Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open
Total volume
$3,563
$32 in 24h
Trades
234
Unique wallets
58
Liquidity
$13,545
Latest YES mid
83¢
Latest NO mid
17¢
End date
2027-04-17
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-16 08:40
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+17.1¢
(top1%: 99% YES on $870
vs crowd: 82% YES on $2.3K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 10 | $350 | $157 | +$193 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 17 | $988 | $163 | +$825 |
| 🐟 Fish | 18 | $330 | $71 | +$259 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 13 | $214 | $26 | +$188 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $861 | $9 | +$852 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $20 | $23 | $3 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $29 | $5 | +$23 |
| Median | 3 | $36 | $5 | +$31 |
| Below median | 10 | $83 | $38 | +$45 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | — | $66 | $66 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 10 | $99 | $111 | $13 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $273 | $106 | +$167 |
| unranked | 20 | $481 | $54 | +$427 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | +713 | $533 | $1,189 | 10 | 06-20 20:03 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +223 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 06-20 21:23 |
| Punctual-Hydrogen 0x8b44…63fb | No | +216 | $23 | $23 | 5 | 07-08 21:57 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +117 | $22 | $38 | 3 | 07-15 12:24 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | No | +100 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-17 19:07 |
| Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | No | +96 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-17 19:06 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +73 | $61 | $202 | 7 | 07-16 08:40 |
| Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | +58 | $58 | $226 | 7 | 07-16 08:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xc24f…220b | Yes | +51 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 06-17 19:06 |
| Noisy-Tog 0x3395…8cd2 | Yes | +50 | $41 | $41 | 1 | 07-15 13:40 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +50 | $9 | $9 | 3 | 07-08 22:50 |
| Gullible-Angel 0xe1a9…339e | No | +38 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-20 21:29 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | +33 | $28 | $28 | 4 | 07-08 21:21 |
| Youthful-Pomelo 0x6305…c3ca | No | +31 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-28 23:10 |
| Wealthy-Meadow 0x9f42…e44e | Yes | +30 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 07-07 05:04 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +30 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-17 19:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | +29 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-20 21:23 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +26 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-10 17:42 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +24 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 06-10 17:42 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +21 | $18 | $50 | 17 | 06-20 20:07 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +21 | $9 | $37 | 9 | 06-20 21:23 |
| Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | Yes | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-28 23:10 |
| Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | No | +20 | $3 | $10 | 5 | 06-10 17:11 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +12 | $1 | $10 | 5 | 07-16 03:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xa67f…e165 | Yes | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-20 16:49 |
| (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | No | +10 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 07-08 21:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | No | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-10 02:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | No | +1 | $0 | $12 | 11 | 07-16 03:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x38d2…4d20 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 8 | 06-20 16:49 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-16 08:40:17 | Jumbo-Providence 0x9592…a8fd | No | SELL | 20 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x2087fc… |
| 07-16 08:40:17 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 84¢ | $3 | 0x2087fc… |
| 07-16 08:40:17 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 84¢ | $13 | 0x2087fc… |
| 07-16 03:32:11 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | No | SELL | 7 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xbc95a0… |
| 07-16 03:32:11 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 7 | 17¢ | $1 | 0xbc95a0… |
| 07-16 03:17:37 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | No | SELL | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x8eca7c… |
