Punctual-Hydrogen 0x8b4410…2163fb
whale bot cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$6.04K
Unrealized P&L
-$451
Hit rate
51.5%
Resolved
2,118
Trades
41,458
lifetime
Volume
$401.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$1.72K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-09 00:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 237 days
Categories
Other
59% 34% -$4,971
Politics
21% 33% -$240
Sports
9% 35% +$87
Tech
6% 37% -$630
Crypto
5% 32% -$527
Pop-Culture
0% 45% +$238
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
41 active days in 12wk • peak 237 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -674 -$44 39¢ $-262 -$218 05-01 14:04
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -251 -$83 92¢ $-231 -$148 05-01 23:00
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +305 $183 64¢ $194 +$11 07-08 06:12
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -252 -$31 43¢ $-108 -$77 07-07 11:59
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30, 2027? Yes +181 $79 59¢ $107 +$27 10-01 02:57
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +588 $100 16¢ $97 -$3 06-07 21:32
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T? Yes +500 $115 13¢ $65 -$50 09-20 04:16
Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? No +111 $40 48¢ $53 +$13 09-25 08:19
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026? No +167 $49 30¢ $49 +$1 08-15 15:48
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? No +94 $39 48¢ $46 +$7 10-05 23:45
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? No +45 $11 99¢ $44 +$33 10-06 13:17
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes -969 -$16 4¢ $-37 -$21 08-18 14:50
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes -563 -$45 6¢ $-37 +$8 10-01 09:06
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -165 -$52 22¢ $-36 +$16 09-04 19:05
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +53 -$4 64¢ $33 +$38 09-24 11:28
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? Yes +331 $125 10¢ $31 -$94 07-22 07:36
Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy? Yes +76 $3 40¢ $30 +$27 10-06 07:55
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? No +36 -$32 78¢ $28 +$60 09-29 18:16
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? No +43 $15 54¢ $23 +$8 10-05 16:01
US recession by end of 2026? Yes -415 -$23 6¢ $-23 +$0 09-22 13:23
nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512 Yes +332 -$108 6¢ $22 +$129 09-04 10:08
will ansem flip pump by december 31 2026 20260702152126830 Yes +408 $61 5¢ $21 -$40 08-19 15:53
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +131 $39 16¢ $21 -$18 08-18 17:20
Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad? Yes +565 $126 4¢ $20 -$106 10-06 15:50
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +53 $18 36¢ $19 +$1 07-07 04:49
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? Yes -83 -$15 22¢ $-18 -$3 07-22 09:37
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? Yes +462 $60 4¢ $18 -$42 04-28 14:25
Will there be two UK Prime Ministers by end of 2027? No +166 $21 11¢ $17 -$3 07-08 11:56
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes -577 -$37 3¢ $-17 +$20 09-18 22:16
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Yes +329 $42 4¢ $13 -$29 07-08 16:16