Realized P&L
+$431
Unrealized P&L
+$132
Hit rate
66.1%
Resolved
28
Trades
35,627
lifetime
Volume
$357.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$529
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-29 13:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
59% 39% $-24
Politics
19% 100% +$45
Sports
10% 0% $-6
Crypto
6% 17% +$416
Tech
6%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
43 active days in 12wk • peak 618 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,061 $95 14¢ $143 +$48 06-25 09:40
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes -529 $-74 11¢ $-56 +$19 06-07 16:08
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No -38 $-33 100¢ $-38 $-5 06-01 09:38
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026? No -39 $-26 92¢ $-36 $-10 06-01 08:08
New pandemic in 2026? Yes +357 $35 10¢ $34 $-1 06-25 01:18
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Yes +308 $40 $26 $-14 06-01 07:31
VEO 4 released by June 30, 2026? Yes +67 $7 36¢ $24 +$17 06-24 14:46
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? Yes -230 $-8 $-19 $-11 06-08 07:59
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +375 $-3 $19 +$22 06-06 13:08
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? Yes +61 $18 26¢ $16 $-2 06-25 03:20
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? Yes +235 $23 $15 $-8 06-08 06:16
Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? No +48 $12 26¢ $13 +$1 06-07 23:36
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? Yes +69 $17 16¢ $11 $-7 06-08 12:51
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? No -35 $-15 30¢ $-11 +$4 06-25 01:10
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? Yes -81 $-13 12¢ $-10 +$3 06-25 08:22
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +26 $8 30¢ $8 $-0 06-08 09:04
Will Donald Trump visit North Dakota in 2026? Yes +8 $-28 98¢ $7 +$36 06-24 08:31
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? Yes -164 $-7 $-7 +$0 06-24 07:04
Deel IPO before 2027? Yes +142 $16 $6 $-9 06-06 18:50
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes -19 $-12 33¢ $-6 +$6 06-04 07:45
Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? No -9 $-5 68¢ $-6 $-2 06-25 12:02
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? Yes -163 $-12 $-4 +$8 06-24 17:16
Will Donald Trump visit Washington in 2026? Yes +16 $2 17¢ $3 +$1 06-24 18:14
FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year? No +9 $3 25¢ $2 $-0 06-22 18:08
Will Zcash reach $800 by December 31, 2026? Yes -12 $-7 16¢ $-2 +$5 06-01 21:51
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -39 $-2 $-2 +$0 06-25 23:57
Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +51 $2 $2 $-0 06-01 16:02
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2026? Yes -372 $-13 $-1 +$12 06-03 14:12
Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? Yes -13 $-4 $-1 +$2 06-05 13:48
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? Yes -993 $-19 $-1 +$18 06-08 14:09