| 07-16 03:17:37 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x8eca7c… |
| 07-15 13:40:31 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | No | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xafdd68… |
| 07-15 13:40:31 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 37 | 82¢ | $30 | 0xafdd68… |
| 07-15 13:40:31 | Noisy-Tog 0x3395…8cd2 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 82¢ | $41 | 0xafdd68… |
| 07-15 12:24:35 | (anonymous) 0xb886…3024 | No | SELL | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x483db3… |
| 07-15 12:24:35 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 81¢ | $40 | 0x483db3… |
| 07-15 12:24:35 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 24 | 20¢ | $5 | 0x483db3… |
| 07-15 09:35:50 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 84¢ | $42 | 0xc5ce28… |
| 07-15 09:35:50 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 84¢ | $42 | 0xc5ce28… |
| 07-15 09:35:29 | (anonymous) 0xcb58…ccd0 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 85¢ | $42 | 0x3016b2… |
| 07-15 09:35:29 | Mealy-Elbow 0x2a20…89d2 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 85¢ | $42 | 0x3016b2… |
| 07-15 09:35:29 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 39 | 84¢ | $33 | 0x3016b2… |
| 07-15 09:35:29 | (anonymous) 0x5111…8bc3 | Yes | SELL | 219 | 85¢ | $187 | 0x3016b2… |
| 07-15 09:35:29 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 25 | 14¢ | $4 | 0x3016b2… |
| 07-15 09:35:29 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x3016b2… |
| 07-15 09:35:29 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | No | SELL | 50 | 14¢ | $7 | 0x3016b2… |
| 07-12 20:53:52 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x99dff7… |
| 07-12 20:53:52 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x99dff7… |
| 07-11 12:57:43 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xfd7490… |
| 07-11 12:57:43 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xfd7490… |
| 07-08 22:50:07 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x8ff3ab… |
| 07-08 22:50:07 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | No | SELL | 10 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x8ff3ab… |
| 07-08 21:57:01 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | No | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x059057… |
| 07-08 21:57:01 | Punctual-Hydrogen 0x8b44…63fb | No | BUY | 11 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x059057… |
| 07-08 21:57:01 | Likely-Exhibit 0x9868…907e | No | SELL | 6 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x059057… |
| 07-08 21:55:38 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 17 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x2bbcc2… |
| 07-08 21:55:38 | Punctual-Hydrogen 0x8b44…63fb | No | BUY | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x2bbcc2… |
| 07-08 21:55:38 | Likely-Exhibit 0x9868…907e | No | SELL | 3 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x2bbcc2… |
| 07-08 21:47:26 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | SELL | 8 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x969759… |
| 07-08 21:47:26 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | No | SELL | 6 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x969759… |
| 07-08 21:47:26 | Likely-Exhibit 0x9868…907e | No | SELL | 9 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x969759… |
| 07-08 21:47:26 | Punctual-Hydrogen 0x8b44…63fb | No | BUY | 22 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x969759… |
| 07-08 21:33:19 | Punctual-Hydrogen 0x8b44…63fb | No | BUY | 41 | 10¢ | $4 | 0xbf15dd… |
| 07-08 21:33:19 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | No | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xbf15dd… |
| 07-08 21:33:19 | (anonymous) 0xc71b…e265 | No | BUY | 50 | 11¢ | $6 | 0xbf15dd… |
| 07-08 21:33:19 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 104 | 89¢ | $93 | 0xbf15dd… |
| 07-08 21:33:19 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 7 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xbf15dd… |
| 07-08 21:28:13 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | No | BUY | 14 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x5e7bfc… |
| 07-08 21:28:13 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | No | SELL | 54 | 11¢ | $6 | 0x5e7bfc… |
| 07-08 21:28:13 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | No | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x5e7bfc… |
| 07-08 21:28:13 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | No | BUY | 18 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x5e7bfc… |
| 07-08 21:28:13 | Likely-Exhibit 0x9868…907e | No | BUY | 18 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x5e7bfc… |
| 07-08 21:21:08 | Punctual-Hydrogen 0x8b44…63fb | No | BUY | 122 | 10¢ | $13 | 0xe6f8bf… |
| 07-08 21:21:08 | (anonymous) 0x5111…8bc3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 89¢ | $44 | 0xe6f8bf… |
