Realized P&L
+$431
Unrealized P&L
+$142
Hit rate
66.1%
Resolved
28
Trades
35,543
lifetime
Volume
$356.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$442
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-09 18:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
59% 39% $-24
Politics
19% 100% +$45
Sports
10% 0% $-6
Crypto
6% 17% +$416
Tech
6%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
51 active days in 12wk • peak 1127 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
GRVT FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +375 $-3 16¢ $60 +$63 06-06 13:08
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes -529 $-74 11¢ $-56 +$19 06-07 16:08
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No -38 $-33 94¢ $-36 $-3 06-01 09:38
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Yes +308 $40 11¢ $32 $-8 06-01 07:31
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? Yes +78 $-7 38¢ $29 +$36 06-09 18:41
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026? No -39 $-26 73¢ $-28 $-2 06-01 08:08
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? Yes +235 $23 10¢ $23 +$0 06-08 06:16
New pandemic in 2026? Yes +150 $16 12¢ $17 +$1 06-02 14:53
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? Yes +69 $17 24¢ $17 $-1 06-08 12:51
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? Yes -993 $-19 $-15 +$3 06-08 14:09
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +172 $15 $15 $-1 06-06 12:43
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? Yes -230 $-8 $-15 $-6 06-08 07:59
Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026? No +48 $12 29¢ $14 +$2 06-07 23:36
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? Yes +398 $24 $13 $-11 06-01 13:26
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? Yes -105 $-32 12¢ $-12 +$20 06-07 20:25
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes -19 $-12 50¢ $-10 +$3 06-04 07:45
Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +26 $8 33¢ $8 +$1 06-08 09:04
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June? Yes -730 $-12 $-7 +$5 06-02 17:37
Deel IPO before 2027? Yes +142 $16 $6 $-9 06-06 18:50
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026? Yes +152 $6 $6 +$0 06-09 19:12
Will Zcash reach $800 by December 31, 2026? Yes -12 $-7 32¢ $-4 +$3 06-01 21:51
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? Yes -89 $-3 $-4 $-1 06-01 19:05
Peru General Election invalidated by June 30? Yes -201 $-5 $-3 +$2 06-01 08:44
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2026? Yes -372 $-13 $-2 +$10 06-03 14:12
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting? Yes -305 $-6 $-2 +$4 06-02 16:15
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +7 $1 26¢ $2 +$1 06-02 18:42
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026? Yes +20 $1 $2 +$1 06-01 11:37
Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? Yes -13 $-4 12¢ $-2 +$2 06-05 13:48
Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +51 $2 $1 $-1 06-01 16:02
Will Waymo launch in Dallas by June 30 2026? Yes +5 $-6 27¢ $1 +$7 06-01 13:24