Will Nathalie Arthaud be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
open
Total volume
$2,539
$32 in 24h
Trades
157
Unique wallets
44
Liquidity
$13,545
Latest YES mid
82¢
Latest NO mid
17¢
End date
2027-04-17
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-03 09:03
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+20.6¢
(top1%: 99% YES on $870
vs crowd: 78% YES on $1.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 9 | $150 | $146 | +$4 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 12 | $966 | $129 | +$837 |
| 🐟 Fish | 14 | $59 | $65 | $6 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 9 | $142 | $23 | +$119 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $861 | $9 | +$852 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $20 | — | +$20 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $25 | — | +$25 |
| Median | 1 | — | $4 | $4 |
| Below median | 7 | $38 | $36 | +$2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | — | $63 | $63 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 10 | $71 | $151 | $80 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $105 | $54 | +$51 |
| unranked | 14 | $197 | $46 | +$151 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | +713 | $533 | $1,189 | 10 | 06-20 20:03 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +223 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 06-20 21:23 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +157 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 06-17 19:06 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | No | +100 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-17 19:07 |
| Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | No | +96 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 06-17 19:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xc24f…220b | Yes | +51 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 06-17 19:06 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +43 | $38 | $74 | 3 | 06-20 21:23 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +40 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 06-20 21:23 |
| Gullible-Angel 0xe1a9…339e | No | +38 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-20 21:29 |
| Youthful-Pomelo 0x6305…c3ca | No | +31 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-28 23:10 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +30 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 07-03 09:03 |
| Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | +30 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 06-17 19:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | +29 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-20 21:23 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +26 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-10 17:42 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +24 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 06-10 17:42 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | +21 | $18 | $50 | 17 | 06-20 20:07 |
| Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | +21 | $9 | $37 | 9 | 06-20 21:23 |
| Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | Yes | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-28 23:10 |
| Jumbo-Providence 0x9592…a8fd | No | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 06-17 19:06 |
| Homely-Field 0x51f2…38ef | No | +20 | $3 | $10 | 5 | 06-10 17:11 |
| Ripe-Phase 0xb042…14f3 | No | +16 | $3 | $5 | 2 | 06-25 19:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xa67f…e165 | Yes | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-20 16:49 |
| (anonymous) 0xb886…3024 | No | +10 | $2 | $5 | 2 | 06-20 20:13 |
| (anonymous) 0xe215…1c22 | No | +9 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-10 02:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | Yes | +3 | $3 | $52 | 2 | 07-03 09:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x38d2…4d20 | Yes | +1 | $1 | $1 | 8 | 06-20 16:49 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 09:03:11 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | Yes | SELL | 30 | 82¢ | $25 | 0x4bfb24… |
| 07-03 09:03:11 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 82¢ | $25 | 0x4bfb24… |
| 07-03 08:29:08 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 33 | 84¢ | $28 | 0x3524ca… |
| 07-03 08:29:08 | (anonymous) 0xe8c4…ea5c | Yes | BUY | 33 | 84¢ | $28 | 0x3524ca… |
| 06-25 19:19:17 | Ripe-Phase 0xb042…14f3 | No | SELL | 4 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xad587d… |
| 06-25 19:19:17 | Popular-Middleman 0x31c4…622f | Yes | SELL | 4 | 80¢ | $3 | 0xad587d… |
| 06-20 21:29:34 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | No | SELL | 38 | 11¢ | $4 | 0x8073be… |
| 06-20 21:29:34 | Gullible-Angel 0xe1a9…339e | No | BUY | 38 | 11¢ | $4 | 0x8073be… |
