07-08 18:29:22	will graham platner drop out by july 9	No	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0xdc606a…
07-08 18:25:58	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 12 20260707201153015	Yes	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0x4b76b8…
07-08 18:23:43	will graham platner drop out by july 9	No	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x51d594…
07-08 18:22:13	will graham platner drop out by july 9	Yes	SELL	7	51¢	$4	0x0a24b3…
07-08 18:21:19	will graham platner drop out by july 9	Yes	SELL	18	51¢	$9	0x960a32…
07-08 18:20:31	will graham platner drop out by july 9	Yes	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0xf24b2a…
07-08 18:17:40	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	No	SELL	91	27¢	$24	0x275059…
07-08 18:15:41	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	No	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x0eb3c3…
07-08 18:11:59	next mythos class model released by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x1abfcd…
07-08 18:11:52	next mythos class model released by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	38	21¢	$8	0xd4a128…
07-08 18:11:43	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	No	BUY	44	24¢	$11	0xda9f1e…
07-08 18:11:29	will graham platner drop out by july 10 281 658 971	No	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xeb72eb…
07-08 18:11:29	will graham platner drop out by july 9	No	BUY	39	46¢	$18	0xa3fdd5…
07-08 18:11:19	next mythos class model released by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0x9b6140…
07-08 18:11:19	next mythos class model released by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	21	32¢	$7	0x66232f…
07-08 18:10:50	will graham platner drop out by july 9	Yes	SELL	0	47¢	$0	0x84c327…
07-08 18:10:40	will graham platner drop out by july 9	Yes	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x22e6cd…
07-08 18:10:38	will graham platner drop out by july 9	Yes	SELL	34	48¢	$16	0xddc030…
07-08 18:10:35	will graham platner drop out by july 9	Yes	SELL	3	48¢	$2	0xcc072c…
07-08 18:10:35	will graham platner drop out by july 9	Yes	SELL	8	48¢	$4	0x9fe73e…
07-08 18:10:35	will graham platner drop out by july 9	Yes	SELL	15	48¢	$7	0x19797b…
07-08 18:09:10	will graham platner drop out by july 9	Yes	SELL	67	46¢	$31	0x8b46cc…
07-08 18:08:40	will graham platner drop out by july 9	Yes	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0xd2dd42…
07-08 18:08:34	will graham platner drop out by july 9	Yes	BUY	22	41¢	$9	0xc24dab…
07-08 18:07:14	will graham platner drop out by july 9	Yes	BUY	41	49¢	$20	0x17ae06…
07-08 18:07:08	next mythos class model released by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x32d181…
07-08 18:06:50	next mythos class model released by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	18	34¢	$6	0xa6e34f…