| 07-08 21:21:08 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | No | SELL | 16 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xe6f8bf… |
| 07-08 21:21:08 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 89¢ | $5 | 0xe6f8bf… |
| 07-08 21:13:26 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | No | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xcf7b37… |
| 07-08 21:13:26 | (anonymous) 0x5111…8bc3 | Yes | BUY | 119 | 90¢ | $107 | 0xcf7b37… |
| 07-08 21:13:26 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | No | BUY | 54 | 10¢ | $5 | 0xcf7b37… |
| 07-08 21:13:26 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 43 | 90¢ | $39 | 0xcf7b37… |
| 07-08 21:13:26 | (anonymous) 0x624b…56f8 | No | BUY | 17 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xcf7b37… |
| 07-07 05:04:17 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 11¢ | $3 | 0xe5605e… |
| 07-07 05:04:17 | Wealthy-Meadow 0x9f42…e44e | Yes | BUY | 30 | 89¢ | $27 | 0xe5605e… |
| 07-06 21:07:34 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | SELL | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xc390e0… |
| 07-06 21:07:34 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0xc390e0… |
| 07-06 21:07:34 | (anonymous) 0x58e8…bb5a | No | BUY | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xc390e0… |
| 07-06 19:09:29 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | SELL | 3 | 84¢ | $3 | 0x1db4df… |
| 07-06 19:09:29 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 84¢ | $3 | 0x1db4df… |
| 07-06 19:09:25 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | Yes | BUY | 3 | 85¢ | $3 | 0x8a1d29… |
| 07-06 19:09:25 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | Yes | SELL | 8 | 85¢ | $7 | 0x8a1d29… |
| 07-06 19:09:25 | (anonymous) 0xd823…12fe | Yes | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x8a1d29… |
| 07-06 04:35:23 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 14 | 84¢ | $11 | 0x44dd34… |
| 07-06 04:35:23 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 84¢ | $11 | 0x44dd34… |
| 07-04 15:21:29 | (anonymous) 0x8e42…a043 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x0fdef9… |
| 07-04 15:21:29 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x0fdef9… |
| 07-04 08:27:59 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 16 | 84¢ | $14 | 0x3edf6a… |
| 07-04 08:27:59 | Ripe-Phase 0xb042…14f3 | No | SELL | 16 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x3edf6a… |
| 07-04 05:43:02 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x91852d… |
| 07-04 05:43:02 | (anonymous) 0x8e42…a043 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x91852d… |
| 07-04 05:42:53 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x989f04… |
| 07-04 05:42:53 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x989f04… |
| 07-03 09:03:11 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 82¢ | $25 | 0x4bfb24… |
| 07-03 09:03:11 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 82¢ | $25 | 0x4bfb24… |
| 07-03 08:29:08 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | Yes | BUY | 33 | 84¢ | $28 | 0x3524ca… |
| 07-03 08:29:08 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 84¢ | $28 | 0x3524ca… |
| 06-25 19:19:17 | Ripe-Phase 0xb042…14f3 | No | SELL | 4 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xad587d… |
| 06-25 19:19:17 | Popular-Middleman 0x31c4…622f | Yes | SELL | 4 | 80¢ | $3 | 0xad587d… |
| 06-20 21:29:34 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | No | SELL | 38 | 11¢ | $4 | 0x8073be… |
| 06-20 21:29:34 | Gullible-Angel 0xe1a9…339e | No | BUY | 38 | 11¢ | $4 | 0x8073be… |
| 06-20 21:23:13 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 84¢ | $18 | 0x7a775f… |
| 06-20 21:23:13 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 223 | 11¢ | $25 | 0x7a775f… |
| 06-20 21:23:13 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0x7a775f… |
| 06-20 21:23:13 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x7a775f… |
| 06-20 21:23:13 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | No | SELL | 374 | 13¢ | $49 | 0x7a775f… |
| 06-20 21:23:13 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x7a775f… |
| 06-20 21:23:13 | (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | BUY | 29 | 18¢ | $5 | 0x7a775f… |
| 06-20 21:23:13 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x7a775f… |
| 06-20 21:23:13 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0x7a775f… |
| 06-20 20:13:25 | (anonymous) 0xb886…3024 | No | SELL | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0xee02f7… |
| 06-20 20:13:25 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 81¢ | $8 | 0xee02f7… |
| 06-20 20:07:29 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0x5b1e68… |
| 06-20 20:07:29 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | No | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x5b1e68… |
| 06-20 20:03:04 | Popular-Middleman 0x31c4…622f | Yes | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x2781cc… |
| 06-20 20:03:04 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | No | BUY | 1 | 18¢ | $0 | 0x2781cc… |