| 06-20 21:23:13 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 89¢ | $18 | 0x7a775f… |
| 06-20 21:23:13 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x7a775f… |
| 06-20 21:23:13 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | No | SELL | 374 | 13¢ | $49 | 0x7a775f… |
| 06-20 21:23:13 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 223 | 11¢ | $25 | 0x7a775f… |
| 06-20 21:23:13 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x7a775f… |
| 06-20 21:23:13 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0x7a775f… |
| 06-20 21:23:13 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 84¢ | $18 | 0x7a775f… |
| 06-20 21:23:13 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0x7a775f… |
| 06-20 21:23:13 | (anonymous) 0x2712…eb71 | No | BUY | 29 | 18¢ | $5 | 0x7a775f… |
| 06-20 20:13:25 | (anonymous) 0xb886…3024 | No | SELL | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0xee02f7… |
| 06-20 20:13:25 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 81¢ | $8 | 0xee02f7… |
| 06-20 20:07:29 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0x5b1e68… |
| 06-20 20:07:29 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | No | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x5b1e68… |
| 06-20 20:03:04 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | No | BUY | 1 | 18¢ | $0 | 0x2781cc… |
| 06-20 20:03:04 | Popular-Middleman 0x31c4…622f | Yes | BUY | 1 | 82¢ | $1 | 0x2781cc… |
| 06-20 20:03:02 | Blue-Bend 0x9495…468f | No | SELL | 54 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x99e9ca… |
| 06-20 20:03:02 | Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0x99e9ca… |
| 06-20 20:03:02 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 61 | 89¢ | $55 | 0x99e9ca… |
| 06-20 20:03:02 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | SELL | 139 | 10¢ | $14 | 0x99e9ca… |
| 06-20 20:03:02 | Snappy-Rooster 0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 89¢ | $49 | 0x99e9ca… |
| 06-20 20:03:02 | Wonderful-Disgust 0x4207…b81b | No | BUY | 391 | 11¢ | $42 | 0x99e9ca… |
| 06-20 20:03:02 | Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | BUY | 20 | 86¢ | $17 | 0x99e9ca… |
| 06-20 20:03:02 | Rare-Netball 0x03e1…e180 | No | SELL | 32 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x99e9ca… |
| 06-20 20:03:02 | (anonymous) 0x126e…c360 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 82¢ | $8 | 0x99e9ca… |
| 06-20 16:49:23 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0xd79dbf… |
| 06-20 16:49:23 | Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | SELL | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0x5c8ef6… |
| 06-20 16:49:23 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0xe4d0ca… |
| 06-20 16:49:23 | (anonymous) 0x38d2…4d20 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0xd79dbf… |
| 06-20 16:49:23 | (anonymous) 0xa67f…e165 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 91¢ | $10 | 0x5c8ef6… |
| 06-20 16:49:23 | Popular-Middleman 0x31c4…622f | Yes | SELL | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0xe4d0ca… |
| 06-20 05:07:55 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0x864cc8… |
| 06-20 05:07:55 | (anonymous) 0x38d2…4d20 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0x864cc8… |
| 06-20 05:07:55 | Popular-Middleman 0x31c4…622f | Yes | SELL | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0xee4369… |
| 06-20 05:07:55 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0xee4369… |
| 06-20 05:07:53 | Vibrant-Minority-Lace 0x74aa…2c3f | No | SELL | 100 | 9¢ | $9 | 0xf53132… |
| 06-20 05:07:53 | Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | SELL | 100 | 91¢ | $91 | 0xf53132… |
| 06-20 05:05:46 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0xeaa003… |
| 06-20 05:05:46 | Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | SELL | 100 | 91¢ | $91 | 0x97e35a… |
| 06-20 05:05:46 | Popular-Middleman 0x31c4…622f | Yes | SELL | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0xeaa003… |
| 06-20 05:05:46 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0x4759ac… |
| 06-20 05:05:46 | (anonymous) 0x38d2…4d20 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0x4759ac… |
| 06-20 05:05:46 | Sentimental-Asparagus 0xf0e0…016a | No | SELL | 100 | 9¢ | $9 | 0x97e35a… |
| 06-19 18:24:25 | Popular-Middleman 0x31c4…622f | Yes | SELL | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0x3f0a72… |
| 06-19 18:24:25 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0x3f0a72… |
| 06-19 18:24:25 | Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | SELL | 35 | 91¢ | $32 | 0xc09813… |
| 06-19 18:24:25 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0x133481… |
| 06-19 18:24:25 | Pointless-Casket 0x081a…66d0 | No | SELL | 35 | 9¢ | $3 | 0xc09813… |
| 06-19 18:24:25 | (anonymous) 0x38d2…4d20 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0x133481… |
| 06-19 00:00:40 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0xc4114d… |
| 06-19 00:00:40 | Frightening-Rainmaker 0x43fd…59d3 | No | SELL | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x12309b… |
| 06-19 00:00:40 | Popular-Middleman 0x31c4…622f | Yes | SELL | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0xc6ed63… |
| 06-19 00:00:40 | Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | SELL | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x12309b… |
| 06-19 00:00:40 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0xc6ed63… |
| 06-19 00:00:40 | (anonymous) 0x38d2…4d20 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0xc4114d… |
| 06-19 00:00:38 | (anonymous) 0x38d2…4d20 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0xca3306… |
| 06-19 00:00:38 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0x53e2e0… |
| 06-19 00:00:38 | Popular-Middleman 0x31c4…622f | Yes | SELL | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0x53e2e0… |
| 06-19 00:00:38 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 0 | 90¢ | $0 | 0xca3306… |
| 06-19 00:00:37 | Silver-Stool 0xb924…0803 | No | SELL | 20 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x774969… |
| 06-19 00:00:37 | Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | SELL | 20 | 91¢ | $18 | 0x774969… |
| 06-18 01:20:20 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | SELL | 29 | 9¢ | $3 | 0xfd8361… |
| 06-18 01:20:20 | Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | SELL | 29 | 91¢ | $27 | 0xfd8361… |
| 06-18 01:01:58 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | SELL | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0xd6afd7… |
| 06-18 01:01:58 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 20 | 90¢ | $18 | 0xd6afd7… |
| 06-17 21:05:38 | (anonymous) 0x73c1…28f3 | No | SELL | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x1d5b1d… |
| 06-17 21:05:38 | Charming-Grape 0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | SELL | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x1d5b1d… |
| 06-17 21:05:38 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 10¢ | $2 | 0x1d5b1d… |
| 06-17 19:57:35 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xbdb9c0… |
| 06-17 19:57:35 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | SELL | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0xbdb9c0… |
| 06-17 19:07:41 | Rare-Netball 0x03e1…e180 | No | BUY | 16 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x1dd7a0… |
| 06-17 19:07:41 | (anonymous) 0x73c1…28f3 | No | BUY | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x1dd7a0… |
| 06-17 19:07:41 | Long-Term-Overhead 0xbd14…76b4 | No | SELL | 216 | 10¢ | $22 | 0x1dd7a0… |
| 06-17 19:07:41 | Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595 | No | BUY | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x1dd7a0… |
| 06-17 19:07:41 | Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | SELL | 45 | 91¢ | $41 | 0x1dd7a0… |
| 06-17 19:07:41 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x1dd7a0… |
| 06-17 19:07:41 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | No | BUY | 100 | 10¢ | $10 | 0x1dd7a0… |
| 06-17 19:07:41 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 0 | 87¢ | $0 | 0x07faba… |
| 06-17 19:07:41 | Popular-Middleman 0x31c4…622f | Yes | SELL | 0 | 87¢ | $0 | 0x010d27… |
| 06-17 19:07:41 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | Yes | BUY | 0 | 87¢ | $0 | 0x010d27… |
| 06-17 19:07:41 | (anonymous) 0x38d2…4d20 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 87¢ | $0 | 0x07faba… |
| 06-17 19:06:35 | Wan-Gymnastics 0x1f9e…4f1a | No | BUY | 96 | 9¢ | $9 | 0x77b3d1… |
| 06-17 19:06:35 | Crazy-Cranberry 0xaa81…aaf7 | No | BUY | 68 | 13¢ | $9 | 0xd8a10a… |
| 06-17 19:06:35 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xd8a10a… |
| 06-17 19:06:35 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | SELL | 88 | 13¢ | $11 | 0xd8a10a… |
| 06-17 19:06:35 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | SELL | 96 | 9¢ | $9 | 0x77b3d1… |
| 06-17 19:06:34 | Inconsequential-Platinum 0x5c0a…a2c3 | No | SELL | 36 | 14¢ | $5 | 0xb8a567… |
| 06-17 19:06:34 | Rare-Netball 0x03e1…e180 | No | BUY | 16 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xb8a567… |
| 06-17 19:06:34 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0xb8a567… |
| 06-17 19:06:25 | Amazing-Pad 0x758b…0a1c | No | BUY | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x7504fc… |
| 06-17 19:06:25 | (anonymous) 0x73c1…28f3 | No | SELL | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0x7504fc… |
| 06-17 19:06:20 | (anonymous) 0x73c1…28f3 | No | BUY | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0xaff782… |
| 06-17 19:06:20 | Impolite-Thunderstorm 0xc534…b734 | No | SELL | 20 | 15¢ | $3 | 0xaff782… |